International Conference - WMO

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Nov 14, 2014 - en prediction tools r understanding of .... climate monitoring, analyzing, and modeling, weather forecast
BACK KGROUND It is brroadly known thatt the warm and cold phases of ENSO O (namely, El Niñ ño and La Niña) cause serious soocial and econom mic impacts to coountries around th he world. Knowlledge about ENSO O and its impacts help to strengtheen prediction toolss used in supporrt of early warningg systems. Therefoore, improving ourr understanding of ENSO is fundam mental in reducing societal vulnerabillities. The high social and econnomic relevance of ENSO research annd prediction must be b visible i arenaa and the past experriences of extraorddinary ENSO eventts such as in the international the El Niño 1982-1983 aand 1997-1998 rem mind us of our vulnnerability as a society. This n the face vulnerability to extreme nnatural climate hazzards is moreover llikely to increase in bal warming. of glob The paast 30 years has seeen significant proggress in our abilityy to observe, understand and predictt ENSO. Yet, in the past decade,, ENSO predictioon skill has declined with significant consequencess on how to prepaare for and cope w with the associated d climatic impactts. This decline in pprediction skill hass occurred despite new theoretical approaches, significant advances on pphysical parameterrizations of subgridd-scale processes, and a better ons about and mo ore robust computter power. In addition, there are majoor unsolved questio the inffluence of climate cchange on ENSO bboth in the current cclimate and in the future. f It is allso needed to bridgge the gaps between the global and the regional science and to improv ve operational EN NSO prediction. These imperativves demand a strrong and uch as the coordin nated scientific eff ffort that requires ssustaining vital obsserving systems su ocesses in TAO-T TRITON array, addvancing ENSO sccience, including m more regional pro climatee models, and deeveloping improveed assimilation syystems for new ocean and climatee data on region sccales. he context This baackground highlighhts the need to adddress ENSO scientific challenges in th of inteernational climate rresearch, assessmeents, and operationnal prediction efforrts. As a catalyzzing activity in thiss process, CIIFEN proposes a III International Confeerence on d regional ENSO O, dedicated to “Brridging the gaps bbetween Global EN NSO Science and om 12-14 processses, extremes annd impacts” to be held in Guayaquil, Ecuador fro Workshop Novem mber 2014. This coonference is a folloow-on to the Seconnd International “W on EN NSO, Decadal Va Variability and Cllimate Change inn South America: Trends, telecon nnections and poteential impacts” helld in October 20100 and the First Inteernational ENSO Conference: “Thee El Niño phenomeenon and its global impact” in May 2005, both n Guayaquil, Ecuaddor. held in

ovember 2014 willl aim to synthesizee The III Internaational Conferencee on ENSO in No progress on EN NSO research, with h a detailed view off the climate-society relationship, and d to share experriences in vulneraability assessment methodologies ussed by the climatee impact studies community. Thiss conference will bring b together scientists and experts ons and operationaal climate servicess to build on new w involved in reesearch, observatio knowledge for improving the pred diction of ENSO an nd its regional imp pacts, and to discuss r to ENSO climate anomaliess. decision suppoort approaches in prreparation of and response Our intent is too provide a forum for f efficiently linkin ng science with societal needs, one of o the envisaged W World Climate Ressearch Program (W WCRP) “Grand Challlenges.”

VENU UE The Co onference will be hheld in the Auditorrium of the Centro Cultural “Libertad dor Simón Bolívaar” ex-MACC- Mallecón 2000 in Guaayaquil, Ecuador

MAIN GOA AL OF THE CO ONFERENCE To review proggress on the science of ENSO and related r regional prrocesses in order to o improve the prrediction of regionaal impacts; and to contribute c to devellopment of decision n support framew works that allow tim mely and appropriiate planning and response r at nationaal and local levelss.

OBJECTIV VES 

   

To ssynthesize the pro ogress in ENSO research: physical processes and d feedbbacks, theoretical approaches, imp proved representattion of ENSO in n compplex climate modells, decadal to centennial variations in n the ENSO cyclee, the rrole of the extratrropics in ENSO development, d ENSO interaction with h regional processes, and related topics. To reeview the global an nd regional challen nges of ENSO pred diction and climatee inform mation services. To reeview the history of o recurrent hazard ds related to ENSO O extremes and thee need to enhance researcch efforts in this fieeld. To uupdate our understtanding of global ENSO teleconneection patterns and d relateed impacts. To uppdate progress on new global and regional efforts forr ENSO prediction n, obserrvations and early warning w systems.

CON NVENER Internaational Research Ceentre for El Niño pphenomenon - CIIIFEN

CONFERENCE The III International Conference on ENSO will be organized in 6 plenary sessions, related poster sessions and an International Exhibition. The specialized session will emphasize the following topics: I. II. III. IV. V. VI.

ENSO dynamics ENSO and other modes of climate variability (intraseasonal, decadal, centennial) ENSO modeling and prediction ENSO and Regional processes ENSO impacts ENSO global, regional and national information services

Poster sessions will be organized corresponding to each plenary session.

CLIMATE SERVICES STAGE The CLIMATE SERVICES stage is a special venue where selected ENSO Conference participants are allowed (10-15) minutes to present a climate services related topic, project or initiative. Its aim is to widen the array of topics that are discussed at the Conference beyond those that are presented in the main specialized sessions. The CLIMATE SERVICES stage will be presented all the days of the Conference between 12h30-14h00 in a special location in the exhibition room. All the presentations will be recorded and posted in a special site for wider dissemination. The topics for each day are: Day 1 (12h30-14h00): Climate services for agriculture, food security, health and water.

SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE Michael McPhaden (National Ocean and Atmosphere Administration – NOAA, USA) Aldo Montecinos (Universidad de Concepción –UDEC. Chile) Eric Guilyardi (IPSL /LOCEAN, France) José Marengo (Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciaes – INPE, Brasil) Mat Collins (University of Exeter, United Kingdom) Rupa Kumar Kolli (World Meteorological Organization - WMO) Ashok Karumuri (Centre for Climate Change Research; Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, India) Francisco Doblas Reyes (Institut Català de Ciències del Clima, Spain) María del Pilar Cornejo (Escuela Politécnica del Litoral, Ecuador) Wenju Cai (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research -Australia) José Daniel Pabón (Centro Internacional para la Investigación sobre el Fenómeno de El Niño –CIIFEN)

LOCAL ORGANIZING INSTITUTIONS Centro Internacional para la Investigación del fenómeno de El Niño - CIIFEN Secretaría de Gestión de Riesgo de Desastres – Instituto Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología - INAMHI

PARTICIPANTS It is expected to have participation of scientists from around the world who are working on climate variability and climate change associated to ENSO issue and on assessment of climate socioeconomic impacts, as well as participants from Environmental Community, Risk and Disasters Management sectors, and Decision Makers.

Day2 (12h30-14h00): Climate services for risk management and adaptation

MAIN PROGRAM Registration Opening Ceremony Opening  Conference Break Coffee SESION 1: ENSO Dynamics

Additionally, the INTERNATIONAL EXHIBITION “CLIMATE & SOCIETY” will be organized to allow different Weather & Climate centers, science and technology institutions, the private sector, environmental NGOs and commercial agencies to promote their activities, products and services.

10:30‐11:00 11:00‐13:00

Central Session Conference 6 oral prsentations 20´ each

LUNCH TIME

Climate Services Stage

SESION 2: ENSO and others climate  variability modes 14:00‐14:40 14:40‐15:20 15:20‐15:50 15:50‐17:30 17:30‐18:30

Central Session Conference 2 oral presentations 20´ each

Break Coffe  5 oral presentations 20´each

Poster presentations Adjourn

THIRD DAY

SECOND DAY SESION 3: ENSO Modeling and Prediction 8:30‐9:00 9:00‐9:40 9:40‐10:20 10:20‐10:50 10:50‐12:30

LUNCH TIME

Poster presentations Central Session Conference 2 oral presentations 20´each 5 oral presentations 20´ each

5 oral presentations 20´ each

Climate Services Stage

LUNCH TIME

Climate Services Stage

Break Coffee

SESION 4: ENSO and Regional Processes 14:00‐14:40 14:40‐15:20 15:20‐15:50 15:50‐17:30 17:30‐18:30

SESION 5: ENSO Impacts 8:30‐9:00 9:00‐9:40 9:40‐10:20 10:20‐10:50 10:50‐12:30

Central Session Conference 2 oral presentations 20´ each

Break Coffe  5 oral presentations 20´each Poster presentations

Adjourn

Poster presentations Central Session Conference 2 oral presentations 20´each

Break Coffee

SESION 6: ENSO, Global, Regional, and  National Information Services 14:00‐14:40 14:40‐15:20 15:20‐15:50 15:50‐17:30 17:30‐18:30

Central Session Conference 2 oral presentations 20´ each

Break Coffe  5 oral presentations 20´each Poster presentations

Adjourn

ALL DAYS, ALL TIME

INTERNATIONAL EXHIBITION           "CLIMATE & SOCIETY"

FIRST DAY 8:00‐8:30 8:30 ‐ 8:45 8:45 ‐9:30

EXPOSITIONS   IN   POSTER  HALL 

Day 3 (12h30-14h00): Climate services for decision makers and authorities

CONFERENCE PARTICIPATION FEES

REGISTRATION

The participation in the Conference may be with oral or poster presentation or by simply attendance. The following fees are established for participants

The registration for participation (oral or poster presentation or exhibitor) can be made directly by the CIIFEN Web page http://www.ciifen.org/nternational ENSOConference filling out the form provided for this purpose placed below.

Before October 31st, 2014

After November 1st, 2014

US $ 250,oo

US $ 300,oo

With the payment, participant will obtain: Printed material (program, Conference ID Card - badge; Certificate of participation; tourist information), e-Proceedings (a compilation of abstract in USB Memory Stick), Coffee breaks, Participation in social and cultural events, souvenir

EXHIBITION AREA FEES In the Climate & Society Section of the International Exhibition the NGOs, climate centers, climate related research groups or universities can expose the experiences of case studies where the relationship climate-society is pointed out (climate knowledge application, adaptation to climate variability and change, participative warning system, and so on). Exhibition area unit with 2,5 x 2 meters (5m2) will be available at a price of US$3750,oo (US$750,oo by m2) each. This include a table, two chairs, power outlet, registration (with special ID badges) for 2 individuals of the exhibitor agency with access to the coffee breaks and Conference social event. In the commercial section different agencies could present products related to the climate monitoring, analyzing, and modeling, weather forecasting and climate prediction tools. For that, exhibition areas unit with 3x2 (6m2), a table, 2 chairs and power outlet will be available at US$4500,oo (US750,oo by m2). The payment for unit exhibition area will include registration (with special ID badges) for 2 individuals of the commercial exhibitors personal with access to the coffee breaks and social event of the Conference. In the exhibition area Wi-Fi will be available during the conference. Exhibitors can separate and pay for multiple units to organize the exposition

PAYMENT The payment may be made through the conference Web page (http://www.ciifen.org/nternational ENSOConference) using VISA, Master Card or American Express credit cards.

TIMELINE 30th May 2014

Deadline for abstracts submission

30th June 2014

Communication about Acceptance (for oral, poster presentation or Climate Services Stage)

31st August 2014

Deadline for full manuscript submission Deadline for exhibition registration

30th September 2014

Deadline for payment to be included in the Final Program

31st October 2014

Final Program Publication

12th - 14th November 2014

International Conference

In the Final Program will be included only the timely received contributions that have already paid for participation at 30 September 2014 __________________________________

Additional information may be obtained sending e-mail to the coordination of the Conference to address [email protected]

Centro Internacional para la Investigación del Fenómeno de El Niño CIIFEN Escobedo 1204 y 9 de Octubre. Guayaquil-ECUADOR P.O Box: 09014237 Phone: (593) 4 2514770 Fax: (593) 4 2 514771

Web site: http://www.ciifen.org