Interviews with 1,009 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC. International on March 13-15, 2015. The margin of s
Interviews with 1,009 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on March 13-15, 2015. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. This sample includes 605 interviews among landline respondents and 404 interviews among cell phone respondents.
EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: 6:00 a.m. ET on Tuesday, March 17
7a.
Do you have more confidence in President Obama or in the Republicans in Congress to deal with the major issues facing the country today? (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE. RESULTS BASED ON 506 INTERVIEWS IN VERSION A. SAMPLING ERROR: +/-4.5 PERCENTAGE POINTS.) Mar. 13-15 2015
Oct. 18-20 2013
Dec. 17-18 2012
Dec. 16-18 2011
Mar. 11-13 2011
48% 39% 2% 9% 1%
44% 31% 2% 21% 2%
49% 31% 4% 14% 2%
50% 31% 2% 14% 2%
44% 39% 5% 10% 1%
Obama Republicans in Congress Both equally (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion
FOR COMPARISON: CNN/TIME TRENDS Do you have more confidence in President Clinton or in the Republicans in Congress to deal with the major issues facing the country today? Clinton 1998 Sep 23-24 1998 Sep 16-17 1998 Jan 14-15 1997 Feb 5-6 1996 May 8-9 1995 Dec 6-7 1995 Sep 13-14 1995 Apr 27 1995 Mar 29-30 1995 Mar 22-23 1994 Dec 7-8
7b.
53% 52% 46% 48% 45% 49% 41% 41% 42% 36% 30%
Republicans Both equally Neither No in Congress (vol.) (vol.) Opinion 35% 35% 34% 34% 37% 35% 42% 38% 41% 43% 46%
3% 2% 3% 5% 3% 3% 2% 5% 3% 3% 3%
4% 6% 11% 9% 10% 8% 9% 10% 7% 13% 13%
5% 5% 6% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 5% 8%
And do you have more confidence in President Obama or in the Republicans in Congress to deal with the major foreign policy issues facing the country today? (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE. RESULTS BASED ON 503 INTERVIEWS IN VERSION B. SAMPLING ERROR: +/-4.5 PERCENTAGE POINTS.) Mar. 13-15 2015 Obama Republicans in Congress Both equally (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion
POLL 3 3
47% 39% 3% 11% *
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March 13-15, 2015
(ROTATE ORDER OF QUESTIONS 13 and 14/15) 13. Do you favor or oppose direct diplomatic negotiations between the U.S. and Iran in an attempt to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons? Mar. 13-15 2015
Sept. 27-29 2013
Oct. 16-18 2009*
68% 29% 4%
76% 21% 3%
78% 22% 1%
Favor Oppose No opinion
QUESTION WORDING PRIOR TO 2015: "Would you favor or oppose direct diplomatic negotiations between the U.S. and Iran in an attempt to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons?" *Asked of a half sample.
14. Based on what you have heard or read, do you think the letter sent to Iran’s leaders signed by 47 Republican members of the Senate, which warned that any agreement with the Obama administration would require Senate approval, helped U.S. efforts to keep Iran from developing nuclear weapons, hurt U.S. efforts to keep Iran from developing nuclear weapons, or had no impact on U.S. efforts to keep Iran from developing nuclear weapons? Mar. 13-15 2015 Helped U.S. efforts Hurt U.S. efforts Had no impact on U.S. efforts Haven’t heard of it (vol.) No opinion
18% 32% 44% 3% 4%
15. Do you think the letter to Iran’s leaders was an appropriate response to the way the negotiations with Iran were going or did the letter go too far? Mar. 13-15 2015 Appropriate response Went too far No opinion
POLL 3 3
39% 49% 12%
-3-
March 13-15, 2015
METHODOLOGY A total of 1,009 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Among the entire sample, 28% described themselves as Democrats, 24% described themselves as Republicans, and 48% described themselves as Independents or members of another party All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage. Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "N/A".
POLL 3 3
-4-
March 13-15, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 13 to 15, 2015 Question 7A Do you have more confidence in President Obama or in the Republicans in Congress to deal with the major issues facing the country today? Base = Half Sample
Obama Republicans in Congress Both equally Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------48% 41% 54% 37% 39% 46% 33% 49% 2% 4% 1% 2% 9% 8% 10% 12% 1% 1% 2% * +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Obama Republicans in Congress Both equally Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----48% 39% 2% 9% 1% +/-4.5
Obama Republicans in Congress Both equally Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------48% 55% 39% 40% 2% 1% 9% 5% 1% * +/-4.5 +/-7.0
Obama Republicans in Congress Both equally Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----48% 39% 2% 9% 1% +/-4.5
Obama Republicans in Congress Both equally Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----48% 39% 2% 9% 1% +/-4.5
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Democrat ----80% 14% * 3% 3% +/-8.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------42% 39% 5% 11% 3% +/-6.5
5064 ----45% 39% 3% 9% 3% +/-7.0
65+ ----39% 52% 2% 7% * +/-8.5
No College ------43% 45% 3% 8% 2% +/-8.5
Independent -----47% 33% 4% 15% 1% +/-6.0 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
South ----39% 49% * 12% * +/-7.5
Under 50 ----52% 35% 2% 9% 1% +/-7.5
50 and Older -----43% 44% 3% 9% 2% +/-5.5
Attended College -------52% 35% 2% 10% 1% +/-5.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----54% 31% 1% 12% 2% +/-7.0
Urban ----56% 37% * 6% * +/-7.5
Conservative ------22% 62% 4% 11% * +/-7.0
Suburban ----45% 39% 5% 8% 3% +/-7.0
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 3 3
-5-
March 13-15, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 13 to 15, 2015 Question 7B And do you have more confidence in President Obama or in the Republicans in Congress to deal with the major foreign policy issues facing the country today? Base = Half Sample
Obama Republicans in Congress Both equally Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------47% 43% 51% 34% 39% 44% 35% 50% 3% 3% 3% 3% 11% 11% 11% 13% * * * * +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0
Obama Republicans in Congress Both equally Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----47% 39% 3% 11% * +/-4.5
Obama Republicans in Congress Both equally Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------47% 46% 39% 34% 3% 4% 11% 15% * * +/-4.5 +/-7.0
Obama Republicans in Congress Both equally Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----47% 39% 3% 11% * +/-4.5
Obama Republicans in Congress Both equally Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----47% 39% 3% 11% * +/-4.5
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Democrat ----88% 6% 4% 3% * +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------50% 41% 2% 7% * +/-6.0
5064 ----44% 37% 6% 12% * +/-8.0
65+ ----35% 54% * 11% * +/-7.5
No College ------52% 34% 3% 10% * +/-8.0
Independent -----43% 37% 3% 17% * +/-6.0 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
South ----42% 38% 5% 15% * +/-7.5
Under 50 ----52% 35% 2% 11% * +/-7.5
50 and Older -----40% 45% 4% 11% * +/-5.5
Attended College -------43% 43% 3% 11% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----59% 23% 5% 13% * +/-7.0
Urban ----61% 31% 3% 5% * +/-7.5
Conservative ------18% 69% 3% 10% * +/-7.0
Suburban ----47% 42% 2% 9% * +/-7.0
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 3 3
-6-
March 13-15, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 13 to 15, 2015 Question 13 Do you favor or oppose direct diplomatic negotiations between the U.S. and Iran in an attempt to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons? Base = Total Sample
Favor Oppose No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------68% 69% 66% 68% 29% 27% 30% 28% 4% 4% 4% 4% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Favor Oppose No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----68% 29% 4% +/-3.0
Favor Oppose No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------68% 66% 29% 30% 4% 3% +/-3.0 +/-5.0
Favor Oppose No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----68% 29% 4% +/-3.0
Democrat ----77% 21% 1% +/-6.0
Favor Oppose No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----68% 29% 4% +/-3.0
North east ----64% 32% 4% +/-6.5
1834 ----69% 29% 2% +/-8.0
3549 ----72% 23% 5% +/-7.0 $50K or more ------71% 26% 3% +/-4.5
5064 ----65% 32% 2% +/-5.5
65+ ----62% 32% 6% +/-5.5
No College ------59% 37% 4% +/-5.5
Independent -----64% 33% 3% +/-4.5 Midwest ----74% 24% 2% +/-6.5
Non-White --------66% 31% 3% +/-6.5 50 and Older -----64% 32% 4% +/-4.0
Attended College -------74% 23% 3% +/-3.5
Republican -----65% 28% 7% +/-6.5 South ----65% 30% 4% +/-5.5
Under 50 ----71% 26% 3% +/-5.0
Liberal ----79% 17% 4% +/-6.5
West ----69% 27% 3% +/-6.5
Moderate ----72% 26% 2% +/-5.0
Urban ----70% 27% 3% +/-5.5
Conservative ------57% 38% 5% +/-5.0
Suburban ----65% 31% 4% +/-5.0
Rural ----68% 28% 4% +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 3 3
-7-
March 13-15, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 13 to 15, 2015 Question 14 Based on what you have heard or read, do you think the letter sent to Iran’s leaders signed by 47 Republican members of the Senate, which warned that any agreement with the Obama administration would require Senate approval, helped U.S. efforts to keep Iran from developing nuclear weapons, hurt U.S. efforts to keep Iran from developing nuclear weapons, or had no impact on U.S. efforts to keep Iran from developing nuclear weapons? Base = Total Sample Total Men Women White ----------------Helped U.S. efforts 18% 18% 18% 18% Hurt U.S. efforts 32% 32% 31% 30% Had no impact on U.S. efforts 44% 45% 43% 46% Haven't heard about it 3% 3% 4% 3% No opinion 4% 3% 5% 3% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Total ----Helped U.S. efforts 18% Hurt U.S. efforts 32% Had no impact on U.S. efforts 44% Haven't heard about it 3% No opinion 4% Sampling Error +/-3.0
1834 ----20% 36% 39% 3% 3% +/-8.0
Under Total $50K --------Helped U.S. efforts 18% 22% Hurt U.S. efforts 32% 30% Had no impact on U.S. efforts 44% 44% Haven't heard about it 3% 3% No opinion 4% 2% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Total ----Helped U.S. efforts 18% Hurt U.S. efforts 32% Had no impact on U.S. efforts 44% Haven't heard about it 3% No opinion 4% Sampling Error +/-3.0
Democrat ----13% 44% 36% 5% 3% +/-6.0
Total ----Helped U.S. efforts 18% Hurt U.S. efforts 32% Had no impact on U.S. efforts 44% Haven't heard about it 3% No opinion 4% Sampling Error +/-3.0
North east ----13% 32% 47% 4% 4% +/-6.5
3549 ----14% 33% 46% 4% 4% +/-7.0 $50K or more ------13% 36% 45% 2% 3% +/-4.5
5064 ----19% 30% 45% 2% 4% +/-5.5
65+ ----18% 27% 46% 4% 5% +/-5.5
No College ------21% 30% 42% 3% 4% +/-5.5
Independent -----18% 30% 45% 3% 4% +/-4.5 Midwest ----18% 36% 43% 2% 2% +/-6.5
Non-White --------18% 36% 38% 3% 5% +/-6.5 50 and Older -----19% 29% 45% 3% 4% +/-4.0
Attended College -------16% 33% 45% 3% 3% +/-3.5
Republican -----24% 21% 50% 2% 3% +/-6.5 South ----22% 25% 45% 3% 5% +/-5.5
Under 50 ----17% 34% 42% 3% 3% +/-5.0
Liberal ----14% 52% 31% 1% 2% +/-6.5
West ----16% 36% 40% 5% 3% +/-6.5
Moderate ----14% 33% 44% 4% 4% +/-5.0
Urban ----21% 34% 39% 3% 3% +/-5.5
Conservative ------23% 19% 52% 3% 3% +/-5.0
Suburban ----15% 35% 44% 2% 4% +/-5.0
Rural ----18% 24% 51% 3% 4% +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 3 3
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March 13-15, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- March 13 to 15, 2015 Question 15 Do you think the letter to Iran's leaders was an appropriate response to the way the negotiations with Iran were going or did the letter go too far? Base = Total Sample
Appropriate response Went too far No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------39% 41% 37% 40% 49% 50% 48% 48% 12% 9% 14% 13% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Appropriate response Went too far No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----39% 49% 12% +/-3.0
Appropriate response Went too far No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------39% 41% 49% 49% 12% 10% +/-3.0 +/-5.0
Appropriate response Went too far No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----39% 49% 12% +/-3.0
Democrat ----23% 67% 10% +/-6.0
Appropriate response Went too far No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----39% 49% 12% +/-3.0
North east ----37% 50% 13% +/-6.5
1834 ----39% 50% 11% +/-8.0
3549 ----43% 47% 10% +/-7.0 $50K or more ------36% 52% 12% +/-4.5
5064 ----36% 51% 13% +/-5.5
65+ ----38% 49% 13% +/-5.5
No College ------41% 46% 13% +/-5.5
Independent -----42% 47% 11% +/-4.5 Midwest ----33% 57% 10% +/-6.5
Non-White --------36% 54% 10% +/-6.5 50 and Older -----37% 50% 13% +/-4.0
Attended College -------38% 52% 10% +/-3.5
Republican -----52% 32% 16% +/-6.5 South ----43% 44% 13% +/-5.5
Under 50 ----41% 48% 11% +/-5.0
Liberal ----22% 68% 9% +/-6.5
West ----42% 48% 10% +/-6.5
Moderate ----32% 56% 11% +/-5.0
Urban ----36% 52% 12% +/-5.5
Conservative ------54% 32% 13% +/-5.0
Suburban ----41% 49% 10% +/-5.0
Rural ----42% 44% 14% +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 3 3
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March 13-15, 2015