industry predictions 2017 - Microlise

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INDUSTRY PREDICTIONS 2017 VIEWS ON THE YEAR AHEAD FROM TRANSPORT & LOGISTICS LEADERS

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INTRODUCTION

CONTENTS

We’ve asked leaders from across the transport industry for their thoughts on 2016 and predictions for the year ahead. Let’s face it, 2016 saw plenty of challenges and unexpected issues, but will 2017 be a year of opportunity for the transport industry? Read on to find out...

RAY ASHWORTH

Each individual was asked the following three questions:

ANDY BOYLE

Managing Director, DAF Trucks UK

RICHARD BURNETT Chief Executive, Road Haulage Association Managing Director, A.B.E.

++ What was most unexpected about 2016?

VERITY CULLUM

++ What will be the biggest challenge for the industry in 2017?

PAUL DUGGAN

Marketing Manager, MAN Truck & Bus UK

++ What do you see as the biggest opportunities for the industry in 2017?

Company Director, Paul Duggan Consulting

NICK HAY Managing Director, Fowler Welch

ANDY JENKINS

HOW TO GUIDE FOR MOBILE DEVICES

Director, SE Davis & Son Ltd

YOUR GUIDE TO USING THIS INTERATIVE EBOOK:

GRAHAM LACKEY Managing Director, Brit European

RONAN QUIGLEY Head of Central Operations UK, Aryzta

NADEEM RAZA Chief Executive Officer, Microlise

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KEVIN RICHARDSON Chief Executive, Chartered Institute of Logistics and Transport

CHRISTOPHER WALTON Managing Editor, Road Transport Media

DAVID WELLS Chief Executive, Freight Transport Association

RAY ASHWORTH Managing Director, DAF Trucks UK

BIGGEST CHALLENGES The impact on costs of Brexit. We have seen an 18% increase in costs since Brexit due to the fall of sterling against the Euro. We are concerned over London’s plans for a ULEZ in 2019, and its Direct Vision standards for Vulnerable Road Users with the focus yet again on HGVs. Some 9,400 deaths in London are blamed on poor air quality. TfL’s own figures show that only 400 trucks enter the congestion zone each day, compared with 7,000 cars and 2,000 vans. London is focussing on achieving lower emissions from the same number of polluters rather than lowering the number of polluters, which has the benefit of reducing congestions as well. Freight cannot rely on public transport, but people can. ULEZ is based on Euro VI emissions standards. Euro VI HGVs meet the emissions standards at all operating cycles, yet Euro VI for diesel cars and vans, miss the standard at all operating cycles even when empty. Direct Vision standards are focused around an expensive option from a German truck manufacturer. We are also concerned that cabs with low level seating do not provide the optimum position for longer distance driving on motorways at 56 mph.

BIGGEST OPPORTUNITIES FOR 2017 The truck market will continue to be strong; it is becoming increasingly resilient to major changes and announcements. We predict the market for trucks over 6 tonnes will be 42,000. The industry will continue to rethink specifications of vehicles for urban operation, including diesel/electric hybrids in the medium term and new cab designs for 2021 that incorporated direct vision standards.

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RICHARD BURNETT Chief Executive, Road Haulage Association

MOST UNEXPECTED

BIGGEST CHALLENGES

Failure to see that the UK would vote Leave, given the vigour of the Brexiteers compared with Remainers an