Rural Reality - Center for Rural Policy Development

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Swift. Stearns. Sherburne. Anoka. Kandiyohi. Meeker. Chippewa. Wright. Yellow Medicine. Lincoln Lyon. Pipestone. Populat
P.O. Box 3185 Mankato, MN 56002-3185 (507) 934-7700

www.ruralmn.org

Rural Reality:

Addressing the coming workforce squeeze What makes a community competitive? Focus on the individual. Population projections predict that as Baby Boomers retire, there will not be enough workers to fill vacant jobs. As a result, communities in Greater Minnesota and the Twin Cities will be competing for workers at all levels. Our research identified several factors that can make communities and regions attractive to potential employees, entrepreneurs, and people who want to work remotely. Kittson

Lake of the Woods

Marshall Beltrami

St. Louis

Pennington

Cook

Lake

Koochiching

Red Lake

Clay

Clearwater

Itasca

Norman

Mahnomen

Hubbard

Crow Wing

Wadena

Carlton

Pope

Kanabec

Benton

Stearns

Big Stone

6.3% to 21.9%

Sherburne Swift

Anoka

Kandiyohi

Meeker Chippewa

Yellow Medicine

Hennepin

22.0% to 37.9% 38.0% to 52.9% 53.0% to 68.9%

Carver

Sibley

Lincoln Lyon

Ram

McLeod

Renville

s.

Wright

Lac Qui Parle

Scott

69.0% to 84.4%

Dakota

Data: MN State Demographic Center

Redwood Rice

Rock

Murray Nobles

Cottonwood Jackson

Watonwan Blue Earth Martin

Goodhue Wabasha

Le Sueur

Faribault

Waseca

Pipestone

Nicollet Brown

Transportation: Not just roads and bridges but transit, biking and walking.

Cultivate dedicated workers with ongoing education and training programs.

Isanti Chisago

Traverse

Mille Lacs

Morrison

Douglas

Grant

Projected growth in senior population, 2015-2025

Pine

Todd

Washington

Otter Tail

The high cost of housing may price newcomers out of the town of their choice.

37.5% 21.9% 21.9% 6.3%

Aitkin

Wilkin

businesses, government and chambers can identify what jobs are vacant and who can 84.4% 68.8% 53.2% fill them. 68.8% 53.2% 37.5%

Cass

Becker

Stevens

Broadband: A must-have for newcomers and entrepreneurs.

Title hereWorking together,

Roseau

Polk

Be prepared to pay more. Fewer available workers can mean higher wages.

Be welcoming. Help newcomers mix and make friends.

Steele

Freeborn

Dodge

Mower

Olmsted

Winona

Fillmore

Houston

© July 2015 Center for Rural Policy and Development

Making a Competitive Community

Child care is a major barrier to work for some.

Immigrants & minorities are the fastest growing group.

If a town’s water system is out of compliance, there’s little chance for growth.

Where will workers come from in the future? From other states, other countries, and other ethnic groups

Visit our web site at www.ruralmn.org to read more on this topic.

150,000 120,000

• The Minnesota State Demographic Center projects the natural increase in the state’s population due to births and deaths to continue falling as deaths outnumber births for the next few decades.

90,000 60,000

• In the meantime, the number of people migrating in is expected to hold steady or even increase somewhat.

30,000

• Racial and ethnic minorities are the only population groups growing right now in the U.S., but their graduation and employment rates still lag behind those of whites. Helping them fill the workforce gap will require new strategies.

0

2025-2020

White

2020-2025

2025-2030

2030-2035

Number of individuals added in each five-year period.

Minority

The white population in MN is projected to decline while the growth in minorities is expected to stay fairly steady. Data: MN State Demographic Center

Title here Lake of the Woods

Mahnomen

Cass

Becker

Clay

Norman Hubbard

Clay

Yellow Medicine

Hennepin

McLeod

Renville

Lincoln Lyon

Scott

Above 20.0%

Dakota

Cottonwood

Watonwan Blue Earth

Nobles

Jackson

Martin

Faribault

Waseca

Pipestone

Rock

Murray

Goodhue Wabasha

Le Sueur

Steele Dodge

Freeborn

Mower

Olmsted

Winona

Fillmore

Houston

Kanabec

Isanti

Sherburne Anoka

Chippewa Lac Qui Parle Yellow Medicine

Meeker Wright Hennepin

McLeod

Renville

Change in population  by age group,  age 30-39 (2000) to  age 40-49 (2010).

Chisago

Stearns

s.

0% to 19.9%

Rice

Nicollet

Pope

Swift

Redwood

Brown

Stevens

Mille Lacs

Benton

Big Stone

Negative change

Carver Sibley

Cass

Lincoln Lyon

Scott

0% to 19.9% Above 20.0%

Dakota

Redwood Rice

Nicollet

Rock

© July 2015 Center for Rural Policy and Development

Brown Murray

Cottonwood

Watonwan Blue Earth

Nobles

Jackson

Martin

Goodhue Wabasha

Le Sueur

Faribault

Steele Dodge

Freeborn

Mower

Wadena

Carlton

Pine

Traverse

Olmsted

Winona

Fillmore

Houston

Morrison

Douglas

Grant

Stevens

Pope

Mille Lacs

Benton

Stearns

Big Stone

Negative change

Carver Sibley

Crow Wing

Todd

Anoka

Kandiyoh

Meeker Chippewa

Wright

Lac Qui Parle Yellow Medicine

Hennepin

McLeod

Renville

Change in population  by age group,  age 40-49 (2000) to  age 50-59 (2010).

Isanti

Sherburne Swift

Negative change 0% to 19.9% Above 20.0%

Carver Sibley

Lincoln Lyon

Scott

Dakota

Redwood Rice

Nicollet Pipestone

Lac Qui Parle

Traverse

Morrison

Kandiyohi

Wright

Ram

Chippewa

s.

Meeker

Pipestone

Anoka

Kandiyoh

Wilkin

Douglas

Grant

Otter Tail

Pine

Ram

Kanabec

Isanti

Sherburne Swift

Change in population  by age group,  age 20-29 (2000) to  age 30-39 (2010).

Atlas of Minnesota

Stearns

Big Stone

Atlas of Minnesota

Mille Lacs

Benton

Chisago

Pope

Hubbard

Becker

Carlton

Todd

Washington

Traverse

Morrison

Douglas

Stevens

Cook

Aitkin

Crow Wing

Atlas of Minnesota

Wilkin Pine

Todd Grant

Otter Tail

Washington

Carlton

Wadena

Wadena

Wilkin

Mahnomen

Cass

Becker Aitkin

Crow Wing

Lake

Koochiching

Red Lake

Itasca

Aitkin

Otter Tail

St. Louis

Pennington

Clearwater

Norman Hubbard

Polk

Itasca Clearwater

Mahnomen

Clearwater

Norman

Cook

Lake

Koochiching

Red Lake

Itasca

Clay

Beltrami

St. Louis

Pennington

Kanabec

Polk

Chisago

Cook

s.

Lake

Koochiching

Red Lake

Lake of the Woods

Marshall

Beltrami

St. Louis

Pennington

Title here

Roseau

Ram

Marshall

Beltrami Polk

The “brain gain”?

Title here

Washington

Lake of the Woods

Marshall

Kittson

Roseau

Rock

Brown Murray

Cottonwood

Blue Earth Nobles

Jackson

Martin

Goodhue Wabasha

Le Sueur

Watonwan

Faribault

Waseca

Kittson

Roseau

Waseca

Kittson

Steele Dodge

Freeborn

Mower

Olmsted

Winona

Fillmore

Houston

Researchers at the University of Minnesota Extension, while studying Census data, have noticed that people move around a lot, and not everyone is moving to the Twin Cities. When Extension researcher Ben Winchester interviewed newcomers in West Central Minnesota, he found they had chosen the area for the quality of life. Jobs didn’t even make the top ten.