current market outlook - Boeing 787 Updates

2 downloads 178 Views 2MB Size Report
CURRENT MARKET. OUTLOOK. (2015 – 2034) ... EMERGING MARKETS TO LEAD THE GROWTH. LATIN. AMERICA ... Value share. 39%. 1
CURRENT MARKET OUTLOOK (2015 – 2034)

Cargo Cargo traffic traffic to to grow grow

Passenger Cargo traffic traffic to to grow grow

4.7%

4.9% 4.7% Per Per year year

Per Per year year

WORLD FLEET TO DOUBLE IN SIZE OVER THE NEXT 20 YEARS

38,050

new airplanes /

$5.6 trillion

Freighter fleet

Freighter fleet

1,720

2,930

Passenger fleet

Passenger fleet

19,880

40,630

21,600

43,560

EMERGING MARKETS TO LEAD THE GROWTH new airplanes delivered by 2034

Aircraft fleet

2014

1,720

2034

1,180

7,560 NORTH AMERICA

9,350 6,700

EUROPE

$1,050B

7,890

3,480

new airplanes

$940B

1,650 3,620 LATIN

AMERICA

1,470

3,020

new airplanes

$350B

5,850

MIDDLE EAST

1,170

new airplanes

$160B

16,180 ASIA-

PACIFIC

1,260

690 AFRICA

1,150 new airplanes $140B

7,310 new airplanes

4,450

CIS

14,330

new airplanes

$2,200B

3,180

new airplanes

$730B

NEW AIRPLANES TO BE DELIVERED BY 2034 REGIONAL JET

SINGLE AISLE

SMALL WIDEBODY

3,520

LARGE WIDEBODY

2,490

26,730 new airplanes

new airplanes

new airplanes

new airplanes

$100B

$2,770B

$1,250B

$1,220B

$230B

new airplanes

4,770

MEDIUM WIDEBODY

540

CURRENT MARKET OUTLOOK ON A PAGE 2015-2034 Regions World economy Airline traffic Cargo traffic Airplane fleet

Asia 4.3% 6.1% 5.7% 5.2%

North America 2.5% 3.1% 2.9% 1.7%

Europe 1.8% 3.8% 3.1% 2.7%

Middle East 3.8% 6.2% 6.3% 5.2%

Latin America 3.4% 6.0% 5.5% 4.6%

C.I.S. 2.4% 3.7% 3.7% 1.9%

Africa 4.5% 5.7% 6.9% 4.5%

World 3.1% 4.9% 4.7% 3.6%

Market Size Deliveries Market value ($B) Average value ($M) Unit share Value share

14,330 2,200 150 38% 39%

7,890 940 120 21% 17%

7,310 1,050 140 19% 19%

3,180 730 230 8% 13%

3,020 350 120 8% 6%

1,150 140 120 3% 3%

1,170 160 140 3% 3%

38,050 5,570 150 100% 100%

New Airplane Deliveries Large widebody Medium widebody Small widebody Single aisle Regional jets Total

140 1,530 1,920 10,370 370 14,330

20 490 690 5,070 1,620 7,890

40 510 910 5,770 80 7,310

300 880 560 1,410 30 3,180

30 310 2,520 160 3,020

40 40 120 760 190 1,150

40 260 830 40 1,170

540 3,520 4,770 26,730 2,490 38,050

Market Value (2014 $B catalog prices) Large widebody Medium widebody Small widebody Single aisle Regional jets Total

60 520 500 1,110 10 2,200

10 170 170 520 70 940

20 180 250 600 1,050

130 310 150 140 730

10 90 240 10 350

10 20 30 70 10 140

10 60 90 160

230 1,220 1,250 2,770 100 5,570

2014 Fleet Large widebody Medium widebody Small widebody Single aisle Regional jets Total

280 530 780 4,130 130 5,850

100 320 730 3,850 1,700 6,700

180 350 380 3,240 300 4,450

110 300 250 540 60 1,260

30 130 1,220 90 1,470

60 30 170 730 190 1,180

10 60 80 430 110 690

740 1,620 2,520 14,140 2,580 21,600

2034 Fleet Large widebody Medium widebody Small widebody Single aisle Regional jets Total

180 1,620 2,270 11,730 380 16,180

60 530 910 6,190 1,660 9,350

100 550 1,070 5,730 110 7,560

260 900 660 1,600 60 3,480

40 380 3,020 180 3,620

70 90 210 1,140 210 1,720

70 300 1,220 60 1,650

670 3,800 5,800 30,630 2,660 43,560

(GDP) % (RPK) % (RTK) % %