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Effect of reduced sodium intake on blood pressure and potential adverse effects in children

Effect of reduced sodium intake on blood pressure and potential adverse effects in children

WHO Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data Effect of reduced sodium intake on blood pressures and potential adverse effects in children. 1.Sodium, Dietary. 2.Blood pressure. 3.Lipids. 4.Triglycerides. 5.Cholesterol. 6.Child. 6.Review literature. 7.Meta-analysis 8.Chronic disease – prevention and control. I. World Health Organization. ISBN 978 92 4 150489 8

(NLM classification: WB 424) © World Health Organization 2012

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C o n t e n ts A c k n o w l e d g e m e n t s ............................................................................................... v A b b r e v i a t i o n s a n d a c r o n y m s .......................................................................... vi 1

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I n t r o d u c t i o n ................................................................................................ 1 1.1

Background ....................................................................................... 1

1.2

Need for this review ........................................................................... 1

1.3

Objectives ......................................................................................... 2

M e t h o d s ......................................................................................................... 3 2.1

Criteria for considering studies for this review ..................................... 3

2.2

Identification of studies ...................................................................... 4

2.3

Data collection and analysis ................................................................ 5 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.3.3 2.3.4 2.3.5 2.3.6 2.3.7 2.3.8 2.3.9 2.3.10

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Inclusion criteria .......................................................................... 5 Selection of studies ...................................................................... 5 Data extraction and management ............................................... 6 Assessment of risk of bias in included studies ............................. 7 Studies other than randomized controlled trials ......................... 8 Measures of treatment effect ................................................... 10 Missing data ............................................................................... 10 Data synthesis ............................................................................ 10 Sensitivity analysis ..................................................................... 11 Quality of the body of evidence................................................. 11

R e s u l t s .......................................................................................................... 12 3.1

Results of the search ........................................................................ 12

3.2

Included studies ............................................................................... 13 3.2.1 3.2.2 3.2.3 3.2.4 3.2.5

Settings ...................................................................................... 13 Design ........................................................................................ 13 Participants ................................................................................ 14 Interventions.............................................................................. 14 Outcome measures .................................................................... 15

3.3

Excluded studies .............................................................................. 15

3.4

Effects of interventions .................................................................... 16 iii

3.4.1 3.4.2 3.4.3 3.5

Sensitivity analysis ........................................................................... 17

3.6

Quality of the body of evidence ........................................................ 17

3.7

Tables ............................................................................................. 19 3.7.1 3.7.2 3.7.3 3.7.4 3.7.5

3.8 4

Authors' conclusions .................................................................. 16 Effect estimates – controlled trials ............................................ 16 Effect estimates – cohort studies .............................................. 17

Controlled trials and participants .............................................. 19 Included studies ......................................................................... 21 Excluded studies ........................................................................ 23 Reported conclusions ................................................................ 25 Effect estimate tables ................................................................ 26

Figures ............................................................................................ 28

R e f e r e n c e s t o s t u d i e s ........................................................................... 38 4.1

Included studies ............................................................................... 38

4.2

Excluded studies .............................................................................. 39

4.3

Other references.............................................................................. 40

A n n e x 1 : E l e c t r o n i c s e a r c h s t r a t e g y ......................................................... 42 A1

Search strategy ................................................................................ 42 A1.1 A1.2

Blood pressure ........................................................................... 42 Adverse effects .......................................................................... 43

A n n e x 2 : F u n n e l p l o t s ....................................................................................... 47 A n n e x 3 : R i s k o f b i a s g r a p h ........................................................................... 48 A n n e x 4 : R i s k o f b i a s s u m m a r y .................................................................... 49 A n n e x 5 : G R A D E e v i d e n c e p r o f i l e ............................................................... 50 A n n e x 6 : L i s t s o f t a b l e s a n d f i g u r e s ......................................................... 53 F u l l l i s t o f r e f e r e n c e s ...................................................................................... 55

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Ac k n o w l e d g e m e n ts This systematic review was prepared by Dr Nancy J Aburto, who was working as a scientist at the Nutrition Policy and Scientific Advice Unit (NPU) of the World Health Organization (WHO) Department of Nutrition for Health and Development (NHD) and Dr Anna Ziolkovska, who was working as an intern in NPU at time of the preparation of this review. This review was one of three systematic reviews prepared to inform the development of the WHO guideline on sodium. All systematic reviews were presented to the WHO Nutrition Guidance Expert Advisory Group Subgroup on Diet and Health, which assisted WHO in the interpretation of the results and in the generation of the guideline informed by those results. WHO expresses special appreciation to the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare of the Government of Japan and the International Kidney Evaluation Association Japan for providing financial support for undertaking of the systematic reviews. Technical editing of the document was undertaken by Dr Hilary Cadman from Cadman Editing Services in Australia, and cover design was undertaken by Ms Sue Hobbs from Minimum Graphics in New Zealand.

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Ab b r e vi a t i o n s a n d a c r o n y m s CI

confidence interval

DGAC

Dietary Guideline Advisory Committee

GRADE

Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation

HDL

high-density lipoprotein

HIV

human immunodeficiency virus

HR

hazard ratio

LDL

low-density lipoprotein

LILACS

Latin American and Caribbean Health Science Literature Database

NCD

noncommunicable disease

PRISMA

preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses

RCT

randomized controlled trial

SD

standard deviation

WHO

World Health Organization

Symbols >

greater than


115 mmHg in adults) is estimated to contribute to 49% of all coronary heart disease and 62% of all stroke (4). Thus, the burden of morbidity and mortality from hypertension and related NCDs is currently one of the most urgent public health problems globally. Although NCDs disproportionately affect adults, they and their risk factors are also being detected more frequently in paediatric populations. Diet-related NCDs are chronic and take years or decades to manifest; thus, delaying the onset of these diseases could improve lives and have substantial cost savings (5). Blood pressure during childhood has a significant association with blood pressure during adulthood, meaning that children with increased blood pressure are at high risk for hypertension and its related morbidities as adults (6). Additionally, elevated blood pressure in childhood contributes to cardiovascular pathology during childhood itself (7). Thus, to combat NCDs, it is crucial to address during childhood the problem of elevated blood pressure and other risk factors for NCDs that could manifest later in life. A number of recent high-quality systematic reviews of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have concluded that decreased sodium intake relative to usual or higher intake results in lowered blood pressure in adults (8-12). There have also been two reviews on the effect of reduced sodium intake on blood pressure in infants, children and adolescents (13, 14). These reviews concluded that reduced sodium intake may result in better control of blood pressure in the paediatric population; however, the results were less consistent than those reported in adults.

1.2

Need for this review Much of the human and social impact caused each year by NCD-related morbidity and mortality could be averted through interventions that are well understood, cost effective and feasible (1). Decreased sodium intake in the population is one such potential public health intervention that could possibly lead to a reduced burden of NCD morbidity and mortality (5). Given the ever-increasing importance of NCDs on health-care costs and burden

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of disease (1, 2, 5), and the recent recognition of the importance of preventing NCDs even in childhood, a complete up-to-date systematic review of sodium and blood pressure and potential adverse effects (e.g. changes in blood lipids and catecholamine levels) in children is warranted.

1.3

Objectives The overall objective was to assess the effect of reduced sodium intake compared with usual sodium intake on blood pressure, blood lipids and other adverse effects in children (2– 15 years of age inclusive). Specific objectives were to assess the effect on health outcomes of: consuming reduced sodium compared with consuming higher or usual sodium; reducing sodium intake by ≥ 1/3 compared with reducing sodium intake by < 1/3; consuming sodium at a level of < 2 g/day compared to ≥ 2g/day.

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Methods

2.1

Criteria for considering studies for this review Study type We prioritized studies for inclusion by study design. We first planned to include RCTs (both individual and cluster randomization). In the case of insufficient numbers of RCTs, we planned to include quasi-randomized trials, non-randomized trials, and prospective, observational cohort studies. Participants Studies considered for inclusion were those involving children (2–15 years of age) of either gender, from the general population (free living) or specific groups (e.g. refugee populations). We considered studies in apparently healthy populations who may or may not have been at risk of or had hypertension, were known to have hypertension, or were known to have normal blood pressure. We also considered studies in individuals with chronic conditions such as overweight, obesity or non-insulin-dependent diabetes. We excluded studies targeting those who were pregnant, acutely ill or infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Outcome measures The primary outcomes were: blood pressure; potential adverse effects including: increased total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol and triglycerides; decreased high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol; increased adrenaline or noradrenaline; and any other adverse effects reported by study authors. Secondary outcomes were all other outcomes reported by the original study authors. Types of interventions We were interested in comparisons of reduced sodium intake (achieved through any means) with a usual or higher sodium intake. We also considered other co-interventions such as physical activity, provided that such interventions were identical between the intervention and the control groups. Studies that had lifestyle or dietary intervention arms that resulted in lower sodium intake in one arm were included, provided that the only difference between the study arms was a targeted intervention that resulted in reduced sodium intake. We also included studies in which all participants received some medical treatment (e.g. diuretics or beta blockers) and in which one arm had reduced sodium intake and another had usual sodium intake, provided that the only difference between the intervention and control groups was the level of sodium intake.

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2.2

Identification of studies We searched for studies in three phases. In the first phase, we searched for high-quality systematic reviews in children on reduced sodium consumption and the outcomes of interest. Where such reviews were found and the inclusion criteria for the reviews were similar or equivalent to those needed to reach the objectives of the current review, we used the references of those reviews as the list of potential studies. If the reviews were of high quality but were > 2 years old, we supplemented those studies with additional searches. We also contacted the original authors of such reviews to request original data in order to explore the data in such a way as to answer our objectives. The second phase was a complete search for data published since the date of publication of the identified systematic review (see Electronic databases and Other resources below) for RCTs comparing sodium intake and the outcomes of interest. This phase was planned to be undertaken if high-quality systematic reviews were unavailable or if such reviews were > 2 years old. If we could not identify sufficient RCTs (minimum of three) for the outcomes of interest, we planned to conduct a third phase of the search. This involved a complete search for prospective cohort studies comparing sodium intake as the exposure and the outcomes of interest, and a re-evaluation of the list of potential RCTs to include non-randomized controlled studies and quasi-experimental studies, and to include studies based on an expanded set of inclusion criteria (see Inclusion criteria, below). Electronic databases We searched the following electronic databases: The Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (searched 24 August 2011); MEDLINE (PubMed searched on 06 July 2011); EMBASE (searched on 02 August 2011); World Health Organization (WHO) International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (searched 23 August 2011); The Latin American and Caribbean Health Science Literature Database (LILACS) (searched 06 August 2011). Annex 1 provides the detailed search strategy used for the electronic search. Other resources We also searched for further trials on the WHO web site1 and in the reference lists of identified papers. For assistance in identifying ongoing or unpublished studies, we contacted the WHO Department of Nutrition for Health and Development and other international partners, such as academic and research institutions with a known interest in this field.

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www.who.int/nutrition

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2.3

Data collection and analysis 2.3.1

Inclusion criteria

During the first and second phases of the systematic review, RCTs were included based on the criteria that the study: included an intervention that achieved a reduced sodium intake of 40 mmol/day or more relative to control; had a prospective design and a control group and participants were randomly allocated (either individual or cluster) to intervention or control; did not target patients who were acutely ill or infected with HIV, or pregnant adolescents; had a duration of ≥ 1 month (4 weeks); reported on an outcome of interest; verified sodium intake through measurement of 24-hour urinary sodium excretion; included children and adolescents 2–15 years of age (inclusive). If too few RCTs were identified, the inclusion criteria for studies were expanded and the potential studies were rescreened for inclusion, based on the criteria that the study: was an RCT, a non-RCT or a quasi-experimental trial; included an intervention that achieved a reduced sodium intake of any amount; did not target patients who were acutely ill or infected with HIV, or pregnant adolescents; had a duration of ≥ 3 weeks; reported an outcome of interest; verified sodium intake through 24-hour urinary sodium excretion, overnight urinary sodium excretion, casual urinary sodium excretion, or dietary assessment; included children and adolescents 2–15 years of age. Cohort studies were included based on the criteria that the study: included a measure of exposure (sodium intake) and compared this to an outcome of interest; had a prospective design; did not target patients who were acutely ill or infected with HIV, or pregnant adolescents; had a duration of ≥ 1 year; reported on an outcome of interest; included children and adolescents 2–15 years of age (inclusive) at baseline. 2.3.2

Selection of studies

Identified references were assessed for potential relevance independently by the two reviewers. They independently scanned the title, abstract and keywords of every reference

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retrieved to determine which references required further assessment. The reviewers then independently assessed the complete references of all the potentially eligible studies that passed screening of the abstract. Details of the studies found in the references were compared to the above prespecified inclusion criteria. If studies were published only as abstracts, or study references contained little information on methods, we attempted to contact the original authors to obtain further details of study design and results. Where differences in opinion existed, they were resolved by consensus or, if this was not possible, the study and corresponding references were added to those “awaiting assessment”, and authors were contacted for clarification. An adapted preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) flowchart of study selection was generated (Figures 3.1–3.3) (15). 2.3.3

Data extraction and management

For studies that fulfilled inclusion criteria, two reviewers independently abstracted characteristics of relevant populations and interventions using standard data extraction templates, with any disagreements resolved by discussion and consensus. Any relevant missing information on the study was sought from the original authors. The data extraction form included the following items: General information – published or unpublished, title, authors, reference or source, contact address, country, language of publication, year of publication, duplicate publications, sponsor and setting. Trial characteristics – design, duration of follow-up, method of randomization, allocation concealment and blinding (patients, people administering treatment and outcome assessors). Interventions – placebo included, interventions (dose, route and timing), comparison interventions (dose, route and timing) and co-medications. Participants – sampling (random or convenience), exclusion criteria, total number and number in comparison groups, sex, age, baseline characteristics, diagnostic criteria, similarity of groups at baseline (including any comorbidity), assessment of compliance, withdrawals or losses to follow-up (reasons and description), subgroups, status of blood pressure and status of medication to control blood pressure. Outcomes – outcomes specified above, any other outcomes assessed, other events, length of follow-up and quality of reporting of outcomes. Results – for outcomes specified above and including a measure of variation, and, where necessary, converted to the measures of effect specified below. Objective – stated objective of the study. Duplicate publications In the case of duplicate publications and companion references of a primary study, we tried to maximize yield of information by simultaneously evaluating all available data.

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2.3.4

Assessment of risk of bias in included studies

Data were entered into Review Manager software (RevMan 2008) and checked for accuracy. All data were double-checked by a second reviewer. In cases of disagreement, a third party was consulted and a judgement was made based on consensus. Randomization (checking for possible selection bias) We assessed risk of bias of RCTs using the broad categories recommended in the Cochrane handbook for systematic reviews of interventions (16). Sequence generation (checking for possible selection bias) For each included study, we described the method used to generate the randomization sequence in sufficient detail to allow an assessment of whether it should produce comparable groups. Methods were categorized as one of the following: adequate – trials in which any truly random process was used (e.g. random number table or computer random number generator); inadequate – trials in which any non-random process was used (e.g odd or even date of birth, or hospital or clinic record number); unclear. Allocation concealment (checking for possible selection bias) For each included study, we described the method used to conceal the allocation sequence in sufficient detail to determine whether intervention allocation could have been foreseen in advance of or during recruitment, or changed after assignment. Methods were categorized as one of the following: adequate – for example, telephone or central randomization; consecutively numbered sealed opaque envelopes; inadequate – for example, open allocation; unsealed or non-opaque envelopes, alternation; date of birth; unclear. Blinding (checking for possible performance bias) For each included study, we described the methods used, if any, to blind study participants and personnel from knowledge of which intervention a participant received. We judged studies to be at low risk of bias if they were blinded, or if we deemed that the lack of blinding was unlikely to have affected the results. We assessed blinding separately for different outcomes or classes of outcomes. Methods were categorized as adequate, inadequate or unclear for: participants; personnel;

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outcome assessors. Incomplete outcome data (checking for possible attrition bias through withdrawals, dropouts, protocol deviations) For each included study, and for each outcome or class of outcomes, we described the completeness of data, including attrition and exclusions from the analysis. We stated whether attrition and exclusions were reported, the numbers included in the analysis at each stage (compared with the total number of randomized participants), reasons for attrition or exclusion (where reported), and whether missing data were balanced across groups or were related to outcomes. Methods were categorized as: adequate – trials in which few drop-outs or losses to follow-up were noted and an intentionto-treat analysis was possible; inadequate – trials in which the rate of exclusion was at least 20%, or there were wide differences in exclusions between groups, whether or not intention-to-treat analysis was used; unclear. Selective reporting bias For each included study, we described how we investigated the possibility of selective outcome reporting bias and what we found. Methods were categorized as: adequate – trials in which it was clear whether all of the prespecified outcomes and all expected outcomes of interest to the review had been reported; inadequate – trials in which not all prespecified outcomes had been reported; one or more reported primary outcomes were not prespecified; outcomes of interest were reported incompletely and so could not be used; results of a key outcome that would have been expected to have been reported were not reported; unclear. Other sources of bias For each included study, we described any important concerns we had about other possible sources of bias, such as similarity of the groups at baseline. We also assessed whether each study was free of other problems that could put it at risk of bias, recording answers as yes, no or unclear. 2.3.5

Studies other than randomized controlled trials

In assessing risk of bias in non-randomized studies, we used the same broad categories as for RCTs, but also took into account particular sources of bias associated with specific study designs.

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Deeks et al (17) have set out 12 domains for assessing the quality of non-randomized studies: background (e.g. whether the research question was clearly stated); sample definition and selection; interventions (and co-interventions); outcomes; creation of treatment groups; blinding; soundness of information (e.g. protocol deviations); follow-up; analysis (comparability); analysis (outcome); interpretation; presentation and reporting. We attempted to collect information on these domains by recording in detail the characteristics of the sample, the intervention and its implementation, completeness of follow-up, and methods used to adjust for possible confounding factors. Selection of study participants and creation of treatment groups We recorded the manner in which study participants were selected and recruited and, where applicable, how treatment and control groups were formed. We provided details of the demographic and other (e.g. physiological) characteristics of participants to assess whether study participants were representative of the wider population from which they were drawn and, where applicable, to determine whether groups were drawn from comparable populations. We also recorded whether any allocation decisions were based on the preferences of participants, or were dependent on other factors (e.g. clinician choice). We noted which characteristics were used to demonstrate comparability of groups (e.g. age, sex, sociodemographic characteristics and hypertensive status), and considered whether potentially key variables were not included. Implementing the intervention or defining exposure and collecting outcome data Where applicable, we recorded the manner in which the intervention was implemented and noted levels of adherence to, or coverage of, the intervention. In the case of cohort studies, we recorded the manner in which exposure was measured and the methods used to define exposure groups. Where groups were followed up over time at different sites, we considered whether contamination was likely, or whether there were other differences between groups (e.g. exposure to other interventions) that could confound interpretation of results. We assessed whether the length of follow-up was adequate for the outcomes reported, and noted whether outcome assessment was blinded.

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Collection of outcome data and loss to follow-up We assessed whether the characteristics of those remaining to follow-up were comparable with the original sample recruited, and whether the loss to follow-up was balanced across groups in terms of the numbers and characteristics of those lost to follow-up. Analytical comparability We recorded the steps taken by investigators to adjust for any possible variation in the characteristics of treatment and control groups, or in exposed and unexposed groups. For each study, we recorded the factors used to adjust for possible confounding, because these can vary between studies considering the same outcome and can thus be an important source of between-study heterogeneity. 2.3.6

Measures of treatment effect

Continuous variables were expressed as mean differences with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). For the data analysis, the net changes in outcome measures were calculated as the difference between the reduced sodium and control group for mean change from baseline. When the standard deviations (SDs) of net change in blood pressure were not reported in individual studies, they were derived from SDs, CIs or P values. In three studies (18-20), the SDs of the differences were imputed by assuming a conservative correlation coefficient of 0.5 between the initial and final measurements of blood pressure (21). 2.3.7

Missing data

We obtained relevant missing data from authors, where feasible, and carefully evaluated important numerical data, such as screened versus randomized patients, and whether the analysis was ITT. We investigated attrition rates (e.g. rates of drop-out, losses to follow-up and withdrawals). 2.3.8

Data synthesis

Data were summarized statistically where they were available, sufficiently similar and of sufficient quality. We performed statistical analyses according to the guidelines of the Cochrane handbook for systematic reviews of interventions (16). Overall results were calculated based on the random-effects model. Where data were reported in forms that could not easily be converted into standard measures, they were summarized in a narrative format, and different comparisons were analysed separately. Assessment of heterogeneity We identified heterogeneity by visual inspection of the forest plots, using a standard Chisquared test and a significance level of α = 0.1, in view of the low power of this test. We specifically examine heterogeneity with the I2 statistic quantifying inconsistency across studies to assess the impact of heterogeneity on the meta-analysis (22, 23), where a I2 statistic of 75% and more indicates a considerable level of inconsistency. Where heterogeneity was found, we attempted to determine the potential causes by examining characteristics of individual studies and subgroups.

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We planned to perform subgroup analyses for each outcome, to explore effect-size differences between groups by: gender ( male, versus female, versus heterogeneous group); hypertension status (all participants with hypertension, versus all participants without hypertension, versus heterogeneous or unspecified status); achieved absolute sodium intake level in intervention group (achieved < 2 g/day, versus ≥ 2 g/day); achieved relative sodium intake level in intervention group (achieved ≥ 1/3 [33%] reduction relative to control, versus achieved < 1/3 reduction relative to control); status of medication use to control blood pressure (all participants taking medication, versus no participants taking medication, versus heterogeneous or unspecified medication status); duration (< 3 months, versus 3–6 months, versus > 6 months); study design (parallel versus crossover); type of blood pressure device used (automatic versus manual); measurement method for taking blood pressure (supine office, versus seated office, versus standing office, versus combination office, versus supine home, versus seated home, versus standing home, versus combination home). 2.3.9

Sensitivity analysis

We carried out sensitivity analysis to examine the effects of removing studies at high risk of bias from the analysis. We considered a study to be of high risk of bias if it was graded as inadequate in both the randomization and allocation concealment, and in either blinding or loss to follow-up. Other studies were considered to be at low risk of bias. All non-RCTs were considered to be at high risk of bias. 2.3.10 Quality of the body of evidence We used funnel plots to assess the potential existence of small study bias (24, 25) (Annex 2). A “risk of bias graph” (Annex 3) and “risk of bias summary” (Annex 4) were generated. GRADEProfiler software (version 3.6) was used to assess the quality of the body of evidence according to the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology outlined in GRADE: an emerging consensus on rating quality of evidence and strength of recommendations (26).

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3

R e s u l ts

3.1

Results of the search The search for recent systematic reviews resulted in the identification of a systematic review conducted by the Dietary Guideline Advisory Committee (DGAC) of the United States Department of Agriculture on the effect of sodium on blood pressure in children (13) and a systematic review on sodium intake and blood pressure on infants, children and adolescents (14). No reviews were identified on the effect of sodium intake on blood lipids and other potential adverse effects in children. In conducting the literature review for blood pressure, we used a time-limit from the date of search for the DGAC review (13). For the other outcomes we did not use a time-limit. The flow of records through screening, exclusion and inclusion of RCTs with blood pressure as the outcome is shown in Figure 3.1, and with blood lipids, catecholamine levels and other adverse effects as the outcome in Figure 3.2. The search for RCTs in electronic databases resulted in the identification of 615 references (published manuscripts and study reports) in children. A further 18 references were identified by scanning the reference lists of a previous high-quality systematic review of sodium intake and blood pressure in children (14), giving a total of 633 references with data from potentially eligible studies. A review of references resulted in the exclusion of 550 due to lack of relevance, leaving 83 abstracts to be screened for eligibility. Of these, 55 were excluded after screening of abstracts; thus, 28 full-text references were assessed for eligibility. Of these, nine were excluded and 18 others were identified as duplicates. Hence, only one study was potentially eligible for inclusion; that study is awaiting classification. Because fewer than three high-quality RCTs met the inclusion criteria, we reassessed the list of potential studies identified in the original search using the expanded inclusion criteria. As outlined above, 83 abstracts were originally screened in the review of controlled trials, with 18 of these identified as duplicates. In the second phase, we rescreened the remaining 65 abstracts and compared them to the expanded inclusion criteria. We excluded 45, leaving 20 full-text references to be reviewed for inclusion. Of these, 11 were excluded: nine did not target children, one was a cohort study and one had a duration of < 3 weeks. Thus, nine studies identified for the current review met the abovementioned inclusion criteria (Figure 3.4). These studies, which had initially been excluded from the review based on the original search and screening criteria, are shown in Table 3.1. The flow of records through screening, exclusion and inclusion for RCTs having blood lipids, catecholamine levels or other adverse effects as the outcome is shown in Figure 3.2. The electronic search identified 6522 references, of which 6326 were deemed irrelevant from screening of the title. Thus, 196 abstracts were screened for eligibility. Of these, 76 were identified as duplicates and 93 were excluded. Of the remaining 27 full-text references, 25 were excluded (six of which were duplicates) and two are awaiting classification. Thus, there

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were no RCTs identified in the search for studies with information on blood lipids, catecholamine levels, and adverse effects in children that met the inclusion criteria. The flow of records through screening, exclusion and inclusion for cohort studies is shown in Figure 3.3. The electronic search for cohort studies identified 153 references. A further 18 references for potential inclusion were identified by scanning the reference lists of a previous high-quality systematic review of sodium intake and blood pressure in children (14). The titles of the 171 references were scanned and 169 were excluded due to lack of relevance, not being conducted in children or not being cohort studies. Thus, only two fulltext references were assessed for eligibility. These references each referred to separate studies, one of which was excluded because it was not a cohort study, the other was included in the review. The current review included 10 studies: nine controlled trials and one cohort study.

3.2

Included studies 3.2.1

Settings

All included studies were published in English. Seven studies were undertaken in the United States of America (19, 20, 27-31) and two in Australia (18, 32). The cohort study was undertaken in the Netherlands (33). 3.2.2

Design

Of the 10 studies included in the current review, six were RCTs (19, 20, 27, 29, 31, 32), three were non-RCTs (18, 28, 30) and one was a prospective cohort study (33). Five studies had a parallel design (20, 27, 29-31), three a crossover design (18, 19, 32) and one a parallel phase and a crossover phase (28). Only the results from the crossover design phase could be used from the Ellison study in the current review (28). The study duration ranged from 3 weeks (18, 19) to 3 years (31) in the controlled trials. Six studies had a duration of ≤ 12 weeks (18-20, 27, 30, 32), three studies had a duration of > 1 year (28, 29, 31), and the cohort study had a duration of 7 years (33). Three studies were undertaken in participants without hypertension (19, 28, 30), three in participants with hypertension (18, 29, 31), and three in a heterogeneous group of participants with and without hypertension (20, 27, 32). Hypertension in children was defined in the following ways: children with systolic blood pressure > 95th percentile for age and sex (however, those children whose systolic blood pressure was > 130 mmHg or whose fourth phase diastolic blood pressure was > 90 mmHg on 2 separate days were referred to their private physicians for follow-up and were excluded from the study) (29); children with blood pressures ≥ 90th percentile after adjustment for age and height (18); children with systolic blood pressure > 109 mmHg for boys or > 108 mmHg for girls (31). The blood pressure status of the participants in the cohort study was not reported (33).

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3.2.3

Participants

The main characteristics of participants are given in Table 3.2. Controlled trials Five studies were either conducted in females or males, or reported separate results for females and males (18, 19, 27, 28, 31), and three studies were conducted in males and females with only combined results reported (20, 29, 30). One study reported some data for males and females separately, and other data for all participants combined (32). The number of participants in the trials ranged from 10 females and 11 males (18) to 305 females and 345 males (28). Results were presented for 478 females, 475 males and 346 participants without distinction of sex. In total, there were 1299 participants: 496 in parallel trials and 803 in crossover trials. Of the participants, 194 had hypertension, 835 did not have hypertension and 270 had undisclosed hypertensive status at baseline of the studies. The age of participants varied from a mean of 8 years (29) to a mean of 15 years (28). In two studies, the age of participants was 6–10 years (27, 29), and in five studies it was 11– 15 years (18-20, 31, 32). In one study, the age range was 2.6–19.8 years (30). Cohort studies The cohort study in children measured a total of 596 male and female children at baseline, with 233 children completing the evaluation and thus included in the analysis (33). 3.2.4

Interventions

Controlled trials The objective in seven studies (18, 20, 27, 28, 30-32) was to compare systolic and diastolic blood pressure between a group of participants consuming a reduced sodium intake and another group consuming a usual or higher sodium intake. The objective of one study was to determine difference in sodium retention in black and white female adolescents (19). The objective in one study was to test the feasibility of producing a lasting reduction in sodium intake in school-aged children through a family education programme (29). The intervention in five studies was dietary advice or education on how to achieve a reduced sodium diet (18, 29-32), and the intervention in four studies was the provision of food of a known sodium level (19, 20, 27, 28). Two studies provided participants with a reduced sodium or usual sodium diet at school (20, 28), while the third provided all food during the intervention period, and monitored participants to ensure compliance and to avoid consumption of other foods (19). In one study, high sodium, low sodium and added sodium water was distributed to participants for all cooking and drinking purposes (27). To quantify sodium intake, all studies used one or more of the following methods: duplicate meals analysed in a laboratory; dietary recall using food diaries;

14

overnight urinary sodium excretion; 24-hour urinary sodium excretion. Intake was monitored in six studies using a combination of two methods (18-20, 27, 29, 32). Dietary recall was used in one study (28), and 24-hour urinary sodium excretion was measured in two studies (30, 31). Detailed information on characteristics of studies is given in Table 3.3. Four of the nine studies achieved a reduction in the intervention group in sodium intake of ≥ 1/3 relative to the control group (18, 19, 30, 32). Five studies achieved a reduction in the intervention group in sodium intake of < 1/3 relative to the control group (20, 27-29, 31). In no studies were the participants taking any medical therapy to control blood pressure. Cohort studies The one cohort study in children compared change in blood pressure over a 7-year period to average sodium intake during that same period. The population was divided into tertiles of average sodium intake, and the blood pressure among the tertiles was compared (33). 3.2.5

Outcome measures

Controlled trials Eight studies measured resting systolic and diastolic blood pressure (18, 19, 27-32). One study measured only systolic blood pressure (20). Two studies measured supine blood pressure (19, 32), four measured seated blood pressure (27, 29-31), and one measured supine and seated blood pressure (18) (for the current review, data of supine blood pressure were used). One study reported self-measured blood pressure at home with an automatic device (28), and one study (20) did not report body position of the blood pressure measurement. Cohort studies In the cohort study, the outcome measured was change in resting blood pressure over time (33).

3.3

Excluded studies Reasons for exclusion of nine studies from the original blood pressure search are shown in Table 3.4. Three studies were excluded for not having a measure of 24-hour urinary sodium excretion (27, 29, 32). Three studies were conducted in adults or had a duration of < 1 month (34-36). One study's intervention included more than a change in sodium intake between intervention and control (37). One study's intervention did not achieve a minimum of 40 mmol difference in sodium intake relative to control (31). One study was neither a controlled trial nor a cohort study (38). Nineteen studies from the original search with blood lipids, catecholamine levels and adverse effects as outcomes were excluded. Three were not controlled trials (39-41), one

15

had an intervention that varied in more than sodium intake between groups (42) and 15 were not conducted in children (43-57). Reasons for exclusion of 11 studies from the final screening using the expanded search, screen and inclusion criteria are shown in Table 3.5. Seven studies were conducted in infants (58-64), two were conducted in adolescents > 15 years of age (65, 66), one was not a controlled trial (33), and one was conducted in children and adults but all data were presented for the two groups combined (67).

3.4

Effects of interventions 3.4.1

Authors' conclusions

According to authors' conclusions, three controlled studies (20, 30, 32) detected no significant effect of sodium intake on blood pressure in children. The cohort study concluded that there was no relationship between urinary sodium excretion and change in blood pressure over time, but did report an association between lower urinary sodium:potassium ratio and a lesser increase in blood pressure over time (33). Three studies indicated that a reduced sodium intake resulted in a decrease in blood pressure in girls but not boys (18, 27, 31). Of those studies, two stated that the effect was only significant in diastolic blood pressure (18, 31). The study with the largest number of participants detected a reduction in blood pressure with reduced sodium intake compared with usual or higher intake (28). Two studies were not designed to determine an effect of reduced sodium diet on blood pressure in children and, therefore, did not provide authors' conclusions on these outcomes (19, 29). Detailed authors' conclusions are given in Table 3.6. 3.4.2

Effect estimates – controlled trials

Systolic blood pressure Nine RCTs with a total of 14 comparisons were combined in a meta-analysis, the results of which are found in Table 3.7 and Figures 3.5–3.9. Reduced sodium intake decreased systolic blood pressure by 0.84 mmHg (95%CI: 0.25,1.43) (Figure 3.5). The change in systolic blood pressure was not statistically significant for boys (0.09 mmHg; 95%CI: –0.85, 1.03), while the reduction in girls of 1.73 mmHg (95%CI: 0.93, 2.49) was significant (Figure 3.6). A non-significant decrease in systolic blood pressure with reduced sodium intake was detected in studies of > 1 year duration (0.90 mmHg; 95%CI: –0.52, 2.33) and in studies of < 12 weeks’ duration (0.66 mmHg, 95%CI: –0.04, 1.36) (Figure 3.7). When the reduction in sodium intake was < 1/3 of control, the reduction in systolic blood pressure was 0.91 mmHg (95%CI: –0.18, 2.00), and when the reduction was ≥ 1/3 of control, the reduction was 0.64 mmHg (95%CI: –0.11, 1.40) (Figure 3.8). The decrease in systolic blood pressure was not statistically significant for the subgroup of studies in which the intervention group achieved a sodium intake of < 2 g/day (0.89 mmHg;

16

95%CI: –0.02, 1.79), nor in the subgroup in which the intervention group achieved a sodium intake of ≥ 2 g/day (0.79 mmHg; 95%CI: –0.07, 1.65) (Figure 3.9). Diastolic blood pressure The meta-analysis of change in diastolic blood pressure is shown in Table 3.8 and Figures 3.10–3.14. There was a significant decrease in diastolic blood pressure of 0.87 mmHg (95%CI: 0.14, 1.60) with reduced sodium intake (Figure 3.10). The reduction was not significant for boys (0.71 mmHg; 95%CI: –0.53, 1.95), but it was significant for girls (1.45 mmHg; 95%CI: 0.21, 2.69) (Figure 3.11). The decrease in diastolic blood pressure was detected in studies of > 1 year duration (1.72 mmHg, 95%CI: 0.96, 2.48). In studies of < 12 weeks’ duration, the decrease in diastolic blood pressure was not statistically significant (0.29 mmHg, 95%CI: –0.46, 1.04) (Figure 3.12). The change in diastolic blood pressure was not statistically significant for the subgroup that achieved a reduction in sodium intake of > 1/3 relative to control (0.28 mmHg, 95%CI: –0.76, 1.31), but it was statistically significant for the subgroup that achieved a reduction in sodium intake of < 1/3 relative to control (1.56 mmHg, 95%CI: 0.63, 2.48) (Figure 3.13). The decrease in diastolic blood pressure was not statistically significant for the subgroup of studies in which the intervention group achieved a sodium intake of < 2 g/day (0.65 mmHg; 95%CI: –0.75, 2.06), but it was statistically significant in the subgroup in which the intervention group achieved a sodium intake of > 2 g/day (1.04 mmHg; 95%CI: 0.26, 1.82) (Figure 3.14). 3.4.3

Effect estimates – cohort studies

The cohort study reported the change in resting systolic blood pressure over time during a 7year follow-up, and reported that the average increase in blood pressure per year among the children in the lowest tertile of sodium intake was 2.04 mmHg (95%CI, 1.56, 2.52) and the average increase in blood pressure per year among the children in the highest tertile of sodium intake was 2.12 mmHg (95%CI, 1.65, 2.59). The increase was not statistically different between these two groups of children. The study did not provide the quantitative results for resting diastolic blood pressure but reported that there was no difference in the increase in diastolic blood pressure per year between the lowest and the highest tertile of sodium intake (33).

3.5

Sensitivity analysis A sensitivity analysis was conducted by removing those studies that were not randomized and therefore at high risk of bias. The test for subgroup differences comparing the group of RCTs to the group of non-RCTs was not significant for systolic (P = 0.14) and diastolic (P = 0.17) blood pressure (Figures 3.15 and 3.16).

3.6

Quality of the body of evidence The funnel plots generated for the outcomes of systolic blood pressure and diastolic blood pressure showed no indication of publication bias (Annex 2). The results from the risk of bias graph (Annex 3) and risk of bias summary (Annex 4) suggest that the body of evidence is 17

likely to be at risk of problems due to bias. Studies that reported separate results for subgroups with independent intervention and control groups are listed separately on the risk of bias graph and summary. Fifteen subgroups (comparisons) are represented in the graph and summary. Random sequence generation was not present in four studies that made up six of the 15 comparisons. Additionally, methods of random sequence generation were unclear in six studies (seven comparisons) and only clearly at low risk of bias in one study (two comparisons). Allocation concealment was also inadequate and at high risk of bias in five studies (seven comparisons), and unclear in an additional four studies (six comparisons). Nonetheless, sensitivity analysis showed no statistical difference in effect estimate between the group of studies at high risk of bias due to inadequate randomization and allocation concealment, and the group of studies not at high risk of bias. Blinding of participants and personnel was not present in four studies (six comparisons). Blinding of outcome assessors was only reported in two studies and was not present in four studies (six comparisons). There was little indication of bias due to selective reporting or attrition bias. The assessment of the quality of evidence for blood pressure and potential adverse effects is found in the GRADE evidence profiles (Annex 5). The evidence in children for an effect of reduced sodium on systolic blood pressure was moderate, and on diastolic blood pressure was low. The body of evidence from RCTs starts on the GRADE ranking as high quality. The body of evidence for systolic blood pressure was downgraded due to high risk of bias, as described previously. The body of evidence for diastolic blood pressure was downgraded due to high risk of bias and downgraded a second time due to inconsistency (95%CIs of studies did not always overlap and were on both sides of zero). No studies that explored the effect of reduced sodium intake on blood lipids, catecholamine levels and other potential adverse effects in children met inclusion criteria.

18

3.7

Tables 3.7.1

Controlled trials and participants

Table 3.1

Controlled trials included in the current review and reasons for preliminary exclusion based on the first phase (original) search, screen and inclusion criteria Reasons for preliminary exclusion

Study ID

Did not measure 24-hour urinary sodium excretion to quantify sodium intake

Intervention and control groups not assigned randomly

Duration < 4 weeks

Did not achieve ≥ 40 mmol difference in sodium intake between groups

Calabrese 1985 (27)

Y





Y

Ellison 1989 (28)

Y

Y



Y

Gillum 1981 (29)

Y





Y

Howe 1985 (18)

Y

Y

Y



Howe 1991 (32)

Y







Miller 1988 (30)



Y



Y

Palacios 2004 (19)





Y



Sinaiko 1993 (31)







Y

Trevisan 1981 (20)





Y

Y

Y – the study was preliminary excluded from the review based on the first phase (original) search, screen and inclusion criteria due to this reason.

19

Table 3.2

Characteristics of participants Characteristics of participants Blood pressure status

Study ID

Age or grade in a school

Sex

Number of participants completing study

Controlled trials Male

78

Female

75

Heterogeneous or not specified

Fourth grade

Without hypertension

Mean 15 years

Gillum 1981 (29)

With hypertension

6–9 years, mean 8.0 years

Howe 1985 (18)

With hypertension

11–14 years, mean 12.6 years

Howe 1991 (32)

Heterogeneous or not specified

11–14 years, mean 13.3 years

Heterogeneous

b

96

Miller 1988 (30)

Without hypertension

Boys: 4.2–17.8 years, mean 10.6 years Girls: 2.6–19.8 years, mean 9.7 years

Heterogeneous

b

149

Palacios 2004 (19)

Without hypertension

11–15 years, mean 12.7 years

Female

36

With hypertension

Fifth to eighth grades, mean 13.3 years

Male

41

Sinaiko 1993 (31)

Female

52

Heterogeneous or not specified

11–15 years

Heterogeneous

21

Heterogeneous or not specified

5–17 years at baseline

Heterogeneous

233

Calabrese 1985 (27)

Ellison 1989 (28)

Trevisan 1981 (20)

Male

345

Female

305

Heterogeneous

80

Male

11

Female

10

Cohort studies Geleijnse 1990 (33) a b

When age was not reported, the grade in school was noted. Some data are presented in the study separately for males and females.

20

3.7.2

Included studies

Table 3.3 Study ID

Country

Characteristics of included studies Study design

Duration

Methods of estimating sodium intake

Type of intervention

Outcome (systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure) measurements

Controlled trials Calabrese 1985 (27)

USA

RCT (parallel)

12 weeks

Overnight urinary sodium and dietary assessment

Feeding (all water)

Were measured on every 2 weeks with the first screening the week before trial beginning

Ellison 1989 (28)

USA

Non-RCT (crossover data used)

1 year

Dietary assessment

Feeding (daily at boarding school)

Each student measured his/her own blood pressure each week using an automatic device

Gillum 1981 (29)

USA

RCT (parallel)

1 year

24-hour urinary sodium and dietary assessment

Diet advice or education

Were determined at the first and oneyear follow-up home visit

Howe 1985 (18)

Australia

Non-RCT (crossover)

3 weeks

Overnight urinary sodium and dietary assessment

Diet advice or education

Were taken at baseline, 3 and 6 weeks

Howe 1991 (32)

Australia

RCT (crossover)

4 weeks

Overnight urinary sodium and dietary assessment

Diet advice or education

Were measured weekly

Miller 1988 (30)

USA

Non-RCT (parallel)

12 weeks

24-hour urinary sodium

Diet advice or education

Were measured weekly

Palacios 2004 (19)

USA

RCT (crossover)

3 weeks

24-hour urinary sodium and dietary assessment

Feeding (all food)

Were measured every other day

Sinaiko 1993 (31)

USA

RCT (parallel)

3 years

24-hour urinary sodium

Diet advice or education

Were measured every 3 months

Trevisan 1981 (20)

USA

RCT (parallel)

24 days

24-hour urinary sodium and laboratory analysis of duplicate food samples

Feeding (lunch food daily)

Were measured on the first and the last day

Cohort studies

21

Study ID

Country

Study design

Duration

Geleijnse 1990 (33)

Netherlands

Cohort

7 years

Methods of estimating sodium intake 24-hour urinary sodium

Type of intervention

Outcome (systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure) measurements

No intervention

Change in blood pressure over time

RCT, randomized controlled trial; USA, United States of America

22

3.7.3

Excluded studies

Table 3.4

Study ID

Characteristics of controlled studies preliminarily excluded after first phase (original) search Reason for exclusion

Identified in blood pressure search Appel 2006 (37)

Sodium intake level not only difference between intervention and control

Calabrese 1985 (27)

Did not measure 24-hour urinary sodium excretion to quantify sodium intake

Gillum 1981 (29)

Did not measure 24-hour urinary sodium excretion to quantify sodium intake

Golder 1989 (38)

Not a trial (a commentary)

He 2009 (34)

Not conducted in children

Howe 1991 (32)

Did not measure 24-hour urinary sodium excretion to quantify sodium intake

Jessani 2007 (35)

Not conducted in children

Sinaiko 1993 (31)

Did not achieve ≥ 40 mmol difference in sodium intake between groups

Todd 2010 (36)

Not conducted in children

Identified in blood lipids, catecholamine and other adverse effects search Ames 1991 (41)

Not a controlled trial

Burgess 1988 (43)

Not conducted in children

Campese 1982 (44)

Not conducted in children

Fagerberg 1985 (42)

Sodium intake level not only difference between intervention and control

Fotherby 1997 (46)

Not conducted in children

Harsha 2004 (48)

Not conducted in children

Ito 1989 (50)

Not conducted in children

Parfrey 1981 (39)

Not a controlled trial

Rankin 1981 (52)

Not conducted in children

Ruppert 1993 (57)

Not conducted in children

Sciarrone 1992 (53)

Not conducted in children

Stein 1995 (54)

Not conducted in children

Wocial 1981 (56)

Not conducted in children

Friberg 1990 (47)

Not conducted in children

Fagerberg 1984 (45)

Not conducted in children

Berglund 1976 (40)

Not a controlled trial

Howe 1994 (49)

Not conducted in children

McCarron 1997 (51)

Not conducted in children

Warren 1980 (55)

Not conducted in children

23

Table 3.5

Characteristics of controlled studies excluded after third phase (expanded) search

Study ID

Reasons for exclusion

Brion 2008 (58)

Target population was infants

Cooper 1984 (65)

Target population was mean 16 years of age

Geleijnse 1990 (33)

Not a controlled trial

Geleijnse 1997 (59)

Follow-up of an infant randomized controlled trial

Hofman 1983 (60)

Target population was infants

Lucas 1988 (61)

Target population was infants

Myers 1989 (67)

Participants were adults and children, but data could not been extracted separately, duration was < 3 weeks

Pomeranz 2002 (62)

Target population was infants

Smith 1995 (63)

Target population was infants

Tuthill 1985 (66)

Target population was students in ninth to twelfth grade of school

Whitten 1980 (64)

Target population was infants

24

3.7.4

Reported conclusions

Table 3.6 Study ID

Conclusions reported by authors in original study references

Authors' conclusions

Controlled trials Calabrese 1985 (27)

The results indicate that girls but not boys consuming the low sodium water exhibited marked decreases in blood pressure over the test period when compared to the other two groups.

Ellison 1989 (28)

Analysis of blood pressure differences between early in the school year and near the end of the school year, with adjustment for sex and initial blood pressure, showed the decrease in blood pressure with reduced sodium was 1.7 mmHg for systolic (95%CI, 0.6, 2.9, P = 0.003) and 1.5 mmHg for diastolic blood pressure (95%CI, 0.6, 2.5, P = 0.002).

Gillum 1981 (29)

No conclusion regarding blood pressure changes reported.

Howe 1985 (18)

Small but significant reductions of diastolic blood pressure during the low sodium diet period were seen in the girls only. Levels of systolic blood pressure were not affected by the level of sodium in the diet.

Howe 1991 (32)

Unable to demonstrate a blood pressure lowering effect of moderate dietary sodium restriction in adolescents, even in those individuals who may be predisposed to high blood pressure.

Miller 1988 (30)

Analyses yielded small but significant decreases in systolic and diastolic blood pressure in children without hypertension.

Palacios 2004 (19)

No conclusion regarding blood pressure changes reported.

Sinaiko 1993 (31)

The effect of the sodium interventions was significantly different between the boys and girls. Significant difference in slope between the boys and girls were observed for diastolic blood pressure only between the low sodium intervention groups. The slope of the boys’ low sodium group showed significant yearly increases that were no different from the boys’ placebo group. In contrast, the slope of the girls’ low sodium group was not significantly different from zero and was substantially lower than the slope of the girls’ placebo group.

Trevisan 1981 (20)

Data presented support the hypothesis that a relationship exists between intracellular sodium metabolism and blood pressure, and that some aspects of intracellular sodium metabolism are influenced by dietary intake.

Cohort studies Geleijnse 1990 (33)

There was no relationship between urinary sodium excretion and change in blood pressure over time; however, it appeared that reduced sodium:potassium ratio was associated with a lesser increase in blood pressure over time.

25

3.7.5

Effect estimate tables

Table 3.7

Effect estimate table: resting systolic blood pressure

Outcome or subgroup

Studies or comparisons

Participants

14

1384

1.1 Resting systolic blood pressure 1.2 Subgroup by sex

a,b

Effect estimate

–0.84 [–1.43, –0.25] Subtotals only

Males

4

514

0.09 [–0.85, 1.03]

Females

6

530

–1.73 [–2.49, –0.97]

Heterogeneous

4

340

–0.50 [–1.36, 0.37]

1.3 Subgroup by duration

Subtotals only

≤ 12 weeks

9

544

–0.66 [–1.36, 0.04]

≥ 1 year

5

840

–0.90 [–2.33, 0.52]

1.4 Subgroup by decrease in sodium intake relative to control

Subtotals only

Decrease < 1/3 control

8

1014

–0.91 [–2.00, 0.18]

Decrease ≥ 1/3 control

6

370

–0.64 [–1.40, 0.11]

1.5 Subgroup by sodium intake in reduced sodium group

Subtotals only

< 2 g/day

7

545

–0.89 [–1.79, 0.02]

≥ 2 g/day

7

839

–0.79 [–1.65, 0.07]

a

A negative value indicates a lower blood pressure in the reduced sodium group versus the higher sodium group. b Statistical method used: mean difference (inverse variance, random effects model with 95%CI)

26

Table 3.8

Effect estimate table: resting diastolic blood pressure

Outcome or subgroup

Studies or comparisons

Participants

13

1363

1.7 Resting diastolic blood pressure 1.8 Resting diastolic blood pressure – sex

a,b

Effect estimate

–0.87 [–1.60, –0.14] Subtotals only

Males

4

514

–0.71 [–1.95, 0.53]

Females

6

530

–1.45 [–2.69, –0.21]

Heterogeneous

3

319

–0.15 [–1.12, 0.83]

1.9 Resting diastolic blood pressure – age

Subtotals only

6–10 years

3

204

–0.35 [–5.47, 4.77]

11–15 years

9

1071

–1.20 [–1.98, –0.42]

1.10 Resting diastolic blood pressure – duration

Subtotals only

≤ 12 weeks

8

523

–0.29 [–1.04, 0.46]

≤ 1 year

5

840

–1.72 [–2.48, –0.96]

1.11 Resting diastolic blood pressure – difference in intake

Subtotals only

< 1/3 control

7

993

–1.56 [–2.48, –0.63]

≥ 1/3 control

6

370

–0.28 [–1.31, 0.76]

1.12 Resting diastolic blood pressure – sodium intake of intervention group

Subtotals only

< 2 g/day

6

524

–0.65 [–2.06, 0.75]

≥ 2 g/day

7

839

–1.04 [–1.82, –0.26]

a

A negative value indicates a lower blood pressure in the reduced sodium group versus the higher sodium group. b Statistical method used: mean difference (inverse variance, random effects model with 95%CI)

27

3.8

Figures Figure 3.1

Flow through screening, inclusion, exclusion for the first phase (original) search for randomized controlled trials

28

Figure 3.2

Flow through screening, inclusion, exclusion for the outcomes of blood lipids, catecholamine levels and other adverse effects

29

Figure 3.3

Flow through screening, inclusion, exclusion for cohort studies

30

Figure 3.4

Flow through screening, inclusion, exclusion for the third phase (expanded) search

31

Figure 3.5

Low sodium Control Mean SD Total Mean SD Total Weight

Study or Subgroup 1.1.1 ALL

Calabrese 1985M Calabrese 1985W Ellison 1989M Ellison 1989W Gillum 1981MW Howe 1985M Howe 1985W Howe 1991MW Miller 1988MW Palacios 2004W Black Palacios 2004W White Sinaiko 1993M Sinaiko 1993W Trevisan 1981MW Subtotal (95% CI)

Resting systolic blood pressure: all children

-2.44 -5.33 0 -2.54 1 -1 -5 -0.9701 -0.3001 -6.2 -9.9 2.2 -0.5 -1.25

6 6.6 8.23 7.74 8.61 9.95 9.49 4.56 2.81 2.8 2.91 2.96 2.37 12.4

26 25 152 157 15 11 10 90 44 19 12 35 35 12 643

-2.54 3.9 -3.6 3.9 0.94 8.23 0 7.74 -2 8.46 -2 11.96 -4 9.49 0 4.56 0 2.81 -5.2 3.56 -9.3 2.52 1.6 2.32 1.4 2.37 0 9.4

52 4.8% 50 4.0% 193 8.8% 148 8.9% 36 1.3% 11 0.4% 10 0.5% 90 13.0% 44 15.2% 19 6.9% 10 5.8% 34 14.0% 35 16.2% 9 0.4% 741 100.0%

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

0.10 [-2.44, 2.64] -1.73 [-4.53, 1.07] -0.94 [-2.69, 0.81] -2.54 [-4.28, -0.80] 3.00 [-2.16, 8.16] 1.00 [-8.19, 10.19] -1.00 [-9.32, 7.32] -0.97 [-2.30, 0.36] -0.30 [-1.47, 0.87] -1.00 [-3.04, 1.04] -0.60 [-2.87, 1.67] 0.60 [-0.65, 1.85] -1.90 [-3.01, -0.79] -1.25 [-10.57, 8.07] -0.84 [-1.43, -0.25]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.24; Chi² = 16.38, df = 13 (P = 0.23); I² = 21% Test for overall effect: Z = 2.78 (P = 0.005) -10 -5 0 5 10 Favours low sodium Favours control

Figure 3.6

Resting systolic blood pressure: sex of participants

Low sodium Control Mean SD Total Mean SD Total Weight

Study or Subgroup 1.2.1 MALES Calabrese 1985M Ellison 1989M Howe 1985M Sinaiko 1993M Subtotal (95% CI)

-2.44 6 0 8.23 -1 9.95 2.2 2.96

26 152 11 35 224

-2.54 3.9 0.94 8.23 -2 11.96 1.6 2.32

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

52 13.7% 193 28.9% 11 1.0% 34 56.3% 290 100.0%

0.10 [-2.44, 2.64] -0.94 [-2.69, 0.81] 1.00 [-8.19, 10.19] 0.60 [-0.65, 1.85] 0.09 [-0.85, 1.03]

50 7.4% 148 19.3% 10 0.8% 19 14.0% 10 11.3% 35 47.2% 272 100.0%

-1.73 [-4.53, 1.07] -2.54 [-4.28, -0.80] -1.00 [-9.32, 7.32] -1.00 [-3.04, 1.04] -0.60 [-2.87, 1.67] -1.90 [-3.01, -0.79] -1.73 [-2.49, -0.97]

36 2.8% 90 42.1% 44 54.2% 9 0.9% 179 100.0%

3.00 [-2.16, 8.16] -0.97 [-2.30, 0.36] -0.30 [-1.47, 0.87] -1.25 [-10.57, 8.07] -0.50 [-1.36, 0.37]

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 2.01, df = 3 (P = 0.57); I² = 0% Test for overall effect: Z = 0.19 (P = 0.85) 1.2.2 FEMALES Calabrese 1985W Ellison 1989W Howe 1985W Palacios 2004W Black Palacios 2004W White Sinaiko 1993W Subtotal (95% CI)

-5.33 -2.54 -5 -6.2 -9.9 -0.5

6.6 7.74 9.49 2.8 2.91 2.37

25 157 10 19 12 35 258

-3.6 0 -4 -5.2 -9.3 1.4

3.9 7.74 9.49 3.56 2.52 2.37

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 2.40, df = 5 (P = 0.79); I² = 0% Test for overall effect: Z = 4.45 (P < 0.00001)

1.2.3 HETEROGENEOUS Gillum 1981MW Howe 1991MW Miller 1988MW Trevisan 1981MW Subtotal (95% CI)

1 -0.9701 -0.3001 -1.25

8.61 4.56 2.81 12.4

15 90 44 12 161

-2 0 0 0

8.46 4.56 2.81 9.4

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 2.38, df = 3 (P = 0.50); I² = 0% Test for overall effect: Z = 1.13 (P = 0.26)

-10 -5 0 5 10 Favours low sodium Favours control

Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 9.59, df = 2 (P = 0.008), I² = 79.2%

32

Figure 3.7 Study or Subgroup 1.4.1 12 weeks or less Calabrese 1985M Calabrese 1985W Howe 1985M Howe 1985W Howe 1991MW Miller 1988MW Palacios 2004W Black Palacios 2004W White Trevisan 1981MW Subtotal (95% CI)

Resting systolic blood pressure: duration of studies

Low sodium Control Mean SD Total Mean SD Total Weight

-2.44 -5.33 -1 -5 -0.9701 -0.3001 -6.2 -9.9 -1.25

6 6.6 9.95 9.49 4.56 2.81 2.8 2.91 12.4

26 25 11 10 90 44 19 12 12 249

-2.54 3.9 -3.6 3.9 -2 11.96 -4 9.49 0 4.56 0 2.81 -5.2 3.56 -9.3 2.52 0 9.4

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

52 7.6% 50 6.2% 11 0.6% 10 0.7% 90 27.6% 44 35.5% 19 11.8% 10 9.5% 9 0.6% 295 100.0%

0.10 [-2.44, 2.64] -1.73 [-4.53, 1.07] 1.00 [-8.19, 10.19] -1.00 [-9.32, 7.32] -0.97 [-2.30, 0.36] -0.30 [-1.47, 0.87] -1.00 [-3.04, 1.04] -0.60 [-2.87, 1.67] -1.25 [-10.57, 8.07] -0.66 [-1.36, 0.04]

193 21.2% 148 21.3% 36 6.1% 34 25.1% 35 26.2% 446 100.0%

-0.94 [-2.69, 0.81] -2.54 [-4.28, -0.80] 3.00 [-2.16, 8.16] 0.60 [-0.65, 1.85] -1.90 [-3.01, -0.79] -0.90 [-2.33, 0.52]

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 1.73, df = 8 (P = 0.99); I² = 0% Test for overall effect: Z = 1.84 (P = 0.07) 1.4.2 1 year or more Ellison 1989M Ellison 1989W Gillum 1981MW Sinaiko 1993M Sinaiko 1993W Subtotal (95% CI)

0 -2.54 1 2.2 -0.5

8.23 7.74 8.61 2.96 2.37

152 157 15 35 35 394

0.94 0 -2 1.6 1.4

8.23 7.74 8.46 2.32 2.37

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 1.70; Chi² = 14.11, df = 4 (P = 0.007); I² = 72% Test for overall effect: Z = 1.24 (P = 0.21) -10 -5 0 5 10 Favours low sodium Favours control

Figure 3.8

Resting systolic blood pressure: relative difference in sodium intake between reduced sodium and higher sodium groups

Low sodium Control Study or Subgroup Mean SD Total Mean SD Total Weight 1.5.1 Less than 1/3 control

Calabrese 1985M Calabrese 1985W Ellison 1989M Ellison 1989W Gillum 1981MW Sinaiko 1993M Sinaiko 1993W Trevisan 1981MW Subtotal (95% CI)

-2.44 -5.33 0 -2.54 1 2.2 -0.5 -1.25

6 6.6 8.23 7.74 8.61 2.96 2.37 12.4

26 25 152 157 15 35 35 12 457

-2.54 -3.6 0.94 0 -2 1.6 1.4 0

3.9 3.9 8.23 7.74 8.46 2.32 2.37 9.4

52 11.0% 50 9.7% 193 16.1% 148 16.2% 36 3.8% 34 20.2% 35 21.5% 9 1.3% 557 100.0%

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

0.10 [-2.44, 2.64] -1.73 [-4.53, 1.07] -0.94 [-2.69, 0.81] -2.54 [-4.28, -0.80] 3.00 [-2.16, 8.16] 0.60 [-0.65, 1.85] -1.90 [-3.01, -0.79] -1.25 [-10.57, 8.07] -0.91 [-2.00, 0.18]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 1.11; Chi² = 15.10, df = 7 (P = 0.03); I² = 54% Test for overall effect: Z = 1.64 (P = 0.10) 1.5.2 Greater than or equal to 1/3 control Howe 1985M Howe 1985W Howe 1991MW Miller 1988MW Palacios 2004W Black Palacios 2004W White Subtotal (95% CI)

-1 -5 -0.9701 -0.3001 -6.2 -9.9

9.95 9.49 4.56 2.81 2.8 2.91

11 10 90 44 19 12 186

-2 11.96 -4 9.49 0 4.56 0 2.81 -5.2 3.56 -9.3 2.52

11 0.7% 10 0.8% 90 32.2% 44 41.4% 19 13.8% 10 11.1% 184 100.0%

1.00 [-8.19, 10.19] -1.00 [-9.32, 7.32] -0.97 [-2.30, 0.36] -0.30 [-1.47, 0.87] -1.00 [-3.04, 1.04] -0.60 [-2.87, 1.67] -0.64 [-1.40, 0.11]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 0.81, df = 5 (P = 0.98); I² = 0% Test for overall effect: Z = 1.67 (P = 0.10) -10 -5 0 5 10 Favours low sodium Favours control

Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 0.16, df = 1 (P = 0.69), I² = 0%

33

Figure 3.9 Study or Subgroup 1.6.1 2g/day Calabrese 1985M Calabrese 1985W Ellison 1989M Howe 1985M Howe 1991MW Sinaiko 1993M Sinaiko 1993W Subtotal (95% CI)

-2.44 -5.33 0 -1 -0.9701 2.2 -0.5

6 6.6 8.23 9.95 4.56 2.96 2.37

26 25 152 11 90 35 35 374

-2.54 3.9 -3.6 3.9 0.94 8.23 -2 11.96 0 4.56 1.6 2.32 1.4 2.37

52 9.0% 50 7.7% 193 15.3% 11 0.9% 90 20.7% 34 22.0% 35 24.5% 465 100.0%

0.10 [-2.44, 2.64] -1.73 [-4.53, 1.07] -0.94 [-2.69, 0.81] 1.00 [-8.19, 10.19] -0.97 [-2.30, 0.36] 0.60 [-0.65, 1.85] -1.90 [-3.01, -0.79] -0.79 [-1.65, 0.07]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.47; Chi² = 9.69, df = 6 (P = 0.14); I² = 38% Test for overall effect: Z = 1.80 (P = 0.07) -10 -5 0 5 10 Favours low sodium Favours control

Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 0.02, df = 1 (P = 0.88), I² = 0%

Figure 3.10 Resting diastolic blood pressure: all children Study or Subgroup 1.8.1 ALL Calabrese 1985M Calabrese 1985W Ellison 1989M Ellison 1989W Gillum 1981MW Howe 1985M Howe 1985W Howe 1991MW Miller 1988MW Palacios 2004W Black Palacios 2004W White Sinaiko 1993M Sinaiko 1993W Subtotal (95% CI)

Low sodium Control Mean SD Total Mean SD Total Weight -2.05 -8.67 0 -2.54 -1.3 -1 -5 -0.56 0.2 -3.8 -2.2 1.8 0.1

6.4 13.5 8.23 7.74 19.8 9.95 9.49 4.76 3.3 3 2.59 4.73 2.96

26 25 152 157 15 11 10 90 44 19 10 35 35 629

-3.8 8.6 -3.8 5 0.94 8.23 0 7.74 -5.2 18.86 -2 11.96 -4 9.49 0 4.76 0 3.3 -2.3 2.2 -3.5 2.85 3.2 4.1 1.8 3

52 4.0% 50 1.7% 193 10.9% 148 11.0% 36 0.4% 11 0.6% 10 0.7% 90 14.3% 44 14.4% 19 11.6% 12 7.6% 34 8.6% 35 14.2% 734 100.0%

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

1.75 [-1.64, 5.14] -4.87 [-10.34, 0.60] -0.94 [-2.69, 0.81] -2.54 [-4.28, -0.80] 3.90 [-7.86, 15.66] 1.00 [-8.19, 10.19] -1.00 [-9.32, 7.32] -0.56 [-1.95, 0.83] 0.20 [-1.18, 1.58] -1.50 [-3.17, 0.17] 1.30 [-0.98, 3.58] -1.40 [-3.49, 0.69] -1.70 [-3.10, -0.30] -0.87 [-1.60, -0.14]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.46; Chi² = 16.83, df = 12 (P = 0.16); I² = 29% Test for overall effect: Z = 2.35 (P = 0.02) -10 -5 0 5 10 Favours low sodium Favours control

34

Figure 3.11 Resting diastolic blood pressure: sex of participants Study or Subgroup 1.9.1 MALES

Low sodium Control Mean SD Total Mean SD Total Weight

Calabrese 1985M Ellison 1989M Howe 1985M Sinaiko 1993M Subtotal (95% CI)

-2.05 6.4 0 8.23 -1 9.95 1.8 4.73

26 152 11 35 224

-3.8 8.6 0.94 8.23 -2 11.96 3.2 4.1

52 13.3% 193 49.9% 11 1.8% 34 35.1% 290 100.0%

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

1.75 [-1.64, 5.14] -0.94 [-2.69, 0.81] 1.00 [-8.19, 10.19] -1.40 [-3.49, 0.69] -0.71 [-1.95, 0.53]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 2.64, df = 3 (P = 0.45); I² = 0% Test for overall effect: Z = 1.13 (P = 0.26) 1.9.2 FEMALES Calabrese 1985W Ellison 1989W Howe 1985W Palacios 2004W Black Palacios 2004W White Sinaiko 1993W Subtotal (95% CI)

-8.67 -2.54 -5 -3.8 -2.2 0.1

13.5 7.74 9.49 3 2.59 2.96

25 157 10 19 10 35 256

-3.8 0 -4 -2.3 -3.5 1.8

5 7.74 9.49 2.2 2.85 3

50 4.6% 148 23.4% 10 2.1% 19 24.3% 12 17.6% 35 28.0% 274 100.0%

-4.87 [-10.34, 0.60] -2.54 [-4.28, -0.80] -1.00 [-9.32, 7.32] -1.50 [-3.17, 0.17] 1.30 [-0.98, 3.58] -1.70 [-3.10, -0.30] -1.45 [-2.69, -0.21]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.91; Chi² = 8.74, df = 5 (P = 0.12); I² = 43% Test for overall effect: Z = 2.30 (P = 0.02) 1.9.3 HETEROGENEOUS Gillum 1981MW Howe 1991MW Miller 1988MW Subtotal (95% CI)

-1.3 19.8 -0.56 4.76 0.2 3.3

15 90 44 149

-5.2 18.86 0 4.76 0 3.3

36 0.7% 90 49.2% 44 50.1% 170 100.0%

3.90 [-7.86, 15.66] -0.56 [-1.95, 0.83] 0.20 [-1.18, 1.58] -0.15 [-1.12, 0.83]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 1.04, df = 2 (P = 0.60); I² = 0% Test for overall effect: Z = 0.30 (P = 0.77)

Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 2.63, df = 2 (P = 0.27), I² = 24.0%

-10 -5 0 5 10 Favours low sodium Favours control

Figure 3.12 Resting diastolic blood pressure: duration of studies Low sodium Control Mean Difference Study or Subgroup Mean SD Total Mean SD Total Weight IV, Fixed, 95% CI 1.11.1 12 or less weeks

Calabrese 1985M Calabrese 1985W Howe 1985M Howe 1985W Howe 1991MW Miller 1988MW Palacios 2004W Black Palacios 2004W White Subtotal (95% CI)

-2.05 -8.67 1 -4 -0.56 0.2 -3.8 -2.2

6.4 13.5 5.74 8.37 4.76 3.3 3 2.59

26 25 11 10 90 44 19 10 235

-3.8 -3.8 -1 1 0 0 -2.3 -3.5

8.6 5 5.74 6.32 4.76 3.3 2.2 2.85

52 4.9% 1.75 [-1.64, 5.14] 50 1.9% -4.87 [-10.34, 0.60] 11 2.4% 2.00 [-2.80, 6.80] 10 1.3% -5.00 [-11.50, 1.50] 90 29.0% -0.56 [-1.95, 0.83] 44 29.5% 0.20 [-1.18, 1.58] 19 20.1% -1.50 [-3.17, 0.17] 12 10.8% 1.30 [-0.98, 3.58] 288 100.0% -0.29 [-1.04, 0.46]

0.12 6.59 0.96 6.46 -5.2 18.86 3.2 4.1 1.8 3

193 29.4% -1.19 [-2.59, 0.21] 148 27.4% -2.54 [-3.99, -1.09] 36 0.4% 3.90 [-7.86, 15.66] 34 13.2% -1.40 [-3.49, 0.69] 35 29.6% -1.70 [-3.10, -0.30] 446 100.0% -1.72 [-2.48, -0.96]

Mean Difference IV, Fixed, 95% CI

Heterogeneity: Chi² = 11.49, df = 7 (P = 0.12); I² = 39% Test for overall effect: Z = 0.75 (P = 0.45)

1.11.2 1 year or more Ellison 1989M Ellison 1989W Gillum 1981MW Sinaiko 1993M Sinaiko 1993W Subtotal (95% CI)

-1.07 -1.58 -1.3 1.8 0.1

6.59 6.46 19.8 4.73 2.96

152 157 15 35 35 394

Heterogeneity: Chi² = 2.75, df = 4 (P = 0.60); I² = 0% Test for overall effect: Z = 4.43 (P < 0.00001) -20 -10 0 10 20 Favours low sodium Favours control

35

Figure 3.13 Resting diastolic blood pressure: relative difference in sodium intake between reduced sodium and higher sodium groups Low sodium Control Study or Subgroup Mean SD Total Mean SD Total Weight 1.12.1 Less than 1/3 control

Calabrese 1985M Calabrese 1985W Ellison 1989M Ellison 1989W Gillum 1981MW Sinaiko 1993M Sinaiko 1993W Subtotal (95% CI)

-2.05 -8.67 -1.07 -1.58 -1.3 1.8 0.1

6.4 13.5 6.59 6.46 19.8 4.73 2.96

26 25 152 157 15 35 35 445

-3.8 8.6 -3.8 5 0.12 6.59 0.96 6.46 -5.2 18.86 3.2 4.1 1.8 3

52 6.6% 50 2.7% 193 25.4% 148 24.4% 36 0.6% 34 14.8% 35 25.5% 548 100.0%

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

1.75 [-1.64, 5.14] -4.87 [-10.34, 0.60] -1.19 [-2.59, 0.21] -2.54 [-3.99, -1.09] 3.90 [-7.86, 15.66] -1.40 [-3.49, 0.69] -1.70 [-3.10, -0.30] -1.56 [-2.48, -0.63]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.36; Chi² = 7.95, df = 6 (P = 0.24); I² = 25% Test for overall effect: Z = 3.31 (P = 0.0009) 1.12.2 Greater than or equal to 1/3 control Howe 1985M Howe 1985W Howe 1991MW Miller 1988MW Palacios 2004W Black Palacios 2004W White Subtotal (95% CI)

1 -4 -0.56 0.2 -3.8 -2.2

5.74 8.37 4.76 3.3 3 2.59

11 10 90 44 19 10 184

-1 1 0 0 -2.3 -3.5

5.74 6.32 4.76 3.3 2.2 2.85

11 4.3% 10 2.4% 90 27.7% 44 27.9% 19 22.6% 12 15.1% 186 100.0%

2.00 [-2.80, 6.80] -5.00 [-11.50, 1.50] -0.56 [-1.95, 0.83] 0.20 [-1.18, 1.58] -1.50 [-3.17, 0.17] 1.30 [-0.98, 3.58] -0.28 [-1.31, 0.76]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.51; Chi² = 7.41, df = 5 (P = 0.19); I² = 32% Test for overall effect: Z = 0.53 (P = 0.60) -20 -10 0 10 20 Favours low sodium Favours control

Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 3.26, df = 1 (P = 0.07), I² = 69.3%

Figure 3.14 Resting diastolic blood pressure: sodium intake of intervention group Study or Subgroup 1.13.1 2 g/day Calabrese 1985M Calabrese 1985W Ellison 1989M Howe 1985M Howe 1991MW Sinaiko 1993M Sinaiko 1993W Subtotal (95% CI)

-2.05 -8.67 0 -1 -0.56 1.8 0.1

6.4 13.5 8.23 9.95 4.76 4.73 2.96

26 25 152 11 90 35 35 374

-3.8 8.6 -3.8 5 0.94 8.23 -2 11.96 0 4.76 3.2 4.1 1.8 3

52 5.2% 50 2.0% 193 19.1% 11 0.7% 90 29.8% 34 13.6% 35 29.6% 465 100.0%

1.75 [-1.64, 5.14] -4.87 [-10.34, 0.60] -0.94 [-2.69, 0.81] 1.00 [-8.19, 10.19] -0.56 [-1.95, 0.83] -1.40 [-3.49, 0.69] -1.70 [-3.10, -0.30] -1.04 [-1.82, -0.26]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.02; Chi² = 6.11, df = 6 (P = 0.41); I² = 2% Test for overall effect: Z = 2.63 (P = 0.009) -10 -5 0 5 10 Favours low sodium Favours control

Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 0.22, df = 1 (P = 0.64), I² = 0%

36

Figure 3.15 Resting systolic blood pressure sensitivity analysis: removal of non-randomized controlled trials Study or Subgroup 1.7.1 Randomized trials Calabrese 1985M Calabrese 1985W Gillum 1981MW Howe 1991MW Miller 1988MW Palacios 2004W Black Palacios 2004W White Sinaiko 1993M Sinaiko 1993W Trevisan 1981MW Subtotal (95% CI)

Low sodium Control Mean SD Total Mean SD Total Weight

-2.44 -5.33 1 -0.9701 -0.3001 -6.2 -9.9 2.2 -0.5 -1.25

6 6.6 8.61 4.56 2.81 2.8 2.91 2.96 2.37 12.4

26 25 15 90 44 19 12 35 35 12 313

-2.54 -3.6 -2 0 0 -5.2 -9.3 1.6 1.4 0

3.9 3.9 8.46 4.56 2.81 3.56 2.52 2.32 2.37 9.4

52 6.0% 50 5.1% 36 1.6% 90 15.8% 44 18.4% 19 8.7% 10 7.3% 34 17.1% 35 19.5% 9 0.5% 379 100.0%

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

0.10 [-2.44, 2.64] -1.73 [-4.53, 1.07] 3.00 [-2.16, 8.16] -0.97 [-2.30, 0.36] -0.30 [-1.47, 0.87] -1.00 [-3.04, 1.04] -0.60 [-2.87, 1.67] 0.60 [-0.65, 1.85] -1.90 [-3.01, -0.79] -1.25 [-10.57, 8.07] -0.65 [-1.32, 0.03]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.29; Chi² = 12.20, df = 9 (P = 0.20); I² = 26% Test for overall effect: Z = 1.88 (P = 0.06) 1.7.2 Non-randomized trials Ellison 1989M Ellison 1989W Howe 1985M Howe 1985W Subtotal (95% CI)

0 -2.54 -1 -5

8.23 7.74 9.95 9.49

152 157 11 10 330

0.94 8.23 0 7.74 -2 11.96 -4 9.49

193 47.8% 148 48.4% 11 1.7% 10 2.1% 362 100.0%

-0.94 [-2.69, 0.81] -2.54 [-4.28, -0.80] 1.00 [-8.19, 10.19] -1.00 [-9.32, 7.32] -1.68 [-2.89, -0.47]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 1.98, df = 3 (P = 0.58); I² = 0% Test for overall effect: Z = 2.73 (P = 0.006) -10 -5 0 5 10 Favours low sodium Favours control

Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 2.15, df = 1 (P = 0.14), I² = 53.4%

Figure 3.16 Resting diastolic blood pressure sensitivity analysis: removal of non-randomized controlled trials Low sodium Control Study or Subgroup Mean SD Total Mean SD Total Weight 1.14.1 Randomized trials

Calabrese 1985M Calabrese 1985W Gillum 1981MW Howe 1991MW Miller 1988MW Palacios 2004W Black Palacios 2004W White Sinaiko 1993M Sinaiko 1993W Subtotal (95% CI)

-2.05 -8.67 -1.3 -0.56 0.2 -3.8 -2.2 1.8 0.1

6.4 13.5 19.8 4.76 3.3 3 2.59 4.73 2.96

26 25 15 90 44 19 10 35 35 299

-3.8 8.6 -3.8 5 -5.2 18.86 0 4.76 0 3.3 -2.3 2.2 -3.5 2.85 3.2 4.1 1.8 3

52 5.6% 50 2.4% 36 0.5% 90 18.2% 44 18.3% 19 15.1% 12 10.3% 34 11.6% 35 18.1% 372 100.0%

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

Mean Difference IV, Random, 95% CI

1.75 [-1.64, 5.14] -4.87 [-10.34, 0.60] 3.90 [-7.86, 15.66] -0.56 [-1.95, 0.83] 0.20 [-1.18, 1.58] -1.50 [-3.17, 0.17] 1.30 [-0.98, 3.58] -1.40 [-3.49, 0.69] -1.70 [-3.10, -0.30] -0.62 [-1.50, 0.25]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.60; Chi² = 12.74, df = 8 (P = 0.12); I² = 37% Test for overall effect: Z = 1.39 (P = 0.16) 1.14.2 Non-randomized trials Ellison 1989M Ellison 1989W Howe 1985M Howe 1985W Subtotal (95% CI)

0 -2.54 -1 -5

8.23 7.74 9.95 9.49

152 157 11 10 330

0.94 8.23 0 7.74 -2 11.96 -4 9.49

193 47.8% 148 48.4% 11 1.7% 10 2.1% 362 100.0%

-0.94 [-2.69, 0.81] -2.54 [-4.28, -0.80] 1.00 [-8.19, 10.19] -1.00 [-9.32, 7.32] -1.68 [-2.89, -0.47]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 1.98, df = 3 (P = 0.58); I² = 0% Test for overall effect: Z = 2.73 (P = 0.006)

Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 1.92, df = 1 (P = 0.17), I² = 48.0%

37

-10 -5 0 5 10 Favours low sodium Favours control

4

References to studies

4.1

Included studies An asterisk indicates that a reference is the primary reference for a study. Calabrese 1985 Calabrese EJ, Tuthill RW. The Massachusetts Blood Pressure Study, Part 3. Experimental reduction of sodium in drinking water: effects on blood pressure. Toxicology and Industrial Health, 1985, 1(1):19–34. Ellison 1989 Ellison RC, Capper AL, Stephenson WP et al. Effects on blood pressure of a decrease in sodium use in institutional food preparation: the Exeter-Andover Project. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 1989, 42(3):201-208. Geleijnse 1990 Geleijnse JM, Grobbee DE, Hofman A. Sodium and potassium intake and blood pressure change in childhood. BMJ, 1990, 300(6729):899–902. Gillum 1981 Gillum RF, Elmer PJ, Prineas RJ. Changing sodium intake in children. The Minneapolis Children's Blood Pressure Study. Hypertension, 1981, 3(6):698–703. Howe 1985 Howe PR, Jureidini KF, Smith RM. Sodium and blood pressure in children – a short-term dietary intervention study. Proceedings of the Nutrition Society of Australia, 1985, 10:121– 124. Howe 1991 Howe PR, Cobiac L, Smith RM. Lack of effect of short-term changes in sodium intake on blood pressure in adolescent schoolchildren. Journal of Hypertension, 1991, 9(2):181–186. Miller 1988 Miller JZ, Weinberger MH, Daugherty SA et al. Blood pressure response to dietary sodium restriction in healthy normotensive children. American Journal of Clinical Nutrition, 1988, 47(1):113-119. Palacios 2004 Palacios C, Wigertz K, Martin BR et al. Sodium retention in black and white female adolescents in response to salt intake. Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism, 2004, 89(4):1858–1863.

38

Sinaiko 1993 *Sinaiko AR, Gomez-Marin O, Prineas RJ. Effect of low sodium diet or potassium supplementation on adolescent blood pressure. Hypertension, 1993, 21(6 Pt 2):989–994. Gomez-Marin O, Prineas RJ, Sinaiko AR. The sodium-potassium blood pressure trial in children. Design, recruitment, and randomization: the children and adolescent blood pressure program. Controlled Clinical Trials, 1991, 12(3):408–423. Trevisan 1981 Trevisan M, Cooper R, Ostrow D et al. Dietary sodium, erythrocyte sodium concentration, sodium-stimulated lithium efflux and blood pressure. Clinical Science (London), 1981, 61(Suppl 7):29s–32s.

4.2

Excluded studies Brion 2008 Brion MJ, Ness AR, Davey Smith G et al. Sodium intake in infancy and blood pressure at 7 years: findings from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children. European Journal of Clinical Nutrition, 2008, 62(10):1162–1169. Cooper 1984 Cooper R, Van Horn L, Liu K et al. A randomized trial on the effect of decreased dietary sodium intake on blood pressure in adolescents. Journal of Hypertension, 1984, 2(4):361– 366. Geleijnse 1997 Geleijnse JM, Hofman A, Witteman JC et al. Long-term effects of neonatal sodium restriction on blood pressure. Hypertension, 1997, 29(4):913–917. Hofman 1983 Hofman A, Hazebroek A, Valkenburg HA. A randomized trial of sodium intake and blood pressure in newborn infants. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 1983, 250(3):370–373. Lucas 1988 Lucas A, Morley R, Hudson GJ et al. Early sodium intake and later blood pressure in preterm infants. Arch Dis Child, 1988, 63(6):656–657. Myers 1989 Myers JB. Reduced sodium chloride intake normalises blood pressure distribution. Journal of Human Hypertension, 1989, 3(2):97–104. Pomeranz 2002 Pomeranz A, Dolfin T, Korzets Z et al. Increased sodium concentrations in drinking water increase blood pressure in neonates. Journal of Hypertension, 2002, 20(2):203–207.

39

Smith 1995 Smith RE, Kok A, Rothberg AD et al. Determinants of blood pressure in Sowetan infants. South African Medical Journal, 1995, 85(12 Pt 2):1339–1342. Tuthill 1985 Tuthill RW, Calabrese EJ. The Massachusetts Blood Pressure Study, Part 4. Modest sodium supplementation and blood pressure change in boarding school girls. Toxicology and Industrial Health, 1985, 1(1):35–43. Whitten 1980 Whitten CF, Stewart RA. The effect of dietary sodium in infancy on blood pressure and related factors. Studies of infants fed salted and unsalted diets for five months at eight months and eight years of age. Acta Paediatrica Scandinavica Supplement, 1980, 279:1–17.

4.3

Other references Cochrane handbook for systematic reviews of interventions version 5.1.0. The Cochrane Collaboration, 2011 (www.cochrane-handbook.org). Chen X, Wang Y. Tracking of blood pressure from childhood to adulthood: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis. Circulation, 2008, 117(25):3171–3180. Daniels SR, Loggie JM, Khoury P et al. Left ventricular geometry and severe left ventricular hypertrophy in children and adolescents with essential hypertension. Circulation, 1998, 97(19):1907–1911. Deeks JJ, Dinnes J, D'Amico R et al. Evaluating non-randomised intervention studies. Health Technology Assessment, 2003, 7(27):iii–x, 1–173. Dickinson HO, Mason JM, Nicolson DJ et al. Lifestyle interventions to reduce raised blood pressure: a systematic review of randomized controlled trials. Journal of Hypertension, 2006, 24(2):215–233. Dietary Guidelines Advisory Committee. Adults and sodium: what is the relationship between sodium and blood pressure in adults aged 19 years and older? Washington, D.C., Department of Health and Human Services and Department of Agriculture, 2010. Dietary Guidelines Advisory Committee. What is the effect of a reduced sodium intake on blood pressure in children from birth to age 18 years? Washington, D.C., Department of Health and Human Services and Department of Agriculture, 2010. Follmann D, Elliott P, Suh I et al. Variance imputation for overviews of clinical trials with continuous response. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 1992, 45(7):769–773. Graudal NA, Hubeck-Graudal T, Jurgens G. Effects of low sodium diet versus high sodium diet on blood pressure, renin, aldosterone, catecholamines, cholesterol, and triglyceride. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, 2011, 11:CD004022.

40

Guyatt GH, Oxman AD, Vist GE et al. GRADE: an emerging consensus on rating quality of evidence and strength of recommendations. BMJ, 2008, 336(7650):924–926. He FJ, MacGregor GA. Effect of longer-term modest salt reduction on blood pressure. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, 2004, 3:CD004937. He FJ, MacGregor GA. Importance of salt in determining blood pressure in children: metaanalysis of controlled trials. Hypertension, 2006, 48(5):861–869. Higgins JP, Thompson SG. Quantifying heterogeneity in a meta-analysis. Statistics in Medicine, 2002, 21(11):1539–1558. Higgins J, Thompson S, Deeks J et al. Statistical heterogeneity in systematic reviews of clinical trials: a critical appraisal of guidelines and practice. Journal of Health Services Research & Policy, 2002, 7(1):51–61. Hooper L, Bartlett C, Davey SG et al. Advice to reduce dietary salt for prevention of cardiovascular disease. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, 2004, 1:CD003656. Lau J, Ioannidis JP, Terrin N et al. The case of the misleading funnel plot. BMJ, 2006, 333(7568):597–600. Liberati A, Altman DG, Tetzlaff J et al. The PRISMA statement for reporting systematic reviews and meta-analyses of studies that evaluate healthcare interventions: explanation and elaboration. BMJ, 2009, 339:b2700. Mackay J, Mensah G. Atlas of heart disease and stroke. Geneva, World Health Organization (WHO), 2004. Murray CJ, Lauer JA, Hutubessy RC et al. Effectiveness and costs of interventions to lower systolic blood pressure and cholesterol: a global and regional analysis on reduction of cardiovascular-disease risk. Lancet, 2003, 361(9359):717–725. Sterne JA, Egger M. Funnel plots for detecting bias in meta-analysis: guidelines on choice of axis. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 2001, 54(10):1046–1055. Strong K, Mathers C, Leeder S et al. Preventing chronic diseases: how many lives can we save? Lancet, 2005, 366(9496):1578–1582. WHO. Preventing chronic disease: a vital investment. Geneva, World Health Organization (WHO), 2005. WHO. Global status report on noncommunicable diseases. Geneva, World Health Organization (WHO), 2010. WHO. Guidelines for declaration of interests for WHO experts. Geneva, World Health Organization (WHO), 2010.

41

An n e x 1 : E l e c t r o n i c s e a r c h s t r a t e g y A1

Search strategy Effect of reduced sodium on blood pressure, blood lipids, and other potential adverse effects in children A1.1

Blood pressure

Identified systematic review of the literature published by the DGAC 2010  Use DGAC reference list for potential studies  Electronic search from 2009 to 2011 PubMed  1 January 2009 – 6 July 2011 ("Hypertension"[Majr] OR "blood pressure"[Majr]) AND ("Sodium, Dietary"[MeSH] OR ("sodium, dietary"[MeSH Terms] OR "sodium"[MeSH Terms]) OR "sodium chloride"[MeSH]) AND "humans"[Filter] Filter: all child 0–18 years, 1 January 2009 to 6 July 2011 EMBASE  1 January 2009 – 2 August 2011 Step 1 'hypertension'/exp/mj OR 'blood pressure'/exp/mj

Step 2 'child'/exp OR 'children'/exp OR 'youth'/exp OR youth* OR newborn* OR 'newborn'/exp OR 'new born' OR 'childhood disease'/exp OR 'baby'/exp OR babies OR 'infant'/exp OR infant* OR childhood* OR toddler* OR kid OR kids OR 'young patient' OR boy* OR girl* OR 'young age' OR pediatr* OR paediatr* OR 'child death'/exp OR 'child health'/exp OR 'child care'/exp OR 'childhood mortality'/exp OR 'child hospitalization'/exp OR 'pediatric hospital'/exp OR child* AND [2009-2012]/py

Step 3 (Step 1 AND Step 2) AND [animals]/lim

42

Step 4 (Step 1 AND Step 2) AND [animals]/lim AND [humans]/lim

Step 5 (Step 1 AND Step 2) NOT Step 3 Step 6 Step 4 OR Step 5

Filter: all child 0–18 years LILACS No date limit; run 6 August 2011 (blood pressure OR hypertension) AND (sodium OR salt) AND (diet OR dietary OR intake OR restriction or reduction) Limit: adolescent, child, preschool WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform  No date limit; run 23 August 2011 (blood pressure AND sodium) OR (blood pressure AND salt) OR (hypertension AND sodium) OR (hypertension AND salt) Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials  1 January 2005 – 24 August 2011 (blood pressure OR hypertension) AND (sodium OR salt) AND (diet OR dietary OR intake OR restriction OR reduction) AND (randomized controlled trial OR controlled clinical trial OR randomized OR placebo OR drug therapy randomly OR trial OR groups) A1.2

Adverse effects

 No systematic reviews identified with similar or equivalent inclusion criteria  Run electronic search for RCTs PubMed  No date limit; run 6 July 2011 (salt[MeSH] OR sodium[MeSH] OR salt[tiab] OR sodium[tiab]) AND (noradrenaline[MeSH] OR norepinephrine[MeSH] OR noradrenaline[tiab] OR norepinephrine[tiab] OR catecholamine[MeSH] OR catecholamine[tiab] OR cholesterol[MeSH] OR triglycerides[MeSH] OR low density lipoprotein[MeSH] OR high density lipoprotein[MeSH] OR LDL[tiab] OR 43

HDL[tiab] OR cholesterol[tiab] OR triglyceride[tiab]) AND (randomized controlled trial [pt] OR controlled clinical trial [pt] OR randomized [tiab] OR placebo [tiab] OR drug therapy [sh] OR randomly [tiab] OR trial [tiab] OR groups [tiab]) NOT (animals [mh] NOT humans [mh]) EMBASE  No date limit; run 2 August 2011. Step 1 'sodium chloride'/exp OR 'sodium'/exp OR salt:ti,ab OR sodium:ti,ab

Step 2 'noradrenalin'/exp OR 'adrenor':ab,ti OR 'alginodia':ab,ti OR 'arterenal':ab,ti OR 'arterenol':ab,ti OR 'baycain green':ab,ti OR 'd noradrenalin':ab,ti OR 'dextro noradrenalin':ab,ti OR 'dextro noradrenaline':ab,ti OR 'dl arterenol':ab,ti OR 'dl noradrenalin':ab,ti OR 'dl noradrenalin hydrochloride':ab,ti OR 'l alpha aminomethyl 3, 4 dihydroxybenzyl alcohol':ab,ti OR 'l noradrenalin':ab,ti OR 'l noradrenalin hydrochloride':ab,ti OR 'l noradrenaline':ab,ti OR 'l norepinephrine':ab,ti OR 'levarterenol':ab,ti OR 'levo noradrenalin':ab,ti OR 'levo noradrenaline':ab,ti OR 'levo norepinephrine':ab,ti OR 'levonor':ab,ti OR 'levophed':ab,ti OR 'neomelubrin':ab,ti OR 'neurogenic noradrenalin':ab,ti OR 'noradrec':ab,ti OR 'noradrenalin hydrochloride':ab,ti OR 'noradrenalin reduction':ab,ti OR 'noradrenaline':ab,ti OR 'noradrine':ab,ti OR 'norepinephrin':ab,ti OR 'norepinephrine':ab,ti OR 'norepinephrine hydrochloride':ab,ti OR 'norexadrin':ab,ti OR 'revarterenol':ab,ti OR 'sympathin':ab,ti OR 'sympathin e':ab,ti OR 'catecholamine'/exp OR 'catechol amine; catecholamin':ab,ti OR 'catecholamines':ab,ti OR 'cathecholamine':ab,ti OR 'dextro pyrocatecholamine':ab,ti OR 'endogenous catecholamine':ab,ti OR 'pyrocatechinamine':ab,ti OR 'pyrocatecholamine':ab,ti OR 'hydroxy 5 cholestene':ab,ti OR '3beta hydroxy 5 cholestene':ab,ti OR '3beta hydroxycholest 5 ene':ab,ti OR '5 cholesten 3beta ol':ab,ti OR 'beta cholesterol':ab,ti OR 'cholest 5 en 3beta ol':ab,ti OR 'cholest 5 ene 3 ol':ab,ti OR 'cholesterin':ab,ti OR 'cholesterine':ab,ti OR 'cholesterol release':ab,ti OR 'dythol':ab,ti OR 'nsc 8798':ab,ti OR 'cholesterol'/exp OR 'riacylglycerol' OR 'acylglycerol, tri':ab,ti OR 'fatty acid triglyceride':ab,ti OR 'triacyl glyceride':ab,ti OR 'triglyceride':ab,ti OR 'triglycerides':ab,ti OR 'tryglyceride':ab,ti OR 'beta lipoprotein':ab,ti OR 'ldl':ab,ti OR 'lipoprotein, beta':ab,ti OR 'lipoprotein, low density':ab,ti OR 'lipoproteins, ldl' OR 'low density lipoprotein'/exp OR 'lpha 7 lipoprotein':ab,ti OR 'alpha lipoprotein':ab,ti OR 'hdl':ab,ti OR 'high density lipoprotein phospholipid':ab,ti OR 'lipoprotein, alpha':ab,ti OR 'lipoprotein, high density':ab,ti OR 'lipoproteins, hdl':ab,ti OR 'pre alpha lipoprotein':ab,ti OR 'very high density lipoprotein' OR 'high density lipoprotein'/exp AND ([cochrane review]/lim OR [controlled clinical trial]/lim OR [meta analysis]/lim OR [randomized controlled trial]/lim OR [systematic review]/lim)

44

Step 3 ('noradrenalin'/exp OR 'adrenor':ab,ti OR 'alginodia':ab,ti OR 'arterenal':ab,ti OR 'arterenol':ab,ti OR 'baycain green':ab,ti OR 'd noradrenalin':ab,ti OR 'dextro noradrenalin':ab,ti OR 'dextro noradrenaline':ab,ti OR 'dl arterenol':ab,ti OR 'dl noradrenalin':ab,ti OR 'dl noradrenalin hydrochloride':ab,ti OR 'l alpha aminomethyl 3, 4 dihydroxybenzyl alcohol':ab,ti OR 'l noradrenalin':ab,ti OR 'l noradrenalin hydrochloride':ab,ti OR 'l noradrenaline':ab,ti OR 'l norepinephrine':ab,ti OR 'levarterenol':ab,ti OR 'levo noradrenalin':ab,ti OR 'levo noradrenaline':ab,ti OR 'levo norepinephrine':ab,ti OR 'levonor':ab,ti OR 'levophed':ab,ti OR 'neomelubrin':ab,ti OR 'neurogenic noradrenalin':ab,ti OR 'noradrec':ab,ti OR 'noradrenalin hydrochloride':ab,ti OR 'noradrenalin reduction':ab,ti OR 'noradrenaline':ab,ti OR 'noradrine':ab,ti OR 'norepinephrin':ab,ti OR 'norepinephrine':ab,ti OR 'norepinephrine hydrochloride':ab,ti OR 'norexadrin':ab,ti OR 'revarterenol':ab,ti OR 'sympathin':ab,ti OR 'sympathin e':ab,ti OR 'catecholamine'/exp OR 'catechol amine; catecholamin':ab,ti OR 'catecholamines':ab,ti OR 'cathecholamine':ab,ti OR 'dextro pyrocatecholamine':ab,ti OR 'endogenous catecholamine':ab,ti OR 'pyrocatechinamine':ab,ti OR 'pyrocatecholamine':ab,ti OR 'hydroxy 5 cholestene':ab,ti OR '3beta hydroxy 5 cholestene':ab,ti OR '3beta hydroxycholest 5 ene':ab,ti OR '5 cholesten 3beta ol':ab,ti OR 'beta cholesterol':ab,ti OR 'cholest 5 en 3beta ol':ab,ti OR 'cholest 5 ene 3 ol':ab,ti OR 'cholesterin':ab,ti OR 'cholesterine':ab,ti OR 'cholesterol release':ab,ti OR 'dythol':ab,ti OR 'nsc 8798':ab,ti OR 'cholesterol'/exp OR 'riacylglycerol' OR 'acylglycerol, tri':ab,ti OR 'fatty acid triglyceride':ab,ti OR 'triacyl glyceride':ab,ti OR 'triglyceride':ab,ti OR 'triglycerides':ab,ti OR 'tryglyceride':ab,ti OR 'beta lipoprotein':ab,ti OR 'ldl':ab,ti OR 'lipoprotein, beta':ab,ti OR 'lipoprotein, low density':ab,ti OR 'lipoproteins, ldl' OR 'low density lipoprotein'/exp OR 'lpha 7 lipoprotein':ab,ti OR 'alpha lipoprotein':ab,ti OR 'hdl':ab,ti OR 'high density lipoprotein phospholipid':ab,ti OR 'lipoprotein, alpha':ab,ti OR 'lipoprotein, high density':ab,ti OR 'lipoproteins, hdl':ab,ti OR 'pre alpha lipoprotein':ab,ti OR 'very high density lipoprotein' OR 'high density lipoprotein'/exp) AND ('randomized controlled trial'/exp OR 'controlled trial':ab,ti OR 'randomized':ab,ti OR 'randomised':ab,ti OR placebo:ab,ti OR 'drug therapy':ab,ti OR randomly:ab,ti OR trial:ab,ti OR groups:ab,ti)

Step 4 'low density lipoprotein'/exp/dd_dt OR 'cholesterol'/exp/dd_dt OR 'noradrenalin'/exp/dd_dt OR 'high density lipoprotein'/exp/dd_dt

Step 5 Step 1 AND (Step 2 OR Step 3 OR Step 4)

45

Step 6 Step 5 AND [animals]/lim

Step 7 Step 5 AND [animals]/lim AND [humans]/lim

Step 8 Step 5 NOT Step 6

Step 9 Step 7 OR Step 8

LILACS  No date limit; run 6 August 2011 (salt OR sodium) AND (noradrenaline OR norepinephrine OR catecholamine OR cholesterol OR triglycerides OR low density lipoprotein OR high density lipoprotein OR LDL OR HDL) Limit: human WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform  No date limit; run 23 August 2011 salt AND noradrenaline OR salt AND norepinephrine OR salt AND catecholamine OR salt AND cholesterol OR salt AND triglycerides OR salt AND low density lipoprotein OR salt AND high density lipoprotein OR salt AND LDL OR salt AND HDL OR sodium AND noradrenaline OR sodium AND norepinephrine OR sodium AND catecholamine OR sodium AND cholesterol OR sodium AND triglycerides OR sodium AND low density lipoprotein OR sodium AND high density lipoprotein OR sodium AND LDL OR sodium AND HDL Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials  No date limit; run 24 August 2011 (salt OR sodium) AND (noradrenaline OR norepinephrine OR catecholamine OR cholesterol OR triglycerides OR low density lipoprotein OR high density lipoprotein OR LDL OR HDL) AND (randomized controlled trial OR controlled clinical trial OR randomized OR placebo OR drug therapy OR randomly OR trial OR groups)

46

An n e x 2 : F u n n e l p l o ts Figure A3.1 Resting systolic blood pressure

Figure A3.2 Resting diastolic blood pressure

47

An n e x 3 : R i s k o f b i a s g r a p h

48

An n e x 4 : R i s k o f b i a s s u m m a r y

49

An n e x 5 : G R AD E e vi d e n c e p r o f i l e Research question: What is the effect of reduced sodium versus higher sodium intake in children 2–15 years of age (inclusive)? Effect of reduced sodium relative to usual sodium intake on blood pressure in children Quality assessment No of studies Design / comparisons

Risk of bias

No of participants

Other Reduced Inconsistency Indirectness Imprecision considerat Control Sodium ions

Resting systolic blood pressure (follow-up 0.75 - 36 months; Better indicated by lower values) 9 / 14 randomis serious1 no serious no serious no serious none 643 ed trials inconsistency indirectness imprecision

741

Resting diastolic blood pressure (follow-up 0.75 - 36 months; Better indicated by lower values) 8 / 13 randomis serious1 serious no serious no serious none 629 ed trials inconsistency2 indirectness imprecision

734

Effect Quality

Importance



CRITICAL

Absolute

MD 0.84 lower (1.43 to 0.25 lower) MD 0.87 lower (1.6 to 0.14 lower)

MODER ATE 

CRITICAL

LOW

Total cholesterol 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

HDL cholesterol 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

LDL cholesterol 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Triglycerides cholesterol 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Adrenaline (plasma) 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Noradrenaline (plasma) 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Adrenaline (urinary) 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Noradrenaline (urinary) 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Minor adverse events 0/0 No studies reported any minor adverse events such as headache, muscle ache, dizziness

IMPORTANT

1 2

2 studies with 4 comparisons were not randomized 95%CI do not always overlap and estimates on both sides of zero

50

Research question: What is the effect of reducing sodium by ≥ 1/3 usual intake versus reducing sodium by < 1/3 usual intake? Quality assessment No of studies / Design comparisons

Risk of bias

No of participants

Other Reduced Inconsistency Indirectness Imprecision considerat Control Sodium ions

Effect Quality

Importance

Absolute

Resting systolic blood pressure 0/0 No studies identified that directly assessed this question1

CRITICAL

Resting diastolic blood pressure 0/0 No studies identified that directly assessed this question1

CRITICAL

Total cholesterol 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

HDL cholesterol 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

LDL cholesterol 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Triglycerides cholesterol 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Adrenaline (plasma) 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Noradrenaline (plasma) 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Adrenaline (urinary) 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Noradrenaline (urinary) 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Minor adverse events 0/0 No studies reported any minor adverse events such as headache, muscle ache, dizziness

IMPORTANT

1

Subgrouping of studies that achieved a reduction in intake of greater than or equal to 1/3 control and those that achieved a reduction less than 1/3 control detected no significant difference in effect size between the groups.

51

Research question: What is the effect of reducing sodium intake to < 2 g/day versus reducing sodium to > 2 g/day? Quality assessment No of studies / Design comparisons

Risk of bias

No of participants

Other Reduced Inconsistency Indirectness Imprecision considerat Control Sodium ions

Effect Quality

Importance

Absolute

Resting systolic blood pressure 0/0 No studies identified that directly assessed this question1

CRITICAL

Resting diastolic blood pressure 0/0 No studies identified that directly assessed this question1

CRITICAL

Total cholesterol 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

HDL cholesterol 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

LDL cholesterol 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Triglycerides cholesterol 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Adrenaline (plasma) 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Noradrenaline (plasma) 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Adrenaline (urinary) 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Noradrenaline (urinary) 0/0 No studies identified

IMPORTANT

Minor adverse events 0/0 No studies reported any minor adverse events such as headache, muscle ache, dizziness

IMPORTANT

1

Subgrouping of studies that achieved a reduction to an intake of greater than or equal to 2 g sodium per day and those that achieved a reduction to less than 2 g sodium per day detected no significant difference in effect size between the groups.

52

An n e x 6 : L i s ts o f ta b l e s a n d f i g u r e s Tables Table 3.1

Controlled trials included in the current review and reasons for preliminary exclusion based on the first phase (original) search, screen and inclusion criteria ............................................................. 19

Table 3.2

Characteristics of participants ........................................................... 20

Table 3.3

Characteristics of included studies .................................................... 21

Table 3.4

Characteristics of controlled studies preliminarily excluded after first phase (original) search............................................................... 23

Table 3.5

Characteristics of controlled studies excluded after third phase (expanded) search ........................................................................... 24

Table 3.6

Conclusions reported by authors in original study references ............. 25

Table 3.7

Effect estimate table: resting systolic blood pressure ......................... 26

Table 3.8

Effect estimate table: resting diastolic blood pressure ........................ 27

Figure 3.1

Flow through screening, inclusion, exclusion for the first phase (original) search for randomized controlled trials ............................... 28

Figure 3.2

Flow through screening, inclusion, exclusion for the outcomes of blood lipids, catecholamine levels and other adverse effects .......... 29

Figure 3.3

Flow through screening, inclusion, exclusion for cohort studies .......... 29

Figure 3.4

Flow through screening, inclusion, exclusion for the third phase (expanded) search ........................................................................... 31

Figure 3.5

Resting systolic blood pressure: all children ....................................... 32

Figure 3.6

Resting systolic blood pressure: sex of participants ............................ 32

Figure 3.7

Resting systolic blood pressure: duration of studies ........................... 33

Figure 3.8

Resting systolic blood pressure: relative difference in sodium intake between reduced sodium and usual sodium groups ................. 33

Figure 3.9

Resting systolic blood pressure: sodium intake of intervention group .............................................................................................. 34

Figures

Figure 3.10 Resting diastolic blood pressure: all children...................................... 34

53

Figure 3.11 Resting diastolic blood pressure: sex of participants........................... 35 Figure 3.12 Resting diastolic blood pressure: duration of studies .......................... 35 Figure 3.13 Resting diastolic blood pressure: relative difference in sodium intake between reduced sodium and usual sodium groups ................. 36 Figure 3.14 Resting diastolic blood pressure: sodium intake of intervention group .............................................................................................. 36 Figure 3.15 Resting systolic blood pressure sensitivity analysis: removal of non-randomized controlled trials ...................................................... 37 Figure 3.16 Resting diastolic blood pressure sensitivity analysis: removal of non-randomized controlled trials ...................................................... 37 Figure A3.1 Resting systolic blood pressure ......................................................... 47 Figure A3.2 Resting diastolic blood pressure ........................................................ 47

54

Full list of references 1

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2

Strong K, Mathers C, Leeder S et al. Preventing chronic diseases: how many lives can we save? Lancet, 2005, 366(9496):1578–1582 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16257345).

3

WHO. Preventing chronic disease: a vital investment. Geneva, World Health Organization (WHO), 2005 (http://www.who.int/chp/chronic_disease_report/full_report.pdf).

4

Mackay J, Mensah G. Atlas of heart disease and stroke. Geneva, World Health Organization (WHO), 2004.

5

Murray CJ, Lauer JA, Hutubessy RC et al. Effectiveness and costs of interventions to lower systolic blood pressure and cholesterol: a global and regional analysis on reduction of cardiovascular-disease risk. Lancet, 2003, 361(9359):717–725 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12620735).

6

Chen X, Wang Y. Tracking of blood pressure from childhood to adulthood: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis. Circulation, 2008, 117(25):3171–3180 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18559702).

7

Daniels SR, Loggie JM, Khoury P et al. Left ventricular geometry and severe left ventricular hypertrophy in children and adolescents with essential hypertension. Circulation, 1998, 97(19):1907–1911 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/9609083).

8

Dickinson HO, Mason JM, Nicolson DJ et al. Lifestyle interventions to reduce raised blood pressure: a systematic review of randomized controlled trials. Journal of Hypertension, 2006, 24(2):215–233 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16508562).

9

Dietary Guidelines Advisory Committee. Adults and sodium: what is the relationship between sodium and blood pressure in adults aged 19 years and older? Washington, D.C., Department of Health and Human Services and Department of Agriculture, 2010 (http://www.nutritionevidencelibrary.com/evidence.cfm?evidence_summary_id=250 164&highlight=adults%20and%20sodium&home=1).

55

10

Graudal NA, Hubeck-Graudal T, Jurgens G. Effects of low sodium diet versus high sodium diet on blood pressure, renin, aldosterone, catecholamines, cholesterol, and triglyceride. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, 2011, 11:CD004022 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22071811).

11

He FJ, MacGregor GA. Effect of longer-term modest salt reduction on blood pressure. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, 2004, 3:CD004937 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15266549).

12

Hooper L, Bartlett C, Davey SG et al. Advice to reduce dietary salt for prevention of cardiovascular disease. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, 2004, 1:CD003656 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/14974027).

13

Dietary Guidelines Advisory Committee. What is the effect of a reduced sodium intake on blood pressure in children from birth to age 18 years? Washington, D.C., Department of Health and Human Services and Department of Agriculture, 2010 (http://www.nutritionevidencelibrary.com/tmp/NEL_500569E6081A316DDCEB9EBDC 66165AC.pdf).

14

He FJ, MacGregor GA. Importance of salt in determining blood pressure in children: meta-analysis of controlled trials. Hypertension, 2006, 48(5):861–869 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17000923).

15

Liberati A, Altman DG, Tetzlaff J et al. The PRISMA statement for reporting systematic reviews and meta-analyses of studies that evaluate healthcare interventions: explanation and elaboration. BMJ, 2009, 339:b2700 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19622552).

16

Cochrane handbook for systematic reviews of interventions version 5.1.0. The Cochrane Collaboration, 2011 (www.cochrane-handbook.org).

17

Deeks JJ, Dinnes J, D'Amico R et al. Evaluating non-randomised intervention studies. Health Technology Assessment, 2003, 7(27):iii–x, 1–173 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/14499048).

18

Howe PR, Jureidini KF, Smith RM. Sodium and blood pressure in children – a shortterm dietary intervention study. Proceedings of the Nutrition Society of Australia, 1985, 10:121–124 (http://apjcn.nhri.org.tw/server/APJCN/ProcNutSoc/19801989/1985/NSA%201985%20121-124.pdf).

19

Palacios C, Wigertz K, Martin BR et al. Sodium retention in black and white female adolescents in response to salt intake. Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism, 2004, 89(4):1858–1863 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15070956).

20

Trevisan M, Cooper R, Ostrow D et al. Dietary sodium, erythrocyte sodium concentration, sodium-stimulated lithium efflux and blood pressure. Clinical Science (London), 1981, 61(Suppl 7):29s–32s (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/7318331).

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21

Follmann D, Elliott P, Suh I et al. Variance imputation for overviews of clinical trials with continuous response. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 1992, 45(7):769–773 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/1619456).

22

Higgins JP, Thompson SG. Quantifying heterogeneity in a meta-analysis. Statistics in Medicine, 2002, 21(11):1539–1558 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12111919).

23

Higgins J, Thompson S, Deeks J et al. Statistical heterogeneity in systematic reviews of clinical trials: a critical appraisal of guidelines and practice. Journal of Health Services Research & Policy, 2002, 7(1):51–61 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11822262).

24

Lau J, Ioannidis JP, Terrin N et al. The case of the misleading funnel plot. BMJ, 2006, 333(7568):597–600 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16974018).

25

Sterne JA, Egger M. Funnel plots for detecting bias in meta-analysis: guidelines on choice of axis. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 2001, 54(10):1046–1055 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11576817).

26

Guyatt GH, Oxman AD, Vist GE et al. GRADE: an emerging consensus on rating quality of evidence and strength of recommendations. BMJ, 2008, 336(7650):924–926 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18436948).

27

Calabrese EJ, Tuthill RW. The Massachusetts Blood Pressure Study, Part 3. Experimental reduction of sodium in drinking water: effects on blood pressure. Toxicology and Industrial Health, 1985, 1(1):19–34 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/3842544).

28

Ellison RC, Capper AL, Stephenson WP et al. Effects on blood pressure of a decrease in sodium use in institutional food preparation: the Exeter-Andover Project. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 1989, 42(3):201-208 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2709080).

29

Gillum RF, Elmer PJ, Prineas RJ. Changing sodium intake in children. The Minneapolis Children's Blood Pressure Study. Hypertension, 1981, 3(6):698–703 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/7298122).

30

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For further information please contact: Nutrition Policy and Scientific Advice Unit (NPU) Department of Nutrition for Health and Development (NHD) World Health Organization (WHO) 20, Avenue Appia CH–1211 Geneva 27 Switzerland Fax: +41.22.791.4156 E-mail: [email protected] NHD website: http://www.who.int//nutrition

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