122215 NAT PRES + BP [PDF]

Tim Malloy, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Poll (203) 645-8043 Rubenstein Associates, Inc. Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026

FOR RELEASE: DECEMBER 22, 2015

HALF OF U.S. VOTERS EMBARRASSED WITH TRUMP AS PRESIDENT, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; TRUMP AT TOP OF GOP PACK, BUT CRUZ CLOSES IN Six weeks before the Iowa Caucuses open the 2016 presidential race in earnest, Donald Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz lead the Republican field nationally, but Trump trails either Democratic candidate, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton or Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, and 50 percent of American voters say they would be embarrassed to have Trump as president, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today. Trump has 28 percent of the GOP pack, with Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 24 percent. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida has 12 percent and Dr. Ben Carson has 10 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. No other candidate tops 6 percent with 8 percent undecided. But 58 percent of those who name a candidate might change their mind. Among Democrats, Clinton tops Sanders 61 – 30 percent. Former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley has 2 percent, with 6 percent undecided and 41 percent who might change their mind. Among Republicans, 28 percent of voters say they “would definitely not support” Trump, with 24 percent who would not back Bush. Only 23 percent of all voters would be proud to have Trump as president. If Clinton is elected, 33 percent of all voters would be proud and 35 percent would be embarrassed. “Half of American voters say they’d be embarrassed to have Donald Trump as their Commander in Chief and most Americans think he doesn’t have a good chance in November, but there he is still at the top of the Republican heap,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. “Hillary Clinton tops him. Sen. Bernie Sanders hammers him and Sen. Ted Cruz is snapping at his heels. Can a candidate that half the American electorate thinks is an embarrassment win in November?” -more

Quinnipiac University Poll/December 22, 2015 – page 2 American voters back Clinton over Trump 47 – 40 percent. In other matchups: • •

Clinton gets 44 percent to Rubio’s 43 percent; Clinton and Cruz are tied 44 – 44 percent. Sanders tops Trump 51 – 38 percent. In other matchups:

• •

Rubio gets 45 percent to Sanders’ 42 percent; Cruz gets 44 percent to Sanders’ 43 percent. Clinton has a negative 43 – 51 percent favorability rating. Other favorability ratings are:

• • • •

Negative 33 – 59 percent for Trump; 40 – 31 percent for Sanders; 37 – 28 percent for Rubio; 35 – 33 percent for Cruz. Clinton has the right kind of experience to be president, American voters say 63 – 35

percent, while Trump does not have the experience, voters say 67 – 29 percent. But Clinton and Trump are close on several key qualities. American voters say: • • • •

59 – 35 percent that Clinton is not honest and trustworthy; 58 – 40 percent that she has strong leadership qualities; 50 – 46 percent that she does not care about their needs and problems; 55 – 42 percent that she does not share their values. Looking at Trump, voters say:

• • • •

58 – 36 percent that he is not honest and trustworthy; 58 – 39 percent that he has strong leadership qualities; 57 – 38 percent that he does not care about their needs and problems; 61 – 34 percent that he does not share their values. Clinton is ahead on another key measurement: Voters say 59 – 32 percent, including 86 – 10 percent among Democrats, that she has a

good chance of defeating the Republican nominee next November. Voters say 53 – 41 percent that Trump does not have a good chance of winning in November. Republicans say 70 – 24 percent that Trump has a good chance of winning. From December 16 – 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,140 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 508 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points and 462 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

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1. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Bush Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Gilmore Graham Huckabee Kasich Pataki Paul Rubio Santorum Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

4% 10 6 24 2 1 1 2 12 1 28 8

16 2 38 3 1 9 27 1 1 2

1% 12 3 33 3 1 2 1 13 1 22 8

1% 10 6 38 2 2 10 1 27 3

5% 15 3 20 1 1 1 2 11 1 28 10

6% 5 8 15 2 2 3 15 28 1 13

3% 7 6 29 2 1 1 3 12 2 30 5

5% 15 5 19 2 1 1 13 27 12

4% 7 8 21 4 3 2 19 24 7

4% 12 5 26 1 1 2 9 1 30 9

MOST IMPORTANT CHARACTERISTIC Q41...... Shares Strong Honest/ Values Leader Trustworthy Bush Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Gilmore Graham Huckabee Kasich Pataki Paul Rubio Santorum Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

6% 10 7 28 2 1 2 1 9 32 2

2% 5 5 24 1 1 1 13 1 37 1 7

5% 13 3 28 1 1 4 17 18 10

Cont’d

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1. (cont’d) (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q43 Economy/ Jobs Terrorism Bush Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Gilmore Graham Huckabee Kasich Pataki Paul Rubio Santorum Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

9% 8 8 22 2 3 2 22 1 19 4

1% 11 5 24 1 14 34 1 8

1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1................. CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Tot Cruz Trump Made up Might change DK/NA

41% 58 1

36% 64 -

63% 36 1

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2. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Rubio, Santorum, or Trump? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Bush Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Gilmore Graham Huckabee Kasich Pataki Paul Rubio Santorum Trump No/No one DK/NA

24% 12 10 5 10 10 15 9 13 13 14 7 8 28 23 7

34% 6 16 9 13 25 12 19 21 13 9 11 21 19 3

25% 10 10 3 7 8 9 7 15 14 17 9 6 30 20 3

32% 12 10 2 8 12 23 10 21 16 17 9 9 23 23 4

26% 12 13 5 10 12 15 9 14 15 14 5 10 25 20 10

12% 11 7 10 11 7 7 10 4 8 10 8 4 37 27 7

27% 10 12 5 12 12 17 11 16 17 16 10 10 21 26 5

20% 14 9 5 7 9 12 7 10 9 12 5 6 35 20 9

22% 11 10 10 10 15 15 10 15 20 17 8 10 32 24 4

25% 12 11 3 10 8 15 9 13 10 12 7 7 26 23 8

3. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, and Bernie Sanders, for whom would you vote? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Clinton O'Malley Sanders SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

61% 2 30 1 6

52% 1 42 5

60% 2 31 1 1 6

66% 2 24 1 7

56% 1 37 1 1 5

64% 2 25 1 8

61% 2 30 1 1 5

62% 1 29 7

MOST IMPORTANT CHARACTERISTIC Q40................... Shares Strong Right Values Leader Cares Experience Clinton O'Malley Sanders SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

51% 46 3

69% 2 21 1 2 6

57% 1 34 7

82% 2 12 4

MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q42 Economy/ Jobs Clinton O'Malley Sanders SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

58% 3 33 1 4

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3A. (If candidate chosen q3) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS........ CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q3................. CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q3 Tot Clinton Sanders Made up Might change DK/NA

57% 41 2

59% 38 2

55% 44 -

4. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president: Clinton, O'Malley, or Sanders? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Clinton O'Malley Sanders No/No one DK/NA

8% 19 9 58 11

10% 22 6 59 9

8% 21 9 58 10

7% 17 10 57 13

9% 17 10 63 8

7% 20 8 55 13

4% 20 7 62 10

10% 18 10 56 12

5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

47% 40 2 6 5

8% 82 2 6 1

92% 4 1 3

39% 37 4 12 8

39% 47 2 7 5

54% 33 2 6 5

57% 33 2 6 2

42% 43 2 7 6

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Clinton Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

60% 21 2 12 4

43% 46 4 4 3

42% 45 1 6 6

50% 39 1 4 6

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6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

44% 43 2 4 6

8% 87 3 2

89% 6 1 1 3

33% 43 4 7 13

35% 49 3 6 6

51% 37 2 3 7

52% 41 2 3 3

40% 44 3 5 8

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Clinton Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

56% 28 4 6 6

42% 49 3 4 2

40% 48 1 5 7

42% 45 1 2 10

7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

44% 44 1 4 6

4% 89 4 2

91% 4 2 4

36% 45 3 6 9

36% 53 3 5 3

52% 36 1 4 7

54% 39 1 3 3

40% 46 2 5 7

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Clinton Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

55% 33 2 6 4

40% 49 2 4 4

42% 47 1 5 6

46% 44 1 3 7

8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Sanders Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

51% 38 1 6 4

13% 78 1 6 2

90% 4 4 1

49% 35 1 8 6

44% 46 1 6 3

57% 31 1 7 4

60% 32 2 4 3

47% 42 7 4

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Sanders Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

74% 18 7 1

50% 42 1 5 2

42% 48 1 5 4

47% 38 1 9 5

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9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Sanders Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

42% 45 1 6 6

6% 87 3 3

80% 9 6 4

36% 48 2 4 10

39% 50 1 6 5

45% 41 1 6 7

48% 44 1 3 5

39% 46 1 7 7

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Sanders Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

60% 31 6 3

38% 49 3 5 4

39% 48 6 7

37% 48 1 6 8

10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Sanders Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

43% 44 1 5 7

6% 85 5 4

84% 6 5 5

37% 46 1 4 11

39% 50 1 4 6

47% 38 1 6 8

53% 39 1 3 4

38% 46 1 6 8

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Sanders Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

59% 30 7 5

41% 46 2 5 5

38% 51 4 7

40% 43 2 7 8

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Q12-22. Summary Table - Is your opinion of [Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? Table ranked by net favorability (Favorable Unfavorable). REGISTERED VOTERS................. Hvn't Fav Unfav hrdEn REF NetFav Sanders Rubio Cruz Kasich Carson Fiorina Clinton Christie Paul Trump Bush

40 37 35 21 36 25 43 28 24 33 28

31 28 33 20 38 33 51 40 42 59 56

28 33 31 57 24 40 4 30 32 5 14

1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 2

9 9 2 1 -2 -8 -8 -12 -18 -26 -28

REPUBLICANS....................... Hvn't Fav Unfav hrdEn REF NetFav Cruz Rubio Carson Fiorina Trump Christie Paul Kasich Bush

68 66 66 53 63 52 32 24 37

7 10 17 18 30 27 32 25 52

24 24 16 29 6 19 34 49 10

1 2 2 2 2 2 1

61 56 49 35 33 25 0 -1 -15

DEMOCRATS......................... Hvn't Fav Unfav hrdEn REF NetFav Clinton Sanders

82 69

13 8

3 21

2 2

69 61

12. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

43% 51 4 2

10% 87 2 1

82% 13 3 2

32% 59 7 2

32% 61 5 1

52% 43 3 2

49% 47 2 3

40% 54 5 2

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

45% 44 8 4

40% 56 3 1

42% 56 2 1

44% 48 5 3

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13. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

33% 59 5 3

63% 30 6 2

8% 88 2 2

32% 59 5 3

42% 49 6 2

25% 68 4 3

26% 70 2 3

37% 54 6 3


15% 79 4 2

36% 58 5 1

41% 53 4 2

33% 57 7 3

14. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

37% 28 33 2

66% 10 24 -

15% 48 35 2

38% 24 35 3

44% 28 27 1

31% 27 38 3

43% 35 20 3

35% 25 39 2


31% 27 38 4

34% 29 36 -

41% 29 29 2

41% 27 30 1

15. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

35% 33 31 2

68% 7 24 1

7% 60 33 1

34% 28 36 1

42% 33 23 2

28% 33 38 1

33% 50 17 1

36% 25 37 2


23% 38 39 -

37% 33 29 1

41% 28 29 2

36% 35 28 1

10

16. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

40% 31 28 1

10% 60 29 1

69% 8 21 2

39% 29 31 1

37% 41 21 2

42% 23 34 1

53% 31 15 1

34% 31 34 2


58% 14 28 -

38% 33 28 1

33% 40 25 2

36% 32 29 2

17. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

36% 38 24 2

66% 17 16 2

10% 62 27 1

39% 35 25 1

39% 41 20 1

33% 35 29 3

33% 55 11 1

37% 32 29 2

18. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

28% 56 14 2

37% 52 10 1

17% 66 13 3

31% 53 16 -

29% 54 15 2

27% 57 14 2

30% 55 12 4

27% 56 16 1

19. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

28% 40 30 2

52% 27 19 2

12% 55 32 1

28% 38 32 2

30% 41 27 2

27% 39 32 2

35% 45 17 3

25% 37 37 1

11

20. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?


Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

25% 33 40 1

53% 18 29 -

8% 51 39 1

21% 30 49 -

30% 35 35 1

21% 32 45 1

33% 43 23 1

21% 28 50 1

21. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

21% 20 57 2

24% 25 49 2

18% 21 60 1

27% 12 61 1

28% 22 48 2

15% 18 65 2

40% 14 43 2

13% 22 63 2

22. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

24% 42 32 3

32% 32 34 2

12% 59 26 4

28% 37 33 2

34% 41 23 1

15% 42 39 4

30% 50 19 1

21% 38 38 3

28. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not?

Yes No DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

35% 59 5

5% 92 3

76% 18 6

23% 72 5

26% 71 3

44% 49 7

37% 58 4

34% 60 6

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes No DK/NA

30% 59 11

35% 63 2

32% 65 3

44% 49 7

12

29. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not?

Yes No DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

36% 58 6

63% 29 8

11% 86 3

34% 60 6

42% 53 4

31% 62 7

30% 67 3

39% 54 7


20% 79 1

39% 57 3

42% 53 5

38% 50 11

30. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not?

Yes No DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

58% 40 2

26% 73 2

91% 7 2

56% 42 1

47% 52 1

68% 30 3

66% 33 1

54% 44 2


67% 31 2

58% 40 2

52% 47 1

58% 38 3

31. Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not?

Yes No DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

58% 39 3

84% 13 3

30% 66 3

60% 37 3

68% 30 2

49% 47 4

54% 45 1

60% 36 4


53% 47 -

64% 34 3

59% 38 3

52% 41 6

13

32. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

Yes No DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

46% 50 4

16% 83 1

84% 12 3

36% 59 5

37% 61 3

54% 42 4

50% 46 3

44% 52 4


56% 36 8

43% 53 3

40% 58 1

48% 49 4

33. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

Yes No DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

38% 57 5

69% 25 6

12% 86 2

36% 59 5

44% 52 5

33% 62 5

30% 67 3

42% 52 6


24% 75 -

45% 51 4

42% 55 3

37% 54 10

34. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has the right kind of experience to be President or not?

Yes No DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

63% 35 2

34% 65 1

94% 5 1

62% 36 2

57% 42 1

68% 29 3

70% 29 1

60% 38 2


81% 17 2

63% 37 1

56% 44 -

59% 37 4

14

35. Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of experience to be President or not?

Yes No DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

29% 67 4

56% 36 8

5% 95 1

27% 68 4

34% 62 4

24% 72 5

26% 72 2

30% 65 5


13% 83 4

36% 62 3

33% 63 4

26% 67 7

36. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton shares your values or not?

Yes No DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

42% 55 4

8% 90 2

83% 14 3

31% 64 5

33% 64 3

49% 46 4

49% 49 2

38% 57 4


42% 53 5

40% 57 3

38% 59 2

47% 48 5

37. Would you say that - Donald Trump shares your values or not?

Yes No DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

34% 61 6

65% 30 5

9% 89 3

30% 63 8

39% 56 5

29% 65 6

27% 71 3

37% 56 7


13% 84 3

40% 56 4

39% 57 4

35% 54 10

15

38. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton would have a good chance of defeating the Republican nominee in the general election for President or not?

Yes No DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

59% 32 8

36% 54 10

86% 10 5

57% 34 9

58% 36 6

61% 29 10

68% 26 6

55% 36 9


70% 24 7

55% 39 6

57% 37 6

58% 29 12

39. Would you say that - Donald Trump would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not?

Yes No DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

41% 53 6

70% 24 6

14% 80 6

40% 55 5

49% 47 4

34% 58 9

32% 62 6

45% 48 7


25% 71 4

48% 43 8

42% 54 4

42% 49 9

40. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Thinking about the Democratic nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of winning? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Shares values Cares needs/problems Strong leadership Honest/trustworthy Right experience Best chance/winning DK/NA

19% 28 16 14 16 6 2

28% 35 7 9 13 5 3

11% 34 15 8 18 12 2

19% 22 20 18 16 3 2

19% 25 16 17 14 7 2

18% 30 15 12 17 5 3

20% 24 15 10 22 8 1

18% 30 16 16 12 5 3

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41. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Thinking about the Republican nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of winning? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Shares values Cares needs/problems Strong leadership Honest/trustworthy Right experience Best chance/winning DK/NA

20% 13 29 21 8 7 2

17% 7 35 21 3 10 8

21% 7 33 22 7 9 1

28% 11 27 23 2 6 4

20% 10 32 19 11 7 1

13% 17 26 24 11 7 2

19% 10 30 23 8 9 -

22% 15 28 19 7 4 5

24% 9 25 23 10 8 2

19% 14 31 20 7 6 3

42. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Democratic nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, race relations, abortion, gun policy or taxes? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Economy and jobs Terrorism Immigration Federal deficit Health care Foreign policy Climate change Race relations Abortion Gun policy Taxes DK/NA

34% 10 3 1 10 14 8 6 2 4 3 6

26% 3 3 1 13 17 11 6 9 4 8

38% 9 2 1 4 13 10 8 9 4 3

37% 13 4 1 12 13 5 5 1 3 6

38% 9 1 2 10 11 10 6 1 2 3 6

32% 10 4 10 15 6 6 3 5 2 6

34% 8 2 1 8 19 11 3 2 7 1 4

34% 10 4 1 12 10 6 8 2 2 3 7

17

43. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Republican nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, race relations, abortion, gun policy or taxes? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Economy and jobs Terrorism Immigration Federal deficit Health care Foreign policy Climate change Race relations Abortion Gun policy Taxes DK/NA

27% 30 11 8 4 10 2 4 1 3

18% 31 12 11 1 10 6 4 6

23% 33 12 10 2 12 1 4 3

22% 30 14 6 1 10 4 4 1 7

28% 32 11 10 4 7 1 5 1 -

27% 28 9 9 6 14 1 1 2 1 3

29% 24 10 11 3 11 1 2 5 1 3

23% 37 12 4 4 9 2 3 1 4

32% 27 10 9 4 12 1 3 1 1

24% 31 12 7 4 10 2 6 1 4

44. Generally speaking, what type of candidate makes the best president: someone who has held elected office before or someone who has never held elected office?

Held office Never held office DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

63% 27 10

45% 45 11

87% 8 5

60% 28 13

57% 34 9

69% 21 10

72% 17 10

59% 32 9

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Held office Never held office DK/NA

77% 14 9

61% 32 6

60% 30 10

59% 29 12

45. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) As you may know, CNN held a debate among the Republican presidential candidates on Tuesday, December 15th. Which of the following statements best describes you: I watched or listened to all or most of the debate; I did not watch or listen to the debate, but I paid close attention to news stories about it afterwards; I did not watch or listen to the debate or pay close attention to news stories about it? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Watched/listened 45% Paid attn to news 37 Did not watch/listen or pay close attn 18 DK/NA -

53% 36

47% 32

51% 36

43% 37

41% 37

50% 36

40% 37

48% 37

44% 37

11 -

21 1

13 -

20 -

21 1

13 1

23 -

15 -

19 -

18

46. (If watched/listened to debate q45) Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think did the best job in Tuesday night's debate: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Kasich, Paul, Rubio, or Trump? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.. WATCHED/LISTENED TO DEBATE Q45.. COLLEGE DEG Tot Men Wom Yes No Bush Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Kasich Paul Rubio Trump DK/NA

5% 1 11 40 3 5 12 20 3

5% 11 42 3 5 11 21 2

4% 2 10 37 4 1 5 14 18 5

8% 17 36 5 1 16 13 3

3% 1 7 42 3 7 10 24 3

47. (If watched/listened to debate q45) And which of those candidates do you think did the worst job in the debate? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.. WATCHED/LISTENED TO DEBATE Q45.. COLLEGE DEG Tot Men Wom Yes No Bush Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Kasich Paul Rubio Trump DK/NA

25% 9 7 1 8 16 11 2 10 11

28% 10 10 2 9 17 13 2 6 3

20% 8 2 1 5 15 8 3 16 23

22% 14 8 3 15 15 3 11 8

26% 7 6 2 10 17 9 2 10 12

48. Would you feel proud to have Donald Trump as President, embarrassed to have Donald Trump as President, or wouldn't you feel either of these ways?

Proud Embarrassed Neither DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

23% 50 24 3

44% 20 32 4

4% 82 12 2

20% 47 29 4

30% 40 26 4

16% 59 22 3

15% 62 21 2

26% 45 25 4

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Proud Embarrassed Neither DK/NA

13% 73 12 2

25% 48 25 3

27% 45 26 2

22% 43 28 7

19

49. Would you feel proud to have Hillary Clinton as President, embarrassed to have Hillary Clinton as President, or wouldn't you feel either of these ways?

Proud Embarrassed Neither DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

33% 35 29 3

5% 72 21 2

72% 5 23 1

22% 32 41 5

23% 44 31 2

42% 28 27 3

39% 31 29 1

30% 38 29 3

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Proud Embarrassed Neither DK/NA

32% 26 42 -

34% 36 30 1

32% 41 24 4

39% 35 19 7

50. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling - the economy: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?

Clinton Trump DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

43% 53 4

6% 92 2

85% 13 2

36% 57 7

32% 63 5

53% 44 3

51% 46 3

40% 56 4

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Clinton Trump DK/NA

59% 37 3

37% 59 3

40% 56 3

42% 52 6

51. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling - terrorism: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?

Clinton Trump DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

COLLEGE DEG Yes No

48% 45 6

13% 83 4

88% 11 1

45% 45 10

39% 55 6

57% 37 6

59% 36 5

43% 50 7

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Clinton Trump DK/NA

69% 25 6

46% 51 3

43% 51 6

45% 45 10

20