Nov 20, 2017 - Santa Fe. Albuquerque. 3. 11. 15. 21. 8. 16. 17. 8. 11. 15. 18. 13. 16. 16. 5. 8. 15. 20. 10. 15. 18. 10.
Weekly Weather Briefing Monday, December 4, 2017
December 2, 2017. Red Rock State Park, NM. Courtesy of Rick Kefauver.
National Weather Service Albuquerque, New Mexico *posted Mondays (or Tuesdays, if holiday) 3-5pm. No routine updates.
CHILLY START, WARM END TO WEEK AHEAD Forecast High Temperatures DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL Central and Western New Mexico
Forecast High Temperatures DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL Eastern New Mexico
15
15 13
10
9 8 7
5
0
0 -1 -2 -3
2 1 -1
-5
2
10 8
12 11 10 9
11 10 8
10
5
5 4 2 1
4 3
0
-2 -3 -5
-5
-10
-10
-10 -11
-15
-15 12/6 Farmington
12/7 Gallup
12/8
12/9
Santa Fe
12/10 Albuquerque
12/11
10 9
12/10
12/11
5
0
-5
12/5
11 9
12/5
-6 -7 -8 -10
12/6 Clayton
-10 -11
12/7 Las Vegas
12/8
12/9 Tucumcari
Roswell
RECORD SHATTERING WARMTH IN NOVEMBER Average November 2017 temperatures at both the ABQ Sunport and Roswell’s Airport not only set new all-time records, but they shattered previous records. Normally, monthly temperature records are separated by a tenth or two, not whole degrees!
GOES-16 DRIFT MANEUVER
TONIGHT Hazards and Potential Impacts VERY LIGHT PRECIPITATION EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN TONIGHT
Upper Level Forecast Chart Valid 5pm MST
• • • Dry
Moist
BRRRR…. One of the (if not the) coldest nights of season for locales across central and northern NM! Coldest at Raton, Clayton, Capulin, Las Vegas Low clouds and areas of very light precipitation possible east of the central mountain chain
TUESDAY Hazards and Potential Impacts AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN & HIGH ELEV. SNOW EXPANDING ACROSS SOUTHERN NM
Upper Level Forecast Chart Valid 5pm MST
• • • Dry
Moist
Highs near normal west, but well below normal east Sub-tropical moisture streaming eastward across northwest Mexico and skirting southern New Mexico Areas of light precipitation possible, mainly during the afternoon and evening, south of I-40 and generally limited to Catron, Socorro, Lincoln, Chaves counties.
WEDNESDAY Hazards and Potential Impacts AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN/HIGH ELEV. SNOW FAR SOUTH
Upper Level Forecast Chart Valid 5pm MDT
• •
• Dry
Moist
Little warmer west, but continued below normal east Elongated area of low pressure oriented west to east from far southern AZ to southern NM Areas of light precipitation possible early Wednesday generally along/south of a Quemado to Socorro to Ruidoso to Roswell line
THURSDAY Hazards and Potential Impacts NONE
Upper Level Forecast Chart Valid 5pm MDT
• • • Dry
Moist
Reinforcing shot of colder air into central/eastern NM Cool, dry northerly flow to dominate the area One exception could be far NC and NE New Mexico where clouds and possibly very light precipitation could develop Wednesday night or Thursday morning
FRIDAY Hazards and Potential Impacts NONE
Upper Level Forecast Chart Valid 5pm MDT
• • • Dry
Moist
More noticeable warm-up to commence… Daytime highs trending to near seasonal normal east A dry, cool northerly flow aloft to dominate the area
WEEKEND OUTLOOK SATURDAY
Dry
SUNDAY
Moist
Dry
Moist
Upper Level Forecast Charts Valid 6pm MDT Dry pattern to persist with unseasonably warm temperatures trending downward somewhat by Sunday. Anomalously strong high pressure system to dominate first part of the weekend before it weakens and shifts eastward. Clouds may thicken across far southern NM by Sunday.
WEEK AT A GLANCE TONIGHT TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY WEEKEND
Hazards and Impacts Color Table Limited (isolated) Minor Significant Major
Synopsis: A trough of low pressure and an associated cold front will impact New Mexico today. Stronger winds will persist over the central highlands to the Sangre de Cristos with daytime high temperatures running several degrees cooler. Some light precipitation will be possible along portions of the central mountain chain tonight, shifting to the southern tier of New Mexico into the day Tuesday. Temperatures will continue to cool into Tuesday, running 5 to 10 degrees below normal over much of northern and central New Mexico. Temperatures will stay near to slightly below normal into Wednesday with light precipitation lingering over southern New Mexico, and another cold front will then arrive into the Land of Enchantment Wednesday night and Thursday.
6-10 DAY TEMP AND PRECIP OUTLOOK
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610prcp.new.gif
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