Standard Questionnaire Template - Huffington Post

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES June 2016

Study #11825b--page 1 CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

1724 Connecticut Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20009 (202) 234-5570

Interviews: 801 registered voters Dates: June 11-13, 2016

48 Male 52 Female

FINAL

Study #11825b CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey June 2016 Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.

The margin of error for 801 interviews among registered voters is ± 3.5% Unless otherwise noted by a “+”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.

1a.

Are you currently registered to vote in (STATE)? Yes, registered ................................ No, not registered ............................ Not sure/refused ............................

1b.

100 -

CONTINUE TERMINATE

For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF RESPONDENT REFUSES, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? + 18-24 ................................................ 25-29 ................................................ 30-34 ................................................ 35-39 ................................................ 40-44 ................................................ 45-49 ................................................ 50-54 ................................................ 55-59 ................................................ 60-64 ................................................ 65-69 ................................................ 70-74 ................................................ 75 and over ....................................... Refused/not sure ............................

9 7 8 8 8 8 9 10 8 9 7 8 1

+ Results are among registered voters.

1cd.

And to ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race–white, black or African American, Asian, or something else? + White ................................................ Black or African American ................ Hispanic ........................................... Asian ................................................ Other ................................................ Not sure/refused ............................. + Results are among registered voters.

74 11 9 2 3 1


2a.


How would you rate the current state of the economy? Would you say it is excellent, good, only fair, or poor?

Excellent .......................... Good................................ Only fair ........................... Poor ................................. Not sure .........................

6/16+ 2 24 43 30 1

3/16 2 25 45 26 2

1112/15 2 23 42 31 2

10/15 1 22 42 33 2

6/15 2 22 44 30 2

3/15 2 25 42 29 2

1112/14 2 24 44 28 2

9/14 2 16 45 34 3

6/14 1 17 48 33 1

3/14 1 16 43 38 2

9/13 1 14 40 44 1

9/13 1 14 40 44 1

6/13 1 15 42 40 2

3/13 1 13 41 44 1

11/12 1 13 41 44 1

9/12 1 9 36 53 1

5/12 1 9 40 49 1

3/12 1 10 35 53 1

11/11 1 7 30 61 1

6/11 1 6 37 55 1

3/11 8 37 54 1

12/10 1 6 39 53 1

10/10 1 7 30 62 -

12/09 1 6 33 60

12/08 4 25 70

9/18, 20-21/08++ 7 28 65 -

9/1012/08 1 10 32 56 1

6/08 1 6 29 63 1

2/08 2 14 39 44 1

12/07 4 22 39 33 2

10/051 5 27 46 22 -

3/051 4 37 41 18 1

8/041 4 33 42 21 1

3/041 4 32 38 26 -

1/031 1 18 44 36 1

1/021 1 26 48 24 -

+ Results are among registered voters. ++ Results for 9/18, 20-21/08 among likely voters. 1 Comparative data prior to 12/07 comes from surveys among registered likely voters conducted by The Tarrance Group and/or Lake, Snell, Perry, Mermin Associates.


2b.


And over the course of the next year, do you think the state of the economy will get better, stay about the same, or get worse?

Will get better ............................... Will stay about the same .............. Will get worse............................... Not sure .....................................

6/16+ 20 36 26 18

3/16 21 41 25 13

1112/15 22 45 25 8

10/15 22 37 32 9

6/15 24 44 26 6

3/15 28 41 25 6

1112/14 27 39 28 6

9/14 23 42 28 7

6/14 28 40 28 4

3/14 29 37 30 4

12/13 26 40 30 4

9/13 28 33 35 4

6/13 34 35 27 4

3/13 32 31 33 4

11/12 37 23 35 5

9/12 35 23 25 17

5/12 33 37 21 9

3/12 36 31 27 6

11/11 27 43 26 4

6/11 30 36 30 4

3/11 29 30 37 4

12/10 37 37 21 5

10/10 37 35 26 2

12/09 43 29 25 3

12/08 39 30 27 4

9/18, 20-21/08++ 42 28 23 7

9/1012/08 28 35 26 11

6/08 21 27 43 9

2/08 24 34 34 8

+ Results are among registered voters. ++ Results for 9/18, 20-21/08 among likely voters.

Q.2a and Q.2b COMBINED: CURRENT AND FUTURE VIEW OF THE ECONOMY 116/16+ 3/16 12/15 10/15 6/15 3/15 11-12/14 Optimistic now/optimistic for the future ......... 19 21 20 19 21 23 23 Optimistic now/pessimistic for the future ....... 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 Pessimistic now/optimistic for the future ....... 12 13 13 14 15 15 15 Pessimistic now/pessimistic for the future ..... 47 49 55 56 55 53 53 Not sure for now or the future ..................... 18 14 9 9 7 7 7

+ Results are among registered voters. ++ Results for 9/18, 20-21/08 among likely voters.

9/14 15 2 16 59 8

6/14 16 2 18 59 5

3/14 15 1 19 60 5

12/13 14 1 16 63 6

9/13 12 2 20 61 5

6/13 15 1 24 55 5

3/13 13 1 22 59 5

11/12 13 26 56 5

9/12 8 1 28 45 18

5/12 9 27 55 9

3/12 10 1 28 54 7

11/11 6 1 23 65 5

6/11 6 1 25 63 5

3/11 7 1 25 63 4

12/10 7 32 56 5

10/10 7 1 31 59 2

12/09 5 1 39 52 3

12/08 4 1 37 54 4

9/18, 20-21/08++ 6 64 23 7

9/1012/08 8 2 23 55 12

6/08 5 1 18 66 10

2/08 13 2 18 58 9


3.


As of right now, what issue will be the most important to you in the 2016 presidential election? (IF RESPONDENT CHOOSES MORE THAN ONE, ASK:) Well if you had to say just one, which issue will be the MOST important to you in the 2016 presidential election? THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE OF ALL INTERVIEWS

The economy and unemployment ............................................... Foreign policy, world leadership, and combating terrorism ......... Taxes and government spending ................................................ Healthcare................................................................................... Political gridlock .......................................................................... Immigration reform ...................................................................... The environment and climate change ......................................... Trade with other countries ........................................................... Other ......................................................................................... Not sure ....................................................................................

All Interviews+ 26 20 12 11 8 7 5 2 3 6

Interviews Conducted 6/12-13/16+ 25 21 12 10 9 8 4 2 3 6

Interviews Conducted 6/11/16+ 32 15 13 14 7 5 6 2 1 5

3/16 25 19 14 9 9 7 6 2 5 4

+ Results are among registered voters. 597 interviews were conducted June 12-13; 204 interviews were conducted June 11.

4.

Are you currently employed? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "NO," ASK:) Are you a student, a homemaker, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "YES, EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? + Yes, Employed Professional/manager ..................... White-collar worker ......................... Blue-collar worker ........................... Farmer/rancher ............................... Not Currently Employed Student ............................................ Homemaker..................................... Retired ............................................ Unemployed, looking for work ......... Volunteer (VOL) ............................ Disabled (VOL).............................. Not sure/refused............................ + Results are among registered voters.

24 18 15 1 3 6 26 3 3 1

CONTINUE

Skip to Q.6

3/15 23 16 15 17 7 5 7 NA 3 5



(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "YES, EMPLOYED" IN Q.4) 5a. Over the next twelve months, do you expect that your wages will increase, decrease, or stay about the same? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "INCREASE" IN Q.5a) 5b. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect your wages to increase over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "DECREASE" IN Q.5a) 5c. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect your wages to decrease over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. EMPLOYED ADULTS

Decrease ........................................... Stay the same .................................... Total increase ..................................... Increase—1% to 3% ........................ Increase—4% to 10% ...................... Increase—11% or more ................... Increase—not sure how much ......... Mean .................................................... Median.................................................

6/16+ 5 59 36 13 13 8 2 2.9 -0.2

3/16 4 61 35 11 13 8 3 3.1 -0.5

1112/15 3 62 35 9 11 12 3 4.2 -0.3

10/15 4 56 40 15 15 8 2 4.0 -0.2

6/15 3 59 38 14 15 8 1 4.5 -0.2

3/15 4 58 38 11 15 10 2 4.4 -0.2

1112/14 4 56 40 14 15 9 2 5.3 -0.7

9/14 4 62 34 10 13 8 3 2.9 -0.6

6/14 6 56 38 15 14 7 2 3.5 -0.2

3/14 6 61 33 10 13 8 2 2.2 -0.6

12/13 7 56 37 11 15 7 4 3.3 -0.3


9/13 9 57 34 11 12 9 2 3.1 -0.3

6/13 7 52 41 13 15 11 2 3.9 -0.2

3/13 10 58 32 11 13 6 2 2.3 -0.3

11/12 6 61 33 8 13 9 3 4.3 -0.3

9/12 8 62 30 11 11 6 2 2.3 -1.0

5/12 5 65 30 10 11 7 2 2.1 -0.6

3/12 8 60 32 10 12 7 3 2.3 -0.3

11/11 7 62 31 9 13 7 2 2.1 -1.0

6/11 9 62 29 10 10 7 2 1.5 -0.7

3/11 9 64 27 11 8 6 2 2.0 -1.1

12/10 7 62 31 9 11 9 2 2.1 -0.3


10/10 9 66 25 7 12 5 1 1.4 -0.4

8/101 10 63 26 NA NA NA NA NA NA

12/09 11 61 28 8 10 8 2 1.3 -0.7

12/08 7 52 41 11 18 9 3 3.1 -0.6

9/08 4 53 43 14 19 8 2 4.0 -0.3

6/08 6 56 38 11 17 7 3 2.1 -0.5

2/08 4 47 49 13 22 11 3 5.4 -0.1

12/07 2 42 56 18 25 9 4 5.3 1.6

10/07 4 43 53 15 26 11 1 6.1 1.2

6/07 2 48 50 12 25 10 3 5.7 0

3/07 4 41 55 15 21 16 3 7.3 1.6

+ Results are among registered voters. 1 Comparative data for August 2010 comes from a survey conducted for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal.


6.


Do you expect the value of your home to increase, decrease, or stay about the same over the next twelve months? If you do not own your home, please just say so. Homeowners 6/16+ 3/16 34 37 7 8 51 55 -

Increase ............................................ Decrease .......................................... Stay about the same ......................... Do not own home.............................. Not sure .......................................... + Results are among registered voters.

HOMEOWNERS

Own Their Home Decrease .......................................... Stay the same .................................. Total increase .................................... Increase—1% to 4%....................... Increase—5% to 9%....................... Increase—10% or more ................. Increase—not sure how much ........ Mean ..................................................... Median..................................................

Own Their Home Decrease .......................................... Stay the same .................................. Total increase .................................... Increase—1% to 4%....................... Increase—5% to 9%....................... Increase—10% or more ................. Increase—not sure how much ........ Mean ..................................................... Median..................................................

Own Their Home Decrease .......................................... Stay the same .................................. Total increase .................................... Increase—1% to 4%....................... Increase—5% to 9%....................... Increase—10% or more ................. Increase—not sure how much ........ Mean ..................................................... Median.................................................. 1

1112/15

6/15

3/15

1112/14

9/14

6/14

3/14

12/13

9/13

7 57 36 11 9 11 5 2.3 -0.3

8 52 40 13 13 12 2 2.2 -0.2

8 60 32 10 9 10 3 2.4 -0.3

6 60 34 10 10 11 3 2.8 -0.6

9 63 28 7 9 10 2 1.7 -0.7

9 55 36 10 11 11 4 2.2 -0.3

10 59 31 10 8 10 3 2.0 -0.3

10 56 34 6 14 11 3 2.2 -0.6

14 54 32 10 9 9 4 0.8 -0.3

6/13

3/13

11/12

9/12

5/12

3/12

11/11

6/11

3/11

14 48 38 9 11 15 3 3.1 -0.3

13 54 33 10 10 10 3 1.6 -0.3

13 63 24 9 5 6 4 0.1 -0.4

19 54 27 7 7 10 3 0.5 -0.4

16 62 22 6 6 7 3 0.4 -0.9

20 58 22 6 5 9 2 -0.1 -0.5

20 65 15 4 3 5 3 -0.5 -0.5

30 55 15 4 3 6 2 -1.6 -0.6

24 58 18 5 5 6 2 -1.2 -0.5

10/10

12/09

12/08

9/08

6/08

2/08

12/07

10/07

3/07

21 60 19 6 4 6 3 -0.6 -0.5

20 59 20 4 6 8 3 -0.3 -0.5

22 61 17 4 5 5 3 -1.6 -0.5

20 56 24 6 7 9 2 -0.3 -0.5

23 54 23 5 6 9 3 -0.2 -1.0

20 54 26 5 8 9 4 -0.3 -0.5

16 50 34 6 9 13 6 2.2 0

11 49 40 8 9 17 6 3.9 0

9 43 48 12 13 19 4 4.0 0

1

Results shown among respondents who own their home, consisting of 80% in 6/16, 76% in 3/16, 77% in 12/15, 74% in 6/15, 71% in 3/15, 83% in 11-12/14, 72% in 9/14, 80% in 6/14, 77% in 3/14, 76% in 12/13,78% in 9/13, 77% in 6/13, 74% in 3/13, 74% in 11/12, 77% in 9/12, 76% in 5/12, 77% in 3/12, 77% in 11/11, 75% in 6/11, 78% in 3/11, 80% in 12/10, 83% in 10/10, 84% in 12/09, 77% in 12/08, 85% in 9/08, 86% in 6/08, 81% in 2/08, 82% in 12/07, 82% in 10/07, and 84% in 3/07.


7ab.


Do you have money invested in the stock market and mutual funds, including IRAs and 401(k)s? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS “YES,” ASK:) And is the value of these investments above or below fifty thousand dollars?

Yes, Have Money invested Above $50,000 ............................... Below $50,000 ................................ Not sure .......................................... No, no money invested ..................... Not sure/refused .............................

6/16+ 59 31 21 7 38 3

3/16 53 31 16 6 45 2

1112/15 54 28 19 7 44 2

10/15 54 30 18 6 43 3

6/15 47 26 15 6 49 4

3/15 49 26 17 6 49 2

1112/14 51 24 18 9 47 2

9/14 49 25 18 6 49 2

6/14 49 28 16 5 49 2

3/14 52 29 18 5 47 1

12/13 53 28 20 5 46 1

9/13 51 28 17 6 47 2

6/13 48 26 16 6 50 2

3/13 55 29 20 6 43 2

11/12 51 25 21 5 47 2

9/12 52 28 19 5 46 2

5/12 52 26 21 5 46 2

3/12 49 24 19 6 49 2

11/11 51 27 19 5 47 2

6/11 52 29 19 4 46 2

3/11 46 25 21 NA 47 7

12/10 47 27 20 NA 45 8


Less than $10,000 ................................................... At least $10,000 but less than $50,000 ................... At least $50,000 but less than $100,000 ................. At least $100,000 but less than $200,000 ............... At least $200,000 but less than $300,000 ............... At least $300,000 but less than $500,000 ............... At least $500,000 but less than $1,000,000 ............ $1,000,000 or more ................................................. No, no money invested in the stock market ............. Not sure/refused ....................................................

10/10 7 13 11 7 3 2 1 1 44 11

12/09 8 13 8 8 2 2 3 2 42 12

12/08 8 14 9 9 4 4 1 1 42 8


8ab.


In your opinion, would you say this is a good time or a bad time to be investing in the stock market? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "GOOD TIME” OR “BAD TIME," ASK:) Would you say it is a very (good time/bad time) or just a somewhat (good time/bad time)?

Very good time ............................... Just a somewhat good time ............ Just a somewhat bad time .............. Very bad time ................................. Not sure ........................................ Total Good Time Total Bad Time

6/16+ 6 26 27 13 28 32 40

Total Good Time Total Bad Time 3/12 7 24 33 16 20 31 49

Total Good Time Total Bad Time

3/16 4 27 33 12 24 31 45

1112/15 5 32 26 11 26 37 37

10/15 5 28 31 15 21 33 46

6/15 8 31 25 9 27 39 34

3/15 9 30 25 9 27 39 34

1112/14 12 29 22 8 29 41 30

9/14 7 24 29 11 29 31 40

6/14 9 27 26 13 25 36 39

3/14 10 29 25 14 22 39 39

12/13 9 29 27 12 23 38 39

9/13 8 30 26 13 23 38 39

6/13 10 26 23 15 26 36 38

3/13 9 31 26 13 21 40 39

11/12 7 24 30 17 22 31 47

9/12 7 23 30 18 22 30 48

5/12 4 26 33 19 18 30 52

11/11 7 22 31 22 18 29 53

6/11 7 24 33 17 19 31 50

3/11 8 27 31 15 19 35 46

12/10 7 28 31 15 19 35 46

10/10 6 31 31 20 12 37 51

12/09 12 29 24 24 11 41 48

12/08 15 23 22 30 10 38 52

10/07 13 36 18 9 24 49 27


8c.

Which one or two of the following do you think are the best investments right now? THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Real estate ............................................................. Gold ....................................................................... Stocks .................................................................... Savings accounts and other cash instruments ....... Corporate bonds .................................................... U.S. Treasury government bonds .......................... Other (VOL) ......................................................... Not sure ............................................................... + Results are among registered voters.

6//16+ 32 21 19 11 7 6 3 14

10/15 39 25 21 14 6 8 4 10

6/15 34 20 23 12 6 7 3 16

6/14 29 21 27 12 5 5 4 16

3/13 27 35 21 12 6 8 3 10

3/12 24 37 19 14 7 8 4 10



Thinking again about the November 2016 presidential election...

9a.

If the election for president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate, and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate for whom would you vote? +

Donald Trump ................................. Hillary Clinton .................................. Depends (VOL) ............................. Neither (VOL) ................................ Other (VOL) .................................. Not sure ........................................

6/16+ 35 40 2 14 2 7


NBC NEWS/WALL STREET JOURNAL 1

Donald Trump................................... Hillary Clinton ................................... Depends (VOL) .............................. Neither/other (VOL) ........................ Not sure ..........................................

5/16+ 43 46 9 2

4/16+ 39 50 9 2

3/16+ 38 51 9 2

2/16+ 40 50 9 1

1/16+ 41 51 6 2

12/15+ 40 50 8 2

10/2529/15+ 42 50 6 2

9/15+ 39 49 -

1

Comparative data comes from surveys conducted for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal. + Results are among registered voters.

9b.

At any point over the past year did you consider yourself a supporter of Bernie Sanders for president? + Yes ................................................... No ..................................................... Not sure .......................................... + Results are among registered voters.

33 65 2

2


10.


I'm going to read you two statements about the role of government, and I'd like to know which one comes closer to your point of view.

Government should do more to solve problems and help meet the needs of people ................... Government is doing too many things better left to businesses and individuals............................ Some of both (VOL) ........................................ Not sure...........................................................

6/16+

7/151

11/14

6/14

10/79/13

6/13

6/12

6/11

2/11

47

50

52

46

52

48

49

51

51

46 4 3

46 2 2

46 1 1

50 2 2

44 2 2

48 2 2

47 2 2

46 2 1

46 2 1

10/10+ 45 50 2 3

8/2630/10 47 47 3 3

6/10 47 49 2 2

1/1014/10 43 48 6 3

12/09 44 47 7 2

10/09 46 48 5 1

9/09 45 49 5 1

4/09 47 46 6 1

2/09 51 40 7 2

10/45/08+ 47 45 7 1

9/1922/08+ 48 42 8 2

7/08+ 53 42 NA 5

9/07 55 38 6 1

3/07 52 40 6 2

1/02 45 43 9 3

12/97 41 51 5 3

1

All comparative data comes from surveys conducted for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal. In December 1995, the question was phrased, “Some people think the government is trying to do too many things that should be left to individuals and businesses. Others think that government should do more to solve our country's problems. + Results are among registered voters. 2

11.

Which of the following best describes your view of economic opportunity in the United States?

Things are rigged for the privileged and the wealthy ............ Anyone can get ahead regardless of class or background .... Mixed/some of both (VOL) ................................................... Neither (VOL)....................................................................... Not sure ...............................................................................

6/16+* 37 48 9 2 4

3/16 41 46 9 1 3

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). + Results are among registered voters.

12.

When it comes to each of the following things, please tell me whether you feel happy, satisfied, neutral, dissatisfied, or angry with how things are. THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY HAPPY OR SATISFIED

Happy

Satisfied

Neutral

Dissatisfied

Angry

Not Sure

June 2016 + ........................................................................ March 2016 ......................................................................... The economic and financial system in the United States

16 18

39 39

20 20

18 17

6 4

1 2

June 2016 + ........................................................................ March 2016 ......................................................................... The political system in Washington

4 5

15 13

22 23

44 44

12 12

3 3

June 2016 + ........................................................................ March 2016 .........................................................................

2 3

4 7

10 12

51 48

31 26

2 4

Your personal financial situation


12/95 32 62 NA 6

2



Now focusing on just two of the candidates running for president...

13.

Which candidate for president would you say has the better policies and approaches to help each of the following–Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Which candidate has the better policies and approaches to help (READ ITEM)? Or would you say neither of these candidates has policies and approaches that would help on this? + THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY HILLARY CLINTON

Lower-income people ............................... The middle class ...................................... Small businesses ..................................... ++ Increase your wages ............................ Your personal financial situation .............. Large corporations ................................... The wealthy ..............................................

Hillary Clinton 53 43 36 35 33 23 22

Donald Trump 24 32 39 28 30 54 54

Neither 18 17 17 27 30 11 10

Both The Same (VOL) 2 1 2 1 5 7

Other (VOL) 1 1 -

Not Sure 5 5 7 7 6 7 7

+ Results are among registered voters. ++ Asked only of respondents who say they are employed (Q.4a).

March 2016 Which candidate would you say has the best policies and approaches to help each of the following–Hillary Clinton, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Bernie Sanders, or Donald Trump? Which candidate has the best policies to help (READ ITEM)? Or would you say none of these candidates has policies and approaches that would help on this?

Lower-income people ....................................... The middle class............................................... ++ Increase your wages ......................................... Your personal financial situation ....................... Small businesses.............................................. Large corporations ............................................ The wealthy ......................................................

Total Democratic Candidate

Total Republican Candidate

57 46 39 36 36 23 20

26 37 36 36 41 56 61

++ Asked only of respondents who say they are employed (Q.4a).

None 11 12 18 21 14 12 10

All The Same (VOL) 1 1 1 2 2

Other (VOL) 1 1 1 1

Not Sure 6 4 6 5 8 6 6



And now thinking about some specific issues...

14.

Which candidate would you say has the better policies and approaches for each of the following Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Which candidate has the better policies and approaches for (READ ITEM)? Or would you say neither of these candidates has policies and approaches that are good on this? + THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY HILLARY CLINTON

Dealing with leaders of other countries ............................ Healthcare ........................................................................ Trade with other countries ................................................ The immigration system ................................................... The overall U.S. economy ................................................ 1 Dealing with terrorism and homeland security ................ Regulations on businesses............................................... The budget deficit ............................................................. Regulations on Wall Street and big banks ........................ Improving the performance of the stock market ...............

Hillary Clinton 55 47 44 42 39 38 34 33 29 26

Donald Trump 26 29 35 36 38 40 41 42 38 42

Neither 14 17 14 16 17 15 15 17 22 19

Both The Same (VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Other (VOL) 1 1 -

Not Sure 5 6 6 5 5 6 9 7 10 12

+ Results are among registered voters. 1 Asked only of respondents on June 13 (408 interviews).

March 2016 Which candidate would you say has the best policies and approaches to help each of the following–Hillary Clinton, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Bernie Sanders, or Donald Trump? Which candidate has the best policies to help (READ ITEM)? Or would you say none of these candidates has policies and approaches that would help on this?

Healthcare................................................................. Trade with other countries......................................... Regulations on Wall Street and big banks ................ The immigration system ............................................ The overall U.S. economy ......................................... Regulations on businesses ....................................... The budget deficit ..................................................... Improving the performance of the stock market ........

Total Democratic Candidate

Total Republican Candidate

50 41 40 40 38 37 32 25

28 39 38 39 41 38 43 43

None 10 9 11 10 13 11 14 16

Both The Same (VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Other (VOL) 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 3

Not Sure 10 8 8 8 6 11 9 12


15.


How important is it to you personally that the United States have a positive image and standing in the rest of the world? Is this extremely important to you, pretty important, just somewhat important, not that important, or not important at all to you? + Extremely important .......................... Pretty important ................................. Just somewhat important .................. Not that important ............................. Not important at all ............................ Not sure ..........................................

51 26 14 4 4 1


16.

Do you think that with Barack Obama as president the image and standing of the United States in the rest of the world has gotten a lot better, gotten a little better, stayed about the same, gotten a little worse, or gotten a lot worse? + ** Gotten a lot better ............................. Gotten a little better .......................... Stayed about the same ..................... Gotten a little worse .......................... Gotten a lot worse ............................. Not sure ..........................................

19 21 14 14 31 1

+ Results are among registered voters. ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

(Q.17 AND Q.18 ARE ROTATED)

17.

Do you think that if Donald Trump becomes president the image and standing of the United States in the rest of the world will get a lot better, get a little better, stay about the same, get a little worse, or get a lot worse? + ** Get a lot better .................................. Get a little better ................................ Will stay about the same ................... Get a little worse ............................... Get a lot worse .................................. Not sure ..........................................

13 13 12 14 44 4


18.

Do you think that if Hillary Clinton becomes president the image and standing of the United States in the rest of the world will get a lot better, get at little better, stay about the same, get a little worse, or get a lot worse? + ** Get a lot better .................................. Get a little better ............................... Will stay about the same .................. Get a little worse ............................... Get a lot worse ................................. Not sure ..........................................

9 14 38 14 21 4



19a.


Does the fact that Barack Obama has endorsed Hillary Clinton for president make you more inclined to vote for Hillary Clinton, less inclined to vote for Hillary Clinton, or does it not make a difference to you either way? + More inclined to vote for Hillary Clinton ..... Less inclined to vote for Hillary Clinton ...... No difference either way ............................ Not sure ...................................................

9 22 68 1


19b.

As you may know, Donald Trump has so far not made his tax returns public. Which of the following comes closer to your point of view about this? + Donald Trump SHOULD release his tax returns because the public has a right to know about his financial affairs if he is going to be president ............................................... Donald Trump should NOT release his tax returns because his income and financial affairs are no one's business but his own ........................................................ Not sure..........................................................................

62

31 7


On a couple of other topics...

20.

In general, do you think that free trade between the United States and foreign countries has helped the United States, has hurt the United States, or has not made much of a difference either way?

Has helped the United States. ................. Has hurt the United States ....................... Hasn't made much of a difference ........... Not sure .................................................

6/16+ 31 39 19 11

3/16 27 43 23 7

4/151 37 31 25 7

11/141 30 38 23 9

11/101 23 47 23 7

9/101 17 53 20 10

3/071 28 46 16 10

12/991 39 30 24 7

10/991 35 32 24 9

+ Results are among registered voters. 1 Comparative data comes from surveys conducted by for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal.

21.

I'm going to read two statements. Please tell me which comes closer to your point of view.

Immigrants today strengthen our country because of their hard work and talents ...................................... Immigrants today are a burden on our country because they take our jobs, housing, and healthcare ......... Both (VOL) ................................... Neither (VOL) ............................... Not sure ........................................

1

1/14

1

3/13

1

6/16+

3/16

8/15

53

53

53

57

49

52

28 9 10 NA

31 8 4 4

38

35

41

35

{10

{8

{10

{13

+ Results are among registered voters. 1 Comparative data comes from surveys conducted by for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal.

1/12

1



QUESTION 22 HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE

23.

Which worries you more that the United States will not go far enough in monitoring the activities and communications of potential terrorists living in the United States or that the United States will go too far and violate the privacy rights of average citizens?

Will not go far enough ...................... Will go too far................................... Both equally (VOL) ........................ Not sure .........................................

6/13/16+ 51 33 8 8

3/16+1 47 44 4 5

1112/15 49 33 9 9

1/151 46 47 2 5

7/131 36 56 3 5

7/061 43 45 8 4

12/011 55 31 9 5

+ Results are among registered voters interviewed on June 13 (408 interviews). 1 Comparative data comes from surveys conducted by for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal.

FACTUALS: Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.

F1.

A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the 2012 election for president? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS “YES,” ASK:) For whom did you vote–Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, or someone else? + Yes, Voted Barack Obama ................................ Mitt Romney .................................... Someone else ................................. Not sure .......................................... No, did not vote ................................. Not sure ........................................

88 43 31 8 6 11 1


F2.

What is the last grade that you completed in school? + Grade school ................................................................... Some high school ............................................................ High school graduate ...................................................... Some college, no degree................................................. Vocational training/2-year college ................................... 4-year college/bachelor's degree..................................... Some postgraduate work, no degree .............................. 2 or 3 years' postgraduate work/master's degree ............ Doctoral/law degree ........................................................ Not sure/refused ............................................................ + Results are among registered voters.

5 23 17 11 25 4 11 3 1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES June 2016 F3.


Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "SOMETHING ELSE," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, do you think of yourself as strictly independent, or do you think of yourself as something else? + Strong Democrat ....................................................................... Not very strong Democrat ......................................................... Independent/something else/closer to Democratic Party .......... Strictly independent .................................................................. Independent/something else/closer to Republican Party .......... Not very strong Republican ....................................................... Strong Republican .................................................................... Something else ......................................................................... Not sure .................................................................................. Total Democratic Total Republican

22 11 7 16 11 11 16 3 3 40 38


F4.

Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? + Very liberal ........................................ Somewhat liberal............................... Moderate ........................................... Somewhat conservative .................... Very conservative.............................. Not sure........................................... Total Liberal Total Conservative

10 15 37 18 15 5 25 33


F5.

If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year, what would the total be? I'm going to read some income ranges, please stop me when I reach the range for your family–less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand dollars, between one hundred thousand dollars and two hundred thousand dollars, or more than two hundred thousand dollars? + Less than $10,000 ............................... Between $10,000 and $20,000 ........... Between $20,000 and $30,000 ........... Between $30,000 and $40,000 ........... Between $40,000 and $50,000 ........... Between $50,000 and $75,000 ........... Between $75,000 and $100,000 ......... Between $100,000 and $200,000........ More than $200,000 ............................ Not sure/refused ................................ + Results are among registered voters.

5 6 7 13 8 13 13 16 5 14