Sep 1, 2015 - And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, ...... primary, or would you wa
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Study #15398 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Interviews: 1,000 Adults, including 350 respondents with a cell phone only and 44 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.
Date: September 20-24, 2015
48 Male 52 Female Study #15398 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.
The margin of error for 1,000 interviews among Adults is ±3.10% The margin of error for 230 interviews among Republican Primary Voters is ±6.46% The margin of error for 256 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±6.13%
Unless otherwise noted by a “+”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.
Q2a
For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) 18-24 ...................................................... 25-29 ...................................................... 30-34 ...................................................... 35-39 ...................................................... 40-44 ...................................................... 45-49 ...................................................... 50-54 ...................................................... 55-59 ...................................................... 60-64 ...................................................... 65-69 ...................................................... 70-74 ...................................................... 75 and over ............................................ Not sure/refused ...................................
Q2b
To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic ........................................... No, not Hispanic ....................................... Not sure/refused .....................................
Q2c
10 8 13 7 9 7 8 9 11 6 5 6 1
11 89 -
And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White .......................................................... Black .......................................................... Asian .......................................................... Other .......................................................... Hispanic (VOL) ......................................... Not sure/refused .......................................
74 12 3 4 5 2
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015 Q3
Study #15398 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]? Registered ................................... Not registered .............................. Not sure .....................................
Q4
83 16 1
All in all, do you think that things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track? 1 High
Headed in the right direction ... Off on the wrong track ............. Mixed (VOL) .......................... Not sure ................................
9/15 30 62 5 3
Low 10/1720/08+ 12 78 7 3
7/15 28 65 4 3
6/15 31 61 4 4
4/15 28 62 6 4
3/15 32 60 5 3
1/15 31 59 5 5
12/14 27 64 6 3
11/14 25 65 6 4
10/3011/1/14+ 27 63 6 4
10/812/14+ 25 65 6 4
9/14+ 23 67 6 4
8/14 22 71 5 2
6/14 25 63 7 5
4/14 27 63 6 4
3/14 26 65 5 4
1/14 28 63 5 4
12/13 29 64 5 2
10/2528/13 22 70 4 4
10/79/13 14 78 4 4
9/13 30 62 5 3
7/13 29 61 6 4
6/13 32 59 6 3
4/13 31 61 5 3
2/13 32 59 6 3
1/13 35 57 4 4
12/12 41 53 3 3
10/12+ 41 53 4 2
9/2630/12+ 40 53 5 2
9/1216/12+ 39 55 4 2
8/12+ 32 61 4 3
7/12+ 32 60 5 3
6/12 31 61 5 3
5/12 33 58 5 4
4/12 33 59 6 2
3/12 33 58 5 4
1/12 30 61 5 4
12/11 22 69 6 3
11/11 19 73 5 3
10/11 17 74 5 4
8/11 19 73 5 3
7/11 25 67 5 3
6/11 29 62 6 3
5/11 36 50 10 4
4/11 28 63 6 3
1/11 35 56 5 4
12/10 28 63 6 3
11/10 32 58 6 4
10/2830/10+ 31 60 5 4
10/1418/10+ 32 59 6 3
9/10 32 59 5 4
8/2630/10 30 61 6 3
8/59/10 32 58 6 4
6/10 29 62 5 4
5/611/10 34 56 6 4
3/10 33 59 5 3
1/23 25/10 32 58 7 3
1/1014/10 34 54 10 2
12/09 33 55 10 2
10/09 36 52 9 3
9/09 39 48 10 3
7/09 39 49 9 3
6/09 42 46 9 3
4/09 43 43 10 4
2/09 41 44 9 6
1/09 26 59 9 6
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
9/01 72 11 11 6
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015 Q5
Approve ....... Disapprove .. Not sure .....
Study #15398 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
9/15 47 47 6
High
Low
4/09 61 30 9
9/14+ 40 54 6
7/15 45 50 5
6/15 48 48 4
4/15 48 47 5
3/15 46 50 4
1/15 46 48 6
12/14 45 50 5
11/14 44 50 6
10/3011/1/14+ 42 52 6
10/812/14+ 42 52 6
9/14+ 40 54 6
8/14 40 54 6
6/14 41 53 6
4/14 44 50 6
3/14 41 54 5
1/14 43 51 6
12/13 43 54 3
10/2528/13 42 51 7
10/79/13 47 48 5
9/13 45 50 5
8/13 44 48 8
7/13 45 50 5
6/13 48 47 5
4/13 47 48 5
2/13 50 45 5
1/13 52 44 4
12/12 53 43 4
10/12+ 49 48 3
9/2630/12+ 49 48 3
9/1216/12+ 50 48 2
8/12+ 48 49 3
7/12+ 49 48 3
6/12 47 48 5
5/12 48 46 6
4/12 49 46 5
3/12 50 45 5
1/12 48 46 6
12/11 46 48 6
11/11 44 51 5
10/11 44 51 5
8/11 44 51 5
7/11 47 48 5
6/11 49 46 5
5/11 52 41 7
4/11 49 45 6
2/11 48 46 6
1/11 53 41 6
12/10 45 48 7
11/10 47 47 6
10/2830/10+ 45 50 5
10/1418/10+ 47 49 4
9/10 46 49 5
8/2630/10 45 49 6
8/59/10 47 48 5
6/10 45 48 7
5/2023/10 48 45 7
5/611/10 50 44 6
3/10 48 47 5
1/2325/10 50 44 6
1/1014/10 48 43 9
12/09 47 46 7
10/09 51 42 7
9/09 51 41 8
8/09 51 40 9
7/09 53 40 7
6/09 56 34 10
4/09 61 30 9
2/09 60 26 14
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015 Q6
Study #15398 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (AFTER THE FIRST TEN ITEMS, READ:) And, just a few more. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA)
Barack Obama1 September 2015 .......................... July 2015...................................... June 2015 .................................... April 2015 ..................................... March 2015 .................................. January 2015 ............................... December 2014 ........................... November 2014 ........................... Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+ ............... October 8-12, 2014+ .................... September 2014+ ........................ August 2014 ................................. June 2014 .................................... April 2014 ..................................... March 2014 .................................. January 2014 ............................... December 2013 ........................... October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... April 2013 ..................................... January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. August 2012+ ............................... July 2012+ ................................... June 2012 .................................... January 2012 ............................... August 2011 ................................. April 2011 ..................................... January 2011 ............................... December 2010 ........................... November 2010 ........................... October 28-30, 2010+ .................. June 2010 .................................... May 20-23, 2010 .......................... March 2010 .................................. January 23-25, 2010 .................... December 2009 ........................... October 2009 ............................... February 2009 .............................. January 2009 ............................... Barack Obama High February 2009 .................................... Presidential Term Low August 2014 ........................................ All-time Obama Low October 28-30, 2006+ .........................
Neutral
Somewhat Negative
Very Negative
Don't Know Name/ Not Sure
18 20 20 21 20 21 21 21 20 22 20 18 21 20 20 19 20 17 21 19 17 21 16 15 15 17 16 19 22 20 22 23 23 21 18 20 19 19 23 21 20 21 23
14 13 13 13 12 13 10 11 12 11 11 13 13 15 15 13 11 13 11 13 10 11 9 8 6 8 8 14 10 12 14 15 14 12 12 13 15 11 14 13 11 12 17
11 14 14 13 14 12 13 11 13 12 13 14 14 13 14 14 13 13 11 12 15 11 14 12 11 13 11 11 14 14 13 14 14 13 15 15 14 14 14 15 12 9 8
29 29 27 27 29 29 31 32 32 34 33 33 31 28 30 30 33 32 30 28 27 26 24 31 31 30 32 27 25 30 23 18 24 26 27 25 24 24 20 22 21 10 6
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3
47
21
12
9
10
1
22
18
13
14
33
-
14
17
18
5
6
40
Very Positive
Somewhat Positive
28 24 25 26 24 24 24 24 23 21 22 22 20 24 21 23 22 24 26 28 30 31 37 34 37 31 33 29 28 24 28 29 25 28 29 27 28 31 29 29 36 47 43
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Study #15398 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Q6 (cont'd)
The Democratic Party1 September 2015 ........................... July 2015 ...................................... April 2015 ..................................... January 2015 ............................... December 2014............................ November 2014............................ Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+ ............... October 8-12, 2014+ .................... September 2014+......................... June 2014 .................................... April 2014 ..................................... March 2014 .................................. January 2014 ............................... December 2013............................ October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ September 2013 ........................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... February 2013 .............................. January 2013 ............................... December 2012............................ October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. August 2012+ ............................... July 2012+ .................................... June 2012 .................................... May 2012 ..................................... April 2012 ..................................... March 2012 .................................. January 2012 ............................... December 2011............................ November 2011............................ October 2011 ............................... August 2011 ................................. June 2011 .................................... May 2011 ..................................... April 2011 ..................................... January 2011 ............................... December 2010............................ November 2010............................ October 28-30, 2010+ .................. October 14-18, 2010+ .................. September 2010 ........................... August 26-30, 2010 ...................... August 5-9, 2010 .......................... May 20-23, 2010 .......................... May 6-11, 2010 ............................ March 2010 .................................. January 10-14, 2010 .................... December 2009............................ High January 2000 ............................... Low July 2006 ......................................
Very Positive
Somewhat Positive
Neutral
Somewhat Negative
Very Negative
Don't Know Name/ Not Sure
16 13 12 9 12 12 12 12 11 13 13 14 10 10 15 14 13 14 18 17 21 21 21 19 17 14 17 15 15 15 9 15 12 11 13 15 12 15 9 14 16 14 15 11 11 15 11 9 11 10
25 25 26 26 25 26 24 25 25 25 23 21 27 26 22 25 27 25 23 27 23 21 21 23 23 23 22 24 23 23 23 25 25 22 25 26 26 24 28 26 23 24 22 25 22 26 26 28 27 25
23 22 24 24 22 20 19 20 22 21 24 25 22 19 21 18 22 22 22 17 19 17 17 16 20 25 19 21 24 23 25 22 19 21 21 22 22 25 20 18 17 16 20 19 22 18 19 19 20 19
16 18 17 18 17 20 20 20 20 18 19 18 20 20 18 20 20 19 17 19 16 17 17 17 17 18 21 19 18 21 23 18 20 19 19 18 18 19 18 18 19 19 20 19 18 18 18 19 18 19
19 20 19 20 22 21 23 23 22 22 18 20 20 24 22 20 18 18 19 19 19 23 22 23 23 19 19 19 18 18 19 19 22 25 20 17 21 16 23 23 23 26 22 24 26 22 24 24 23 26
1 2 2 3 2 1 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 2 3 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1
20
30
23
15
10
2
7
25
27
22
17
2
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Study #15398 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Q6 (cont'd) 1
The Republican Party September 2015 .......................... July 2015 ..................................... April 2015 .................................... January 2015 ............................... December 2014 ........................... November 2014 ........................... Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+............... October 8-12, 2014+.................... September 2014+ ........................ June 2014 .................................... April 2014 .................................... March 2014.................................. January 2014 ............................... December 2013 ........................... October 25-28, 2013.................... October 7-9, 2013........................ September 2013 .......................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... February 2013 ............................. January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. August 2012+ .............................. July 2012+ .................................... May 2012 ...................................... April 2012 ..................................... March 2012................................... January 2012 ................................ December 2011 ............................ November 2011 ............................ October 2011 ................................ August 2011 ................................. May 2011 ...................................... April 2011 ..................................... January 2011 ................................ December 2010 .......................... November 2010 .......................... October 28-30, 2010+................... October 14-18, 2010+................... September 2010 ........................... August 26-30, 2010 ...................... August 5-9, 2010 .......................... June 2010 ..................................... May 20-23, 2010........................... March 2010................................... January 23-25, 2010..................... January 10-14, 2010..................... December 2009 ........................... June 2009 .................................... April 2009 .................................... February 2009 .............................. High December 2001 ............................ Low October 25-28, 2013....................
Neutral
Somewhat Negative
Very Negative
Don't Know Name/ Not Sure
21 21 22 19 23 23 22 21 22 23 19 20 19 20 16 17 21 24 21 20 21 21 24 24 23 23 22 24 23 21 21 22 24 24 24 27 27 23 22 23 23 23 18 24 23 25 25 23 23 19 22 19
24 26 26 27 24 23 23 21 26 24 29 27 28 22 24 21 27 26 24 24 23 20 18 18 22 23 23 23 24 23 23 21 21 22 24 24 23 24 24 25 25 25 28 26 26 24 27 27 27 29 25 24
21 22 20 23 22 18 23 25 20 22 22 21 22 26 23 24 23 18 20 24 18 18 18 16 18 19 19 19 19 23 18 18 23 21 22 21 17 20 18 19 21 22 24 23 21 20 18 24 24 23 22 25
24 22 23 23 23 25 24 25 21 23 22 24 25 25 30 29 21 23 26 25 27 25 25 29 25 24 24 24 25 25 26 26 23 23 22 19 20 19 23 23 22 21 22 19 19 23 20 18 19 21 22 22
2 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 3 2 1 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 3 1 2 2 2 3
21
36
18
13
9
3
6
16
24
23
30
1
Very Positive
Somewhat Positive
8 7 8 6 7 9 7 6 9 6 6 7 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 6 9 15 14 12 11 9 11 8 8 6 9 11 8 8 7 7 11 11 12 8 8 7 6 6 10 6 7 7 5 6 7 7
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Study #15398 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Q6 (cont'd)
Jeb Bush September 2015 .......................... July 2015 ..................................... June 2015 ................................... April 2015 .................................... March 2015 ................................. January 2015 .............................. November 2014 ........................... September 2014+........................ April 2014 .................................... May 30-June 2, 2013................... Hillary Clinton1 September 2015 ........................... July 2015 ...................................... June 2015 .................................... April 2015 ..................................... March 2015 .................................. January 2015 ............................... November 2014 ............................ September 2014+......................... June 2014 .................................... April 2014 ..................................... March 2014 .................................. September 2013 ........................... May 30-June 2, 2013.................... April 2013 ..................................... January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ............................ November 2011 ............................ May 2011 ..................................... April 2011 ..................................... December 2010 ............................ January 10-14, 2010 ................... July 2009 ...................................... February 2009 .............................. January 2009 ............................... December 2008 ............................ September 2008+......................... August 2008+ ............................... June 2008+ .................................. April 2008+ ................................... March 24-25, 2008+ ..................... March 7-10, 2008+ ....................... January 2008 ............................... June 2007 .................................... March 2007 .................................. December 2006 ............................ April 2006 ..................................... December 2004 ............................ July 2003 ...................................... March 2001 .................................. January 2001 ............................... High February 2009 .............................. Low March 2001 ..................................
Neutral
Somewhat Negative
Very Negative
Don't Know Name/ Not Sure
20 23 21 18 19 14 20 17 17 17
31 26 29 32 34 36 27 32 32 33
19 22 16 19 20 16 18 18 18 11
20 18 20 17 14 16 15 12 14 12
6 8 8 9 9 13 14 16 15 18
14 15 21 19 21 20 24 21 23 23 23 26 29 32 34 34 33 26 29 26 25 26 32 27 27 23 17 18 20 17 22 24 18 16 21 19 24 16 16 27
25 22 23 23 23 25 19 22 21 25 21 25 20 24 22 24 22 29 27 28 27 27 27 29 26 24 25 28 22 20 23 23 24 23 22 19 21 21 19 22
13 14 15 14 19 17 16 16 18 19 20 17 18 14 19 14 22 23 21 18 22 15 18 14 20 15 16 14 14 15 11 11 15 17 17 19 14 20 15 13
13 15 11 10 13 14 15 15 14 11 12 12 13 14 12 16 12 12 11 11 13 15 11 15 14 17 18 17 19 21 14 11 16 15 12 13 11 13 18 12
34 33 29 32 23 23 25 26 23 21 22 19 18 15 13 12 10 9 11 16 12 16 11 14 12 20 23 22 25 27 29 30 26 28 26 28 29 27 31 24
1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 3 1 2
32
27
18
11
11
1
16
19
15
18
31
1
Very Positive
Somewhat Positive
4 3 6 5 4 5 6 5 4 9
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Study #15398 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Q6 (cont'd) Neutral
Somewhat Negative
Very Negative
Don't Know Name/ Not Sure
17 16 17 17 12 11 11
16 16 40 38 28 25 28
14 13 18 14 24 23 25
44 43 11 15 25 32 24
1 2 5 7 7 6 9
15 10 8
17 14 8
23 20 22
9 10 6
13 9 7
23 37 49
Ben Carson September 2015 .......................... November 2014 ...........................
13 10
16 7
23 18
11 4
10 3
27 58
Carly Fiorina September 2015 .......................... June 2015 ....................................
8 4
19 11
22 14
10 7
10 6
31 58
The Black Lives Matter Movement September 2015 ..........................
18
14
21
13
16
18
Joe Biden September 2015 .......................... June 2015 .................................... November 2014 ........................... June 2014 .................................... July 2013 ..................................... January 2013 ............................... December 2012 ........................... October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. August 2012+ .............................. July 2012+ ................................... May 2012 ..................................... December 2010 ........................... August 26-30, 2010 ..................... January 10-14, 2010 .................... July 2009 ..................................... January 2009 ............................... December 2008 ........................... October 17-20, 2008+ .................. October 4-5, 2008+...................... September 19-22, 2008+ ............. September 6-8, 2008+ ................. September 2007 .......................... December 2006 ........................... June 2004+ ..................................
15 16 13 11 17 20 21 21 18 15 15 15 10 13 15 13 20 20 28 21 17 18 4 3 5
25 24 22 21 21 21 18 19 19 21 20 20 24 21 23 25 27 25 23 22 20 22 13 14 11
25 24 22 25 21 17 18 15 19 20 23 21 25 21 25 20 22 25 19 24 25 23 26 23 25
14 16 17 15 15 16 15 13 14 14 14 16 15 15 15 17 12 12 12 12 13 13 11 10 6
14 15 21 21 20 21 23 29 24 26 23 21 18 20 14 19 9 11 14 15 16 12 11 6 4
7 5 5 7 6 5 5 3 6 4 5 7 8 9 8 6 10 7 4 6 9 12 35 44 49
Planned Parenthood September 2015 .......................... July 2015 .....................................
28 26
19 19
18 20
9 8
22 22
4 5
Very Positive
Somewhat Positive
Donald Trump September 2015 .......................... July 2015 ..................................... February 2011 ............................. May 2004+ ................................... December 1999 ........................... October 1999 ............................... July 1990 .....................................
8 10 9 9 4 3 3
Bernie Sanders September 2015 .......................... July 2015 ..................................... June 2015 ....................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Study #15398 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL D/S POSITIVE NEGATIVE Planned Parenthood .............................. 47 31 16 Joe Biden ............................................... 40 28 12 Bernie Sanders ...................................... 32 22 10 Ben Carson ............................................ 29 21 8 Carly Fiorina ........................................... 27 20 7 Barack Obama ....................................... 46 40 6 The Democratic Party ............................ 41 35 6 The Black Lives Matter Movement ......... 32 29 3 Hillary Clinton ......................................... 39 47 -8 Jeb Bush ................................................ 24 39 -15 The Republican Party............................. 29 45 -16 Donald Trump ........................................ 25 58 -33
Q7
Is there something that upsets you enough that, if you could, you would carry a protest sign for a day?
Yes .................................................. No ................................................... Not sure ........................................
9/15 55 43 2
8/14 57 41 2
(IF Q7:1, THEN ASK) Q7a What would you want your protest sign to say?** SEE VERBATIM RESPONSES ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Study #15398 -- page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Even though it is a long way off, I'd like to ask you some questions about the November 2016 elections. Q8 Please tell me how interested you are in next year’s elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a "ten" means that you are very interested in next year’s elections and a "one" means that you are not at all interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.")
10, very interested ......... 9 .................................... 8 .................................... 7 .................................... 6 .................................... 5 .................................... 4 .................................... 3 .................................... 2 .................................... 1, not at all interested .... Cannot rate..................
9/15+ 56 8 13 9 3 5 1 1 1 2 1
4/15+ 53 7 15 8 4 7 1 1 2 2 -
10/12+ 69 8 9 4 2 5 1 2 -
9/2630/12+ 65 8 10 5 3 5 1 1 2 -
9/1216/12+ 64 8 12 6 2 4 1 1 1 1 -
8/12+ 62 6 13 6 3 5 1 1 1 2 -
7/12+ 62 6 11 7 4 5 1 1 3 -
6/12+ 60 8 12 7 3 5 2 1 1 1 -
5/12+ 62 7 12 6 4 5 1 1 1 1 -
4/12+ 61 6 12 7 3 5 2 2 1 2 -
3/12+ 48 11 14 9 5 6 2 1 1 2 1
1/12+ 57 10 11 7 3 6 2 2 1 1 -
10/45/08+ 72 7 10 4 1 3 1 2 -
9/1922/08+ 70 8 9 5 2 3 1 1 1 -
9/68/08+ 69 10 10 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 -
8/08+ 65 8 11 5 2 3 1 1 1 3 -
7/08+ 64 8 12 5 3 4 1 1 2 -
6/08+ 67 7 11 5 2 4 1 1 2 -
4/08+ 65 9 11 4 3 3 1 2 2 -
3/08+ 67 8 10 5 2 3 1 1 2 1
1/08+ 66 10 10 4 3 4 1 1 1 -
12/07+ 65 8 12 5 2 4 1 1 2 -
10/04+ 74 8 9 3 2 2 1 1 -
9/04+ 71 7 9 5 2 4 1 1 -
8/04+ 63 10 12 6 2 4 1 1 1 -
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
11/07+ 62 9 11 6 3 5 1 1 2 -
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015 Q9
Study #15398 -- page 11 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Do you think it would be better for the country to have (ROTATE) a Democrat or a Republican as the next president?
Democrat ...................................... Republican .................................... Makes No Difference (VOL) ......... Neither/Some other party (VOL) .. Not sure ........................................
9/15+ 38 38 7 8 9
7/15+ 37 39 9 7 8
6/15+ 39 36 7 7 10
4/15+ 40 39 7 5 9
12/14+ 38 40 9 6 7
2/88 36 39 14 n/a 11
5/87 37 31 20 n/a 12
3/87 41 36 9 n/a 14
1/87 35 32 21 n/a 12
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Q10
In thinking about the next president that we'll be electing, which of the following two statements comes closer to your point of view? (IF "BOTH," ASK:) I understand that you feel that they are both important, but if you had to choose the ONE statement that comes closer to your point of view, which would you choose? Statement A: This is a time to have a president who will focus on progress and help move America forward. Statement B: This is a time to have a president who will focus on protecting what has made America great.
Statement A/focus on progress/moving forward ............... Statement B/focus on protecting what has made America great .................................................................... Not sure ...........................................................................
9/15+ 60
9/1922/08+ 63
8/08+ 60
6/08+ 59
3/08+ 57
11/07+ 50
38 2
33 4
35 5
37 4
39 4
46 4
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Q11
Now, here are two statements that might describe how you feel. Please listen to both and then tell me which ONE best describes how you feel. (ROTATE :1 and :2) I feel angry because our political system seems to only be working for the insiders with money and power, like those on Wall Street or in Washington, rather than it working to help everyday people get ahead. I feel anxious and uncertain because the economy still feels rocky and unpredictable so I worry about paying my bills, day to day living costs, and whether I can count on my own situation being stable. Or, if neither one is right for you, just say so. Angry ............................................. Anxious and uncertain ................... Neither ........................................... Both (VOL) .................................. Not sure .......................................
44 28 20 8 -
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Study #15398 -- page 12 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Moving on… Q12 Now, if there were a presidential primary election in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary, the Republican primary, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2016?
Vote in Democratic Primary .................................. Vote in Republican Primary .................................. Wait until the general election............................... Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) .......................... Not sure ...............................................................
9/15+ 31 28 38 3
7/15+ 30 30 39 1
6/15+ 30 28 38 1 3
4/15+ 32 29 35 1 3
3/15+ 30 25 40 2 3
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Q13-Q15 ASKED OF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY Q13 Next, I’m going to mention a number of people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Democratic nomination president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE LIST) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES
Yes, Could See Self Supporting
No, Could Not See Self Supporting
Don’t Know Name
Not Sure
Hillary Clinton September 2015^^ .............. June 2015^^ ........................ March 2015^^ .....................
76 92 86
21 8 13
-
3 1
Joe Biden September 2015^^ .............. June 2015^^ ........................ March 2015^^ .....................
73 65 54
22 33 40
2 1 3
3 1 2
Bernie Sanders September 2015^^ .............. June 2015^^ ........................ March 2015^^ .....................
62 40 21
24 32 21
10 23 54
4 5 4
Martin O’Malley September 2015^^ .............. June 2015^^ ........................ March 2015^^ .....................
10 12 11
39 28 20
49 58 67
2 2 2
Jim Webb September 2015^^ .............. June 2015^^ ........................ March 2015^^ .....................
7 15 15
36 31 24
55 52 57
2 2 4
Lincoln Chafee September 2015^^ .............. June 2015^^ ........................
6 6
37 30
56 62
1 2
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015 Q14
Study #15398 -- page 13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
And, thinking about people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2016. If the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor? (READ LIST. RANDOMIZE. IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) ^^ FIRST CHOICE (WITH JOE BIDEN) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
Hillary Clinton ............................................ Bernie Sanders ......................................... Joe Biden .................................................. Jim Webb .................................................. Martin O’Malley ......................................... Lincoln Chafee .......................................... Other (VOL) ........................................... None (VOL) ............................................ Not sure .................................................
42 35 17 1 1 4
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary
(IF BIDEN, THEN ASK:) And, if Joe Biden decides not to seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, which candidate would you favor? (READ :1-5) RECALCULATED FIRST CHOICE (WITHOUT JOE BIDEN) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
Hillary Clinton............................................ Bernie Sanders ......................................... Jim Webb .................................................. Martin O’Malley ......................................... Lincoln Chafee .......................................... Other (VOL) ........................................... None (VOL) ............................................ Not sure .................................................
9/15^^ 53 38 1 1 1 2 4
7/15^^ 59 25 3 3 1 1 4 4
6/15^^ 75 15 4 2 1 2 1
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary
Q15
Now, if your choice in the Democratic primary came down to a candidate who will make compromises to gain consensus on legislation to get things done, or a candidate who will stick to their positions even if this means not being able to gain consensus on legislation, which candidate would you be more likely to support? ^^ Will make compromises ..................................... Will stick to their positions .................................. Depends (VOL) ................................................ Neither (VOL) ................................................... Not sure............................................................
60 35 3 2
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Study #15398 -- page 14 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Q16-Q20 ASKED OF REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY Q16 Next, I’m going to mention a number of people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Republican nomination president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (AFTER THE FIRST TEN ITEMS, READ:) And, just a few more. (RANDOMIZE LIST) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES
Ben Carson September 2015^ ............... July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^ .......................... March 2015^ ....................... Marco Rubio September 2015^ ............... July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^.......................... March 2015^ ....................... Carly Fiorina September 2015^ ............... July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^ .......................... March 2015^ ....................... Jeb Bush September 2015^ ............... July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^.......................... March 2015^ ....................... Mike Huckabee September 2015^ ............... July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^ .......................... March 2015^ ....................... Donald Trump September 2015^ ............... July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... March 2015^ ....................... Ted Cruz September 2015^ ............... July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^ .......................... March 2015^ ....................... Chris Christie September 2015^ ............... July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^.......................... March 2015^ ....................... Rand Paul September 2015^ ............... July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... April 2015^.......................... March 2015^ .......................
Yes, Could See Self Supporting
No, Could Not See Self Supporting
Don’t Know Name
Not Sure
69 49 50 39 41
23 27 21 22 18
6 21 27 36 38
2 3 2 3 3
63 62 74 74 56
27 29 15 15 26
9 7 8 9 14
1 2 3 2 4
61 33 31 17 18
28 31 29 25 25
10 34 38 52 54
1 2 2 6 3
55 57 75 70 49
43 40 22 27 42
1 1 2 1 4
1 2 1 2 5
47 52 65 52 52
46 43 32 39 40
5 3 1 5 3
2 2 2 4 5
47 47 32 23
52 49 66 74
1
1 4 2 2
45 52 51 57 40
44 38 31 28 38
8 7 14 12 18
3 3 4 3 4
42 37 36 38 32
51 55 55 50 57
6 5 6 9 7
1 3 3 3 4
35 44 49 59 49
58 48 45 32 40
5 5 5 6 8
2 3 1 3 3
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Study #15398 -- page 15 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES
Q16 (cont’d) John Kasich September 2015^ ............... July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... Rick Santorum September 2015^ ............... July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... March 2015^ ....................... Bobby Jindal September 2015^ ............... July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... March 2015^ ....................... Lindsey Graham September 2015^ ............... July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... March 2015^ ....................... George Pataki September 2015^ ............... July 2015^ .......................... June 2015^ ......................... Jim Gilmore September 2015^ ............... July 2015^ ..........................
Yes, Could See Self Supporting
No, Could Not See Self Supporting
Don’t Know Name
Not Sure
34 30 25
44 31 30
20 36 42
2 3 3
33 37 49 40
56 46 40 40
10 11 10 16
1 6 1 4
27 34 36 36
49 38 28 25
23 26 34 36
1 2 2 3
16 14 27 20
67 67 49 51
16 16 19 24
1 3 5 5
12 10 13
64 55 44
22 31 37
2 4 6
3 2
48 33
48 62
1 3
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015 Q17
Study #15398 -- page 16 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
And, if a Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor (RANDOMIZE) Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Mike Huckabee, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Donald Trump, or Carly Fiorina, or would you vote for one of the other candidates that were mentioned in the previous question? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK:) And, which of the following candidates would be your second choice (RANDOMIZE REMAINING LIST FROM :1-10) or would your second choice be one of the other candidates that were mentioned in the previous question? (IF PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED CANDIDATE FOR FIRST OR SECOND CHOICE IN Q17, THEN ASK:) Which one of the following candidates would you favor -- (RANDOMIZE) Lindsey Graham, Rick Santorum, George Pataki, Bobby Jindal, or Jim Gilmore? FIRST CHOICE THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
Donald Trump ......................... Ben Carson ............................. Marco Rubio............................ Carly Fiorina............................ Jeb Bush ................................. John Kasich ............................ Ted Cruz ................................. Rand Paul ............................... Chris Christie .......................... Mike Huckabee ....................... Rick Santorum ........................ Bobby Jindal ........................... Lindsey Graham...................... George Pataki ......................... Jim Gilmore ............................. Scott Walker............................ Rick Perry ............................... Other (VOL) ......................... None (VOL) .......................... Not sure ...............................
9/15^ 21 20 11 11 7 6 5 3 3 2 1 1 NA NA 1 2 6
7/15^ 19 10 5 14 3 9 6 3 6 1 1 15 3 1 4
6/15^ 1 11 14 2 22 1 4 7 4 9 1 NA 17 5 1 1
4/15^ NA 7 18 1 23 NA 11 11 5 5 NA NA NA NA NA 14 2 3
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
SECOND CHOICE THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
Carly Fiorina............................ Ben Carson ............................. Marco Rubio............................ Jeb Bush ................................. Donald Trump ......................... Ted Cruz ................................. Mike Huckabee ....................... Rand Paul ............................... Chris Christie .......................... John Kasich ............................ Rick Santorum ........................ Lindsey Graham...................... George Pataki ......................... Bobby Jindal ........................... Jim Gilmore ............................. Scott Walker............................ Rick Perry ............................... Other (VOL) ......................... None (VOL) .......................... Not sure ...............................
9/15^ 17 15 15 11 10 6 5 3 3 2 1 NA NA 1 2
7/15^ 2 11 11 16 11 8 5 5 6 1 1 3 9 4 1 1
6/15^ 1 8 20 18 3 7 9 9 6 NA 7 5 3
4/15^ 2 4 23 14 NA 7 10 9 9 NA NA NA NA NA NA 13 5 1
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Study #15398 -- page 17 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
COMBINED CHOICE THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
Ben Carson ............................. Donald Trump ......................... Carly Fiorina............................ Marco Rubio............................ Jeb Bush ................................. Ted Cruz ................................. John Kasich ............................ Mike Huckabee ....................... Rand Paul ............................... Chris Christie .......................... Rick Santorum ........................ Bobby Jindal ........................... Lindsey Graham...................... George Pataki ......................... Jim Gilmore ............................. Scott Walker............................ Rick Perry ............................... Other (VOL) ......................... None (VOL) .......................... Not sure ...............................
9/15^ 35 31 28 26 19 11 8 8 6 5 3 1 NA NA 3 7
7/15^ 21 30 2 16 30 17 4 11 11 9 2 4 24 7 2 5
6/15^ 19 4 3 34 40 11 1 18 16 10 1 NA 24 10 1 4
4/15^ 11 NA 3 41 37 18 NA 15 20 14 NA NA NA NA NA 27 7 4
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
Q18
Now, if your choice in the Republican primary came down to a candidate who will make compromises to gain consensus on legislation to get things done, or a candidate who will stick to their positions even if this means not being able to gain consensus on legislation, which candidate would you be more likely to support?^ Will make compromises ..................................... Will stick to their positions .................................. Depends (VOL) ................................................ Neither (VOL) ................................................... Not sure............................................................
48 49 1 2
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
Q19
Now, thinking about Republican leaders in Congress such as (ROTATE) Speaker of the House, John Boehner and Leader Mitch McConnell in the U.S. Senate...would you say you are (ROTATE) satisfied or dissatisfied with their ability to achieve Republican legislative goals and priorities? (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK) And are you very or just somewhat (satisfied/dissatisfied)?^ Very satisfied ...................................................... Somewhat satisfied ............................................ Somewhat dissatisfied ........................................ Very dissatisfied ................................................. Not sure ............................................................
2 21 28 44 5
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015 Q20
Study #15398 -- page 18 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
And, yes or no, do you want (ROTATE) John Boehner and Mitch McConnell removed immediately from their leadership position to be replaced by other Republican members of the House and Senate or is this an issue you don’t have an opinion about at this time?^ Yes, remove them .............................................. No, do not remove them ..................................... No opinion .......................................................... Boehner, not McConnell (VOL) ........................ McConnell, not Boehner (VOL) ........................
36 18 45 1 -
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
Now, thinking again about the 2016 general election for president… Q21-Q28A RANDOMIZED AMONG REG VOTERS (Q3:1) Q21-Q23,Q28 And, if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) [GOP CANDIDATE NAME] were the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?+
Jeb Bush .............................................. Hillary Clinton ....................................... Depends (VOL) ................................. Neither/other (VOL) .......................... Not sure ............................................
Q21 9/15+ 6/15+ 44 40 45 48 8 8 3 4
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Donald Trump ..................................... Hillary Clinton ...................................... Depends (VOL) ................................ Neither/other (VOL) .......................... Not sure ............................................
Q22 39 49 10 2
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Ben Carson ......................................... Hillary Clinton ...................................... Depends (VOL) ................................ Neither/other (VOL) .......................... Not sure ............................................
Q23 46 45 6 3
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Carly Fiorina ........................................ Hillary Clinton ...................................... Depends (VOL) ................................. Neither/other (VOL) .......................... Not sure ............................................ + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Q28 45 44 7 4
4/15+ 43 49 5 3
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015 Q24-Q27
Study #15398 -- page 19 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
And, if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) [GOP CANDIDATE NAME] were the Republican candidate and Joe Biden were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?+
Jeb Bush.................................................. Joe Biden................................................. Depends (VOL) ..................................... Neither/other (VOL) .............................. Not sure ................................................
Q24 9/15+ 4/15+ 40 48 48 40 1 8 8 3 4
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Donald Trump...................................... Joe Biden ............................................ Depends (VOL) ................................ Neither/other (VOL) .......................... Not sure ............................................
Q25 35 56 7 -
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Ben Carson .......................................... Joe Biden ............................................. Depends (VOL) ................................. Neither/other (VOL) .......................... Not sure ............................................
Q26 41 49 5 5
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Carly Fiorina ........................................ Joe Biden ............................................. Depends (VOL) ................................. Neither/other (VOL) .......................... Not sure ............................................
Q27 41 47 8 4
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Q28a
And, if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican 1 candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? + Donald Trump ...................................... Bernie Sanders .................................... Depends (VOL) ................................. Neither/other (VOL) .......................... Not sure ............................................ 1
36 52 8 4
Question asked only 9/21-24/15 of 620 registered voters. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Q29
Study #15398 -- page 20 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Now, I would like to read you a list of trends in American society today. For each one I read, please tell me whether you consider this to be a step in the right direction, something that won’t make any difference, or is it a step in the wrong direction? THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ‘STEP IN RIGHT DIRECTION’
Step In Right Direction
Not Make Any Difference
Step In Wrong Direction
Not Sure
The increasing use of technology like smart phones and social media to communicate and stay in touch with people. September 2015 ...................................................................
60
20
19
1
Legislation that protects the rights of gays and lesbians September 2015 ...................................................................
59
17
23
1
More international trade agreements September 2015**................................................................. December 1997 ....................................................................
51 55
19 13
24 22
6 10
An increase in the number of legal immigrants September 2015 ...................................................................
48
23
27
2
Relaxing laws against the use of marijuana September 2015 ...................................................................
47
20
30
3
The development of what some call the gig economy which includes companies like Uber and Airbnb September 2015* .................................................................
38
30
12
20
More restrictive laws on abortion September 2015 ................................................................... December 1997 ....................................................................
36 37
16 16
45 41
3 6
Racial and ethnic minorities increasing as a percentage of the US population September 2015 ...................................................................
35
47
14
4
The more active involvement of religious groups in politics September 2015 ................................................................... December 1997 ....................................................................
24 32
19 17
54 47
3 4
Step In Right Direction
Not Make Any Difference
Step In Wrong Direction
Not Sure
35
22
38
5
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).
1997 COMPARATIVE DATA
Legislation that protects gay and lesbian lifestyles December 1997 ....................................................................
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Study #15398 -- page 21 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
And, moving on… Q30 Would you favor or oppose totally eliminating federal funding to Planned Parenthood for family planning and preventative health services? (IF FAVOR/OPPOSE, THEN ASK) And, would you strongly or somewhat (favor/oppose) this? Strongly favor....................................... Somewhat favor ................................... Somewhat oppose .............................. Strongly oppose ................................... Not sure ............................................
22 13 17 44 4
Q30a WAS ASKED ONLY OF THOSE WHO FAVOR ELIMINATING FUNDING (Q30:1-2) Q30a Would you favor or oppose shutting down the federal government to block federal funding for Planned Parenthood for family planning and preventative health services, or is this an issue you don’t have an opinion about at this time? (IF FAVOR/OPPOSE, THEN ASK) And, would you strongly or somewhat (favor/oppose) this? Strongly favor....................................... Somewhat favor ................................... Somewhat oppose .............................. Strongly oppose ................................... Not sure ............................................ Oppose/Not sure on Q30 ...................
Q31
6 3 4 7 15 65
Have you seen, read, or heard the news coverage about secretly-taped videos that show employees of Planned Parenthood talking about the use of fetal tissue and organs in scientific research from pregnancies which had been terminated at their facilities? (IF YES:) And, have you seen, read, or heard a lot or just some about this? Total Yes Yes, a lot ........................................... Yes, some ......................................... No ....................................................... Not sure ............................................
65 29 36 33 2
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Study #15398 -- page 22 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Now, switching topics… Q32 As you may know, under our constitution and current laws, all children born in the United States are automatically granted citizenship. Do you think we should continue to grant citizenship to all children born in the U.S. or do you think this should be changed so children of illegal immigrants are not automatically granted citizenship?
Continue to grant automatic citizenship ..................... Change/not automatic citizenship .............................. Not sure ...................................................................
All Adults 5/209/15 23/10 53 49 42 46 5 5
Continue to grant automatic citizenship ..................... Change/not automatic citizenship .............................. Not sure ...................................................................
Hispanic/Latino 5/209/15 23/10 76 79 21 18 3 3
And, switching topics… Q33 Millions of Syrian refugees have fled their homes since the outbreak of civil war there and many are seeking to live in other countries including Europe and the United States. The Obama administration is recommending the United States take in at least ten thousand (10,000) Syrian refugees over the next year. Do you think the United States should (ROTATE) -- take in more refugees from Syria, take in fewer refugees from Syria -- this is about the right amount, or should the United States take no Syrian refugees at all?* Take more ........................................... Take fewer ........................................... Right amount ....................................... Take none at all ................................... Not sure ............................................
21 17 35 24 3
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).
And, changing topics again… Q34 On the issue of abortion, would you say you are more likely to vote for (ROTATE) -- a right to life candidate, a pro-choice candidate -- or would it not make much difference on how you might vote?
Right to life candidate ................................... Pro-choice candidate .................................... Would not make much difference ................. Not sure ........................................................
10/12+ 28 40 31 1
9/15 25 40 33 2
3/05+ 32 35 29 4
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
And thinking about you… Q35 When you think about your own financial situation, looking ahead to the next year or so, do you feel confident and optimistic or worried and uncertain?
Confident and optimistic.................... Worried and uncertain....................... In between (VOL) ............................ Not sure .......................................... 1
9/151 53 45 1 1
9/1922/08+ 34 58 7 1
Question asked only 9/21-24/15 of 748 adults. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
6/08+ 35 55 9 1
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Study #15398 -- page 23 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2012 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) For whom did you vote––Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, or someone else?+ Voted for Barack Obama ............................... Voted for Mitt Romney ................................... Voted for someone else ................................. Not sure ......................................................... No, Did Not Vote ............................................ Not sure .......................................................
44 32 9 2 13 -
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
QF2
Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Currently Employed Professional, manager ............................ White-collar worker ................................. Blue-collar worker ................................... Farmer, rancher ...................................... Not Currently Employed Student .................................................... Stay at home mom/dad ........................... Retired .................................................... Unemployed, looking for work ................. Other ....................................................... Not sure ................................................
QF3
27 17 17 4 6 24 4 1
What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ........................................................... Some high school .................................................... High school graduate ............................................... Some college, no degree ......................................... Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree .............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................. Some postgraduate work, no degree ....................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ......... Doctoral/law degree ................................................. Not sure/refused ....................................................
QF4
5 23 17 2 11 24 2 12 4 -
Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat ............................. Not very strong Democrat ............... Independent/lean Democrat ............ Strictly Independent......................... Independent/lean Republican .......... Not very strong Republican ............. Strong Republican ........................... Other (VOL) ................................... Not sure.........................................
21 11 10 15 13 9 13 5 3
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
QF5
Study #15398 -- page 24 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal ......................................................... Somewhat liberal ............................................... Moderate ............................................................ Somewhat conservative ..................................... Very conservative .............................................. Not sure ...........................................................
13 18 35 19 13 2
(READ QF5a-f ONLY IF Q12:2 - REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS) And, On a scale from one to ten where ten represents a description that is perfect for you and one a description that is totally wrong for you, how well do each of the following describe you? You can, of course, use any number between one and ten. __ __ (RECORD EXACT NUMBER 1-10, USE 99 FOR DK/REF) To what extent do you regard yourself as...(RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY %8-10 AMONG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS 8-10 4-7 1-3 Refused Mean A supporter of the traditional definition of marriage as being between one man and one woman September 2015^ ............................... 69 18 13 8.0 A supporter of the Right-to-Life movement September 2015^ ...............................
59
28
12
1
7.5
Someone who enjoys listening to conservative talk radio September 2015^ ...............................
33
34
31
2
5.5
A supporter of the Tea Party Movement September 2015^ ...............................
24
51
22
3
5.5
A Libertarian September 2015^ ...............................
13
35
47
5
3.8
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary
QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? Labor union member ........................................ Union household .............................................. Non-union household ....................................... Not sure ..........................................................
QF7
13 7 79 1
If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year, would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand dollars, or would the total be more than that? Less than $10,000 ............................................... Between $10,000 and $20,000............................
4 8
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES September 2015
Study #15398 -- page 25 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Between $20,000 and $30,000............................ Between $30,000 and $40,000............................ Between $40,000 and $50,000............................ Between $50,000 and $75,000............................ Between $75,000 and $100,000.......................... More than $100,000 ............................................ Not sure/refused .................................................
9 9 8 15 15 24 8