Malaysia Market Strategy - Economic Transformation Programme [PDF]

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02 April 2012 Asia Pacific/Malaysia Equity Research Investment Strategy

Malaysia Market Strategy Research Analyst Tan Ting Min 603 2723 2080 [email protected] Danny Goh 603 2723 2083 [email protected] Amir Hamzah 603 2723 2086 [email protected] Foong Wai Loke 603 2723 2082 [email protected] Annuar Aziz 603 2723 2084 [email protected]

STRATEGY

ETP: Kudos in 2011, but is this sustainable? Figure 1: 2011 GNI and private investment targets were surpassed 200% 180%

Target = RM797 bn

Target = RM83 bn

160% 140% 120%

RM830bn 104%

RM94 bn 113%

100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% GNI

Private Investment

Source: ETP 2011 Annual Report

■ Malaysia has many reasons to rejoice in 2011: - Private sector investment grew 19.4% YoY to RM94 bn. - FDIs rose 12.3%YoY to RM32.9 bn. - GNI contribution has reached RM589 bn, exceeding the target of RM494 bn. - Malaysia’s GDP growth of 5.1% in 2011 surprised on the upside. - 55% of the EPPs have taken off, out of the 110 projects which were launched.

■ Internationally, Malaysia’s ranking—“FDI Confidence Index”, World Bank Report on “Doing Business” and WEF “Global Competitiveness Report”— has improved, perhaps an early sign that the Economic Transformation Programme (ETP) is progressing well.

■ Although the 2011 ETP has seen early success, the market is concerned about sustainability. We believe that it will take a couple more years of continued success before the market is convinced.

■ The Malaysian stock market may lag behind its regional peers due to perceived heightened political risks from the imminent General Election (GE). The success of the ETP may hinge on Najib’s win in the GE. Our ETP plays include infrastructure (Gamuda, IJM Corp) and oil & gas (Bumi Armada) companies. Banks are proxies to Malaysia’s robust economy.

■ Apolitical plays are gaining more traction. This would include plantation stocks (our top picks are Sime Darby and Genting Plantations), Air Asia, telco companies (Axiata and Digi) and Malaysian REITs (CMMT and Pavillion REIT). DISCLOSURE APPENDIX CONTAINS ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND THE STATUS OF NON-US ANALYSTS. FOR OTHER IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, visit www.credit-suisse.com/ researchdisclosures or call +1 (877) 291-2683. U.S. Disclosure: Credit Suisse does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

02 April 2012

Focus charts Figure 2: 2011 GNI and private investment targets were

Figure 3: Malaysia’s GNI

surpassed (RM mn)

200%

Target = RM83 bn

Target = RM797 bn

180%

850,000 +15%

160%

800,000

140%

RM94 bn 113%

RM830bn 104%

120%

750,000

100%

700,000

80% 650,000

60% 40%

600,000

20% 0%

550,000

GNI

2007

Private Investment

2008

2009

Source: ETP 2011 Annual Report

Source: Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM)

Figure 4: Malaysia’s private investment

Figure 5: Malaysia’s FDI

(RM mn)

2010

2011

(RM mn) +19%

100,000

+12%

35,000

90,000

30,000

80,000

25,000

70,000 60,000

20,000

50,000

15,000

40,000 30,000

10,000

20,000

5,000

10,000

-

2007

2008

2009

2010

2007

2011

2008

2009

Source: Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM)

Source: Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM)

Figure 6: Malaysia’s forward P/E band

Figure 7: Malaysia’s forward P/B band

30

2011

3 A v erag e = 15 .7 x C urrent = 14 .7 x

26 .1 x 25

2010

2 .5 xx

2.4x

2. 5

24.0x

2. 2x 18 .4 x

20

18. 9x 16 .3 x

15

2

1. 5 1. 4 x 11. 8x

10

1 .2 x

13 .7 x

12. 0x 1 0. 5x

1

7.5x

0. 5

Jan -98

Av erag e = 1.8 x Cu rrent = 2.1x

0. 8x

5

Jan -00

Jan- 02

J an-0 4

Source: Credit Suisse estimates

Malaysia Market Strategy

Jan-0 6

Jan - 08

Jan - 10

Ja n-12

0 J an-9 8

Jan -00

Jan-02

Jan-04

Jan-06

Jan -08

Ja n-10

Jan-12

Source: Credit Suisse estimates

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02 April 2012

ETP report card The good: ETP targets surpassed The 2011 report card for the ETP suggests that Malaysia has many reasons to rejoice:



Private sector investment has grown 19.4% YoY to RM94 bn. This is well above the 6.7% average growth between 2000 and 2010, and ahead of the 12.8% average growth targeted under the 10th Malaysia Plan.



FDIs rose 12.3%YoY to RM32.9 bn.



GNI contribution has reached RM589 bn, exceeding the full year target of RM494 bn.



Malaysia’s GDP growth of 5.1% in 2011 surprised on the upside.



55% of the EPPs have taken off, out of the 110 projects which were launched.



314,000 jobs have been created.



Overall KPI achievement hit 126%, endorsed by PWC and an international panel.

Figure 8: 2011 GNI and private investment targets were

ETP targets were surpassed in 2011

Figure 9: Malaysia’s GNI

surpassed (RM mn) 200%

Target = RM83 bn

Target = RM797 bn

180%

850,000 +15%

160%

800,000

140%

RM94 bn 113%

RM830bn 104%

120%

750,000

100%

700,000

80% 650,000

60% 40%

600,000

20% 550,000

0% GNI

2007

Private Investment

2008

2009

Source: ETP 2011 Annual Report

Source: Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM)

Figure 10: Malaysia’s private investment

Figure 11: Malaysia’s FDI

(RM mn)

2010

2011

(RM mn) +19%

100,000

+12%

35,000

90,000

30,000

80,000 25,000

70,000 60,000

20,000

50,000 15,000

40,000 30,000

10,000

20,000 5,000

10,000 -

2007

2008

2009

Source: Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM)

Malaysia Market Strategy

2010

2011

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Source: Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM)

3

02 April 2012

Figure 12: ETP report card summary for the various NKEAs NKEA

Champion

Greater KL/Klang Valley Oil, gas and energy Financial services Wholesale and retail

Senator Datuk Raja Nong Chik Dato' Sri Peter Chin Fah Kui Dato' Seri Haji Ahmad Husni Dato' Sri Ismail Sabri Yaakob

Post

Achievement 2020 Target (Method 1) GNI (RM bn) Jobs

Minister of Territories & Urban Well-being Minister of Energy, Green Tech & Water Minister of Finance (II) Minister of Domestic Trade, Cooperatives and Consumerism Palm oil and rubber Tan Sri Bernard Dompok Minester of Plantation Ind & Commodities Tourism Dato' Sri Dr Ng Yen Yen Minister of Tourism Electrical and electronics Dato' Sri Mustapa b. Mohamed Minister of International Trade & Industry Datuk Seri Dr Maximus Ongkili Minister of Science, Tech & Innovation Business services Datuk Seri Dr. S. Subramaniam Minister of Human Resources Communications & infra Dato' Seri Utama Dr. Rais Yatim Minister of Info, Communication & Culture Education Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin DPM/Minister of Education Dato Seri Khaled Nordin Minister of Higher Education Agriculture Datuk Seri Noh bin Omar Minister of Agriculture Healthcare Dato' Sri Liow Tiong Lai Minister of Health

151% 109% 101% 141%

190 131.4 121.5 38.2

300,000 52,300 275,400 364,686

98% 118% 108%

230.9 66.7 53.4

41,600 497,000 157,000

138% 170% 120%

78.7 35.7 61.6

245,000 43,162 535,000

119% 103%

28.9 35.3

74,600 181,000

Source: ETP 2011 Annual Report

The good: Malaysia moved up the ranks Internationally, Malaysia’s ranking has improved, perhaps an early sign that the ETP is progressing well.



AT Kearney 2012 FDI Confidence Index – Malaysia moved into top 10 position from 21 position in 2010. Singapore and Indonesia are ranked at 7 and 9 position, respectively.



World Bank Report on “Doing Business 2012” – Malaysia’s ranking improved 5 positions to 18th amongst 183 economies. The report puts us ahead of countries such as Germany, Japan, Taiwan and Switzerland.



World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Report – Malaysia moved up 5 places to 21st ranking amongst 142 countries. Malaysia ranked 6th in Asia Pacific and 2nd in ASEAN.

Malaysia’s ranking has improved

The question marks Although the 2011 ETP has seen early success, there continues to be concerns:



Sustainability: The market will likely want to see a few more years of strong numbers in GNI, FDI and private investments, before giving Malaysia and the ETP the benefit of the doubt. This is not a surprise as Malaysia, before the ETP, was infamous for its grand masterplans and poor execution. We believe that the ETP has been executed far better than previous plans, but the market remains to be convinced.

Sustainability is a concern



Corruption: Malaysia’s Transparency International Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) 2011 fell for the third consecutive year and Malaysia’s ranking declined to 60th position out of 183 countries from 56th last year. To the government’s credit, Malaysia has launched a number of initiatives to address corruption including the Corporate Integrity Pledge for the businsess sector and the Whistleblower’s Act. However, the lack of “big fish” convictions remains a concern.

Malaysia’s corruption index fell



Inequality: The opposition continues to poke holes at the ETP, with the major criticism being that it is still about mega projects (eg the Klang Valley MRT) that benefit wellconnected businessmen and does not address income inequality. The government has attempted to address the rising cost of living in the short term by dispersing RM500 cash to low income households, and PM Najib is expected to declare a minimum wage policy soon.

Malaysia Market Strategy

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02 April 2012

ETP is a multi-year theme The Malaysian stock market may lag behind its regional peers due to perceived political risks from the imminent General Election (GE). The success of the ETP in the future may hinge on Najib’s win in the GE. Our top picks in Malaysia are based on three themes:

ETP success may hinge on the GE results



ETP plays include infrastructure (Gamuda, IJM Corp) and oil & gas (Bumi Armada) companies. Banks are proxies to the Malaysian economy. With the GE looming, these stocks should benefit from the ongoing pump priming via the ETP and will likely be less dependent on the global macro outlook. The ETP is now just over a year old and has proven to be more successful that what most sceptics initially gave it credit for. The ETP has generally succeeded in removing red tape to facilitate doing business in Malaysia.

Top picks are based on the ETP, Singapore-Malaysia and ASEAN domestic consumption plays



Better Malaysia–Singapore relationship is a win-win situation for both countries. Malaysia will benefit from stronger investment from Singapore while Singapore could operate out of Iskandar, which has good infrastructure and relatively cheaper land and labour. The year 2012 is expected to be the ‘tipping point’ for Iskandar. UEM Land is the most direct proxy to Iskandar. Warming Malaysia-Singapore ties may also mean a rising likelihood of cross-border acquisitions. The most widely discussed potential M&A would involve AFG.



ASEAN domestic consumption plays: We like AirAsia, Axiata and Genting Berhad for their regional footprint, tapping into the relatively resilient ASEAN domestic consumption story.

(Appendix II contains key takeaways from Credit Suisse’s recent AIC in Hong Kong). Figure 13: Our top picks in Malaysia Pot TP upside

Year Price Name

Ticker

Sime Darby SIME MK Axiata AXIATA MK Genting GENT MK AirAsia AIRA MK UEM Land ULHB MK IJM IJM MK Public Bank PBKF MK Gamuda GAM MK Bumi Armada BAB MK Alliance FG AFG MK

end

(RM) Rating

Jun 9.88 Dec 5.19 Dec 11.00 Dec 3.40 Dec 2.25 Mar 5.62 Dec 13.74 Jul 3.63 Dec 4.46 Mar 3.96

(RM)

O 11.30 O 6.40 O 13.70 O 4.75 O 3.80 O 6.70 O 17.40 O 4.50 O 4.20 O 4.40

Market cap

ADV

(%) (US$ mn) (US$ mn) 14% 23% 25% 40% 69% 19% 27% 24% -6% 11%

18,742 13,888 12,906 2,982 3,074 2,451 15,318 2,379 4,123 1,935

32.5 23.8 16.4 8.9 6.8 5.7 6.1 6.3 4.0 3.0

Pot TP upside

Market cap

ADV

Div ROE P/B Yld (%) (%)

P/E t

t+1

t+2

t+1

t+1

17.0 17.8 14.3 8.7 32.4 18.1 13.9 18.5 36.3 15.0

14.4 15.7 13.7 11.4 25.2 12.5 12.1 14.4 21.5 12.5

13.7 14.4 12.8 9.3 21.4 9.7 10.4 11.7 19.4 10.8

2.3 2.2 1.9 2.0 1.7 1.3 2.9 1.9 3.2 1.7

3.5% 4.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.0% 2.1% 4.1% 3.1% 0.6% 3.3%

t+1 Beta 15.8 13.8 13.9 17.3 7.8 10.9 23.8 13.8 15.0 13.4

0.9 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.2 0.7 1.5 1.0 1.1

Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates

Figure 14: Apolitical stocks in Malaysia Year Price Name

Ticker

end

(RM) Rating

Sime Darby SIME MK Gent Plant GENP MK AirAsia AIRA MK Axiata AXIATA MK Maxis MAXIS MK Digi DIGI MK CMMT CMMT MK Pavilion REIT PREIT MK

Jun Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec

9.88 9.80 3.40 5.19 6.10 3.96 1.38 1.14

(RM)

O 11.30 O 10.40 O 4.75 O 6.40 O 8.00 O 4.35 O 1.68 O 1.20

(%) (US$ mn) (US$ mn) 14% 6% 40% 23% 31% 10% 22% 5%

18,742 2,347 2,982 13,888 14,441 9,719 768 1,080

32.5 2.6 8.9 23.8 7.7 9.2 0.4 0.7

Div ROE P/B Yld (%) (%)

P/E t

t+1

t+2

t+1

t+1

17.0 22.9 8.7 17.8 18.2 24.1 18.7 21.2

14.4 16.8 11.4 15.7 20.6 24.0 17.3 20.5

13.7 15.5 9.3 14.4 21.1 18.0 16.6 19.7

2.3 2.3 2.0 2.2 6.3 22.9 1.2 1.2

3.5% 1.7% 0.9% 4.2% 6.6% 4.4% 6.2% 5.2%

t+1 Beta 15.8 13.7 17.3 13.8 30.5 95.4 6.9 5.6

0.9 0.9 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.4 1.4

Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates

Malaysia Market Strategy

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02 April 2012

With the GE being imminent, apolitical plays are gaining more traction. This would include plantation stocks (our top picks are Sime Darby and Genting Plantations), Air Asia, telcoms companies and Malaysian REITs.

Apolitical plays such as plantations, telco and REITs are gaining traction

Figure 15: Malaysian market valuations Market P/E (x) Market EPS growth (%) Market EPS growth (%) (ex MISC, TNB & MAS) Market P/B (x) Market Dividend Yield (%) Market ROE (%)

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012E

2013E

25.7 -12.5 -7.4 3.3 2.2 12.2

26.3 -2.1 -0.2 2.7 1.8 10.6

18.3 43.3 49.5 2.5 2.7 13.5

18.5 -0.6 13.0 2.3 3.1 12.4

14.7 25.3 10.1 2.1 3.5 14.3

13.2 9.6 10.2 1.9 3.6 14.4

Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates

Figure 16: Malaysia forward P/E band 30

Av erage = 15.7x Current = 14.7x

26.1x 25

24.0x 18.9x

18.4x

20

16.3x 15

11.8x

10

13.7x

12.0x 10.5x

7.5x 5

Jan-98

Jan-00

Jan-02

Jan-04

Jan-06

J an-08

Jan-10

Jan-12

Source: Credit Suisse estimates

Figure 17: Malaysia forward P/B band 3

2 .5xx

2.4 x

2.5

2 .2x 2

1.5

1.4 x 1.2 x 1

Av erage = 1.8x C urrent = 2.1x

0. 8x 0.5

0 J an-9 8

Jan-00

Jan -0 2

Jan- 04

Jan-0 6

J an- 08

Jan-10

Ja n-12

Source: Credit Suisse estimates

Malaysia Market Strategy

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Appendix I: Background on ETP The Economic Transformation Programme, through its 12 National Key Economic Areas (NKEAs), sectors where Malaysia can compete globally and 131 Entry Point Projects (EPP), targets to



achieve a GNI of RM1.7 tn over a 10-year period and therefore, double the GNI to US$15,000 per capita, putting Malaysia in the high-income nation status; and



create 3.3 mn additional jobs.

Figure 18: ETP overview Gross National Income (GNI)

Transformational

Actions FOCUS ‘Drivers’ •12 NKEAS •131 Entry Point Projects •60 Business Opportunities COMPETITIVENESS ‘Enablers’ •51 Policy Measures •6 SRIs & Natural Homes

• USD15,000 (RM48,000) per Capita GNI • USD523 Billion (RM1.7 Trillion) GNI • 6% GDP Growth per Annum Jobs

Investment

• 3.3 Million Additional Jobs

• USD444 Billion (RM1.4 Trillion) Investment • 92% Private, 8% Public Investment • 73% Domestic, 27% Foreign Direct Investment

Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates

Malaysia Market Strategy

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Appendix II: AIC takeaways Gamuda

■ Gamuda:MMC JV has secured phase 1 Klang Valley (KV) MRT job for RM8.2 bn (a bit ahead of management’s earlier guidance of RM7-8 bn). Thus, PBT margin is likely to be above 15%, in our view.

■ We believe the JV is now very well positioned to secure phases 2 and 3 of tunnel works worth RM12-13 bn, for which tenders will be called in 2H13.

■ Judging from Gamuda’s price performance (Figure 1) over the past 15 months, it does not appear that the current stock price has fully priced in the MRT award. We believe that uncertainties over political leadership and future government support for the infrastructure spending programme have been suppressing Gamuda’s price performance.

■ Potential near-medium term future catalysts include (1) news on Southern Double Track (3Q12) (2) positive news flow on Vietnam property sales (3) timely roll-out of KV MRT elevated works that bodes well for Gamuda:MMC’s fees as project delivery partners (PDP). Bumi Armada

■ Bumi Armada is the largest offshore oil & gas service provider, with two FPSO tankers and 8 OSVs.

■ BAB has a target gearing level of 1.5x-2.0x, which implies an annual capex of RM2 bn. The company aims to secure two new FPSO contracts each year. BAB’s FPSO projects have an unlevered IRR of 12%-14%

■ In its bids, Bumi Armada typically competes with three to four other competitors, but this could rise to as high as 28 in markets such as India and Indonesia.

■ Geography helps its cost effectively: As a Malaysian company, BAB is able to tap into an “explosive” combination of expatriates and local talent. Its able offer lower man hour rates than rivals in Europe or the US. Proximity to the yards in Singapore and South Johor, where most of the conversions are being done, is a positive factor too.

■ Brazil: Despite the high local content requirement, the company has a fleet of four OSV vessels operating in Brazil. BAB took advantage of failed local content bids, which failed due to insufficient local capacity. BAB hopes that the mismatch in demand and local supply will lead to a relaxation of local content laws.

■ Bumi Armada is keen on becoming a Risk Sharing Contractor (RSC) to operate a cluster of marginal oilfields in Malaysia. Details were scant, but management revealed that it would be in a range of return. We estimate this to be between 11-18%. AirAsia

■ AirAsia Group, including sister company AirAsiaX (AAX, unlisted), carried 32 mn pax in 2011, making it larger than the likes of SIA, Qantas and Emirates.

■ Demand outlook is still posiitve. AirAsia has the ability to stimulate demand. 45% of the group’s routes were never tried before by other carriers. Aiming to increase load factor to 82% in FY12, versus 80% in FY11.

■ Aircraft financing has been secured for deliveries in 2012-13, for a total of 33 aircraft. ■ Recent cuts in ancillary charges, such as check-in baggage fees, were done to spur demand. This, in turn, will likely improve AirAsia’s overall Revenue/ASK.

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■ AirAsia is targetting an average ancillary spend of RM60/pax in the medium term, versus RM45/pax in FY11. One of the key drivers of this will be a possible duty free ventures.

■ Strong brand recognition is a key factor to its success. For instance, during the SARS pendemic AirAsia tripled its advertising budget to gain market share. Management will continue to invest in its brands, but unlikely to confinue sponsorship of referees.

■ Strong branding and high web traffic. Management is trying to monetise this traffic through new ventures including a potential tie-up with dating site Match.com.

■ AirAsia Japan: Key focus will be on tapping the flow of travel and trade between Japan and Korea. CEO Tony Fernandes added that the cost structure of AAJ should be similar to AirAsia Malaysia. Axiata

■ We reiterate our OUTPERFORM rating on Axiata. Three key reasons why we like the stock are (1) Axiata is the cheapest telco in Malaysia based on FY12E P/E valuations. (2) We expect Axiata’s progressive dividend payout to drive share price performance. We project a net dividend yield of 4.3% for FY12 and 4.7% for FY13. (3) Axiata is also a liquid proxy for XL in Indonesia.

■ Indonesia: The competitive dynamics among the ‘big three’ cellular players continue to improve and tariffs have risen. We expect the industry revenue growth to double in FY12.

■ Malaysia: Despite recent tariff adjustments by Maxis, Axiata’s management has told us that it has no plans to get into a price war, particularly, given significant dividend commitments.

■ Axiata expects strong data growth to continue in key markets but has warned that it will take time for the data business to get up to scale. Extensive data rollout (particularly Indonesia) and the changing revenue mix means that the short-term profitability could remain under pressure.

■ Axiata is a NJA Focus List stock. Sime Darby

■ Sime aims to increase its total landbank to 1 mn ha by the end of this year versus current 850,000 ha (including Liberia). The target is to hit a landbank size target of 2 mn ha in the next 5 years, possibly from the African continent as its landbank in Malaysia and Indonesia are running out.

■ Plantations cost (in RM per tonne) will likely be flat YoY depite Sime increasing its wages in mid-2011, because it aims to increase its FFB yields to 25.5 T/ha in 5 years (from current 21.5 T/ha). Sime believes that the minimum wage policy will have a marginal impact as it was already ahead of the curve and have already pushed up wages in 2011.

■ In the industrial sector, Sime is most excited about (1) the acquisition of the Bucyrus dealership in Australia which has doubled its orderbook to RM4 bn (over 18 months). Bucyrus should add RM100 mn operating profit to its bottomline. Bucyrus allows Sime to offer the entire range of mining equipment to its mining customers in Queensland and Northern Territory (2) Sime has the caterpillar dealership in Xinjiang, China, where its coal reserves are 40% of China's total deposit. Although still small, Sime believes the prospects at Xinjiang to be bright. (Note: Sime also has dealerships in seven other provinces in Southeast China.

■ Sime could be working towards realising value of its subsidiaries through IPO/divestment, potentially in 2013. It may list subsidiaries geographically (China, Indonesia, etc) and not via operational units. It has already set up separate flagship subsidiary boards for each division to facilitate any potential corporate exercise.

Malaysia Market Strategy

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Companies Mentioned (Price as of 02 Apr 12) AirAsia (AIRA.KL, RM3.40, OUTPERFORM [V], TP RM4.75) Alliance Financial Group BHD (ALFG.KL, RM3.96, OUTPERFORM, TP RM4.40) Axiata Group Berhad (AXIA.KL, RM5.19, OUTPERFORM, TP RM6.40) Bumi Armada (BUAB.KL, RM4.46, OUTPERFORM, TP RM4.20) CapitaMalls Malaysia Trust (CAMA.KL, RM1.38, OUTPERFORM, TP RM1.68) DiGi.Com (DSOM.KL, RM3.96, OUTPERFORM, TP RM4.35) Gamuda (GAMU.KL, RM3.63, OUTPERFORM, TP RM4.50) Genting Berhad (GENT.KL, RM11.00, OUTPERFORM, TP RM13.70) Genting Plantations Bhd (GENP.KL, RM9.80, OUTPERFORM, TP RM10.40) IJM Corporation Berhad (IJMS.KL, RM5.62, OUTPERFORM, TP RM6.70) Pavilion REIT (PREI.KL, RM1.14, OUTPERFORM [V], TP RM1.20) Public Bank (PUBMe.KL, RM13.74, OUTPERFORM, TP RM17.40) Sime Darby (SIME.KL, RM9.88, OUTPERFORM, TP RM11.30) UEM Land Holdings Bhd (ULHB.KL, RM2.25, OUTPERFORM, TP RM3.80)

Disclosure Appendix Important Global Disclosures I, Tan Ting Min, certify that (1) the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about all of the subject companies and securities and (2) no part of my compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. The analyst(s) responsible for preparing this research report received compensation that is based upon various factors including Credit Suisse's total revenues, a portion of which are generated by Credit Suisse's investment banking activities. Analysts’ stock ratings are defined as follows: Outperform (O): The stock’s total return is expected to outperform the relevant benchmark* by at least 10-15% (or more, depending on perceived risk) over the next 12 months. Neutral (N): The stock’s total return is expected to be in line with the relevant benchmark* (range of ±10-15%) over the next 12 months. Underperform (U): The stock’s total return is expected to underperform the relevant benchmark* by 10-15% or more over the next 12 months. *Relevant benchmark by region: As of 29th May 2009, Australia, New Zealand, U.S. and Canadian ratings are based on (1) a stock’s absolute total return potential to its current share price and (2) the relative attractiveness of a stock’s total return potential within an analyst’s coverage universe**, with Outperforms representing the most attractive, Neutrals the less attractive, and Underperforms the least attractive investment opportunities. Some U.S. and Canadian ratings may fall outside the absolute total return ranges defined above, depending on market conditions and industry factors. For Latin American, Japanese, and non-Japan Asia stocks, ratings are based on a stock’s total return relative to the average total return of the relevant country or regional benchmark; for European stocks, ratings are based on a stock’s total return relative to the analyst's coverage universe**. For Australian and New Zealand stocks, 12-month rolling yield is incorporated in the absolute total return calculation and a 15% and a 7.5% threshold replace the 10-15% level in the Outperform and Underperform stock rating definitions, respectively. The 15% and 7.5% thresholds replace the +10-15% and -10-15% levels in the Neutral stock rating definition, respectively. **An analyst's coverage universe consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the relevant sector. Restricted (R): In certain circumstances, Credit Suisse policy and/or applicable law and regulations preclude certain types of communications, including an investment recommendation, during the course of Credit Suisse's engagement in an investment banking transaction and in certain other circumstances. Volatility Indicator [V]: A stock is defined as volatile if the stock price has moved up or down by 20% or more in a month in at least 8 of the past 24 months or the analyst expects significant volatility going forward. Analysts’ coverage universe weightings are distinct from analysts’ stock ratings and are based on the expected performance of an analyst’s coverage universe* versus the relevant broad market benchmark**: Overweight: Industry expected to outperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. Market Weight: Industry expected to perform in-line with the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. Underweight: Industry expected to underperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. *An analyst’s coverage universe consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the relevant sector. **The broad market benchmark is based on the expected return of the local market index (e.g., the S&P 500 in the U.S.) over the next 12 months. Credit Suisse’s distribution of stock ratings (and banking clients) is: Global Ratings Distribution Outperform/Buy* 46% (61% banking clients) Neutral/Hold* 42% (57% banking clients) Underperform/Sell* 10% (53% banking clients) Restricted 2% *For purposes of the NYSE and NASD ratings distribution disclosure requirements, our stock ratings of Outperform, Neutral, and Underperform most closely correspond to Buy, Hold, and Sell, respectively; however, the meanings are not the same, as our stock ratings are determined on a relative basis. (Please refer to definitions above.) An investor's decision to buy or sell a security should be based on investment objectives, current holdings, and other individual factors.

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