Preparing for Pandemic Influenza

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Pandemic Influenza LRF Guidance July 2013

Preparing for Pandemic Influenza Guidance for Local Planners

July 2013

This document replaces the previous CCS publication ‟Preparing for Pandemic Influenza; Guidance to Local Planners‟, issued in 2007, and „Preparing for Pandemic Influenza; Supplementary Guidance for Local Resilience Forum Planners‟, issued in May 2008. The assumptions and modelling presented in this paper reflect those in the UK Influenza Pandemic Preparedness Strategy 2011 and replace all previous figures.

Produced by: Cabinet Office 70 Whitehall London SW1A 2AS Contact: Civil Contingencies Secretariat, Cabinet Office https://www.gov.uk/government/policies/improving-the-uks-ability-to-absorbrespond-to-and-recover-from-emergencies Publication date: July 2013 © Crown copyright 2013 You may re-use this information (not including logos) free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government Licence. To view this licence, visit www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-governmentlicence/ or write to the Information Policy Team, The National Archives, Kew, London, TW9 4DU, or email: [email protected] This publication is available for download at www.gov.uk/pandemic-flu

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Contents

1. Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 5 1.1 Aim ............................................................................................................................. 5 2. Strategic Approach ......................................................................................................... 7 2.1 Strategic objectives................................................................................................... 7 2.2 Changes to the previous approach .......................................................................... 8 3. Key planning assumptions .......................................................................................... 11 3.1 Attack rate, duration and timing ............................................................................. 12 3.2 Death rate................................................................................................................. 14 3.3 Staff absenteeism.................................................................................................... 14 3.4 Countermeasures .................................................................................................... 15 4. Local Resilience Forum Pandemic Plans .................................................................... 17 4.1 Overview .................................................................................................................. 17 4.2 Roles and responsibilities ...................................................................................... 18 4.3 Areas of focus ......................................................................................................... 20 Annex A – Links to further guidance ............................................................................... 21 Annex B - Communications ............................................................................................. 23 Annex C - Social Measures – Education ......................................................................... 25 Annex D - Social Measures – Vulnerable people ............................................................ 27 Annex E - Support to the Health Response .................................................................... 29 Annex F - Excess Deaths ................................................................................................. 33 Annex G – Situational Awareness ................................................................................... 35

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1. Introduction 1.1 Aim The Government judges that one of the highest current risks to the UK is the possible emergence of an influenza pandemic1