Improved Security Provides Opening for Cooperation - National ...

Apr 21, 2017 - Baghdad. South. West. Kurdistan. Right direction. Wrong direction. Optimism in all regions except Kurdistan. Generally speaking, do you think that things in Iraq are going in the right direction, or do you think things are going in the wrong direction? ∆ Jan'16 +29. +31. +20. +28. +16. +59. +3. Right direction ...
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Improved Security Provides Opening for Cooperation March – April 2017 Survey Findings

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The research • National Survey (excluding areas currently held by ISIS) – March 26 – April 21, 2017 – 1,338 respondents (unweighted 2,020 respondents) • 293 Baghdad respondents (unweighted 500 respondents) • 500 South respondents (unweighted 500 respondents) • 363 West respondents (unweighted 520 respondents, including 200 interviews in Mosul city) • 184 Kurdistan respondents (unweighted 500 respondents)

– Margin of error on national sample: +/- 2.19 • +/- 4.4% in each region – Oversamples of those who lived under ISIS • 200 interviews in the Khazer M1 camp, Ninewa • 100 interviews in Salahaddin, all lived under ISIS for at least 1 year • 100 interviews in Anbar, all lived under ISIS for at least 1 year • Data excluded from national sample, since selected on criteria (not randomly) Page 2

The Iraq “Dashboard” – Bounce back from historic lows Metric/survey question

Current %

Change Jan ‘16

Movement

Country direction, % right, total

39

+29

Much Better

Security, % better, total

60

+26

Much Better

Electricity supply, % better, total

39

+12

Better

Corruption, % better, total

13

+3

Stable

Job opportunities, % better, total

12

+1

Stable

Abadi favorability, % favorable among Shia

46

+15

Better

Abadi favorability, in West

68

+52

Much Better

Sectarianism, % better, total

62

+32

Much Better

Iraq is mostly unified %, total

45

+3

Stable

Sunni/Shia relations, % better, total

84

+40

Much Better

KRG/Baghdad relations, % better, total

22

+18

Better

Kurdish direction, % right, Kurdistan only

43

+15

Better Page 3

Improved security drives optimism

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Overall country mood rebounds Generally speaking, do you think that things in Iraq are going in the right direction, or do you think things are going in the wrong direction? Right direction

Wrong direction

100

82 80

65

65 60

45 40

44

50 50 50

48

41 41

44 37

51

40

41 31

20

55

39

34 26 10

0 Nov-10 Apr-11 Sep-11 Feb-12

54

59

Jul-12

Dec-12 Jun-13 Nov-13 Apr-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Aug-15 Jan-16

Jun-16 Nov-16 Apr-17

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Optimism in all regions except Kurdistan Generally speaking, do you think that things in Iraq are going in the right direction, or do you think things are going in the wrong direction? Right direction ∆ Jan’16 +29

+31

Wrong direction

+20

+28

+16

+59

+3

Right direction

100

95 80 60

64

59 40

39

62

57 41 32

20

36

62

35

64

34 3

0

Total

Urban

Rural

Baghdad

South

West

Kurdistan Page 6

Iraqi priorities shift as security improves Now, I am going to read you a list of concerns that some people may have. Which TWO of these are the most important for