Conflict Early Warning and Crisis Mapping in Nigeria September 2013
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The Fund for Peace
Why Doesn’t EW Work?
Warning the wrong people about things they already know.
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The Fund for Peace
Change the Paradigm
From
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To
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The Fund for Peace
The Challenge Finger-in-the-Wind Syndrome • Site Selection • Project Design • Baseline Assessments • Monitoring and Evaluation
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The Fund for Peace
Share Knowledge
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Why Multi-Stakeholder? • Information Sharing and Collaboration – Because different stakeholders know different things – Because everyone must be involved for peacebuilding to be successful
– Ownership and Buy-In by primary stakeholders and beneficiaries – Promote Social Capital for Peacebuilding
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The Fund for Peace
Multi-Stakeholder Initiative • Academia • Policy Community • Civil Society • Private Sector • Community Based Organizations • Donor Community
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The Fund for Peace
Holistic Framework • A Human Security Lens (Peaceable Livelihoods) – For Wide Relevance to Diverse Stakeholders – Because solving militancy or terrorism alone is not enough for sustainable security
– Because peace enables economic development which enables peace (Virtuous Cycle).
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Virtuous Cycle (Not Binomial)
Security
GDP
Development
Growth
Investment
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Safety
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The Framework
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What We Need to Know: Hot Spots/Trends
Reported incidents resulting in fatalities in the 9 Niger Delta states (using Nigeria Watch data www.nigeriawatch.org formatted on the P4P Web Map)
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What We Need to Know: The Issues
Sub-Indicators in Rivers State (UNLocK/WANEP data formatted to P4P Web Map)
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What We Need to Know: The Issues
Sub-Indicators in Delta State (UNLocK/WANEP data formatted to P4P Web Map)
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What We Need to Know: Multi-Level Drill Down: Comparison by LGA (Local Government Area)
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Natural Disasters/Drought
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Natural Disasters/Drought
Table can be sorted by Date, Category, Geography, or Source
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Percentage Shootings and Killings Reported in Niger Delta
User can switch between raw tally and percentage Queries on the Indicator, Sub-Indicator, State, or LGA levels Maximum sample: 10
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Percentage Shootings and Killings in Rivers State by LGA
Map technologies provided by www.theGadflyProject.org
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What We Need to Know: Stakeholder Mapping By layering the supply over the demand, we can better engage with local civil society for effective peacebuilding and rapid response
Partners for Peace are self identified peacebuilding initiatives in the P4P network.
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