Global IPv4 Transfer Market 2013 Pricing Trends & 2014 Outlook - apnic

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Feb 27, 2014 - ARIN free pool depletion likely in Q4 2014, demand already beginning and supply is abundant. •. Price p
Global IPv4 Transfer Market 2013 Pricing Trends & 2014 Outlook February 27, 2014 Lightning Talk: Apricot 37 1

Purpose of Talk • At APNIC 36, IPv4 Market Group presented the “10 Steps to a Successful APNIC Transfer” • Step 1 was internal planning and budgeting/business case for IPv4 acquisition • This talk focuses on Market Pricing for IPv4 transfers to support Step 1.

Global Pricing •

Nortel / Microsoft (03/2011) $11.25 US per IP



Borders / Cerner (12/2011) $12.00 US per IP



Our transfers are under Non-Disclosure Agreement thus nothing is published regarding block size, price, companies (buyer/seller) –

Average Prices over 24 months: • • • • • • •

/15s: $10.01 US /16s: $10.21 US /17s: $10.35 US /18s: $10.52 US /19s: $11.84 US /20s: $15.24 US /22s: $18.33 US –



Minimum three transactions per block size

Factors that influence price (for buyer; for seller) – – – – –

Pre-approved / Accurately registered Urgency to procure / monetize; Governing Law and Dispute resolution forum; Payment Methodology Experience with previous transfers

RIPE Transfers in 2013 USD Price per IP /15s or /16s $10.60 $10.50 $10.40 $10.30 $10.20 $10.10 $10.00 $9.90 $9.80 $9.70 Q1

Q2

Q3 Series 1

Q4

ARIN/APNIC Transfers in 2013 USD Price per IP /15 or /16s 10.50 10.00 9.50 9.00 8.50 8.00 7.50 Q1

Q2

Q3 Series 1

Q4

/20 Transfers in 2013 RIPE Region Price per IP /20s $17.50 $17.00 $16.50 $16.00

$15.50 $15.00 $14.50 $14.00 $13.50 $13.00 $12.50 Q1

Q2

Q3 Series 1

Q4

2014 Price Predictions •

Very little change is anticipated in 2014 in any active transfer region



Disparity between RIPE and ARIN/APNIC region pricing will be maintained and grow marginally by year-end fueled predominately by continued demand in RIPE and reduced supply



ARIN free pool depletion likely in Q4 2014, demand already beginning and supply is abundant



Price per IP will continue to increase as block size decreases



For internal planning and budgeting purposes, it is safe to assuming the following: –

For ARIN / APNIC region, anticipate approximately $9 US per IP on /15s or /16s scaling upwards to approximately $13 US per IP on /20s



For RIPE region, anticipate at least $10 US per IP on /15s or /16s scaling upwards to approximately $15+ per IP on /20s

Questions?