Nov 28, 2017 - 10.2. 11.1. Dwell and velocity steady through holiday week. 3. Note: Dwell and velocity displayed accordi
STB UPDATE
NOVEMBER 28, 2017
Network performance stable through holiday week
Dwell and velocity levels consistent Right Car Right Train up slightly Crew and power resource levels remain well matched to demand Hump yard performance steady, four humps remaining Western terminals performing well Car ordering and fulfillment process updated, order levels and fulfillment lower due to holiday Local pull and place performance lower as measure does not account for holiday-related local train plan adjustments or customer closures
Customer problem logs lower than normal, typical for holiday week Interchange volumes current and gateways fluid
2
Dwell and velocity steady through holiday week On Time Originations (%)
On Time Arrivals (%) Weekly Average
60%
60%
40%
40%
20%
20%
67%
64%63%63%67%67%65%
On-Time 64%
60%
69%
70% 64%
64%
68%
60%
80%
62%
81%
59%
75%
75%
71%
80%
69%
74% 74% 73% 74% 73% 77% 77% 74%
76%
100%
88%
64%
84% 81%
69%
100%
+2 hrs On-Time +2 hrs
46
2016 Q1 Q2 Q3 40 41 42 43 44 45 46
Nov. 18 – Nov. 24
Weeks
2017
2017
Weeks
Dwell (hours)
Velocity (mph)
10.7 11.0 10.5 10.4 10.5 10.6 10.6
10.0
16.2 16.0 14.9
14.2
15.7 15.4
16.0 16.4 14.9 14.9 14.9
14.0
14.0 12.0
8.0
10.0
6.0 2016 Q1 Q2 Q3
2017
3
11.1
10.8
10.2
12.1
9.7
11.2 11.6
11.3
18.0
11.1
14.0
11.4
20.0
10.3
16.0
12.0
Nov. 18 – Nov. 24
40
41
42
43
Weeks
44
45
46
Nov. 18 – Nov. 24
2016 Q1 Q2 Q3
2017
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
Nov. 18 – Nov. 24
Weeks
Note: Dwell and velocity displayed according to CSX methodology; explanation of CSX methodology can be found in appendix. Q3 dwell and velocity exclude the Hurricane Irma-impacted period for terminals that held cars and specific trains held through storm, respectively.
16.1
45
16.5
44
17.1
43
16.0
42
15.2
41
16.4
40
16.7
2016 Q1 Q2 Q3
Right Car Right Train up slightly; less relevant in PSR Right Car Right Train is no longer a measure that CSX uses to manage its operation
Right Car Right Train1 Weekly Average
― In precision scheduled railroading (PSR), if a car can be advanced on another train to speed transit or ensure its on-time arrival, there is not one “right train”
90% 86% 86% 85%
73%
72%
70%
77%
75%
74%
70%
73%
69%
75%
77%
72%
75% 76% 76%
75%
80%
77%
82%
Car priority is to move cars quickly, on next available train ― Asset utilization a key tenet of PSR
65%
Train priority is blocking integrity and departing all available, relevant cars from the yard
60% 55% 50%
2016 Q1 Q2 Q3 40 41 42 43 44 45 46
2017
1
4
Weeks
Nov. 18 – Nov. 24
― Blocking integrity certifies that a train is built correctly and shipments are headed to the correct location ― Managed through field supervision
‘Right Car Right Train’ is defined as the percentage of cars that departed from a yard in accordance with their car scheduling trip plan
Resourcing appropriately to meet business needs Train & Engine Headcount and Re-crew Rate1
Active Locomotives 4,000
10,000
12%
3,763 3,673
9,800
3,600 3,376
9,771
9,600 3,200 3,182 3,184 3,162 3,165 3,174 3,180 3,192 3,200
3,200
10%
9,690
9,400
9,278 9,264 9,247 9,225 9,204 9,189
9,223
9,200
2,800
8%
9,445
6% 9,081 9,049
9,000 2,400 2,000 2016 Q1
Q2 Q3 2017
40
41
42
43 44 Weeks
45
46
8,800
2%
8,600
0%
47
Locomotive level stable; engines to come down in light of weak grain harvest season
2016 Q1
Q2 Q3 2017
40
41
42
43 44 Weeks
45
5
46
47
Recent headcount reduction driven by seasonal vacation increase and adjustments to extra boards
Power and crew availability steady in fourth quarter at approximately 99% and 95%, respectively 1
4%
Re-crew rate is re-crew people starts as a percent of total measured people starts, and represents incidences of replacing a crew on the same train ID (generally due to hours of service)
Hump yard performance steady CSX Hump Terminal Overview
Total hump yard volumes remain in a consistent band week-over-week, well below capacity of yards
Key hump productivity and efficiency measures performing well, four humps remaining
Transitioned to flat-switching operations Hump terminals
Selkirk, NY Toledo, OH Willard, OH Cumberland, MD Cincinnati, OH
18.0
19.8 17.2
17.7
18.8 18.7
21.5 20.6 20.8 20.1
14.0 10.0
Absolute number of humps not “good” or “bad”; goal is best mix of hump and flat yards for processing efficiency 1
6
6.0 2016 Q1 Q2 Q3
2017
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
Nov. 18 – Nov. 24
Weeks
Dwell displayed according to CSX methodology; explanation of CSX methodology can be found in appendix. Q3 dwell excludes the Hurricane Irma-impacted period for terminals that held cars through the storm.
18.6
19.9 20.6
17.5
Waycross, GA
22.0
18.7
Atlanta, GA
26.0
19.7
Birmingham, AL
Hamlet, NC
23.3
Nashville, TN
Weekly Average
30.0
21.2
Louisville, KY
Dwell at Hump Terminals1 21.9
Avon, IN
Western terminals performing well Western Corridor Key Terminals
Avon, IN
Key terminal productivity and performance measures recovered in former “trouble” spots
Train plan changes at Evansville have resulted in very few cars processed, no longer a key terminal ― Evansville dwell removed for Week 47 and forward
Evansville, IN
Dwell at Western Terminals1
Nashville, TN
12.6
12.1
Mobile, AL
11.4
12.3 12.5 12.4
10.0
6.0
Key Western terminals
2016 Q1 Q2 Q3
2017 1
7
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
Nov. 18 – Nov. 24
Weeks
Dwell displayed according to CSX methodology; explanation of CSX methodology can be found in appendix. Q3 dwell excludes the Hurricane Irma-impacted period for terminals that held cars through the storm.
14.3
14.4
11.7
13.6 13.4
12.7
14.0
13.0
13.6
15.6
Montgomery, AL
12.6
18.0
14.2
Birmingham, AL
15.4
Weekly Average
22.0
Car orders and fulfillment lower due to holiday Weekly Car Orders, Customer Empty Idles, and Fill Rate1 Order Fill Rates
Cars Ordered/Idle 7,000
100%
6,000
90%
5,000
80%
4,000 70% 3,000 60%
2,000
Holiday-related local train plan adjustments and customer closures impacted measures
Car ordering and fulfillment process updated as of Week 45 ― Car orders now remain open for 2 weeks for fulfillment; order fill will settle over a 2-week period ― Accordingly, the current week fill rate will be adjusted in the following week for orders filled
1,000
50%
Empty car dwell remains elevated at
0
40%
customer locations, impacts order fill
2016
Q1
Q2 2017
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
Weeks
Weekly Orders
Customer Empty Idles (> 24 hours)
Order Fill %
Order Fill % ex. Customer Empty Idles
1
8
Q3
― Empty idle cars at a given customer held >24 hours considered available to fill that customer’s orders ― Week 46 order fill settled at 92%, Week 47 currently at 81% when idles are removed from total weekly orders
2017 fill rate has been normalized through Week 44 against historical/expected order levels (Q1 2017), as order levels disconnected with demand beginning in Q2 2017; 2016 orders and fulfillment and 2017 Week 45 and beyond do not warrant normalizing
Last mile performance measure lower due to holiday week Holiday-related local train plan adjustments and customer closures impacted measures
Local Service Measurement1 100%
94% 95%
90%
90%
84% 83% 85% 85% 85% 84% 85% 81%
80%
77%
Local Service Measurement (LSM) is no longer a metric that CSX uses to manage its operation ― In precision scheduled railroading (PSR), focus on endto-end transit and customer expectations
70% 60% 50%
Accordingly, LSM as a reported metric was discontinued upon start of PSR implementation
40% 30%
― At request of STB, last mile tracking reinstated to monitor through implementation period
20% 10% 0%
2016
Q1
1
9
Q2 Q3 2017
40
41
42
43 44 Weeks
45
46
47
Reliable pull and place expected as part of service to customers
‘Local Service Measurement’ is defined as the percentage of cars that were pulled or placed at a customer location based upon daily customer request, the local service plan and available inventory at the local serving yard
Customer problem logs lower Customer logs largely back in normal range after network challenges as fluidity has returned
Customer Inquiries Daily Average Log Volume
― Week 47 also experienced typical lower volume of logs due to holiday
570 Total Logs in Week 30 at height of service challenges
416
Lower level of logs, improved communication allowing faster, more comprehensive resolution
318 269
265
278
247
253
42
43
254
266 213
201
Q1
Q2
Q3
40
41
2017
Delayed Cars
10
44
45
Weeks
Bad Order
Switching Issues
46
47
― Escalating and resolving critical issues with field leadership, some targeted resource additions as needed
Interchanges current and performing to expectations From
East St. Louis 800
Daily Average Interchange Volume
Chicago
To
2,000
Daily Average Interchange Volume
1,600
600
1,200
400
800 200
400
0
0 2016 Q1
Q2 Q3 2017
40
41
42
43 44 Weeks
45
46
47
2016 Q1 Q2 Q3 2017
New Orleans 600
41
42
43 44 Weeks
45
46
47
46
47
Memphis
Daily Average Interchange Volume
300
400
200
200
100
0
Daily Average Interchange Volume
0 2016 Q1
11
40
Q2 Q3 2017
40
41
42
43 44 Weeks
45
46
47
2016 Q1 Q2 Q3 2017
40
41
42
43 44 Weeks
45
Precision scheduled railroading producing service improvement Service Improvements & Productivity Improvements
Operational Focus Balanced Train Plan
Improved Frequency
Better Reliability
Rolling Stock Utilization
People Efficiency
Terminal Fluidity
Faster Transit
Quicker Turnaround
Fuel Optimization
Train Density
Improve Service
12
Operate Safely
Control Costs
Drive Asset Utilization
Develop People
Realigned service frequency in second quarter Set the groundwork of a balanced train plan in early July Terminals’ improved efficiency and traffic flow adjustments have recovered service Improved execution on this foundation to drive long-term service and productivity improvements
APPENDIX
CSX has changed methodology on some metrics reported publicly Velocity
Dwell Former
Car time at terminal, excluding cars on the same train ID
Current
All car time with a terminal work event, including through cars on same train ID (e.g. crew change)
Change Reason
Includes full trip of a train and ability to diagnose overall speed profile (in support of improvement in asset cycle)
Effect on Metric
Reported velocity will be lower
Former
Line of road miles per hour
Current
Total miles traveled per hour, including intermediate dwell of the train
Cars Online Former
All cars on CSX, as determined by RailInc
Current
RailInc cars on CSX, excluding cars stored, under repair, sold, and private cars ex online inventory
Change Reason
Includes all dwell with ability to diagnose all events impacting car movement (in support of improvement in asset cycle)
Change Reason
More accurate measurement of active cars on line, i.e. cars for which CSX is focused on realtime, efficient movement
Effect on Metric
Reported dwell will be lower
Effect on Metric
Reported cars online will be lower
Restated historical data in new methodology available on csx.com/servicemetrics
14