on Rural Ontario - Rural Ontario Institute

on Rural Ontario www.ruralontarioinstitute.ca 519-826-4204 Vol. 1, No. 6, July 2013

Immigrant arrivals in 2012

Highlights • Very few immigrants (1,342 out of 101,179) chose non-metro Ontario in 2012. • At most, the number of immigrant arrivals in 2012 in a non-metro census division was 0.1% of the population, compared to the metro CD of Peel that grew its population by 1.8% in 2012 due to immigrant arrivals. Why look at immigrant arrivals? By 2030, deaths will be greater than births at the Canada level. If Canada’s population is to grow, it will only grow due to the arrival of immigrants1. Thus, communities in Canada with more deaths than births can only grow if they attract individuals to move to their community – either from another community in Canada or from another country. Many communities are now focusing on attracting immigrants to grow their community. Findings In the most recent period, from 2011 to 2012, Ontario attracted 101,179 immigrants (Figure 1). These are landed immigrants or permanent residents. In addition, an equivalent number of temporary students and temporary foreign workers have arrived in Ontario in recent years. Figure 1 Decline in immigrant arrivals in Ontario in each of metro, partially-non-metro and non-metro census divisions, since 2006 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 Metro CDs

60,000

Partiallynonmetro CDs

40,000

Nonmetro CDs

20,000 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Statistics Canada. Annual Demographic Statistics. CANSIM Table 051-0052

1

In terms of number of immigrant arrivals per capita, the Chatham-Kent CD ranked the highest among Ontario non-metro CDs but it ranked 107 among all 288 CDs in Canada2. In 2012, 131 immigrants arrived in Chatham-Kent and the number of immigrant arrivals has been declining over time. Over the 16 years from 1996 to 2012, immigrant arrivals have declined by 4.5% per year. The rate of decline was faster in the most recent five-year period (2007 to 2012) with a decline of 17.9% per year. The number of immigrant arrivals has been declining in most Ontario CDs. In the 2007 to 2012 period, the number of immigrant arrivals was increasing in only four of the 27 non-metro CDs in Ontario Compare this to Peel where the 2012 immigrant arrivals increased the population by 1.8% in one year and Peel has been growing its number of immigrant arrivals by 3.2% per year over the last 16 years.

Number of immigrant arrivals

80,000

Among the 101,179 immigrant arrivals in 2012, only 1,342 settled in one of Ontario’s 27 non-metro census divisions (CDs) (Table 1). In 15 of these CDs, the immigrants who arrived in 2012 represented 0.1% (or one in a thousand) of the population.

See Figure 1.7 in Reimer, Bill and Ray D. Bollman. (2010) “Understanding Rural Canada: Implications for Rural Development Policy and Rural Planning Policy.” Chapter 1 in David J.A. Douglas (ed.) Rural Planning and Development in Canada. (Toronto: Nelson Education Ltd.).

Summary One strategy to grow a community’s population is to attract immigrants. Few immigrants are choosing to settle in non-metro Ontario. Rural Ontario Institute gratefully acknowledges the work of Ray Bollman in preparing this edition of Focus on Rural Ontario. Questions on data sources can be directed to [email protected]. Any comments or discussions can be directed to [email protected]. 2 In 2012, the top non-metro CD (and #6 among all 288 CDs) in Canada in terms of number of immigrant arrivals per capita was Queen’s County, P.E.I., with 1.6 immigrant arrivals per 100 inhabitants. See “Location of Immigrant Arrivals in 2012” in the May, 2013 edition of the Bulletin of “Pathways to Prosperity: Promoting Welcoming Communities in Canada” (http://p2pcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/eBulletin-May20133.pdf).

Table 1 Immigrant arrivals in 2012 by census division 2006 Census Division ID

Census Division name

Rate of change in Rate of change in Rank among 288 Immigrant Rank among 288 number of number of census divisions in Immigrant census divisions in arrivals, immigrant arrivals immigrant arrivals Canada: rate of growth arrivals per July 1, 2011 Canada: immigrant per year over 16 per year over 5 of number of 100 arrivals per 100 to June 30, immigrants per year, years, 1996 to years, 2007 to inhabitants 2012 inhabitants 2012 (%) 2012 (%) 2007 to 2012

Metro census divisions (sorted by 2012 immigrant arrivals per 100 inhabitants) 3521 3520 3519 3506 3524 3525 3529 3553

Peel Toronto York Ottawa Halton Hamilton Brant Greater Sudbury

24,811 42,422 9,739 5,500 2,673 2,786 194 101

1.8 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1

3 7 14 26 30 31 95 159

3.2 -2.5 3.1 -1.0 4.4 -1.7 -0.7 -0.4

-0.7 -3.9 -1.6 0.7 0.8 -0.1 -8.2 -7.1

93 107 98 86 85 88 124 121

Partially-non-metro census divisions (sorted by 2012 immigrant arrivals per 100 inhabitants) 3530 3539 3537 3523 3518 3526 3510 3534 3543 3522 3515 3558 3511 3502

Waterloo Middlesex Essex Wellington Durham Niagara Frontenac Elgin Simcoe Dufferin Peterborough Thunder Bay Lennox & Addington Prescott & Russell

2,850 2,236 1,948 730 1,597 870 262 117 597 74 143 122 25 40

0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0

29 38 39 53 62 72 79 97 98 102 123 138 163 185

-0.7 0.4 -4.4 -1.9 3.1 -1.3 -2.3 -3.5 1.5 0.2 -0.8 0.5 -0.6 0.7

-5.3 -3.2 -4.0 -3.6 -1.2 -8.8 -7.1 -16.5 -2.4 13.4 -0.3 -9.0 -0.4 -6.4

113 102 109 103 96 127 120 152 101 36 89 130 91 118

Non-metro census divisions (sorted by 2012 immigrant arrivals per 100 inhabitants) 3536 3538 3531 3532 3507 3512 3540 3514 3542 3548 3509 3528 3501 3544 3560 3547 3546 3556 3549 3516 3557 3541 3559 3551 3554

Chatham-Ken Lambton Perth Oxford Leeds & Grenville Hastings Huron Northumberland Grey Nipissing Lanark Haldimand-Norfolk Stormont, Dundas & Glengarry Muskoka Kenora Renfrew Haliburton Cochrane Parry Sound Kawartha Lakes Algoma Bruce Rainy River Manitoulin Timiskaming Prince Edward Sudbury

131 139 77 105 81 106 45 62 69 62 46 63 63 33 36 51 8 36 16 28 43 24 7 3 6 2 -

0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

107 122 126 128 139 140 142 145 149 150 152 168 171 173 174 180 184 194 202 205 207 209 214 232 244 264 285

3513 3552 "F" indicates that there were zero immigrant arrivals in at least one year during this period Source: Statistics Canada. Annual Demographic Statistics, CANSIM Table 051-0053.

-4.5 -1.9 -1.5 -5.8 -0.1 -0.4 -5.7 -1.7 2.4 1.5 3.8 -8.7 -5.6 -1.6 -1.0 -3.1 F -2.2 -1.0 -4.2 -0.8 -8.2 F F F F F

-17.9 -10.5 -16.8 -9.0 -1.3 -10.4 -8.1 -8.5 -5.0 -1.1 -5.7 -14.0 -10.5 -13.0 2.8 1.5 F 7.0 -19.5 4.7 -6.2 -19.7 F F F F F

155 134 153 129 97 133 123 125 112 94 115 145 135 140 74 80 F 56 160 64 117 162 F F F F F