Maximising your business network - London First

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(Sources: CAPA – Centre for Aviation, UN World Urbanization. Prospects: The ... Macroeconomic Data Set). *'Connected'
Appendix: 100 largest cities in 2030 Served by direct flights from London airports

Below is a list of the United Nations’ predicted 100 most populous cities in 2030. The table shows whether London currently connects to those cities through direct flights or not. Additionally, where London is not connecting to these cities, it is shown whether or not major European hubs are leading the way. City Kolkata (Calcutta) Chukyo M.M.A. (Nagoya) Dongguan Surat Foshan Kabul Al-Khartum (Khartoum) Suzhou, Jiangsu Haerbin Chittagong Yangon Belo Horizonte Al-Iskandariyah (Alexandria) Kano Zhengzhou Dalian Guadalajara Zhongshan Ibadan Monterrey Faisalabad Kitakyushu-Fukuoka M.M.A. Ji'nan, Shandong Halab (Aleppo) Kinshasa Kinki M.M.A. (Osaka) Shenzhen Dar es Salaam Nanjing, Jiangsu Wuhan Hangzhou Pune (Poona) Shenyang Xi'an, Shaanxi Abidjan Xiamen Dakar Ankara Ouagadougou Bamako Yaoundé

19,092,461 9,304,101 8,700,622 8,616,410 8,353,315 8,279,607 8,158,384 8,098,450 6,860,038 6,718,801 6,578,163 6,438,830 6,312,644 6,197,560 5,899,771 5,850,602 5,836,861 5,517,538 5,498,728 5,471,430 5,418,561 5,354,751 5,234,047 5,086,929 19,996,156 19,975,677 12,672,821 10,759,575 9,754,280 9,441,574 8,821,757 8,091,387 7,910,905 7,903,831 7,772,628 6,911,028 6,045,685 5,874,551 5,853,943 5,231,087 5,157,957

Existing connections 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Tokyo Delhi Shanghai Mumbai (Bombay) Beijing Dhaka Karachi

Not served by London airports but served by a European hub airport (Amsterdam, Paris, Frankfurt or Madrid)

City

Population

Missed connections 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41

Not served by direct flights from London airports

37,190,489 36,060,100 30,750,671 27,796,555 27,706,032 27,373,593 24,837,881

8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59

Al-Qahirah (Cairo) Lagos Ciudad de México (Mexico City) São Paulo New York-Newark Guangzhou, Guangdong Chongqing Buenos Aires Manila Istanbul Bangalore Tianjin Rio de Janeiro Chennai (Madras) Jakarta Los Angeles Lahore Hyderabad Lima Moskva (Moscow) Bogotá Paris Johannesburg Krung Thep (Bangkok) London Ahmadabad Luanda Ho Chi Minh City Chengdu Tehran Seoul Baghdad Chicago Kuala Lumpur Ar-Riyadh (Riyadh) Hong Kong Nairobi Santiago Toronto Houston Madrid Dallas-Fort Worth Singapore Miami Philadelphia Atlanta Qingdao Addis Ababa Washington, D.C. Barcelona Hà Noi Sydney

128 mi s sed connecti o ns – Post-Brexit, additional runway capacity is now more important than ever

Population 24,502,150 24,239,435 23,864,706 23,444,363 19,885,263 17,574,395 17,380,364 16,956,491 16,755,630 16,694,313 14,762,088 14,655,411 14,173,748 13,920,944 13,811,975 13,256,838 13,033,135 12,773,548 12,221,301 12,200,375 11,966,118 11,803,252 11,573,129 11,527,934 11,467,322 10,526,600 10,428,756 10,200,392 10,104,406 9,989,806 9,959,675 9,710,309 9,493,032 9,422,889 7,940,087 7,885,155 7,140,320 7,122,444 6,956,552 6,728,797 6,707,421 6,682,913 6,577,884 6,553,633 6,157,522 6,140,490 5,920,149 5,850,804 5,689,846 5,685,152 5,497,921 5,300,933

The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we endeavour to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation. © 2016 KPMG LLP, a UK limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International.

A Britain outside the EU means a Britain that needs connections to the world even more than before. Investment in critical airport infrastructure will send a positive message to our trading partners and be viewed as a statement of intent. Global economic growth will be powered by both absolute population growth in the world’s emerging biggest cities and growth in wealth (GDP per capita). In 2016 London is already not connected* to 128 of the biggest cities** in the world. Other European hubs already reach 32 of them, and the problem is only going to get worse. By 2030 there will be 77 more cities with populations of over two million, and London will have limited capacity to connect to any of them. Looking further to the future we currently lack connections to 194 of the 309 cities that will have populations over two million in 2030 and our competitors already connect to 41 of these: -

43 of these cities will be in Asia Pacific, which also shows the highest growth in GDP per capita

-

16 of those will be in China and 15 in India, both leading emerging markets, which will power global growth

If London doesn’t invest to connect, more of the world will be beyond our reach.

“If London doesn’t invest to connect, more of the world and more of our future trading partners - wil be beyond our reach”

(Sources: CAPA – Centre for Aviation, UN World Urbanization Prospects: The 2014 Revision, USDA ERS International Macroeconomic Data Set) *’Connected’ refers to direct connections **Refers to cities with populations of over 2 million

128 Missed connections

GDP per Head

North America 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

67 53

1.7% CAGR

2016

2030

Asia Pacific GDP per Head

12

Destinations currently served by direct flights from London airports Destinations currently not served by direct flights from London airports Destinations not served by London airports but served by a European hub airport (Amsterdam, Paris, Frankfurt or Madrid)

14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0

13 10

1.9% CAGR

2016

2030

8

6

6 4 2

3.7% CAGR

0

2016

2030

Europe, Middle East & Africa GDP per Head

Key:

GDP per Head

Latin America

10

10

70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

62 48

1.8% CAGR

2016

The dots on this map are scaled relative to populations of each city in 2030, according to predictions made by the UN. Each dot is then coloured according to the key on this page.

2030 Only cities with projected populations of more than 2 million have been included (309 cities in total).

Sources: CAPA – Centre for Aviation, UN World Urbanization Prospects: The 2014 Revision, USDA ERS International Macroeconomic Data Set