Dec 3, 2010 - Intel's Best Year Ever. $0.00. $0.50. $1.00 ... Driven by Rising Incomes and Falling Prices. 1995. 2000. 2
Barclays Capital Global Technology Conference 2010
Barclays Capital Global Technology Conference 2010
Paul S. Otellini President and Chief Executive Officer
Barclays Capital Global Technology Conference 2010
Intel’s Best Year Ever Earnings Per Share
$2.00
$1.50
$1.00
$0.50
$0.00
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010 *
*Forecast based on analyst consensus
Barclays Capital Global Technology Conference 2010
PCs More Affordable Worldwide Weeks of Average Income to Buy Average Priced Consumer Notebook PC
Brazil
China
E. Europe N. Amer. W. Europe Worldwide
1995
36.6
174.7
47.7
4.9
5.6
25.5
2000
46.9
111.8
59.5
2.7
5.5
20.1
2005
24.1
30.6
15.8
1.5
2.3
9.9
2010
5.7
7.2
4.9
0.8
1.0
4.3
2015
2.1
2.5
1.7
0.4
0.5
2.1
Source: Intel estimates
Driven by Rising Incomes and Falling Prices Barclays Capital Global Technology Conference 2010
Large Opportunity for PC Growth Installed Base of PCs per Household North America
Western Europe Eastern Europe Latin America China
2015 2010
Worldwide 0
0.5
1
1.5
Source: Intel estimates
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2
PCs Lead in Desirability Holiday CE WISH LIST RANK 2008
2009
2010
1
Notebook / Laptop PC Notebook / Laptop PC
Notebook / Laptop PC
2
TV
Portable MP3
iPad
3
Mobile Phone
Flat Panel TV
EReader
4
Portable MP3
Video Game System
iPod / iPod Touch
5
Video Game System
Digital Camera
Video Game System
Base random national sample of 1,000 U.S. adults Source: CEA
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“Right off the bat Sandy Bridge is killer...”
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Sandy Bridge –
2nd Generation Intel® Core™ Processors:
A Huge Leap Forward Media Processing
Stereoscopic 3D Blu-Ray
Intel® Clear Video HD Technology
Intel® Wireless Display
Intel® HD Graphics
Intel® Advanced Vector Extensions
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Smart TV and Embedded Business Growth
Other names and brands may be claimed as the property of others
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Intel Atom Tablet Designs in 2011
*
Microsoft Windows
Google Android
MeeGo
Over 35 Design Wins and Counting *Forecast
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Deep Engagements in
Smartphones
Barclays Capital Global Technology Conference 2010
Architectural Contests Take Time 1980s: PCs
UNITS
100%
UNITS
100%
Atari ST Amiga
Other Proprietary
1990s: Data Centers
100%
80%
Vector
Power
Other RISC (IBM)
Mac
80%
2000s: HPCs
UNITS
80%
Commodore 64
Itanium
RISC
60%
SPARC
60%
60%
VIC 20
AMD x86-64
Apple II
40% VIC 20
40%
40%
Intel x86
20%
Intel x86-32
Other CISC (IBM)
20%
Intel x86-64
20%
Intel x86-32
0%
0% ‘80
Volumes
X
‘82
‘84
‘86
‘88
0%
‘90
‘90
21X
X
‘92
‘94
‘96
‘98
‘00
‘00
15X
X
‘02
‘04
‘06
Source: IDC, Gartner, Intel estimates
Barclays Capital Global Technology Conference 2010
‘08
3X
Intel Gaining Traction in
New Segments
Control Processors for Networking Applications
Storage System Processors
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Other
Other
Intel
Intel
2010 *
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010 *
Source: Intel estimates *Forecast
Barclays Capital Global Technology Conference 2010
Intel’s Unique Assets Best Silicon Process Technology
Consistent Architecture Large Ecosystem
Global Scale
Barclays Capital Global Technology Conference 2010
22nm: A Breakthrough in Silicon Process Technology 2007
2009
45nm
32nm
2011*
22nm
High-k / Metal Gate: 3+ yrs ahead of competition 1st Gen
2nd Gen
3rd Gen
New Innovations *Forecast
Barclays Capital Global Technology Conference 2010
Looking Forward • Intel is lean, efficient, and highly profitable • Increasingly differentiated and unique from any other company • Continue strong growth in the PC market segment • Scaling in new segments • Our goal is to have double digit revenue CAGR and EPS CAGR over the next few years *
*Forecast
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Returning Cash to Shareholders Dividends per Share
$ 0.80 0.70
• $3.5 B of dividends paid in 2010
0.60 0.50
• 32% dividend CAGR from 2003 • Dividend Yield = 3.3%*^
0.40
0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*
*2011 annualized figure for dividend is an Intel forecast based on the rate of 18.1125 cents per quarter approved by the Board of Directors in November 2010; all dividends are subject to actual declaration by the Board of Directors in the future ^ represents $21.69 Intel stock price close on 12/3/2010 Source: Intel
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Stock Buyback Has Resumed
Barclays Capital Global Technology Conference 2010
Risk Factors The above statements and any others in this document that refer to plans and expectations for the fourth quarter, the year and the future are forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Many factors could affect Intel’s actual results, and variances from Intel’s current expectations regarding such factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking statements. Intel presently considers the following to be the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the corporation’s expectations. Demand could be different from Intel's expectations due to factors including changes in business and economic conditions; customer acceptance of Intel’s and competitors’ products; changes in customer order patterns including order cancellations; and changes in the level of inventory at customers. Intel operates in intensely competitive industries that are characterized by a high percentage of costs that are fixed or difficult to reduce in the short term and product demand that is highly variable and difficult to forecast. Revenue and the gross margin percentage are affected by the timing of Intel product introductions and the demand for and market acceptance of Intel's products; actions taken by Intel's competitors, including product offerings and introductions, marketing programs and pricing pressures and Intel’s response to such actions; defects or disruptions in the supply of materials or resources; and Intel’s ability to respond quickly to technological developments and to incorporate new features into its products. The gross margin percentage could vary significantly from expectations based on changes in revenue levels; product mix and pricing; start-up costs; variations in inventory valuation, including variations related to the timing of qualifying products for sale; excess or obsolete inventory; manufacturing yields; changes in unit costs; impairments of long-lived assets, including manufacturing, assembly/test and intangible assets; the timing and execution of the manufacturing ramp and associated costs; and capacity utilization. Expenses, particularly certain marketing and compensation expenses, as well as restructuring and asset impairment charges, vary depending on the level of demand for Intel's products and the level of revenue and profits. The tax rate expectation is based on current tax law and current expected income. The tax rate may be affected by the jurisdictions in which profits are determined to be earned and taxed; changes in the estimates of credits, benefits and deductions; the resolution of issues arising from tax audits with various tax authorities, including payment of interest and penalties; and the ability to realize deferred tax assets. Gains or losses from equity securities and interest and other could vary from expectations depending on gains or losses on the sale, exchange, change in the fair value or impairments of debt and equity investments; interest rates; cash balances; and changes in fair value of derivative instruments. The majority of Intel’s non-marketable equity investment portfolio balance is concentrated in companies in the flash memory market segment, and declines in this market segment or changes in management’s plans with respect to Intel’s investments in this market segment could result in significant impairment charges, impacting restructuring charges as well as gains/losses on equity investments and interest and other. Intel's results could be impacted by adverse economic, social, political and physical/infrastructure conditions in countries where Intel, its customers or its suppliers operate, including military conflict and other security risks, natural disasters, infrastructure disruptions, health concerns and fluctuations in currency exchange rates. Intel’s results could be affected by the timing of closing of acquisitions and divestitures. Intel's results could be affected by adverse effects associated with product defects and errata (deviations from published specifications), and by litigation or regulatory matters involving intellectual property, stockholder, consumer, antitrust and other issues, such as the litigation and regulatory matters described in Intel's SEC reports. An unfavorable ruling could include monetary damages or an injunction prohibiting us from manufacturing or selling one or more products, precluding particular business practices, impacting Intel’s ability to design its products, or requiring other remedies such as compulsory licensing of intellectual property. A detailed discussion of these and other factors that could affect Intel’s results is included in Intel’s SEC filings, including the report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 25, 2010.
Barclays Capital Global Technology Conference 2010 Rev. 11/2/10
Barclays Capital Global Technology Conference 2010