OCTOBER 2017 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Inte - MSN.com

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES OCTOBER 2017

Study #17409 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Interviews: 900 Adults, including 405 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: October 23-26, 2017 26 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. 48 Male 52 Female Study #17409 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.

The margin of error for 900 interviews among Adults is ±3.27% The margin of error for 753 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.57%

Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a

For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) 18-24 ...................................................... 25-29 ...................................................... 30-34 ...................................................... 35-39 ...................................................... 40-44 ...................................................... 45-49 ...................................................... 50-54 ...................................................... 55-59 ...................................................... 60-64 ...................................................... 65-69 ...................................................... 70-74 ...................................................... 75 and over ............................................ Not sure/refused ...................................

Q2b

To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic ........................................... No, not Hispanic ....................................... Not sure/refused .....................................

Q2c

Q3

7 11 13 7 10 7 7 11 10 5 5 7 -

11 88 1

And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White .......................................................... Black .......................................................... Asian .......................................................... Other .......................................................... Hispanic (VOL) ......................................... Not sure/refused .......................................

74 12 2 4 6 2

White, Non-Hispanic...................................

70

Registered Voter. Yes............................................... No ................................................ Not sure .....................................

84 16 -

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES OCTOBER 2017 Q4


In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president?

Strongly approve ........................... Somewhat approve ...................... Somewhat disapprove ................ Strongly disapprove ...................... Not sure ......................................

10/17 22 16 9 49 4

10/17 38 58 4

8/17 40 55 5

Total Approve ....................... Total Disapprove .................. Not sure..............................

Question 5 held for later release.

9/17 43 52 5

9/17 25 18 10 42 5 6/17 40 55 5

8/17 24 16 10 45 5

6/17 25 15 10 45 5

5/17 39 54 7

4/17 40 54 6

2/17 44 48 8



Changing topics, knowing it is a long way off, what is your preference for the outcome of next year’s congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?

10/17+ Republican-controlled Congress ..... 41 Democrat-controlled Congress ....... 48 Not sure .......................................... 11

9/17+ 42 48 10

6/17+ 42 50 8

4/17+ 43 47 10

10/1013/16+ 44 46 10

10/810/16+ 42 48 10

9/16+ 45 48 7

8/16+ 43 47 10

6/16+ 46 46 8

5/16+ 44 48 8

4/16+ 45 47 8

10/2510/3029/15+ 11/1/14+ 45 42 45 46 10 12

10/812/14+ 42 46 12

9/14+ 45 43 12

8/14+ 44 43 13

6/14+ 43 45 12

4/14+ 45 45 10

3/14+ 44 43 13

1/14+ 43 45 12

12/13+ 44 42 14

10/2528/13+ 41 45 14

10/79/13+ 39 47 14

9/13+ 43 46 11

7/13+ 44 44 12

6/13+ 42 45 13

10/12+ 43 45 12

9/2630/12+ 43 47 10

8/12+ 42 47 11

7/12+ 45 46 9

6/12+ 44 45 11

5/12+ 43 44 13

4/12+ 44 46 10

3/12+ 41 46 13

1/12+ 41 47 12

12/11+ 43 45 12

11/11+ 43 46 11

10/11+ 41 45 14

8/11+ 47 41 12

6/11+ 44 44 12

10/2830/10+ 46 44 10

10/1418/10+ 44 46 10

9/10+ 44 44 12

8/2630/10+ 43 43 14

8/59/10+ 42 43 15

6/10+ 45 43 12

5/2023/10+ 44 43 13

5/611/10+ 44 44 12

3/10+ 42 45 13

1/2325/10+ 42 44 14

1/1014/10+ 41 41 18

12/09+ 41 43 16

10/09+ 38 46 16

9/09+ 40 43 17

7/09+ 39 46 15

4/09+ 39 48 13

11/08+ 36 48 16

10/08+ 36 49 15

9/08+ 37 50 13

8/08+ 36 47 17

7/08+ 36 49 15

6/08+ 33 52 15

4/08+ 34 49 17

3/08+ 35 49 16

11/07+ 37 46 17

9/07+ 35 47 18

10/06+ 37 52 11

9/06+ 39 48 13

7/06+ 38 48 14

6/06+ 38 49 13

4/06+ 39 45 16

3/06+ 37 50 13

1/06+ 38 47 15

12/05+ 38 46 16

11/05+ 37 48 15

10/05+ 39 48 13

7/05+ 40 45 15

5/05+ 40 47 13

10/04+ 43 44 13

9/04+ 42 46 12

6/04+ 42 44 14

5/04+ 41 44 15

3/04+ 42 45 13

1/04 42 43 15

12/13/03 42 42 16

10/02+ 43 42 15

9/02 42 42 16

7/02 43 41 16

6/02 42 41 17

1/02 44 40 16

12/01 42 40 18

12/99 40 44 16

10/99 39 41 20

7/99 39 43 18

6/99 42 41 17

4/99 41 40 19

3/99 37 43 20

10/98+ 41 43 16

9/98 40 39 21

7/98 41 40 19

6/98 39 40 21

2/98 41 37 22

1/98 40 42 18

12/97 41 37 22

9/97 41 39 20

7/97 45 39 16

4/97 44 38 18

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.



(ROTATE Q7-8) Q7 Will your vote for Congress in November 2018 be a vote to send a message that we need...(ROTATE :1-2) October 2017 +* More Democrats to be a check and balance to Donald Trump and Congressional Republicans .......... More Republicans who will help Donald Trump and Congressional Republicans pass their agenda .... Or… Would you want your vote to send a different message than either of these .......................................... Not sending a message (VOL) ................................................................................................................ Not sure ......................................................................................................................................................

TOT 46 28

Dem 79 1

Ind^ -

GOP 10 71

22 1 3

18 1 1

-

17 1 1

TOT 39 29

Dem 69 1

Ind 30 21

GOP 9 65

28 1 3

25 2 3

46 1 2

23 1 2

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ^ Cell-size among Independents too small to report.

June 2017 Trend + More Democrats to be a check and balance to Donald Trump and Congressional Republicans ............ More Republicans who will help Donald Trump and Congressional Republicans pass their agenda ...... Or… Would you want your vote to send a different message than either of these ............................................ Not sending a message (VOL) .................................................................................................................. Not sure ........................................................................................................................................................ + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Q8

Now, if your choice for Congress came down to a candidate who will make compromises to gain consensus on legislation, or a candidate who will stick to their positions even if this means not being able to gain consensus on legislation, which candidate would you be more likely to support?

Will make compromises .................................. Will stick to their positions ............................... Depends (VOL) ............................................. Neither (VOL) ................................................ Not sure .........................................................

10/17+ 51 38 5 1 5

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters

Question 9 held for later release.

10/812/14+ 50 42 3 1 4

10/1418/10+ 34 57 3 1 4



For each of the following please tell me if you approve or disapprove of President Trump’s handling of each item. If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE)

TABLE RANKED BY % WHO SAY APPROVE Approve Disapprove The aftermath of Hurricane Harvey in Texas and Hurricane Irma in Florida October 2017 ......................................................................... 48 27

No Opinion

Not Sure

24

1

The economy October 2017 ......................................................................... September 2017 .....................................................................

42 41

37 36

20 22

1 1

His role as Commander-in-Chief October 2017 .........................................................................

35

53

11

1

The situation in North Korea October 2017**....................................................................... September 2017 .....................................................................

34 36

51 43

14 18

1 3

The mass shooting in Las Vegas, Nevada October 2017**.......................................................................

33

33

32

2

NFL Players protesting during the National Anthem October 2017* ........................................................................

30

59

11

-

The aftermath of Hurricane Maria in Puerto Rico October 2017 .........................................................................

29

54

16

1

Health care October 2017 ......................................................................... September 2017 .....................................................................

27 27

57 53

14 18

2 2

The Iran nuclear agreement October 2017* ........................................................................

24

45

28

3

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

Questions 11-22 held for later release.



Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. (ASKED IF REGISTERED VOTER SAMPLE) QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies ................................ Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies ................. Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ................. Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies................................ Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL) ................................................................... Voted for Jill Stein (VOL) ............................................................................ Voted for someone else (VOL) .................................................................. Voted, not sure ........................................................................................... No, Did Not Vote .......................................................................................... Not sure......................................................................................................

20 18 20 21 3 1 5 1 8 3


(ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN TRUMP VOTERS) QF1a Do you consider yourself to be more of a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party?

Supporter of Donald Trump ......................................................................... Supporter of the Republican Party .............................................................. Both (VOL) ................................................................................................ Neither (VOL) ............................................................................................ Not sure .....................................................................................................

10/17+ 54 42 2 2

8/17+ 58 38 2 1 1


(ASKED OF DEMOCRATS AND LEAN DEMOCRATIC REGISTERED VOTERS) QF1b Regardless of how you feel today, during the 2016 Democratic nominating contest would you have described yourself as a supporter of Hillary Clinton, a supporter of Bernie Sanders, or a supporter of another Democratic candidate, or did you have no strong preference? +

Supporter of Bernie Sanders .......................................................... Supporter of Hillary Clinton............................................................. Supporter of another Democratic candidate ................................... No strong preference ...................................................................... Both (VOL) ................................................................................... Neither (VOL) ............................................................................... Not sure ........................................................................................

10/17+ 35 38 3 21 3

8/17+ 36 38 2 22 2

8/16+ 40 35 24 1

7/16+ 38 39 22 1 -

6/16+ 40 34 25 1 -


QF2

Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Currently Employed Professional, manager ............................ White-collar worker ................................. Blue-collar worker ................................... Farmer, rancher ...................................... Not Currently Employed Student .................................................... Stay at home mom/dad ........................... Retired .................................................... Unemployed, looking for work ................. Other ....................................................... Not sure ................................................

25 17 17 3 7 24 5 2


QF3


What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school .............................................................. Some high school ....................................................... High school graduate ................................................. Some college, no degree ........................................... Vocational training/School ......................................... 2-year college degree ................................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................... Some postgraduate work, no degree ......................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ........... Doctoral/law degree ................................................... Not sure/refused .......................................................

QF4

Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat ............................. Not very strong Democrat ............... Independent/lean Democrat ............ Strictly Independent......................... Independent/lean Republican .......... Not very strong Republican ............. Strong Republican ........................... Other (VOL) ................................... Not sure.........................................

QF5

2 28 18 3 12 22 2 11 2 -

21 10 11 18 9 7 18 3 3

Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal ......................................................... Somewhat liberal ............................................... Moderate ............................................................ Somewhat conservative ..................................... Very conservative .............................................. Not sure ...........................................................

11 16 37 17 16 3



QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? Labor union member ........................................ Union household .............................................. Non-union household ....................................... Not sure ..........................................................

QF7

How would you describe your economic circumstances—(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) poor, working class, middle class, upper middle class, or well-to-do? Poor ............................................................... Working class ................................................ Middle class ................................................... Upper middle class ........................................ Well-to-do ...................................................... Not sure/refused ..........................................

QF8

14 10 75 1

11 28 42 15 2 2

Do you, or does anyone in your household, own a gun of any kind?

Yes, gun in household ....... No, no gun in household .... Not sure ...........................

10/17 47 49 4

8/17 48 50 2

6/16+ 45 50 5

10/15 41 54 5

2/13 42 54 4

1/13 41 55 4

1/11 39 58 3

Yes, gun in household ....... No, no gun in household .... Not sure ...........................

10/08+ 44 53 3

9/08+ 45 53 2

9/04+ 44 53 3

3/04 42 56 2

1/04 42 56 2

12/03 40 57 3

10/99 44 54 2