Feb 27, 2014 - ARIN free pool depletion likely in Q4 2014, demand already beginning and supply is abundant. â¢. Price p
Global IPv4 Transfer Market 2013 Pricing Trends & 2014 Outlook February 27, 2014 Lightning Talk: Apricot 37 1
Purpose of Talk • At APNIC 36, IPv4 Market Group presented the “10 Steps to a Successful APNIC Transfer” • Step 1 was internal planning and budgeting/business case for IPv4 acquisition • This talk focuses on Market Pricing for IPv4 transfers to support Step 1.
Global Pricing •
Nortel / Microsoft (03/2011) $11.25 US per IP
•
Borders / Cerner (12/2011) $12.00 US per IP
•
Our transfers are under Non-Disclosure Agreement thus nothing is published regarding block size, price, companies (buyer/seller) –
Average Prices over 24 months: • • • • • • •
/15s: $10.01 US /16s: $10.21 US /17s: $10.35 US /18s: $10.52 US /19s: $11.84 US /20s: $15.24 US /22s: $18.33 US –
•
Minimum three transactions per block size
Factors that influence price (for buyer; for seller) – – – – –
Pre-approved / Accurately registered Urgency to procure / monetize; Governing Law and Dispute resolution forum; Payment Methodology Experience with previous transfers
RIPE Transfers in 2013 USD Price per IP /15s or /16s $10.60 $10.50 $10.40 $10.30 $10.20 $10.10 $10.00 $9.90 $9.80 $9.70 Q1
Q2
Q3 Series 1
Q4
ARIN/APNIC Transfers in 2013 USD Price per IP /15 or /16s 10.50 10.00 9.50 9.00 8.50 8.00 7.50 Q1
Q2
Q3 Series 1
Q4
/20 Transfers in 2013 RIPE Region Price per IP /20s $17.50 $17.00 $16.50 $16.00
Very little change is anticipated in 2014 in any active transfer region
•
Disparity between RIPE and ARIN/APNIC region pricing will be maintained and grow marginally by year-end fueled predominately by continued demand in RIPE and reduced supply
•
ARIN free pool depletion likely in Q4 2014, demand already beginning and supply is abundant
•
Price per IP will continue to increase as block size decreases
•
For internal planning and budgeting purposes, it is safe to assuming the following: –
For ARIN / APNIC region, anticipate approximately $9 US per IP on /15s or /16s scaling upwards to approximately $13 US per IP on /20s
–
For RIPE region, anticipate at least $10 US per IP on /15s or /16s scaling upwards to approximately $15+ per IP on /20s