arab uprisings The Arab Monarchy Debate - Project on Middle East ...

Dec 19, 2012 - my colleague Daniel Byman concludes that with the exception of Tunisia, where democratization is moving apace, “the Arab Spring may not bring ...... The Arab Monarchy Debate. “incidents” and distraction tactics, of soft repression alternating with cosmetic reform and bogus perestroika . We do not like to ...
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arab uprisings

The Arab Monarchy Debate

ABDELHAK SENNA/AFP/Getty Images

December 19, 2012

POMEPS Briefings

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Contents Does Arab monarchy matter? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Sustaining mechanics of Arab Autocracies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Monarchism matters. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Why reform in the Gulf monarchies is a family feud . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 The survival of the Arab monarchies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Yes, the Gulf monarchies are in trouble . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 The costs of counter-revolution in the GCC. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Yes, it could happen here. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Saudi Islamists and the potential for protest. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Saudi Arabia’s Shiite problem. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Oman, kind of not quiet? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 Jordan is not about to collapse. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 A Moroccan monarchical exception?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35

The Project on Middle East Political Science The Project on Middle East Political Science (POMEPS) is a collaborative network which aims to increase the impact of political scientists specializing in the study of the Middle East in the public sphere and in the academic community. POMEPS, directed by Marc Lynch, is based at the Institute for Middle East Studies at the George Washington University and is supported by the Carnegie Corporation and the Social Science Research Council. It is a co-sponsor of the Middle East Channel (http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com). For more information, see http://www.pomeps.org.

Online Article Index Does Arab monarchy matter? http://lynch.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/08/31/three_kings The sustaining mechanisms of Arab Autocracies http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/12/19/sustaining_mechanics_of_arab_autocracies Monarchism matters http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/11/26/monarchism_matters Why reform in the Gulf is a family feud http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/03/04/why_reform_in_the_gulf_monarchies_is_a_family_feud The survival of the Arab monarchies http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/11/12/the_survival_of_the_arab_monarchies Yes, the Gulf monarchies are in trouble http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/11/13/gulf_autocracy_in_question The costs of counter-revolution in the GCC http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/05/31/the_costs_of_counter_revolution_in_the_gcc Yes, it could happen here http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/02/28/yes_it_could_happen_here Saudi Islamists and the potential for protest http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/06/02/saudi_islamists_and_the_potential_for_protest Saudi Arabia’s Shi’ite problem http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/03/07/saudi_arabia_s_shiite_problem Oman, kind of not quiet http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/11/07/kind_of_not_quiet Jordan is not about to collapse http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/11/14/jordan_is_not_about_to_collapse A Moroccan monarchical exception? http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/12/13/a_moroccan_monarchical_exception

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The Arab Monarch