alabama - Anderson Robbins

For release after 10:00AM/ET Monday, December 11, 2017.

ALABAMA The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers December 7-10, 2017 among a random sample of 1,408 Alabama registered voters (RV). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. A subsample of 1,127 has been defined as likely voters (LV), with a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. Landline (864) and cellphone (544) telephone numbers were randomly selected from a statewide voter file of registered Alabama voters using a probability proportionate to size method. This simply means phone numbers are proportionally representative to the number of voters in all regions across the state of Alabama. Fieldwork by Braun Research, Inc. of Princeton, NJ. Results are of registered voters, unless otherwise noted. An asterisk (*) is used for percentages of less than one-half percent. A dash (-) represents a value of zero. Some percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding. In the same way, percentages in “total” columns may be one point more or less than the sum of their component parts due to rounding.

1.

How interested are you in the U.S. senate race in Alabama? Are you: Extremely

Very

Likely Voters 7-10 Dec 17 Q2 Jones Supporters Q2 Moore Supporters

46% 50% 46%

36 34 38

15 15 15

2 2 1

* *

13-15 Nov 17 Q2 Jones Supporters Q2 Moore Supporters

46% 48% 48%

32 30 34

18 18 17

3 4 2

-

Registered Voters 7-10 Dec 17 Q2 Jones Supporters Q2 Moore Supporters

39% 44% 40%

33 32 34

22 20 22

5 4 3

1 1

13-15 Nov 17 Q2 Jones Supporters Q2 Moore Supporters

38% 39% 41%

29 28 31

25 26 22

8 7 6

-

14-16 Oct 17 Q2 Jones Supporters Q2 Moore Supporters

23% 27% 23%

30 30 33

36 33 35

11 9 8

1 1 1

Somewhat Not at all (Don’t know)

2.

If the Alabama election for U.S. Senator were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were: [IF DON’T KNOW: Well, if you HAD to say, which way do you lean?] [ROTATE NAMES] Democrat Republican (Someone (Wouldn’t Doug Jones Roy Moore else / Other) vote) (Don’t know) Likely Voters 7-10 Dec 17 50% 40 2 8 13-15 Nov 17 50% 42 2 7 Registered Voters 7-10 Dec 17 45% 39 4 2 10 13-15 Nov 17 49% 40 2 2 7 14-16 Oct 17 42% 42 3 2 11 7-10 Dec 17 LV RV 48% 44% 2 2 39 37 1 2 2 4 2 8 10

Democrat Doug Jones (Lean Jones) Republican Roy Moore (Lean Moore) (Someone else / Other) (Wouldn’t vote) (Don’t know) 3.

[IF JONES Q2] Which best describes your support for Doug Jones? Would you say you strongly support him, you support him but with reservations, or that you dislike Moore? Support, but (Don’t Strongly with reservations Dislike Moore know) support Jones Likely Voters 7-10 Dec 17 70% 13 17 1 13-15 Nov 17 62% 19 16 3 Registered Voters 7-10 Dec 17 13-15 Nov 17 14-16 Oct 17

63% 53% 47%

16 23 28

19 21 21

2 3 3

4.

[IF MOORE Q2] Which best describes your support for Roy Moore? Would you say you strongly support him, you support him but with reservations, or that you dislike Jones? Strongly Support, but (Don’t support Moore with reservations Dislike Jones know) Likely Voters 7-10 Dec 17 57% 29 13 1 13-15 Nov 17 58% 30 9 2

Registered Voters 7-10 Dec 17 13-15 Nov 17 14-16 Oct 17

52% 53% 48%

32 35 42

14 10 7

2 3 4

5.

Which of the following is more important in deciding your vote for U.S. Senate? [IF BOTH, NEITHER OR DON’T KNOW, ASK: “Well, if you HAD to pick …”] [ROTATE] Supporting a candidate Supporting a who will vote the way (Both candidate with strong you would vote in (Don’t the moral character same) (Neither) know) the U.S. Senate 7-10 Dec 17 LV 48% 33 14 1 3 7-10 Dec 17 RV 47% 32 15 2 4

6.

Do you believe the allegations of sexual misconduct against Roy Moore are true, or not? (Too soon to say) (Don’t know)

Yes

No

Likely Voters 7-10 Dec 17 13-15 Nov 17

39% 38%

33 37

4 5

23 20

Registered Voters 7-10 Dec 17 13-15 Nov 17

37% 36%

32 37

5 5

27 22

7.

Which of the following comes closest to your position on abortion? Abortion should be: -------------Legal------------TOTAL

7-10 Dec 17 LV 7-10 Dec 17 RV

41% 39%

----------Illegal----------

In all cases In most cases TOTAL In most cases In all cases

11 10

30 29

50 52

26 28

24 24

(Don’t know) 10 9

POLITICAL IDENTIFICATION --------Democrat-------- --------Republican-------- Independent / TOTAL Solid Lean TOTAL Solid Lean Other Likely Voters 7-10 Dec 17 42% 34 8 44 35 9 14 13-15 Nov 17 42% 33 9 48 40 8 10 Registered Voters 7-10 Dec 17 13-15 Nov 17 14-16 Oct 17

38% 39% 37%

31 30 30

7 9 7

46 48 47

36 40 36

10 8 11

16 12 16

Fox News Poll -- Margin of Error for Subgroups The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers December 7-10, 2017 among a random sample of 1,408 Alabama registered voters and a subsample of 1,127 likely voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points for results among registered voters and 3 among likely voters. Results among the attached subgroups have larger sampling errors:

Overall sample: --Men: Women: --White: Non-White: --Under Age 45: Age 45+: --White Evangelical: --Trump Voters: Clinton Voters: --Democrats: Republicans: Independents: --Liberal: Moderate: Conservative: --White College Degree: White No Degree: --Jones Supporters: Moore Supporters:

Registered Voters +/- 2.5%

Likely Voters +/- 3%

+/- 3.5% +/- 3.5%

+/- 4% +/- 4%

+/- 3% +/- 4.5%

+/- 3.5% +/- 5%

+/- 4% +/- 3%

+/- 5.5% +/- 3.5%

+/- 4%

+/- 4.5%

+/- 4% +/- 4%

+/- 4.5% +/- 4.5%

+/- 4% +/- 4% +/- 6%

+/- 4.5% +/- 4.5% +/- 7%

+/- 5.5% +/- 5% +/- 3.5%

+/- 5.5% +/- 6% +/- 4%

+/- 4.5% +/- 4.5%

+/- 5% +/- 5%

+/- 3.5% +/- 4%

+/- 4% +/- 4.5%

Registered voters 1. How interested are you in the U.S. senate race in Alabama? Are you:

Extremely interested Very interested Somewhat interested Not at all interested (Don't know)


Total 39% 33% 22% 5% 1%

Total 39% 33% 22% 5% 1%

Men 39% 32% 22% 6% *%

Dem 45% 31% 19% 5% *%

Women 39% 33% 23% 5% 1%

Rep 38% 34% 24% 4% 1%

White 40% 32% 22% 5% 1%

Ind 28% 31% 28% 12% 2%

NonWhite 37% 33% 23% 7% *%

Lib 52% 28% 16% 4% *%

Under Age 45 24% 27% 37% 11% 1%

Mod 34% 31% 24% 9% 2%

Cons 36% 35% 25% 4% *%

45+ 47% 35% 15% 2% 1%

White Evangel 39% 34% 23% 3% 1%

White College Degree 48% 29% 20% 3% *%

Trump Voters 37% 35% 22% 4% 1%

White No Degree 34% 34% 24% 6% 1%

Clinton Voters 46% 32% 18% 4% *%

Jones Supporters 44% 32% 20% 4% -

Moore Supporters 40% 34% 22% 3% 1%

Likely voters 1. How interested are you in the U.S. senate race in Alabama? Are you:



Total 46% 36% 15% 2% *%

Total 46% 36% 15% 2% *%

Men 46% 36% 15% 2% *%

Dem 50% 33% 14% 2% *%

Women 47% 36% 16% 1% *%

Rep 45% 38% 15% *% *%

White 48% 36% 15% 1% *%

Ind 39% 37% 20% 3% 1%

NonWhite 42% 37% 18% 3% *%

Lib 58% 31% 11% 1% -

Under Age 45 34% 36% 28% 2% -

Mod 45% 37% 14% 3% 1%

Cons 42% 38% 18% 1% *%

45+ 51% 36% 11% 1% 1%

White Evangel 47% 38% 15% *% *%

White College Degree 55% 30% 14% 1% -

Trump Voters 44% 40% 15% 1% *%

White No Degree 43% 40% 15% 1% 1%

Clinton Voters 49% 33% 15% 2% *%

Jones Supporters 50% 34% 15% 2% -

Moore Supporters 46% 38% 15% 1% *%

Registered voters 2. If the Alabama election for U.S. Senator were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Doug Jones and Republican Roy Moore? [IF DON'T KNOW] Well, if you HAD to say, which way do you lean?

Democrat Doug Jones (Lean Jones) Republican Roy Moore (Lean Moore) (Someone else/Other) (Wouldn't vote) (Don't know)


Total 44% 2% 37% 2% 4% 2% 10%

Total 44% 2% 37% 2% 4% 2% 10%

Men 38% 2% 42% 2% 4% 3% 8%

Dem 86% 2% 4% 1% 1% 7%

Women 48% 2% 33% 1% 3% 1% 12%

Rep 10% 2% 71% 3% 5% 2% 8%

White 31% 1% 50% 2% 4% 2% 9%

Ind 39% 1% 22% 2% 6% 3% 25%

NonWhite 75% 3% 7% *% 2% 1% 12%

Lib 87% 1% 4% *% 2% 1% 4%

Under Age 45 46% 3% 28% 2% 6% 3% 13%

Mod 52% 3% 18% 1% 5% 2% 19%

Cons 23% 1% 58% 2% 4% 2% 9%

45+ 43% 1% 42% 2% 2% 1% 9%

White Evangel 23% 1% 59% 2% 4% 2% 9%

White College Degree 39% 1% 43% 2% 5% 1% 9%

Trump Voters 9% 2% 72% 3% 4% 1% 8%

White No Degree 25% 1% 54% 3% 4% 3% 10%

Clinton Voters 88% 2% 3% 1% *% 6%

Jones Supporters 96% 4% -

Moore Supporters 95% 5% -

Likely voters 2. If the Alabama election for U.S. Senator were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Doug Jones and Republican Roy Moore? [IF DON'T KNOW] Well, if you HAD to say, which way do you lean?



Total 48% 2% 39% 1% 2% 8%

Total 48% 2% 39% 1% 2% 8%

Men 42% 2% 45% 1% 3% 6%

Dem 89% 1% 4% 1% 5%

Women 53% 2% 34% 1% 2% 9%

Rep 9% 2% 78% 2% 3% 6%

White 34% 1% 53% 2% 3% 7%

Ind 48% 2% 20% 1% 5% 23%

NonWhite 81% 2% 7% 1% 9%

Lib 91% *% 4% *% 1% 4%

Under Age 45 56% 3% 28% 1% 4% 9%

Mod 65% 3% 16% 3% 13%

Cons 23% 2% 63% 2% 3% 8%

45+ 45% 1% 44% 1% 2% 8%

White Evangel 24% 1% 64% 1% 3% 7%

White College Degree 43% 1% 46% *% 3% 6%

Trump Voters 7% 2% 79% 2% 3% 6%

White No Degree 26% 2% 59% 2% 3% 8%

Clinton Voters 91% 1% 3% 1% 4%

Jones Supporters 97% 3% -

Moore Supporters 97% 3% -

Registered voters 2. If the Alabama election for U.S. Senator were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Doug Jones and Republican Roy Moore?

Democrat Doug Jones Republican Roy Moore (Someone else/Other) (Wouldn't vote) (Don't know)


Total 45% 39% 4% 2% 10%

Total 45% 39% 4% 2% 10%

Men 40% 45% 4% 3% 8%

Dem 87% 4% 1% 1% 7%

Women 50% 34% 3% 1% 12%

Rep 12% 74% 5% 2% 8%

White 32% 52% 4% 2% 9%

Ind 41% 24% 6% 3% 25%

NonWhite 78% 7% 2% 1% 12%

Lib 88% 5% 2% 1% 4%

Under Age 45 49% 30% 6% 3% 13%

Mod 55% 20% 5% 2% 19%

Cons 25% 61% 4% 2% 9%

45+ 44% 44% 2% 1% 9%

White Evangel 24% 61% 4% 2% 9%

White College Degree 40% 45% 5% 1% 9%

Trump Voters 11% 75% 4% 1% 8%

White No Degree 27% 57% 4% 3% 10%

Clinton Voters 89% 3% 1% *% 6%

Jones Supporters 100% -

Moore Supporters 100% -

Likely voters 2. If the Alabama election for U.S. Senator were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Doug Jones and Republican Roy Moore?



Total 50% 40% 2% 8%

Total 50% 40% 2% 8%

Men 44% 47% 3% 6%

Dem 90% 4% 1% 5%

Women 54% 34% 2% 9%

Rep 11% 81% 3% 6%

White 35% 55% 3% 7%

Ind 50% 21% 5% 23%

NonWhite 83% 7% 1% 9%

Lib 91% 4% 1% 4%

Under Age 45 59% 28% 4% 9%

Mod 68% 16% 3% 13%

Cons 25% 65% 3% 8%

45+ 46% 45% 2% 8%

White Evangel 25% 65% 3% 7%

White College Degree 44% 46% 3% 6%

Trump Voters 9% 82% 3% 6%

White No Degree 28% 61% 3% 8%

Clinton Voters 92% 3% 1% 4%

Jones Supporters 100% -

Moore Supporters 100% -

Registered voters 3. [JONES VOTERS] Which best describes your support for Doug Jones? Would you say you strongly support him, you support him but with reservations, or that you dislike Moore?

Strongly support Jones Support, but with reservations Dislike Moore (Don't know)


Total 63% 16%

Men 61% 16%

Women 65% 17%

White 57% 15%

NonWhite 69% 18%

Under Age 45 50% 27%

45+ 71% 10%

White Evangel 53% 18%

Trump Voters N/A N/A

Clinton Voters 74% 14%

19% 2%

22% 1%

17% 2%

27% 1%

11% 2%

21% 2%

17% 1%

26% 2%

N/A N/A

12% *%

White No Degree 50% 19%

Jones Supporters 63% 16%

Moore Supporters -

30% 1%

19% 2%

-

Total 63% 16%

Dem 73% 14%

Rep N/A N/A

Ind 43% 19%

Lib 73% 11%

Mod 64% 18%

Cons 50% 22%

White College Degree 64% 11%

19% 2%

11% 2%

N/A N/A

36% 2%

16% 1%

16% 2%

26% 2%

25% 1%

Likely voters 3. [JONES VOTERS] Which best describes your support for Doug Jones? Would you say you strongly support him, you support him but with reservations, or that you dislike Moore?



Total 70% 13%

Men 66% 14%

Women 73% 11%

White 65% 11%

NonWhite 75% 14%


45+ 75% 8%


Trump Voters N/A N/A

Clinton Voters 77% 12%

17% 1%

19% 1%

15% 1%

25% -

9% 2%

17% 1%

16% 1%

26% -

N/A N/A

11% -


Jones Supporters 70% 13%

Moore Supporters -

30% -

17% 1%

-

Total 70% 13%

Dem 80% 11%

Rep N/A N/A

Ind N/A N/A

Lib 79% 8%

Mod 70% 14%

Cons 56% 18%


17% 1%

9% 1%

N/A N/A

N/A N/A

13% -

15% 1%

24% 2%

21% -

Registered voters 4. [MOORE VOTERS] Which best describes your support for Roy Moore? Would you say you strongly support him, you support him but with reservations, or that you dislike Jones?

Strongly support Moore Support, but with reservations Dislike Jones (Don't know)


Total 52% 32%

Men 50% 33%

Women 54% 31%

White 53% 32%

NonWhite N/A N/A


45+ 58% 28%


Trump Voters 55% 30%

Clinton Voters N/A N/A

14% 2%

15% 2%

13% 2%

13% 2%

N/A N/A

16% 4%

14% 1%

11% 2%

14% 1%

N/A N/A


Jones Supporters -

Moore Supporters 52% 32%

11% 2%

-

14% 2%

Total 52% 32%

Dem N/A N/A

Rep 52% 32%

Ind N/A N/A

Lib N/A N/A

Mod N/A N/A

Cons 51% 33%


14% 2%

N/A N/A

14% 2%

N/A N/A

N/A N/A

N/A N/A

15% 2%

17% 2%

Likely voters 4. [MOORE VOTERS] Which best describes your support for Roy Moore? Would you say you strongly support him, you support him but with reservations, or that you dislike Jones?



Total 57% 29%

Men 53% 31%

Women 61% 27%

White 58% 29%

NonWhite N/A N/A

Under Age 45 N/A N/A

45+ 60% 26%


Trump Voters 59% 29%

Clinton Voters N/A N/A

13% 1%

15% 1%

11% *%

12% 1%

N/A N/A

N/A N/A

13% 1%

10% 1%

12% 1%

N/A N/A


Jones Supporters -

Moore Supporters 57% 29%

9% 1%

-

13% 1%

Total 57% 29%

Dem N/A N/A

Rep 57% 30%

Ind N/A N/A

Lib N/A N/A

Mod N/A N/A

Cons 56% 30%


13% 1%

N/A N/A

12% 1%

N/A N/A

N/A N/A

N/A N/A

14% 1%

17% *%

Registered voters 5. Which of the following is more important in deciding your vote for U.S. Senate?

Supporting a candidate with strong moral character Supporting a candidate who will vote the way you would vote in the U.S. Senate [Both the same] [Neither] [Don't know]


Total 47%

Men 46%

Women 48%

White 44%

NonWhite 55%

Under Age 45 47%

45+ 47%

White Evangel 46%

Trump Voters 41%

Clinton Voters 56%

32%

35%

30%

36%

24%

24%

36%

33%

39%

26%

15% 2% 4%

15% 2% 2%

15% 2% 5%

15% 2% 3%

14% 2% 5%

22% 2% 6%

11% 2% 3%

14% 3% 4%

13% 3% 4%

14% *% 3%

White No Degree 48%

Jones Supporters 56%

Moore Supporters 37%

Total 47%

Dem 54%

Rep 40%

Ind 49%

Lib 51%

Mod 53%

Cons 43%

White College Degree 39%

32%

27%

38%

27%

28%

25%

37%

41%

32%

26%

43%

15% 2% 4%

15% 1% 3%

15% 2% 4%

14% 6% 5%

18% 1% 1%

11% 3% 8%

15% 2% 3%

17% 2% 2%

14% 3% 4%

15% 1% 2%

15% 3% 3%

Likely voters 5. Which of the following is more important in deciding your vote for U.S. Senate?



Total 48%

Men 47%

Women 49%

White 45%

NonWhite 57%

Under Age 45 49%

45+ 48%

White Evangel 46%

Trump Voters 41%

Clinton Voters 57%

33%

36%

31%

37%

24%

24%

37%

35%

41%

26%

14% 1% 3%

14% 1% 2%

14% 1% 5%

14% 1% 3%

14% 1% 5%

21% 1% 6%

11% 1% 3%

14% 2% 4%

13% 2% 3%

13% 1% 3%

White No Degree 49%

Jones Supporters 58%

Moore Supporters 36%

Total 48%

Dem 55%

Rep 41%

Ind 51%

Lib 52%

Mod 56%

Cons 43%

White College Degree 40%

33%

27%

40%

28%

29%

24%

39%

42%

33%

25%

45%

14% 1% 3%

14% *% 3%

14% 1% 3%

13% 3% 4%

17% 1% 1%

11% 2% 7%

14% 1% 3%

16% 1% 2%

13% 2% 4%

14% 1% 2%

15% 1% 3%

Registered voters 6. Do you believe the allegations of sexual misconduct against Roy Moore are true, or not?

Yes No [Too soon] [Don't know]


Total 37% 32% 5% 27%

Total 37% 32% 5% 27%

Men 35% 35% 4% 26%

Dem 63% 9% 4% 25%

Women 38% 29% 6% 28%

Rep 15% 54% 6% 25%

White 31% 39% 5% 24%

Ind 35% 23% 5% 37%

NonWhite 50% 13% 4% 33%

Lib 74% 6% 3% 17%

Under Age 45 36% 24% 7% 33%

Mod 43% 20% 3% 34%

Cons 20% 47% 6% 27%

45+ 37% 36% 4% 24%






Jones Supporters 67% 5% 4% 23%

Moore Supporters 5% 67% 5% 23%

Likely voters 6. Do you believe the allegations of sexual misconduct against Roy Moore are true, or not?



Total 39% 33% 4% 23%

Total 39% 33% 4% 23%

Men 38% 36% 3% 23%

Dem 66% 8% 3% 22%

Women 40% 31% 6% 23%

Rep 13% 60% 5% 21%

White 33% 42% 5% 20%

Ind 39% 24% 5% 32%

NonWhite 53% 13% 4% 30%

Lib 77% 7% 3% 14%

Under Age 45 42% 26% 6% 26%

Mod 51% 19% 3% 27%

Cons 19% 50% 6% 25%

45+ 38% 36% 4% 22%






Jones Supporters 70% 5% 4% 21%

Moore Supporters 6% 70% 5% 19%

Registered voters 7. Which of the following comes closest to your position on abortion?

Legal in all cases Legal in most cases Illegal in most cases Illegal in all cases [Don't know] NET: LEGAL NET: ILLEGAL


Total 10% 29% 28% 24% 9% 39% 52%

Total 10% 29% 28% 24% 9% 39% 52%

Men 9% 29% 32% 23% 7% 38% 55%

Dem 18% 45% 13% 14% 10% 63% 27%

Women 11% 29% 25% 25% 10% 40% 50%

Rep 3% 15% 43% 34% 5% 18% 77%

White 8% 25% 34% 26% 7% 32% 61%

Ind 9% 32% 21% 21% 16% 42% 42%

NonWhite 15% 40% 14% 18% 13% 55% 32%

Lib 23% 49% 9% 10% 9% 72% 19%

Under Age 45 10% 31% 29% 22% 8% 41% 51%

Mod 10% 36% 23% 16% 15% 46% 39%

Cons 5% 18% 38% 33% 6% 23% 71%

45+ 10% 28% 28% 25% 9% 38% 53%



Total 11% 30% 26% 24% 10% 41% 50%

Men 9% 31% 30% 22% 8% 40% 53%

Dem 19% 44% 12% 14% 11% 63% 26%

Women 12% 29% 22% 25% 11% 41% 47%

Rep 3% 14% 41% 35% 6% 18% 77%

White 9% 26% 31% 26% 8% 35% 58%

Ind 10% 37% 18% 17% 18% 47% 35%

NonWhite 16% 38% 14% 19% 14% 54% 32%

Lib 24% 51% 8% 9% 9% 75% 16%

Under Age 45 11% 34% 25% 22% 9% 45% 47%

Mod 13% 37% 21% 12% 17% 49% 33%

Cons 5% 18% 35% 35% 7% 23% 70%

White Evangel 4% 17% 37% 35% 6% 21% 73%


Likely voters 7. Which of the following comes closest to your position on abortion? Total 11% 30% 26% 24% 10% 41% 50%

Abortion should be: Trump Voters 4% 15% 41% 35% 6% 19% 75%

White No Degree 5% 22% 35% 31% 7% 27% 66%

Clinton Voters 18% 47% 11% 14% 11% 65% 24%

Jones Supporters 18% 45% 16% 12% 9% 63% 28%

Moore Supporters 3% 14% 40% 38% 5% 17% 78%

Abortion should be:

45+ 11% 28% 26% 25% 10% 39% 51%

White Evangel 4% 19% 34% 36% 7% 23% 70%


Trump Voters 4% 15% 40% 35% 6% 18% 76%

White No Degree 6% 23% 32% 32% 7% 29% 64%

Clinton Voters 19% 46% 10% 14% 11% 65% 24%

Jones Supporters 19% 46% 14% 12% 10% 64% 25%

Moore Supporters 2% 13% 40% 39% 5% 15% 79%