idaho 2011 - Complete College America

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Too few students make it through college. ... Note: This report presents data only from public colleges and universities
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IDAHO 2011

For a strong economy, the skills gap must be closed.

63% 34% 29%

By 2020, jobs requiring a career certificate or college degree Idaho adults who currently have an associate degree or higher Skills gap Data: See the Sources and Methodology section on our website.

Too few students make it through college. Of students who enroll in a public college or university

2-Year Public College Full-Time Part-Time

100 4-Year Public College Full-Time Part-Time

Enroll

32

9

46

13

Return as sophomores

15

3

30

5

Graduate on time (100% time)

4

0

8

1

Additional graduates 150% time

3

1

11

1

2

0

4

1

9

1

23

3

200% time Total graduates

Graduate in 4 years

10

26 Key to measuring time

Graduate in 8 years Associate

Bachelor’s

100% time

2 years

4 years

150% time

3 years

6 years

200% time

4 years

8 years

Data: 2-year cohort started in fall 2004; 4-year cohort started in fall 2002

!

For

too many students, the path through college ends with no degree — and often lots of debt.

Note: This report presents data only from public colleges and universities.

Complete College America n 1

IDAHO 2011

We’re making great progress in providing access to more students. Total public college enrollment: 56,172 Pursuing Degrees & Certificates

Attending

41,494

37,173 Full-time

18,999

Part-time

Total State Population, Age 18-24

4-year colleges

14,678

College Enrollment

2-year colleges

College Graduation White 84%

White 80%

White 83%

Hispanic 6%

Hispanic 12% African American 1%

African American 1%

Other races 5%

Hispanic 5% Other races 12%

Other races 10%

Data: Fall 2009 enrollment from IPEDS; population data from Census ACS PUMS 06-08; degrees by race from 2007-10 state submissions

!



Now we must have more success from all students.

For states to compete, their students must earn more degrees and certificates. Overall Credentials Awarded

Science, Technology, Engineering, Math (STEM) Credentials Awarded 4,941

1,034

990

2003

2008

4,574

1,774 955 2003

694 2008

Certificate

2003

1,891 2008

Associate

2003

2008

Bachelor’s

67 2003

33 2008

Certificate

318 2003

226 2008

Associate

Bachelor’s Data: 2007–08

!



And all credentials should provide clear pathways to success. Complete College America n 2

IDAHO 2011

Graduation rates are very low, especially if you’re poor, part time, African American, Hispanic, or older. Certificate-Seeking Students 2005 Full-Time

2005 Part-Time

Directly from HS (age 17–19)

Pell Grant Recipients (at entry)

Hispanic

25.1%

26.0%

DS*

DS*

26.0%

26.3%

24.1%

17.5%

14.0%

Within 1 /2 years

30.0%

31.4%

DS*

DS*

31.5%

30.1%

29.5%

21.5%

18.0%

Within 2 years

33.4%

34.7%

25.5%

DS*

34.6%

30.8%

33.9%

27.8%

21.0%

Within 1 year

6.2%

DS*

DS*

DS*

DS*

DS*

DS*

DS*

DS*

Within 1 /2 years

12.3%

10.9%

DS*

DS*

DS*

DS*

DS*

DS*

DS*

Within 2 years

17.4%

15.4%

DS*

DS*

20.5%

DS*

16.9%

DS*

13.3%

1

1

All

White

Remedial

In most states, very few students seeking certificates ever graduate.

17.4%

Associate DegreeSeeking Students

All

White

Hispanic

African American

Age 25 and Over

DS*

DS*

7.7%

Directly from HS (age 17–19)

Pell Grant Recipients (at entry)

5.9%

9.6%

3.5%

2.9%

Age 20–24

Remedial

On-time (2 years)

8.7%

9.4%

Within 3 years

17.5%

18.8%

9.9%

DS*

15.4%

13.6%

18.8%

8.6%

6.9%

Within 4 years

21.4%

23.0%

16.4%

DS*

18.9%

18.2%

22.6%

11.8%

9.5%

Within 2 years

DS*

NP*

DS*

DS*

DS*

DS*

DS*

DS*

DS*

Within 3 years

5.5%

6.1%

DS*

DS*

4.7%

DS*

6.3%

5.9%

DS*

Within 4 years

9.0%

10.0%

DS*

DS*

9.8%

DS*

9.2%

8.4%

5.2%

2004 Full-Time

2004 Part-Time

Associate degree graduation rates are abysmal across the country — for Hispanic and African American students, they’re tragic.

23.0% 16.4%

Bachelor’s DegreeSeeking Students

2002 Part-Time

Age 20–24

On-time (1 year)

33.4%

2002 Full-Time

Age 25 and Over

African American

All

White

Hispanic

African American

Age 25 and Over

Age 20–24

Directly from HS (age 17–19)

Pell Grant Recipients (at entry)

Remedial

On-time (4 years)

18.5%

19.4%

6.3%

DS*

20.8%

27.7%

16.1%

14.0%

4.7%

Within 6 years

44.3%

44.1%

34.6%

33.3%

33.1%

45.3%

40.1%

34.1%

18.7%

Within 8 years

51.0%

52.1%

40.9%

36.1%

39.6%

52.0%

48.5%

43.4%

28.5%

Within 4 years

4.5%

4.7%

DS*

DS*

4.8%

6.7%

DS*

4.7%

DS*

Within 6 years

11.9%

12.4%

DS*

DS*

12.0%

12.9%

10.5%

14.0%

6.8%

Within 8 years

16.7%

17.4%

DS*

DS*

16.4%

16.8%

16.8%

19.8%

11.9%

33.1%

40.1%

12.0%

Almost no one over the age of 25 graduates; students fresh out of high school are most likely to succeed.

Data: Certificate cohort started in 2005–06, associate cohort started in 2004–05, bachelor's cohort started in 2002–03

!

Given

changing demographics, our country will not have enough skilled Americans to compete unless many more students from all backgrounds and walks of life graduate.

NP* = The state did not provide data for this metric. DS* = Fewer than 10 students, so data were suppressed.

Complete College America n 3

IDAHO 2011

Retention rates drop from year to year. Many get discouraged and drop out … Full-Time

Students in 2-year colleges who return to campus Students in 4-year colleges who return to campus

Start

Year 2

Part-Time

Year 3

Year 4

100%

Start

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

31.0%

20.6%

38.9%

28.5%

100% 48.4%

25.4%

100%

100% 64.8%

51.4%

44.2%

22.8%

… after falling off track early. Full-Time (24 credits)

Students who earn expected first-year credits

Part-Time (12 credits)

Associate

Bachelor’s

Associate

41.9%

53.5%

31.0%

Bachelor’s 46.3%

Data: Associate cohort started in 2004–05, bachelor's cohort started in 2002–03; earned credits from fall 2006

!

Staying

enrolled is particularly tough for part-time students, who must often balance jobs and school.

Remediation PXVWEHIL[HG. 2-Year Colleges

4-Year Colleges

57.4%

of freshmen require remediation

of those …

19.9%

of freshmen require remediation

of those …

65.2%

62.0%

42.2% 23.5% Complete remediation

Complete remediation and associated college-level courses in two years

18.7%

6.9% Graduate within 3 years (projected)

Complete remediation

Complete remediation and associated college-level courses in two years

Graduate within 6 years (projected) Data: Fall 2006

!



Current approaches almost always guarantee failure. Complete College America n 4

IDAHO 2011

Precious time and money are lost when students don’t graduate on schedule. Students are taking too much time … Certificate

Full-time students take 3.3 years

Part-time students take 4.9 years

Associate

Full-time students take 5 years

Part-time students take 5.8 years

Bachelor’s

Full-time students take 5.4 years

Part-time students take 6.6 years

Should take 4 years for full-time students Should take 1 year for full-time students

Should take 2 years for full-time students

… and too many credits. Certificate

Associate

Bachelor’s

Full-time students take 144 credits Full-time students take 102 credits Full-time students take 58 credits

Part-time students take 62 credits

Part-time students take 147 credits

Part-time students take 93 credits Should take 120 credits

Should take 60 credits Should take 30 credits

Data: 2007–08

! More students must graduate on time.

Complete College America n 5

IDAHO 2011

More time isn’t giving us enough success. For certificate and associate degree students, graduation rates are very low … even when students take more time. Associate

Certificate

25.1%

Full-Time

33.4% 30.0%

21.4% Full-Time

17.4% Part-Time

In 1 year

17.5%

8.7%

12.3%

9.0% 5.5% Part-Time

In 1.5 years

In 2 years

In 2 years

In 4 years

In 3 years

On-time graduation rates for bachelor’s degree students are shockingly low. And adding time beyond six years produces little additional success. Bachelor’s

51.0% Full-Time

44.3%

18.5% Part-Time

In 4 years

16.7% 11.9%

In 6 years

In 8 years

Data: Certificate cohort started in 2005–06; associate cohort started in 2004–05; bachelor's cohort started in 2002–03

!

E ven

modest progress provides little comfort when overall graduation rates are so low.

Complete College America n 6

IDAHO 2011

Graduation rates by campus Public two-year colleges

Public four-year colleges

(In 3 years)

(In 6 years)

Eastern Idaho Technical College North Idaho College College of Southern Idaho

37% 23% 18%

University of Idaho

56%

Idaho State University Boise State University Lewis-Clark State College

34% 27% 22%

Data: Reported by institutions to NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Graduation rates are for first-time, full-time students completing certificate or degree within 150 percent of normal program time. Source: U.S. Department of Education, IPEDS 2009–10 Graduation Rates Complete College America n 7