CBO's August 2010 Baseline: Medicare - Congressional Budget Office

Aug 25, 2010 - Hospital Outpatient Services. 26.5. 31.1. 33.1. 35.7. 39.2. 43.0. 47.6. 52.3. 56.7. 60.9. 65.1. 70.5. Group Plans (includes Medicare Advantage).
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CBO's August 2010 Baseline: Medicare By fiscal year

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

499.2 5.0 504.2

518.5 5.6 524.1

560.2 5.9 566.1

562.8 6.1 568.9

611.0 6.5 617.4

644.8 6.8 651.6

676.9 7.2 684.1

733.4 7.5 740.9

763.5 8.0 771.4

796.8 8.4 805.2

869.3 8.8 878.1

929.1 9.3 938.4

-73.9

-71.3

-77.5

-83.9

-89.4

-94.8

-100.2

-107.0

-113.5

-121.5

-131.5

-140.6

430.3

452.8

488.5

485.0

528.0

556.8

583.9

633.9

657.9

683.7

746.6

797.7

425.3

447.2

482.7

478.8

521.6

550.0

576.8

626.4

650.0

675.3

737.8

788.4

239.8 204.2 53.0 497.0

250.3 207.6 58.2 516.2

267.3 219.1 71.4 557.8

270.9 220.7 69.1 560.7

286.0 239.5 83.5 609.0

298.7 251.6 92.5 642.8

307.1 265.0 102.6 674.8

325.1 282.9 123.3 731.3

336.5 296.4 128.5 761.5

350.7 311.7 132.3 794.7

372.8 334.8 159.7 867.3

391.5 358.6 176.9 927.0

MEDICARE TOTALS (in billions of dollars): 1

Mandatory Outlays Discretionary Outlays Total Outlays Total Offsetting Receipts

2

Net Outlays (Total Outlays - Receipts) Net Mandatory Outlays (Mandatory Outlays - Receipts)

3

COMPONENTS OF MANDATORY OUTLAYS (in billions of dollars): Benefits Part A Part B Part D Total Benefits Mandatory Administration 4

2.1

2.3

2.4

2.1

2.0

2.0

2.2

2.1

2.0

2.1

2.0

2.1

499.1

518.5

560.2

562.8

611.0

644.8

677.0

733.4

763.5

796.8

869.3

929.1

Mandatory Outlays Discretionary Outlays Total Outlays

3.9% 12.2% 4.0%

8.0% 5.0% 8.0%

0.5% 4.5% 0.5%

8.6% 5.0% 8.5%

5.5% 5.2% 5.5%

5.0% 5.3% 5.0%

8.3% 5.5% 8.3%

4.1% 5.5% 4.1%

4.4% 5.3% 4.4%

9.1% 5.4% 9.1%

6.9% 5.3% 6.9%

Total Offsetting Receipts

Total Mandatory Outlays Annual Growth Rates:

-3.5%

8.7%

8.2%

6.5%

6.0%

5.7%

6.8%

6.1%

7.0%

8.3%

7.0%

Net Outlays (Total Outlays - Receipts)

5.2%

7.9%

-0.7%

8.9%

5.5%

4.9%

8.6%

3.8%

3.9%

9.2%

6.8%

Net Mandatory Outlays (Mandatory Outlays - Receipts)

5.1%

7.9%

-0.8%

8.9%

5.5%

4.9%

8.6%

3.8%

3.9%

9.3%

6.9%

12

12

13

11

12

12

12

13

12

11

12

12

487.4

509.1 4.4%

535.8 5.2%

567.4 5.9%

600.6 5.