alberta oil sands industry - Alberta, Canada

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sible—and, quite frankly, required—to get to the level of ... So if it doesn't make sense to invest at $45, we're no
ALBERTA OIL SANDS INDUSTRY QUARTERLY UPDATE

PHOTO: CENOVUS ENERGY

FALL 2017 Reporting period: JUNE 7, 2017, TO SEPT. 11, 2017

2 Oil sands map 3 Market update 5 Resource + technology spotlight

What’s new

6 Projects 7 Business 8 Environment + technology

9 Oil sands data 12 Glossary 14 Contacts

ALBERTA’S OIL SANDS

Initial volume in place

1.84

Canada’s oil sands resources exist in three major deposits in Alberta: Athabasca, Cold Lake and Peace River. Athabasca, the largest in size and resource, is home to the surface mineable region. All other bitumen must be produced in situ or by drilling. Currently, the vast majority of oil sands production is exported to U.S. markets.

 1

billion barrels

Remaining established reserves (2016)

165.4

LAC LA BICHE

billion barrels

COLD LAKE

Cumulative production (2016)

BONNYVILLE

Peace River

11.4

billion barrels

SOURCE: ALBERTA ENERGY REGULATOR

LLOYDMINSTER

RED DEER

Fort McMurray

Grande Prairie Edmonton Burnaby

176.8

CONKLIN

EDMONTON

Kitimat

Initial established reserves

FORT MCMURRAY

PEACE RIVER

trillion barrels

2 

CALGARY

Hardisty

Anacortes Calgary

9

Cromer

MEDICINE HAT LETHBRIDGE

4

5

Quebec City Saint John Montreal

Clearbrook Superior

3

12

Guernsey

Flanagan

 Oil sands deposit

Oil sands area

Peace River

Capital of Alberta

Athabasca

Pipeline

Cold Lake

Proposed Pipeline

Surface mineable area

10

6

Wood River

Cushing

Sarnia Chicago

11 Canadian and U.S. crude oil pipelines and proposals 1 Enbridge Gateway

Patoka

2 Kinder Morgan Trans Mountain 3 TransCanada Keystone 4 Spectra Express - Platte System 5 TransCanada Keystone XL 6 ENB Spearhead South

ENB Flanagan South

7

7 ENB/Enterprise Seaway

8

Houston Port Arthur

Freeport

8 TransCanada Gulf Coast Extension 9 Enbridge Mainline 10 TransCanada Energy East 11 Enbridge Line 9 12 Enbridge Southern Access

UNLESS OTHERWISE STATED, ALL PHOTOS COPYRIGHT JWN © 2017.

2

MARKET UPDATE NO NEW MAJOR OIL SANDS GROWTH UNTIL MARKET IMPROVES: EXECS None of the four executives who appeared on a senior oil sands producers panel at a conference this summer in Calgary predicted greenfield oil sands projects will get the go-ahead anytime soon. But there was some talk of brownfield developments, debottlenecking work and restarting projects deferred after world oil prices crashed three years ago. Executives from Suncor Energy, Cenovus Energy and Canadian Natural Resources took part in a panel discussion at TD Securities’ annual Calgary oil and gas conference. The topic was capital allocation when WTI crude is trading around US$45–$55/bbl. “I think we will see a concentration on some brownfield, high-return projects, some de-bottlenecking and—in our case with the Syncrude project—some synergy projects. There may be some interconnectedness there,” said Steve Reynish, Suncor’s executive vice-president of strategy and corporate development.

NEXT-GEN IN SITU TECHNOLOGY When asked about the next generation of in situ oil sands technologies, Reynish cited solvent-assisted extraction methods, which are expected to cut capital and operating costs, more effectively mobilize bitumen, reduce water use and cut CO2 emissions. On a notional development using the next generation of in situ oil sands technologies, the facility footprint would be about 45 per cent smaller than existing thermal oil facilities, Reynish suggested. About 15 per cent less equipment would be needed. The number of valves on a well pad would be cut to 30 from 230. And construction hours would shrink to 3,000 from 7,000.

“So I give you that level of detail just to give you a flavour for some of the kind of dramatic changes that we think are possible—and, quite frankly, required—to get to the level of capital intensity that would justify new projects in this volatile oil price world going forward,” Reynish said. “So, exciting stuff. It’s a number of years away, but there’s some good engineering work and good technology development work going into making that a reality during the 2020s.” In keeping with Canadian Natural’s focus on long-life, low-decline assets, the company’s top priority is completion of Phase 3 of the Horizon oil sands mine and upgrading operation. Chief financial officer Corey Bieber said Phase 3 is on track for tie-in during a turnaround in late summer and for first production in the fourth quarter. “So that’s all going very well.” Beyond that, Canadian Natural’s current capital allocation favours projects with less capital risk that can be brought on stream faster, albeit with higher decline rates. Bieber noted the company is spending about $1 billion on Horizon versus about $2.5 billion to $3 billion elsewhere in western Canada and internationally. As for how the company allocates capital with oil prices hovering around US$45/bbl, he said, “the focus at $45 is the same as $55. It’s really optimizing capital returns. So if it doesn’t make sense to invest at $45, we’re not going to do that.” Cenovus deferred three oil sands projects in late 2014 and early 2015. Last December, the company announced the restarting of one of those, the 50,000-bbl/d Christina Lake Phase G. 3

Growth from the next generation of in situ technology, with dramatically reduced capital costs, is expected to become a reality in the 2020s. That SAGD project is expected to be on stream in 2019. The in situ oil sands producer has said the other two deferred projects— Foster Creek Phase H and Narrows Lake Phase A—will have to await debt reduction. Cenovus borrowed money to help pay for the $17.7-billion acquisition of oil sands and Deep Basin assets from ConocoPhillips. “We will not be starting another oil sands project this year,” said Al Reid, Cenovus’s executive vice-president of environment, corporate affairs, legal and general counsel. “And likely the first one that would get restarted is Foster Creek H because it is further along,” he said. Cenovus recently raised its production target for the proposed Foster Creek Phase H to 40,000 bbls/d from 30,000 bbls/d. Also, Reid said Cenovus won’t have two oil sands construction projects running concurrently. However, thanks to its acquisition from ConocoPhillips, the company now has short-cycle assets in the Deep Basin to which capital will also be allocated. For 2017, Cenovus is running a three-rig program in the Deep Basin and will spend about $170 million.

majorprojects.alberta.ca

ALBERTA MAJOR PROJECTS An inventory of private and public sector projects in Alberta valued at $5 million or greater

3 4

5

3 3

2

7

2 3 10

4

2

3

127 oil & gas, pipeline

4

and industrial projects valued at

4

$176.9B

RESOURCE + TECHNOLOGY SPOTLIGHT STAGE

CYCLIC STEAM STIMULATION (CSS)

01

Steam injection

STAGE

02

Soak time

STAGE

03

Melted bitumen production

SOURCES: IMPERIAL OIL LIMITED/OIL SANDS DEVELOPERS GROUP/OILSANDS REVIEW

BACKGROUND In Alberta, 80 per cent of oil sands reserves (about 135 billion barrels) are buried too deep below the surface for open pit mining and can only be accessed through in situ methods. “In situ” is Latin for “in place.” Recognizing the potential, producers have worked for decades to successfully recover this resource. In 1966, Imperial Oil patented cyclic steam stimulation (CSS), which it has been using on a commercial scale at its Cold Lake thermal project since 1985.

HOW IT WORKS CSS, which has also been called “huff and puff,” involves injecting high-pressure steam into the reservoir for several weeks, followed by several weeks where the reservoir is left to “soak.” The heat softens the bitumen, and the water dilutes and separates the bitumen from the sand. The pressure creates cracks and openings through which the bitumen can flow back into the steam injector wells, which are converted to production mode using rod pumping systems.

WHERE IT WORKS/ CURRENT STATUS The use of CSS is largely isolated to the Cold Lake oil sands region, where bitumen deposits are much deeper than in the Athabasca region, where the majority of Alberta’s bitumen resource is present. Imperial Oil is the largest CSS operator, producing approximately 160,000 bbls/d at Cold Lake in the second quarter of 2017. The company completed a 40,000-bbl/d expansion to its Cold Lake project in early 2015. Canadian Natural Resources, which also started operating its Primrose/Wolf Lake CSS project at Cold Lake in 1985, produced an average of 75,000 bbls/d in the second quarter of 2017.

THE FUTURE Like all Alberta thermal oil sands operators, CSS producers are developing technologies to make new projects competitive with other oil plays, including U.S. shale 5

development, in terms of both costs and environmental footprint as the price of oil remains low. For Imperial Oil’s CSS operations, two of these technologies are liquid addition to steam for enhancing recovery (LASER) and cyclic solvent process (CSP). Patented in 2005, LASER involves adding a volume of light hydrocarbon liquids (a diluent) to injected steam. Adding solvent to the steam increases the amount of oil that can be produced per unit of injected steam, thereby reducing both water and greenhouse gas (GHG) intensity per barrel of bitumen produced. CSP is a non-thermal process that injects solvent instead of steam to recover bitumen. It has the potential to virtually eliminate water use and reduce direct GHG emissions by more than 90 per cent. Imperial’s $100-million pilot facility at Cold Lake initiated solvent injection in 2014 and continues to evaluate CSP.

WHAT ’ S N E W

PROJECTS

In July, the Sturgeon Refinery’s pipeline connection to the oil sands went into commercial service. The Cold Lake pipeline system transported 554,000 bbls/d of diluted bitumen from the Cold Lake region to the Edmonton region in the second quarter, according to Inter Pipeline’s secondquarter results. The Sturgeon Refinery will have capacity to process 50,000 bbls/d of bitumen into 80,000 bbls/d of diesel. The project is currently undergoing equipment testing as it advances toward startup. First diesel is expected in October 2017, followed by the official start of commercial operations in spring 2018.

The troubled Long Lake SAGD project might finally be able to earn a profit, its owner says. The upgrader at Long Lake has been offline since a fatal explosion at the project in January 2016. Four months later, SAGD operations were temporarily suspended as the Fort McMurray wildfire swept across the site, though minimal damage was reported. CNOOC says that production has returned to rates seen prior to the explosion, averaging 37,100 bbls/d in the first half of 2017 compared to 38,100 in the first half of 2015 (production dropped to 21,400 bbls/d in the first half of 2016). Long Lake started operating in 2008 and has never reached its full plant production capacity of 72,000 bbls/d. The company says costs are being controlled through optimization of organizational structure, management efficiencies, processing procedures and the project’s blending program.

(JAPEX), the parent company of operator Japan Canada Oil Sands (JACOS), says. The Hangingstone expansion is expected to ramp up to full rates of 20,000 bbls/d by the second half of 2018. JACOS has operated a 6,000-bbl/d SAGD pilot at Hangingstone since 1999. This project has not been producing since May 2016, when JACOS initiated a shut down due to market conditions. JAPEX now says the pilot restart will not occur.

Two of the largest SAGD projects in the oil sands underwent major maintenance turnarounds in the second quarter that marked milestones for their corporate owners. Suncor Energy’s 200,000-bbl/d Firebag project north of Fort McMurray underwent the first major turnaround of its most recent expansion phases, Stages 3 and 4. The two phases, which came online in 2011 and 2012, respectively, have total production capacity of First oil has been achieved at the ex85,000 bbls/d. pansion of one of Alberta’s longest running Meanwhile, Cenovus Energy executed SAGD projects, south of Fort McMurray at the largest maintenance turnaround in its Hangingstone. company history at the 180,000-bbl/d Production is already exceeding 1,000 Foster Creek SAGD project in the south bbls/d, Japan Petroleum Exploration Co. Athabasca region. 6

PHOTO: CENOVUS ENERGY

Four of the six major process areas for the new Fort Hills mining project have been turned over from construction to operations, and the project remains on track to achieve first oil before the end of the year, partner Teck Resources said in its second-quarter earnings statement. The project is now over 92 per cent complete, with an increasing focus on commissioning and operations. “Activity in the quarter also included the utilities plant entering into the completion and turnover to operations phase,” Suncor, the project’s majority owner and operator, said in its secondquarter report. “Construction at the secondary extraction facility, which is the final area to be completed to bring the project to first oil, continued in the quarter, and the project remains on target to start production at the end of 2017.” Suncor raised its cost expectation from $15.1 billion to $17 billion in February, tempered by a production capacity increase from 180,000 to 194,000 bbls/d that would maintain the cost at $84,000 per flowing barrel.

WHAT ’ S N E W

BUSINESS A new study funded by the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers shows that Quebec benefits greatly from oil sands development. According to the study, over 12 months in 2014-15 the oil sands industry provided Quebecers with 16,200 jobs, $1.25 billion in GDP and $215 million in government revenues. Of the approximately 16,200 jobs “created or maintained” by oil sands producers expenditures in Quebec, more than 7,500 were on the Island of Montreal. IHS Markit has increased its expectations for oil sands growth to 2026 by about 160,000 bbls/d since last year as companies achieve better performance at existing facilities. “This is principally because we expect more oil to come from existing facilities as a result of the increase in utilization we are seeing from existing operations,” says IHS Markit senior director Kevin Birn. Operating projects have not only continued to produce through the drop in oil prices but have done so at decreasing cost, he says. That said, the current surge in oil sands volumes is anticipated to drop off before 2020 as a long-aftershock of lower prices and falling investment since 2014 plays out on supply additions into the early part of the next decade. IHS Markit forecasts that in 2026 oil sands production could be one million bbls/d higher than today (exceeding 2.5 million bbls/d in 2016), although the majority of that increase may come over the next two years. Canadian Natural Resources has only been the operator of the Athabasca Oil Sands Project (AOSP) since May 31, but the company has already identified a major cost saving opportunity through synergies with its own Horizon mine.

The cost-saving opportunity will come from Horizon tailings management, Canadian Natural says. It is now deferring $315 million in spending to next year based on integration opportunities with the AOSP. “As we go forward,” says chief operating officer Tim McKay, “there’s a real opportunity to take people’s technical expertise and learnings from both sites and combine them to come up with a better plan and better way to execute [mature fine tailings] into 2018.” Reduced OPEC oil exports to North America are benefitting Canadian crude exporters, according to financial information services firm Fitch Ratings. As supplies of lower-priced heavier crude blends with higher sulphur content exported by OPEC have waned, the key price differential between benchmark light WTI crude and heavier crude blends entering the U.S. market has narrowed despite U.S. shale production ramping up to 9.4 million bbls/d compared to 8.8 million bbls/d at the yearend of 2016. Over the longer term, however, Fitch Ratings doesn’t expect the narrow differential to last. “The Fort Hills project (194,000 bbls/d of bitumen) is expected online 7

IHS Markit has increased its oilsands prodcution forecast based on higher utilization rates at existing projects.

later this year. Increased pipeline capacity from Canada into the U.S. should also contribute to an easing of spreads.” While Cenovus Energy’s total spending with Aboriginal businesses dropped in 2016, these firms got a bigger share of the Cenovus investment pie. Last year, 19 per cent of Cenovus’s capital spend was with Aboriginal companies, the thermal oil sands producer said in its 2016 corporate responsibility report. The company plans to continue to make working with Aboriginal businesses a priority. “From 2009 to early 2017, we surpassed $2 billion in cumulative spend doing business with local and Aboriginal companies in our operating areas,” the company said in its report.

WHAT ’ S N E W

ENVIRONMENT + TECHNOLOGY University of Calgary researchers are trying to eliminate tailings ponds by separating bitumen, water, and the clay fraction at the processing stage of oil sands mining using ionic liquids. Ionic liquids clump the clay particles together so they can be removed rapidly from process water. Solids would go back into mine pits ready for reclamation, and ionic liquids would be recovered and reused. Steven Bryant and his research team have already shown the process works—at the laboratory level—and a patent is pending. The research team is currently looking for an opportunity to scale up their discovery and says interest is high thanks to engagement with Canada’s Oil Sands Innovation Alliance (COSIA). ConocoPhillips has invested the extra capital cost of installing flow control devices (FCDs) in wells at the new Surmont 2 SAGD project and says this is paying off to the point that it is deploying the technology beyond its original plans. About 30 per cent of the well pairs at Surmont 2 were originally equipped with FCDs when the 118,000-bbl/d SAGD expansion was commissioned in mid-2015. Since achieving first oil in September 2015, ConocoPhillips says the devices have achieved impressive results. “It’s not every day that you develop a single technology that can give you a 100 per cent increase in the cumulative oil production over 12 months’ time from your well pairs,” ConocoPhillips executive vice-president Al Hirshberg told the audience at the company’s 2016 analyst and investor meeting in New York. “These FCDs have been so effective that we’ve even developed a way to retrofit them into wells that we drilled that didn’t originally have them.”

According to TOP Analysis, FCDs are designed to promote a more uniform distribution of steam along the injection well and fluid drawdown to the production well. They are also often used as a way of ensuring pump longevity by reducing the likelihood of steam interaction with artificial lift. Cenovus has targeted next year to hit the milestone of deploying solvent-assisted SAGD technology across a full well pad, with sanction of its first full-scale commercial solvent-assisted SAGD project expected in 2019. The technology is expected to decrease costs and improve margins while providing meaningful greenhouse gas emissions reductions. This year and next Cenovus says it plans three solvent-driven process tests at its Foster Creek project, followed by commercializing the technology on a pad level. Eventually, the company plans to convert both Foster Creek and Christina Lake, which together currently produce about 360,000 bbls/d, to its solventassisted process. Migratory fish can detect oil sands process-affected water (OSPW) and will leave a contaminated area with no longterm negative effects on their senses, according to a University of Alberta study. Toxicologist Keith Tierney and his colleagues exposed the fish to OSPW and followed the effects on their olfactory nerves. He said that much like how humans would walk away from a burning building until they were far enough that the smoke doesn’t affect their breathing, so too would fish swim away from a plume of OSPW until the water is diluted enough that toxicity is undetectable. Tierney said that if the fish couldn’t escape the fluid, it’s likely they would suffer moderate sensory impairment. 8

Researchers at the University of Calgary have demonstrated self-sealing bitumen balls in the laboratory, representing a potential breakthrough pipeline-free solution for Alberta crude to reach markets in a cheap and sustainable manner. The fundamentals of the technology are mature, the U of C says, and the team will now scale up. “We are going to build a one-barrelper-day unit, going from our super-small scale to that," said team lead Ian Gates. "By one year the goal is a several-hundred-barrel-per-day unit.” Researchers developed the process to make pellets of varying sizes at the wellhead, using roughly the same energy as it takes to dilute bitumen for liquid transport.

OIL SANDS DATA ALBERTA CRUDE BITUMEN AND SYNTHETIC CRUDE PRODUCTION 60,000

2015

2016

2017

Crude bitumen

Thousand barrels

50,000

Synthetic crude

40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0

J

A

S

O

N

J

D

F

M

A

M

J

J

A

S

O

N

2015

F

J

M

A

M

SOURCE: ALBERTA ENERGY REGULATOR

J

May 2016 production drop due to Fort McMurray wildfires.

ALBERTA BITUMEN PRODUCTION BY EXTRACTION TYPE 3,500,000

D

2016

2017

Primary

3,000,000

In situ thermal and other

bbls/d

2,500,000 2,000,000

Mining

1,500,000 1,000,000

SOURCE: ALBERTA ENERGY REGULATOR

500,000 0

NOTE: MINING DATA ONLY AVAILABLE TO MAY 2017.

A

S

O

N

D

J

F

M

A

M

J

A

S

O

350,000

350,000

300,000

300,000

250,000

250,000

200,000 150,000 100,000

N

D

J

F

M

A

M

J

J

OIL SANDS UPGRADER PRODUCTION BY PROJECT

Barrels per day

Thousand barrels

OIL SANDS MINING PRODUCTION BY PROJECT

J

March 2017 April 2017

200,000 150,000

May 2017

100,000

50,000

50,000

0

0

Monthly average er ) a d ds g r an Up n S r d ia f o lb o t ll A Sc She (

a) e ad ak an dL eC re u d il d cr M yn (S ia n ) ad es a n u rc (C so o n Re r iz r a l H o atu N ns tio y) ra rg pe ne O rE s e co B a S un (

an di na Ca r( ive SP) gR O ke l A ) us ra M tu da Na ake ana dL eC re u d il d cr M Syn ( il ) O l ia l ia n ar er ad Ke I m p an ) ( (C SP ne O pi l A ck ra ia n ) J a tu n a d ce s Na a ur (C so o n Re r iz r a l ns H o tu tio y) Na ra rg pe ne h O rE ut s e co So ) & da B a un (S r th a n a No C ra d e r o cr u Au Syn ( SOURCE: ALBERTA ENERGY REGULATOR

SOURCE: ALBERTA ENERGY REGULATOR

9

THERMAL OIL SANDS PRODUCTION BY PROJECT MAY 2017 – JUL. 2017 (Barrels per day)

COMMERCIAL SCHEMES COMPANY

FIELD

Cenovus Energy Inc.

Christina Lake

MAY

JUN

JUL

MONTHLY AVERAGE

201,531.60

205,783.00

205,036.90

204,117.2 130,297.2

Suncor Energy Inc.

Firebag

82,002.70

116,938.00

191,951.00

Imperial Oil Limited

Cold Lake

152,538.80

163,984.70

162,478.60

159,667.4

Cenovus Energy Inc.

Foster Creek

113,812.70

164,711.40

167,644.70

148,722.9

Devon Canada Corporation

Jackfish

118,127.10

80,109.30

75,121.20

91,119.2

ConocoPhillips Canada Limited

Surmont

126,110.80

124,511.50

115,893.90

122,172.1

Canadian Natural Resources Limited

Primrose & Wolf Lake

73,919.70

70,997.60

77,163.00

74,026.8

MEG Energy Corp.

Christina Lake

57,624.20

73,109.70

77,568.30

69,434.1

CNOOC Limited

Long Lake

39,719.70

41,462.10

43,082.90

41,421.6

Husky Energy Inc.

Sunrise

39,230.40

38,044.20

40,734.50

39,336.4

Canadian Natural Resources Limited

Kirby South

26,983.40

41,675.50

36,684.90

35,114.6

Suncor Energy Inc.

Mackay River

19,054.90

36,494.90

36,200.90

30,583.6

Husky Energy Inc.

Tucker

23,427.70

18,461.10

16,500.40

19,463.1

Athabasca Oil Corporation

Leismer Demonstration

20,326.80

19,717.70

19,775.30

19,939.9

Pengrowth Energy Corporation

Lindbergh

13,664.00

13,972.40

13,569.00

13,735.1

Connacher Oil and Gas Limited

Great Divide

12,657.40

12,746.70

12,611.90

12,672.0

Athabasca Oil Corporation

Hangingstone

8,760.70

9,234.60

8,223.40

8,739.6

OSUM Oil Sands Corp.

Orion

7,286.40

7,259.20

7,432.40

7,326.0

Canadian Natural Resources Limited

Peace River/Carmon Creek

4,977.80

4,880.70

5,191.00

5,016.5

Sunshine Oilsands Ltd.

West Ells

1,947.10

1,748.10

1,301.70

1,665.6

Brion Energy Corporation

Mackay River

901.8

1,911.20

5,068.30

2,627.1

Japan Canada Oil Sands Limited

Hangingstone

---

---

891.7

891.7

BlackPearl Resources Inc.

Blackrod

460.7

376.7

464.4

433.9

Obsidian Energy Ltd.

Harmon Valley South Pilot

---

Canadian Natural Resources Limited

Peace River

Total Commercial

---

---

---

35.2

46.5

51.6

1,145,101.8

1,248,176.9

1,320,641.9

1,238,523.5

SOURCE: AER (ALBERTA ENERGY REGULATOR)

CRUDE OIL PRICE DIFFERENTIAL (WTI-WCS)

CANADIAN CRUDE OIL EXPORTS

Recorded until September 11, 2017

450,000

$25

2016

2016

2017

2017

400,000 350,000

$20

300,000

US$bbl

m 3 /d

$15

250,000 200,000 150,000

$10

100,000 50,000

$5

0

M

J

J

A

S

$0 J

A

S

O

N

D

J

F

M

A

M

J

J

A

S

Heavy oil total volume

SOURCE: DAILY OIL BULLETIN

O

N

D

J

F

M

A

M

J

Light oil total volume SOURCE: NATIONAL ENERGY BOARD

10

OIL SANDS EXPORTS BY TYPE AND DESTINATION JAN. 2017 – JUL. 2017

PAAD II Midwest

Volume bbls/d

Light

PAAD IV

208,449

Rocky Mountain Light

30,083

Heavy

215,175

Heavy

1,916,425

PAAD V West Coast

PAAD I East Coast

Heavy

79,068

Light

Heavy

122,505

67,717

Light

179,438

PAAD III Gulf Coast

Heavy

477,098

SOURCE: NATIONAL ENERGY BOARD

CANADIAN OIL SANDS & CONVENTIONAL PRODUCTION 6

Actual

Forecast

June 2016 Forecast

5

Eastern Canada Oil sands

million bbls/d

4

Conventional heavy 3

Conventional light 2

Pentanes/condensate SOURCE: CAPP

1

0 2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

11

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

GLOSSARY OF OIL SANDS TERMS A ASPHALTENES The heaviest and most concentrated aromatic hydrocarbon fractions of bitumen.

B BARREL The traditional measurement for crude oil volumes. One barrel equals 42 U.S. gallons or 159 litres. There are 6.29 barrels in one cubic metre of oil.

BITUMEN Naturally occurring, viscous mixture of hydrocarbons that contains high levels of sulphur and nitrogen compounds. In its natural state, it is not recoverable at a commercial rate through a well because it is too thick to flow. Bitumen typically makes up about 10 per cent by weight of oil sand, but saturation varies.

C COGENERATION The simultaneous production of electricity and steam, which is part of the operations of many oil sands projects.

COKING An upgrading/refining process used to convert the heaviest fraction of bitumen into lighter hydrocarbons by rejecting carbon as coke. Coking can be either delayed coking (semi-batch) or fluid coking (continuous).

CONDENSATE Mixture of extremely light hydrocarbons recoverable from gas reservoirs. Condensate is also referred to as a natural gas liquid and is used as a diluent to reduce bitumen viscosity for pipeline transportation.

CONVENTIONAL CRUDE OIL Mixture of mainly pentane and heavier hydrocarbons recoverable at a well from an underground reservoir and liquid at atmospheric pressure and temperature. Unlike bitumen, it flows through a well without stimulation and through a pipeline without processing or dilution.

F

CRACKING An upgrading/refining process for converting large, heavy molecules into smaller ones. Cracking processes include fluid cracking and hydrocracking.

CYCLIC STEAM STIMULATION (CSS) An in situ production method incorporating cycles of steam injection, steam soaking and oil production. The steam reduces the viscosity of the bitumen and allows it to flow to the production well.

D

FROTH TREATMENT The means to recover bitumen from the mixture of water, bitumen and solids “froth” produced in hot-water extraction (in miningbased recovery).

G GASIFICATION A process to partially oxidize any hydrocarbon, typically heavy residues, to a mixture of hydrogen and carbon monoxide. Can be used to produce hydrogen and various energy by-products.

GROUNDWATER

DENSITY The heaviness of crude oil, indicating the proportion of large, carbon-rich molecules, generally measured in kilograms per cubic metre (kg/m 3) or degrees on the American Petroleum Institute (API) gravity scale. In western Canada, oil up to 900 kg/m 3 is considered light-to-medium crude; oil above this density is deemed as heavy oil or bitumen.

Water accumulations below the Earth’s surface that supply fresh water to wells and springs.

H HEAVY CRUDE OIL Oil with a gravity below 22 degrees API. Heavy crudes must be blended or mixed with condensate to be shippe by pipeline.

HYDROCRACKING

DILBIT Bitumen that has been reduced in viscosity through the addition of a diluent such as condensate or naphtha.

DILUENT A light hydrocarbon blended with bitumen to enable pipeline transport. See Condensate.

Refining process for reducing heavy hydrocarbons into lighter fractions using hydrogen and a catalyst; can also be used in upgrading bitumen.

HYDROTRANSPORT A slurry process that transports water and oil sand through a pipeline to primary separation vessels located in an extraction plant.

HYDROTREATER

E EXTRACTION A process unique to the oil sands industry that separates the bitumen from the oil sand using hot water, steam and caustic soda.

An upgrading/refining process unit that reduces sulphur and nitrogen levels in crude oil fractions by catalytic addition of hydrogen.

I IN SITU A Latin phrase meaning “in its original place.” In situ recovery refers to various drilling-based methods used to recover deeply buried bitumen deposits.

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IN SITU COMBUSTION An enhanced oil recovery method that works by generating combustion gases (primarily CO and CO2) downhole, which then push the oil toward the recovery well.

L LEASE A legal document from the province of Alberta giving an operator the right to extract bitumen from the oil sand existing within the specified lease area. The land must be reclaimed and returned to the Crown at the end of operations.

LIGHT CRUDE OIL Liquid petroleum with a gravity of 28 degrees API or higher. A high-quality light crude oil might have a gravity of about 40 degrees API. Upgraded crude oils from the oil sands run around 30–33 degrees API (compared to 32–34 for Light Arab and 37–40 for West Texas Intermediate).

M MATURE FINE TAILINGS A gel-like material resulting from the processing of clay fines contained within the oil sands.

O OIL SANDS Bitumen-soaked sand deposits located in three geographic regions of Alberta: Athabasca, Cold Lake and Peace River. The Athabasca deposit is the largest, encompassing more than 42,340 square kilometres. Total in-place deposits of bitumen in Alberta are estimated at 1.7 trillion to 2.5 trillion barrels.

OVERBURDEN A layer of sand, gravel and shale between the surface and the underlying oil sand in the mineable oil sands region that must be removed before oil sands can be mined.

SURFACE MINING

P PERMEABILITY The capacity of a substance, such as rock, to transmit a fluid, such as crude oil, natural gas or water. The degree of permeability depends on the number, size and shape of the pores and/or fractures in the rock and their interconnections. It is measured by the time it takes a fluid of standard viscosity to move a given distance. The unit of permeability is the Darcy.

PETROLEUM COKE Solid, black hydrocarbon that is left as a residue after the more valuable hydrocarbons have been removed from the bitumen by heating the bitumen to high temperatures.

PRIMARY PRODUCTION An in situ recovery method that uses natural reservoir energy (such as gas drive, water drive and gravity drainage) to displace hydrocarbons from the reservoir into the wellbore and up to the surface. Primary production uses an artificial lift system in order to reduce the bottomhole pressure or increase the differential pressure to sustain hydrocarbon recovery, since reservoir pressure decreases with production.

R

Operations to recover oil sands by openpit mining using trucks and shovels. Less than 20 per cent of Alberta’s oil sands resources are located close enough to the surface (within 75 metres) for mining to be economic.

SYNTHETIC CRUDE OIL A manufactured crude oil comprised of naphtha, distillate and gas oil-boiling range material. Can range from high-quality, light, sweet bottomless crude to heavy, sour blends.

T TAILINGS A combination of water, sand, silt and fine clay particles that is a byproduct of removing the bitumen from the oil sand through the extraction process.

TAILINGS SETTLING BASIN The primary purpose of the tailings settling basin is to serve as a process vessel, allowing time for tailings water to clarify and silt and clay particles to settle so that the water can be reused in extraction. The settling basin also acts as a thickener, preparing mature fine tails for final reclamation.

THERMAL RECOVERY

RECLAMATION Returning disturbed land to a stable, biologically productive state. Reclaimed property is returned to the province of Alberta at the end of operations.

Any in situ process where heat energy (generally steam) is used to reduce the viscosity of bitumen to facilitate recovery.

U UPGRADING

S STEAM ASSISTED GRAVITY DRAINAGE (SAGD) An in situ production process using two closely spaced horizontal wells: one for steam injection and the other for production of the bitumen/water emulsion.

The process of converting heavy oil or bitumen into synthetic crude either through the removal of carbon (coking) or the addition of hydrogen (hydroconversion).

V VISCOSITY The ability of a liquid to flow. The lower the viscosity, the more easily the liquid will flow.

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Capital Investment Tax Credit (CITC) Are you an Alberta-based business conducting manufacturing, processing or tourism infrastructure activities? Are you looking to make an investment of at least $1 million in value? If so, you can apply for a 10 per cent tax credit on eligible capital expenditures, up to a maximum of $5 million. For more information on how and when to apply for the CITC, visit: jobsplan.alberta.ca or email [email protected] We listened to business leaders’ ideas to create the Alberta Jobs Plan. This included implementing new tax credits, providing training for aspiring entrepreneurs, adding supports for established ones, increasing access to capital and cutting the small business tax. Together, we are creating new jobs, diversifying Alberta’s economy and making the lives of Albertans better.

OIL SANDS CONTACTS OIL SANDS PRODUCERS Athabasca Oil www.atha.com Baytex Energy www.baytex.ab.ca BlackPearl Resources www.blackpearlresources.ca Brion Energy www.brionenergy.com Canadian Natural Resources www.cnrl.com Cenovus Energy www.cenovus.com Chevron Canada www.chevron.ca CNOOC www.cnoocltd.com Connacher Oil and Gas www.connacheroil.com ConocoPhillips Canada www.conocophillips.ca Devon Canada www.dvn.com Enerplus Resources Fund www.enerplus.com E-T Energy www.e-tenergy.com Grizzly Oil Sands www.grizzlyoilsands.com Harvest Operations www.harvestenergy.ca Husky Energy www.huskyenergy.ca Imperial Oil www.imperialoil.ca Japan Canada Oil Sands www.jacos.com Koch Exploration Canada www.kochexploration.ca Korea National Oil www.knoc.co.kr Laricina Energy www.laricinaenergy.com Marathon Oil www.marathon.com MEG Energy www.megenergy.com Nexen www.nexeninc.com North West Upgrading www.northwestupgrading.com Nsolv www.nsolv.ca Oak Point Energy www.oakpointenergy.ca Occidental Petroleum www.oxy.com Osum Oil Sands www.osumcorp.com Pan Orient Energy www.panorient.ca Paramount Resources www.paramountres.com Pengrowth Energy www.pengrowth.com PetroChina www.petrochina.com.cn/ptr PTT Exploration and Production www.pttep.com Shell Canada www.shell.ca Sinopec www.sinopecgroup.com/group/en Statoil Canada www.statoil.com Suncor Energy www.suncor.com Sunshine Oilsands www.sunshineoilsands.com Syncrude www.syncrude.ca Teck Resources www.teck.com Total E&P Canada www.total-ep-canada.com Touchstone Exploration www.touchstoneexploration.com Value Creation Group www.vctek.com

ASSOCIATIONS/ORGANIZATIONS Alberta Chamber of Resources www.acr-alberta.com Alberta Chambers of Commerce www.abchamber.ca Alberta Energy  www.energy.gov.ab.ca Alberta Energy Regulator www.aer.ca Alberta Environment and Parks  www.aep.alberta.ca Alberta Innovates www.albertainnovates.ca Alberta Innovation and Advanced Education www.eae.alberta.ca Alberta’s Industrial Heartland Association www.industrialheartland.com Building Trades of Alberta www.bta.ca Canada’s Oil Sands Innovation Alliance www.cosia.ca Canadian Association of Geophysical Contractors www.cagc.ca Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers www.capp.ca Canadian Heavy Oil Association www.choa.ab.ca In Situ Oil Sands Alliance www.iosa.ca Lakeland Industry & Community Association www.lica.ca Natural Resources Conservation Board www.nrcb.ca Oil Sands Community Alliance www.oscaalberta.ca Oil Sands Secretariat www.energy.alberta.ca Petroleum Technology Alliance Canada www.ptac.org

FOR MORE INFORMATION, PLEASE VISIT US AT

www.albertacanada.com

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Alberta Oil Sands Quarterly - Fall 2017 www.albertacanada.com/business/statistics/oil-sands-quarterly.aspx