Mar 22, 2013 - Indian Cities â Issues and Strategies. Issues and ... E-mail:
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IISc Bangalore g
Achieving Sustainable Transportation System for Indian Cities – Issues and Strategies g
By
Dr. Ashish Verma Assistant Professor ((Dept. p of Civil Engg.) and Associate Faculty (Ci (CiSTUP) Indian Institute of Science (IISc) Bangalore – 560012, India E-mail:
[email protected] Presentation at Karnataka State Pollution Control Board, Bangalore, 22nd March 2013
Dr. Ashish Verma
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Transportation Discipline y Traditionally supply
y Gradual realization of
centric
constraints
y Focus only on addition of
y Land
physical infrastructure
y Resources y Energy y Environment
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Dr. Ashish Verma, IISc Bangalore
Indian Conditions – Adding to the P bl Problem y Heterogeneous
y Population growth
y Non-lane based
y High density growth in
y Driver behaviour
cities y Exponential E l growthh in vehicles etc.
y Poor integration between
land-use and transportation etc etc.
High transport externalities - Focus on Sustainability
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Dr. Ashish Verma, IISc Bangalore
Transportation – Externalities y Transportation Planning Effects
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Transportation – Externalities y Transportation – Environment Interaction
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Key Issues y Access, not Mobility y Activities tend to spread out in car-oriented cities y People have to travel more for the same level of accessibility y Moving People, not Cars y Purposeful mobility y Need to nurture public transport, giving priority to them over cars
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Shift in Approach y Supply centric to
Demand centric – Optimize
y Traffic ff management y Demand management y Travel T l bbehaviour h i
Often too complex and beyond manual interventions by humans Technology intervention is necessary to succeed. 7
Dr. Ashish Verma, IISc Bangalore
Emergence of Vehicle Telematics and ITS y Positioning
y Communications
y Mapping
y Electronics
y Remote Sensing etc.
y IT y Image processing etc.
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Dr. Ashish Verma, IISc Bangalore
Sustainability? y Development p that meets the needs of the p present
without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their needs.
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Dr. Ashish Verma
SUSTAINABILITY
3D Maatrix atrix of Sustainabi Sustainabiility ility
Dr. Ashish Verma 10
WHAT IS SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORT ??
Source: Jeon and Amekudzi , 2005
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Goal for Sustainable Transportation y Develop D l b tt better t transportation t ti systems, t options, ti and d
expectations consistent with the objective of securing f future social i l and d economic i development d l within i hi a sustainable environment that ensures community wellbeing.
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Dr. Ashish Verma
Hierarchical Diagram for Sustainable Transportation
( Source: Black & Paez, 2002)
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Dr. Ashish Verma
Economic Factors for Transportation System Sustainability S i bili
Source: Jeon and Amekudzi , 2005 14
Dr. Ashish Verma
Environmental Factors for Transportation y Sustainabilityy System
Source: Jeon and Amekudzi , 2005 15
Dr. Ashish Verma
Social Factors for Transportation System y Sustainability
Source: Jeon and Amekudzi , 2005 16
Dr. Ashish Verma
Are current systems and trends in Indian cities sustainable? ¾ Can be understood through issues of urbanization and motorization :
Urbanization
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Dr. Ashish Verma
Motorization
Unsustainable T Transport
Global Urban Population Growth
Source - MOUD (2008), “Study on Traffic and Transportation Policies and Strategies in Urban Areas in India”
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Dr. Ashish Verma
Increase in population over the last two decades Cit City
1991
2001
2011
Increase in th llastt ttwo the decade
Delhi
8 41 8.41
12 88 12.88
16 31 16.31
94%
Bangalore
4.13
5.70
8.50
106%
Hyderabad
4.34
5.74
7.75
78%
Lucknow
1.67
2.25
2.90
74%
Indore
1.11
1.52
2.17
95%
Guwahati
0 65 0.65
0 89 0.89
1 30 1.30
105%
19Source : Census of India, 2011
Cities are seeing an increase in the Working Age population in the last two decades
City Bangalore Hyderabad Lucknow Indore Guwahati
Age Group 0‐14 0 14 14‐60 60+ 0‐14 14‐60 60+ 0‐14 14 60 14‐60 60+ 0‐14 14‐60 14 60 60+ 0‐14 14‐60 60+
20Source : Census of India, 2011
1981
1991
2001
35.6% 35 6% 58.9% 5.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ 45.0% 49 9% 49.9% 5.2% 35.9% 58.3% 5.8% ‐ ‐ ‐
31.1% 31 1% 62.7% 5.6% 35.9% 58.9% 5.2% 42.5%
25.9% 25 9% 67.3% 6.7% 31.1% 63.0% 5.9% 35.0% 58 6% 58.6% 6.5% 34.5% 61.0% 4.5% 26.1% 67.6% 5.1%
57.5% 34.2% 59.6% 6.2% 29.3% 65.6% 4.1%
Percentage of Population Working – There has been a substantial increase in % working women in all the cities City Delhi B Bangalore l Hyderabad Lucknow Indore Guwahati 21
Gender
1981
1991
2001
% Increase since 1991
Both Male Female Both M l Male Female Both Male Female Both Male Female Both Male Female Both Male Female
‐ ‐ ‐ 30.3% 49 4% 49.4% 8.8% 27.86% 47.47% 6.55% 29.13% 50.77% 3.84% 28.98% 48.38% 7.06% ‐ ‐ ‐
31.64% 31 64% 51.72% 7.36% 33.2% 52 8% 52.8% 11.5% 27.36% 46.02% 7.33% 27.56% 47.24% 5.01% 30.03% 49.73% 8.15% 32.20% 52.40% 8.70%
32.82% 32 82% 52.06% 9.37% 38.5% 57 6% 57.6% 17.5% 29.20% 47.30% 9.9% 27.60% 45.70% 7.20% 32.10% 51.20% 11.10% 35.10% 54.10% 12.50%
4% 1% 27% 16% 9% 52% 7% 3% 35% 0% ‐3% 44% 7% 3% 36% 9% 3% 44%
Source :Census of India data for various years
Vehicle Growth in India
55 million vehicles were plying on Indian roads in 2001 100 million vehicles were plying on Indian roads in 2011 10% growth during 1991-2001,12.3% (2001-05),16 to18% (2005-2011)
Number of Registered Cars per 1000 population Cars per 1000 Population (2011) Cars per 1000 popuulation
160 140
140.1
120
107.4
100
89.9
80
64.8
62.7
60.9
60 40
15.5
20 0 Delhi
*Estimated 23
g Bangalore
Hyderabad y
Lucknow
Guwahati*
Indore
National
Vehicle Production 19,271,808
India is sixth largest vehicle/car manufacturing industry in the world.
IISc Bangalore g
Desired Modal Shares for Indian City
City Population (in millions)
Mass Transport
Bicycle
Other Modes
0.1–0.5
30–40
30–40
25–35
0.5–1.0
40–50
25–35
20–30
1.0–2.0
50–60
20–30
15–25
2.0–5.0
60–70
15–25
10–20
5.0+
70–85
15–20
10–15
Dr. Ashish Verma
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Percentage share of trips by Modes
IISc Bangalore g
Delhi
Mode
Bangalore
Mode
2011
Lucknow
2011
Mode
Indore
2011
Car/Taxi
8.9
PT
41.91%
Walk
17%
2 Wheeler
14
Car
6.62%
Bicycle
16%
Auto
2.3
2‐Wheeler
29.36%
Bus
26.9
11.56%
8%
IPT
Cycle Rickshaw
Cycle
10.7
Cycle
2.22%
8%
28 2.8
Walk
8 33% 8.33%
Auto Rickshaw Two wheeler
42%
Car/Van
5%
Metro/ Train Walk
34.3
Guwahati
Mode
Car 2 Wheeler Auto Bus Total
2008
36% 36% 10% 18% 100%
Public Transport/ Shared A t Auto
Source : Comprehensive Traffic and Transportation Plan, 2011
4%
Mode
2011
Car
5.58%
2 Wheeler
39.49%
Contract C t t Van
2.19%
Auto
2.27%
Tata Magic
4.67%
City Bus
8.56%
Chartered Chartered Bus
0.15%
School Bus 10.35% Cycle
11 93% 11.93%
Train
0.12% 26
Walk
14.69%
IISc Bangalore g
Change in Public Transport Share
Source - MOUD (2008), “Study on Traffic and Transportation Policies and Strategies in Urban Areas in India”
Dr. Ashish Verma
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Number of fatalities due to transport accidents per million p population p –Highest g fatalities recorded in smaller cities
IISc Bangalore g
Fatalities per million population
250
Number of fatalities per million population 227.4 196.1
200 150
178.2 126.6
100
80.7 56.9
50 0 Delhi
Bangalore
Hyderabad
Lucknow
Indore
Guwahati
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Basic Strategies IISc Bangalore g
Which role shall the different transport modes play? Push-and-Pull concept: Which modes need support, support which modes need restrictions?
Push: parking management, access restrictions ... Pull: dense bus network, high quality bus services, ... P h and Push dP Pull: ll separate t b bus llanes, priority i it for f buses b att traffic t ffi signals etc. Dr. Ashish Verma
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Public Transport Integration IISc Bangalore g
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IISc Bangalore g
Physical Integration
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Fare Integration IISc Bangalore g
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Good Passenger Information System y
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Good Passenger Information System IISc Bangalore g
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Accessibility for Disabled IISc Bangalore g
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Accessibility for Disabled Leeds. d UK
Brazil il
France Bogota
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C i d Continued…. ¾Correct framing of Policy could pave a identified path to monitor transport carbon footprint and hence sequester it effectively ¾It could also help in expanding di andd redesigning d i i future cities
The Figure shows urban passenger transport emission reducing policies 47
Dr. Ashish Verma
An Inter-modal Trip
•it is important that we consider various scenarios consisting of combination of different modes and infrastructure options and adopt the one that is most sustainable in terms of both mobility/accessibility and safety. •Cities like, London, Zurich, Berlin, Paris, Munich, Hong-Kong, Bogota etc. provides good example of well integrated multi-modal transport system that provides seamless O O-D D connectivity through sustainable mode options
Transportation System Evolution with Urban Area Growth [Source: Vuchic (1981)]
Mobility Vs. Accessibility for different Modes (Ref: Chakroborty, 2009)
Balancing Access and Speed (Ref: Chakroborty, 2009)
FIELD OF ACTION: ACTION::: What can a local government do d to reduce d CO2 Residential development, Mobility in Proximity
Public transit Street infrastructure, parking and transportation management Mobility management
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Dr. Ashish Verma
FIELD OF ACTION AS TAKEN IN GERMANY y In light of above field of action, the following slides
present a case study that highlights Strategic Transportation plan 2020 for the Region of Hanover/Germany (population 1 million), million) prepared by TU-Hamburg.
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Dr. Ashish Verma
Field of Action: Residential development, M bili in Mobility i Proximity P i i ¾ Ʃ = -11% CO2-reduction • land use planning: Transportation-saving
residential structures as a precondition for “M bilit in “Mobility i Proximity” P i it ” • Enhancement of bicycle Use and Walking
Rental Bike System S stem 54
Dr. Ashish Verma
Field of Action: Public Transit ¾ Ʃ = -21% CO2-Reduction
• New lines (-1%), because of exellent
existing system • shorter headways (-3%) • attractive fare system (-5%) • Green Technology like Hybrid
Vehicles (-12%)
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Dr. Ashish Verma
Field of Action: Street infrastructure, parking p manage management g ment and transportation ¾Ʃ = -11% CO2-reduction • Improved Park+Ride System (-1%) • Optimization of traffic lights ((-3%) 3%) • Introduction of 30,000 Electric Vehicles
( (-2%) ) • Increase of Parking fees +1€ (-2%) • Reduced speed limit (-3%)
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Dr. Ashish Verma
Field of Action: Mobility management, efficient ffi i vehicles hi l ¾Ʃ = -8% CO2-reduction • Awareness Campaigns (-1%) • Car Pooling etc. (-2%) • Efficient driving (-5%) • +2000 2000 Car Sharing Cars (-1%) ( 1%)
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Dr. Ashish Verma
S Summary off measures’’ iimpacts Residential development, Mobility in Proximity
P bli transit Public t it
Street infrastructure, infrastructure parking and transportation management
Mobility management
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If all measures would be applied the potenzial to reduce CO2-Emissions Emissions of Road Transportation is - 45%
Comparison Annual CO2-Emissions per p person Germany 2005: 13 metric tonnes German Challenge: g Dramatic Reduction of emissons necessary
Indian Challenge: Reduction of the increase of emissions necessary
To comply with the goal to reduce the worlwide heating to 2° Celsius, Celsius the average annual CO2-Emission per person should not be bigger than approx. 2.4 metric tonnes per person until 2050
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Dr. Ashish Verma
What can be learned from Countries that already y experienced p high g car ownershipp rates? Even the most car-oriented countries try to establish planning guidelines to reduce car use and try to enhance the use of alternative modes like bicycling.
The reason: planning that gives priority “only” to the car has not been successful in terms of sustainability. 60
Dr. Ashish Verma
Walking and Bicycle Integration with Transit y Creating a walking influence zone around metro stations and create
integrated and connected walking infrastructure. Develop social, cultural or business hubs in the influence areas. cultural, areas It will promote both walking (as access/egress mode) and ridership on transit. For example, Bangalore metro network. y SSimilarly, a y, ccreate eate cyc cyclingg infrastrucutre ast ucut e aaround ou ttransit, a s t, pa particularly t cu a y in sub-urban and residential areas, including park-and-ride at metro stations, bus stops etc. y Cycle-on-transit y to enable longg distance travel usingg cycle. y y Pedestrianization of core city areas, while they are well served by Metro rail. y What are the hurdles? y Why not have occasional Car-free days to make people understand the benefits of
pedestrianization?
y All this requires q consideration and pprovision at the pplanningg
stage only.
Integration of Cycle Rickshaws, Battery Operated Vehicles With Transit and Policy Measures y Cycle Rickshaws, battery operated vehicles like golf cart as feeder
services in low demand or residential areas where running feeder buses is in-feasible. Provision of park-and-ride during planning stage of transit. y Cycle Rickshaws and golf cart in congestion charging zones or on pedestrianized streets/zones.
Integration of Private Vehicles With Transit and Policy Measures y Park-and-Ride facility at metro stations in sub-urban locations, so
that people can travel even slightly longer distance from out-skirts areas to t reachh nearestt metro t station t ti to t parkk their th i vehicle hi l andd ttravell to city core by transit and thereby does not congest them by bringing cars all the way up to city centre. y This will also complement policies like congestion charging, pedestrianization etc.
Specific Policy Strategies for Bangalore While carrying out service and infrastructure improvements for an integrated public t transport t system t in i Bangalore, B l complimentary li t policy li measures need d to t be b introduced i t d d that can influence the mode choice behaviour of individuals towards public transport. Some such policy measures could be:a. A good Parking policy as a demand management measure rather than a supply side measure, including differential parking charges, strategizing the location (like park and ride) and availability of parking in such a way that, it discourages the use of personal vehicles in certain areas or during certain hours or days days, and encourages use of public transport. b. Creation of non-motorized transport (NMT) zones in CBD and other congested areas of Bangalore city. c. Congestion charging for personal vehicles entering busy and congested areas during peak periods. periods d. Giving priority to buses on corridors and at junctions.
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e. Implementing CAR FREE DAY may be once or twice in a year to give a tangible feeling and understanding of what it means when streets are free of personal vehicles. Dr. Ashish Verma
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Dr. Ashish Verma