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Space IGS 2013: Accelerating Space-Enabled Growth Andy Green
16th July 2013
Agenda
Achievements
Challenge
Markets
Recommendations
Next Steps
Sector achievements in the last 18 months
Government
UK Space Agency 25% increase in ESA funding ESA Directorate at Harwell Satellite Applications Catapult National Space Academy Higher Apprenticeships in Space Engineering Secured flight for UK Astronaut to ISS
Joint Government & Industry
National Space Technology Roadmaps & Funded Programme TechDemoSat to launch Q3 2013 NovaSAR Space Radar & maritime surveillance project Satellite Finance Network Neosat next generation European telecoms platform Solar Orbiter Spacecraft contract UKube-1
Industry achievements in the last 18 months
Hylas 2 in service, Hylas 3 ordered & Telecoms Gateway operational at Goonhilly GNSS/EGNOS precision approach to Alderney approved by CAA Imminent AlphaSat launch - Europe’s largest telecoms satellite. Galileo. 4 IOV satellites & Ground Control operational; FOC launch by end 2013, 4 payloads delivered. e2v sensors on NASA’s Curiosity Mission to Mars and ESA ‘s Gaia star-mapping mission, launching end 2013 2 New constellations in build
DMC3 for China Formosat 7 for Taiwan
Inmarsat selected for IRIS satellite precursor – communications component for Single European Sky ATM Research programme
UK Space Sector Definition
From the Size & Health of the UK Space Sector report by Oxford Economics, 2012
Historic Growth
The Space IGS 2013 Challenge •
Continuity of Space IGS 2010 ambition •
•
10% of global space economy by 2030, which leads to: • 100,000 new jobs • £40 billion UK space-enabled turnover by 2030
Differentiator • •
IGS 2010 was focussed on fundamental structures & investment IGS 2013 is focussed on space services & applications to drive economic growth in the broader economy, providing: • •
•
An enabling ‘eco-system’ New infrastructure that will be needed for these markets
Challenge •
Achieving sustained growth within the space economy now requires focus across a number of different areas: • • •
A cultural change: Looking outwards not inwards Increase in uptake of services in external markets, exploiting data from space, creating new value chains Maximised use of existing infrastructure to address immediate opportunities
Scale of the Challenge •
Near five-fold increase in the “down-stream” from £8bn to £37bn by 2030 • • • •
•
Dramatically stimulate the broader market for space services and data Create / attract & anchor new space services & applications companies in the UK Grow existing UK space services & applications companies Maximise UK involvement in operating major institutional infrastructure
Triple size of the “up-stream” from £1bn per annum to £3bn per annum by 2030 • • • •
Innovative manufacturing – adopting new technology more quickly Develop disruptive ‘game changing’ technology Growing the number of SMEs in the supply chain Maximise UK involvement in building major institutional infrastructure
The Virtuous Circle Space Infrastructure
Upstream investment
Space Economy
Economic benefit
• Improved infrastructure is crucial for down-stream services
More downstream services
• UK can grow the downstream faster if it clusters manufacturing, academia and services • Balance technology push with market need
IGS Markets More efficient public sector services
game changing services
IGS Markets e-connectivity
Climate & Environmental Services
IGS Markets
IGS Markets
Direct to home TV Fixed satellite broadband
e-Connectivity
Backhaul (mobile, fixed, broadcast) Telemedicine & assisted living
Broadband to ships Broadband to aircraft Ubiquitous m2m
Energy use monitoring & management transport
Location based services [ gaming/synthetic environments Managing unmanned vehicles (RPVs) and hosted payloads Seamless personal communications
IGS Markets
Maritime geospatial services
Maritime surveillance Maritime environment monitoring
Secure satellite communications Galileo Public Regulated Service Polar infrastructure for shipping & exploration Disaster & emergency response
Space robustness services
IGS Markets
Removing space debris Space weather Space situational awareness
IGS Markets
Road transport Air traffic Multi-modal transport management Rail transport
More efficient public sector services
Smart cities/urban services for local govt. Energy infrastructure services
IGS Markets
IGS Markets
Space tourism and small payload launch Space planes Low-cost LEO launch vehicles
Low cost access to space Persistent surveillance Power from space
game changing services
IGS Markets
IGS Markets
IGS Markets
Insurance & finance
Agriculture & food security Climate & Environmental
Services Climate applications Carbon monitoring & modelling Environmental policy
Environmental services Weather forecasting
IGS Markets
Game changing technologies & infrastructure
Space Plane technologies Indoor satellite navigation Ultra low-cost platforms High resolution remote sensing from GEO Large integrated constellations in LEO Miniaturised antennas for consumer/m2m devices Fractionated satellites High altitude atmospheric platforms (HAP/HALE) In-orbit power generation & transmission
IGS Markets Maritime geospatial services Road transport Air traffic Rail transport
Multi-modal transport management
More efficient public sector services
Smart cities/urban services for local govt.
Maritime surveillance Maritime environment monitoring
Secure satellite communications Galileo PRS
Energy infrastructure services
Polar infrastructure for shipping & exploration
Disaster & emergency response Space tourism and small payload launch Space planes Low-cost LEO launch vehicles
Low cost access to space
Space robustness services
game changing services
Removing space debris Space weather Space situational awareness
Persistent surveillance
Power from space
Direct to home TV
IGS Markets
Fixed satellite broadband
e-Connectivity e4: broadband to ships
Insurance & finance Agriculture & food security Climate & Environmental
e3: broadband to aircraft
Services Climate applications Carbon monitoring & modelling Environmental policy
Backhaul (mobile, fixed, broadcast) Telemedicine & assisted living
Ubiquitous m2m Environmental services
Energy use monitoring & management transport
Location based services [ gaming/synthetic environments Weather forecasting Managing unmanned vehicles (RPVs) and hosted payloads
Game changing technologies & infrastructure
Space Plane technologies Indoor satellite navigation Ultra low-cost platforms High resolution remote sensing from GEO Large integrated constellations in LEO Miniaturised antennas for consumer/m2m devices Fractionated satellites High altitude atmospheric platforms (HAP/HALE) In-orbit power generation & transmission
Seamless personal communications
Satellite Broadband
Vision
Enable Governments across EU to achieve the Digital Agenda targets for 2015 and 2020.
A platform to deliver innovative internet services such as Telemedicine, e-learning and e-Commerce
Specific opportunity for UK companies
Provide broadband to every rural community in the world – an export market worth £29 billion p.a
Satellite broadband to markets in Europe, Middle East, Africa, South America and Asia Pacific
Requires the following UK actions to realise opportunity at scale
Better access to spectrum and orbital slots
Maritime Surveillance
Vision
Specific opportunity for UK companies
Global monitoring of the world’s shipping for safety and security purposes Multi £bn market by 2030 To provide monitoring services combining the UK’s existing capabilities in low-cost satellites, synthetic aperture radar and AIS detection Builds on UK’s leading role in global maritime and security services e.g. NMIC, Lloyd’s, UK MoD
Requires the following UK actions to realise opportunity at scale
Applications research: Catapult & Industry Develop initial services using first NovaSAR-S mission
Location Based Services
Vision
Location-dependent data services are ubiquitous in daily routine, seamlessly running without user intervention Access a market growing at over 20% p.a. and expected to reach €80bn globally by 2020
Specific opportunity for UK companies
Increase uptake of location based services towards business and government Integrate space with terrestrial services This is a broad category covering many aspects
Advertising and social networking Transport, navigation and mobility Gaming (and serious gaming), Simulation
Requires the following UK actions to realise opportunity at scale
Exploit links between SA- and CDE- catapults Recognise downstream as a credible space economy activity
Rail Transport
Vision
Specific opportunity for UK companies
Satellite positioning will enable vastly improved traffic capacity while reducing costs Satellite communications will provide high-speed connectivity Development and installation of train-borne equipment Creation of applications and services for the many rail stakeholders Space inclusion into the ERTMS programme
Requires the following UK actions to realise opportunity
Facilitate pilot projects between rail and space sectors Build confidence that space can be used Address the high integrity rail requirements to ensure safety
Commercial Space Planes •
Vision
•
Specific opportunity for UK companies
•
Reduce the cost of launching satellites by 80% Launch on demand Transformational for the space sector.
Commercial space flight operations for Commercial and Governmental customers
Requires the following UK actions to realise opportunity
Joint industry / Government development to lock innovative manufacturing opportunity in the UK Establish regulatory environment for space planes Develop UK spaceport infrastructure
Headlines Promote the benefits of space B2B and B2G campaigns Engage service providers
Increase UK exports Focus on high growth markets Invest in international marketing
Stimulate SMEs across regions Improve supply of finance, information skills & industry support
£40bn
Influence internationally Secure greater influence in EU Collaborate with space nations
Regulate supportively Attract inward investment Reduce regulatory barriers
Drive game-changing technologies To reduce cost of space services Target investments to opportunities
Implement the IGS actions Identify a team, reporting to SLC Ensure ownership by all stakeholders
Growth Outcomes 60
Target: 10% of global economy, currently £40 billion
40
10% Growth 7% Growth 3% Growth Space Revenues
30
Interim target, £19 billion by 2020 20
10
Year
20 30
20 28
20 26
20 24
20 22
20 20
20 18
20 16
20 14
20 12
20 10
20 08
20 06
20 04
20 02
0
20 00
Revenues, £ billion
50
Next Steps
Structured consultation process:
17th September, 20th September, 24th September, 26th September, 27th September, 2nd October,
Cardiff London Manchester Belfast Edinburgh Webinar event
Final report published and event 22nd October in London
Contacts for immediate feedback:
Mark Stevens
[email protected]
Robert Waters
07887 826188
[email protected] 07967
148405
Provide views via the survey tool at the UK Space Agency stand
Conclusions •
First IGS focused on fundamental structures (UKSA, Harwell, ESA etc)
based on a review of market opportunities & barriers •
Market opportunities have been quantified and the barriers and competitive position are understood
•
Challenge now is to accelerate investment in selected space infrastructure and applications which engage with the broader economy to drive economic growth
•
Key actions have been identified for all the UK space stakeholders to clear the path to growth
•
Growth targets are achievable if all space stakeholders come together to seize this opportunity now
