Jul 6, 2016 - Establishment of âJapan Semiconductorâ, a new wafer fab company. Reduction in headcount ..... Applicat
Storage & Electronic Devices Solutions Company Business Strategy Dr. Yasuo Naruke Company President and CEO Storage & Electronic Devices Solutions Company Representative Executive Officer Corporate Senior Executive Vice President Toshiba Corporation July 6, 2016 © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
Ⅰ.Introduction Ⅱ.SDS Company Overview Ⅲ.Memory and Storage
Ⅳ.Discrete and System LSI Ⅴ.Closing
© 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Completion of Business Structural Reforms Redefine focus businesses, withdrawal from non-focus areas Discrete: System LSI: HDD:
Termination of white LED business Withdrawal from CMOS image sensor business Acceleration of enterprise development, Shift of resources to SSD
Establishment of “Japan Semiconductor”, a new wafer fab company Reduction in headcount (4,590 in total) in non-memory
Early retirement, 2,058; moved to Sony Group, 1,100; re-allocation to other divisions, 1,112; reduction overseas, 320
Committed to return to the black in all of Discrete, System LSI and HDD in FY16 © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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目次
Ⅰ.Introduction Ⅱ.SDS Company Overview Ⅲ.Memory and HDD
Ⅳ.Discrete and System LSI Ⅴ.Closing
© 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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SDS Company Organization Storage & Electronic Devices Solutions (SDS) Company July, 2016
Storage & Electronic Devices Solutions Company Shared Services
Electronic Devices & Storage Sales Center Discrete Semiconductor Division Mixed Signal IC Division
Logic LSI Division Memory Division SSD Division
Image Sensor Division Storage Products Division Center for Semiconductor R&D © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Production Sites Himeji Operations - Semiconductor Wafer Fab 6” Assembly ■Discrete
Buzen Toshiba Electronics Corp. Assembly ■Discrete
Japan Semiconductor Corp. Oita Operations Wafer Fab 6”, 8” ■System LSI ■Discrete
Kaga Toshiba Electronics Corp. Wafer Fab 6”, 8” Assembly ■Discrete Japan Semiconductor Corp. (established in April, 2016) HQ and Iwate Operations Wafer Fab 8” ■System LSI
Yokkaichi Operations Wafer Fab 12” ■Memory Toshiba Memory Advanced Package Corp. Assembly ■Memory
Toshiba Semiconductor (Thailand) Corp. (TST) Assembly ■Discrete Toshiba Information Equipment (Philippines) Inc. (TIP) ■HDD, SSD
© 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Market Projection: Focus Areas Enterprise storage, automotive and industrial should lead the mid-term markets Semiconductor HDD 400 ($B) 300
Market CAGR (15-18) +1% Focus Area CAGR (15-18) +6%
323
330
38
41
43
46
31 21
32 22
34 24
36 26
12 200
12
12
12
75
76
77
43
11 38
11 37
11 36
100
93
94
96
73 12
100
0
341
330
FY15 others Smart phone Automotive
FY16
FY17
PC LCD TV Industrial
FY18
30.0 ($B)
Market CAGR (15-18) Focus Area CAGR (15-18)
27.5
25.0
▲3% +15%
24.2
24.5
24.8
CY16 FY16
CY17 FY17
CY18 FY18
20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0
Tablet Storage
Source: Toshiba
CY15 FY15
2.5" 3.5" Nearline Trad Source: IDC Worldwide Hard Disk Drive Forecast, 2016–2020 (Doc #US41223716, May 2016) © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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FY16 Market Outlook
Semiconductors Possible slowdown in 2nd half, -0.4% YoY Healthy automotive market, industrial demand expected to recover gradually NAND demand has been tight, thanks to larger memory density of Chinese smart phones Price decrease rate slowing, especially in retail market, thanks to strong NAND demand SSD demand grow both in PC and Enterprise
HDD Sluggish PC market, but supply requests to Toshiba have been increasing lately Nearline HDD demand continues to grow © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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FY16 Sales and Profit Plan Return to black in all businesses, V-shaped recovery, back on the right track for growth Memory: Discrete: System LSI:
HDD:
Sales Revenue
1,680
1,576
1,430
345
332
1,200 900
386
352
100 Aim for further improvement
600 300 0
130
846
747
▲100 FY15 ▲57
150
FY16
32 10
50 48
FY18
■Devices, etc * Operating Profit, FCF
1,800 (billion yen) 1,500
Enhance BiCS (3D flash memory) and SSD business Grow three focus areas: RF switches, power devices, couplers Promote ASIC for industrial markets, etc., fully utilizing image recognition and motor control technologies Engage with major industrial and infrastructure-related customers based on system design technology Expand enterprise business
■HDD ■Memory FCF * Discrete, System LSI and NuFlare Technology
0
(Provisional) © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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FY16 Sales and Profit Plan Committed to return to the black in profit and free cash flow in all businesses Sales revenue OP / OP margin % / FCF (billion yen)
1,576 345
386
1,430
2%
(billion yen)
ROS -6%
332 110
352
32 24
5 2
▲40 846
747 ▲170
FY15 Memory
FY15 Breakdown of major costs Structural reform ▲63 Asset write-downs ▲49 Revaluation of inventories ▲46
FY16
▲100
HDD メモリDevices, etc
FCF
FY15
FY16
▲57
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目次
Ⅰ.Introduction Ⅱ.SDS Company Overview Ⅲ.Memory and HDD
Ⅳ.Discrete and System LSI Ⅴ.Closing
© 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Toshiba Everywhere: Broadest Storage Portfolio Smart phones
Raw
NAND eMMCTM
BGA
Tablet PCs
UFS MCP
Automotive
eMMCTM
Note PCs
Servers/ Storage
Desktop PCs
SATA SSD (2.5-inch & M.2) Client NVMe/PCIe SSD
Data Centers
Client
Memory
High
Performance NVMe/PCIe SSD Enterprise SAS SSD Enterprise SATA SSD
(2.5inch & M.2)
SSD (PCIe)
2.5-inch Automotive
2.5-inch
HDD
Mobile SSHD SATA 2.5-inch Mobile HDD SATA 3.5-inch Desktop HDD SATA
Enterprise • •
HDD
Performance (15K/10Krpm) SAS Capacity (7.2Krpm) SAS/SATA
© 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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NAND Market Overview Smart phones and data centers lead market growth: about 40% bit growth (CAGR) expected NAND Market Projection (GB base) 700
CY15 = 100
Market Trends
600
• High single digit growth in amount • Expect replacement demand from HDD
500 400
Key Market Drivers • Higher memory density in smart phones • Data center demand increases • Market expansion on price erosion
300 200 100 0 CY15
CY16
Retail
CY17 Mobile
CY18 SSD
CY19 Other
CY20 Source: Toshiba © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Memory Business Strategy Accelerate BiCS development and production to meet expanding storage demand and stay price-competitive Sales Revenue 350
(billion yen)
846
950
850
747
300 250
NAND production plan (GB output base) FY15 = 100
200
OP 110
24
10%-
10%+
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
(Provisional)
150
3D
100
(Provisional)
50
2D
0 BiCS2
BiCS3
Mass production started
Samples by Sep’16
FY15
(Next BiCS)
OP margin rates in Memory have been fluctuating but always between 10–30% in FY03-15 (except for FY08,
Yokkaichi Operations
Y4
Y3 N-Y2
FY16
FY17
Y5
FY18
New clean room
on impact of Lehman collapse)
© 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Capex (Commitment basis) Total 860 billion yen capex (FY16-18), utilizing operating CF, internal resources and leasing Major investments
Yokkaichi
Y5-Ph2
N-Y2
Process
A19nm
15nm
New clean room BiCS FLASHTM
(billion yen) 250 200
285 220
200
201
150
July, 16: Completion of new Y2 cleanroom
100
FY16: Site preparation for new cleanroom FY17: Construction of new cleanroom
50 0
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18 © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Price-competitiveness of Memory Further integration and cost competitiveness through deepening 3D technologies Deepening 3D Technology •
Super-stacking technology (technology needed for more than 100 layers)
•
Vertical shrinkage technology
•
Die shrinkage technology (effective layout of peripheral circuits and memory arrays)
ReRAM
Further integration and cost reductions over the long term
*ReRAM: Resistive Random Access Memory
BiCS4 BiCS2 48 layers 256Gb TLC
BiCS3 Sample production by Sep’16
3D Manufacturing Innovation •
Die shrink and cost reduction through Nano-ImPrint Lithography (NIL)
•
High productivity production technology (deposition and etching processing)
•
High efficiency production (multi-clean room production)
© 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Yokkaichi’s Utilization of Big Data Improving productivity through highly automated clean room operations
Process and analyze a flood of data to improve productivity, production yields and reliability Timely visualization of analysis results
Manufacturing equipment Test equipment Automated Transportation System
Data analysis
Database (1.6 billion data points daily)
Control Analysis and review by engineers
Introduced AI-based analytical tool this year
Equipment that requires advanced control Apply machine learning technology to analyze big data that people cannot process Closely work with Corporate R&D Center and INS Company
Example of visual inspection analysis Analyzing several hundreds of thousand images daily Automatically sort failure modes
© 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Expansion of UFS Market
Higher memory density and better performance in smart phones
Smart phone storage trend 2015
Model High-end Smart phones
2016
2017
eMMCTM
2018
UFS
32GB-128GB 32GB-128GB 64GB-128GB 64GB-256GB
Mid-end Smart phones
eMMCTM 16GB-64GB
32GB-64GB
UFS 32GB-128GB 64GB-128GB
eMMCTM/UFS performance Random Read [IOPS]
8.2K
Random Write [IOPS]
8.5K
Sequential Read [MB/s]
315
Sequential Write [MB/s]
150 155
(Comparison with other Toshiba products)
25K 15K 610 eMMCTM Ver.5.1 列2 UFS Ver.2.0 列1
High seed
eMMCTM: embedded MultiMedia Card UFS: Universal Flash Storage
Comparison of 64GB UFS 1-day access pattern performance World’s fastest due to a new concept-based NAND controller
High speed (Latency)
Toshiba’s 既存 current product
Toshiba’s 新製品 new product (available Aug’16)
Competitor A A社
Competitor B B社 © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Storage Strategy (SSD/HDD) Data Center SSD market to grow to over ¥1 trillion thanks to expanding cloud services; growing sales as a total storage solutions supplier
Data center floor space
2,200
(Mft2)
1,800
5% CY19 Source: Forward Insights
SSD demand for data centers ($M)
11,000
6,500 CAGR CY15
160
FY15 = 100
140
CAGR SSD CY15
SSD/HDD Sales Plan
120 100 SSD 80
eHDD
60 40
cHDD
20
14%
0
CY19 Source: Forward Insights
FY15
FY16
列1
FY18
(Provisional)
© 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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SSD Market Projection
Promising market to lead NAND demand 600
Market by GB Enterprise
500 400
SAS
PCIe
300 SATA
200
Profitable markets
CY15 = 100
PCIe
100
PCIe
For high end data centers, replacing SATA
SATA
Fully utilizing relations with HDD customers; continue to offer No.1 performance products Launch products with new features, North America development center Customer support in North America
PC, Tablet, Retail PCIe
SATA
0
SAS
For high end servers
Performance & operability
SATA
Cost-effectiveness
Grow market share PCIe increasing with optimized in-house even in pricecompetitive market controllers Existing controller, from 3rd party
CY15 CY16 CY17 CY18 CY19 Source: Toshiba © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Strengths of SSD for Enterprise & Data Centers Apply cutting-edge technologies to retain performance competitiveness against competitors Next gen. PCIe-SSD: available in Q1’17
Next gen. SAS-SSD: available in Q1’17 Sequential 連続RW RW CS CS時期 Schedule Power 電力 Consumption Product image
TSV※ Technology
NAND Die
Benchmark with next gen. product
Product image
NAND Cell Technology
New feature proposals
Toshiba Competitor (estimated) ランダム Random RW RW
Power Density 電力 容量 Consumption Benchmark with next gen. product
America’s Storage Development Center
• Early compliance with next-gen. high speed interface spec (SAS 24G/Multi Link, PCIe Gen4)
Package Substrate • pMLC※, TLC • Larger density higher speed ※Through Silicon Via
CS CS時期 Schedule
Density 容量
TSV
• Low power consumption • High-speed data transfer
Sequential 連続RW RW
Toshiba Competitor (estimated) ランダム Random RW RW
※Pseudo MLC
• Host control of SSD operation, better performance management and reliability (Host Managed I/F, Multi Stream, etc)
Accelerate qualification, feedback key data center customers’ requirements to product development (Folsom, California) © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Nearline HDD Market and Strategy Nearline HDD market to continue to grow, Long relations with major enterprise customers Nearline HDD Market in Units (million units)
Qualified by 11 of 16 major enterprise customers;
50
16TB+
highly praised for performance and reliability
14TB
Continue to launch high quality, large density
40
products for major data center customers
12TB
Maintain a long-term partnership with key components suppliers from the early stage of development
10TB 30
8TB 6TB
New product launch plan 2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
4TB
20
2020
3TB 2TB
10
1TB-
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Source: Toshiba © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Future of Nearline HDD Recording density improving >15%/Y, Realizing better bit cost over SSD Bit cost comparison (vs SSD)
($/GB)
eSSD SAS Read Intensive
20
eSSD PCIe Low End
10 eSSD SATA Read Intensive
eHDD Nearline 0
2016
2017
2018
“Bit cross” in 2023 or later 2019
Source: Toshiba
Recording density (Gbit/square inch)
30
Recording density +>15%/Y 1500
MAMR or HAMR
1400 1300
TDMR
1200 1100 1000 900 800 700
Helium-filled Drive PDW DSA
600 500 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Source: Toshiba
MAMR: Microwave Assisted Magnetic Recording HAMR: Heat Assisted Magnetic Recording TDMR: Two-Dimensional Magnetic Recording PDW: Pattern Dependent Write Control DSA: Dual Stage Actuator
Cope with shrinking HDD market by shifting resources to SSD business © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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目次
Ⅰ.Introduction Ⅱ.SDS Company Overview Ⅲ.Memory and HDD
Ⅳ.Discrete and System LSI Ⅴ.Closing
© 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Discrete and System LSI: Sales by Application Focus on automotive and industrial Grow business through solutions for major markets Sales revenue by application [分類名]
Automotive 25% Other 56%
FY15
Other
294 Byen
43%
Industrial 19%
民生他 Sales CAGR (15-18) +10% Automotive Products ・Image recognition LSI for automotive camera ・FRD for inverter ・Power IC for EPS ・MCU for ECU etc.
[パーセン
Image recognition LSI
テージ]
FY18 Industrial 26%
Industrial & Energy Sales CAGR (15-18) +13% Train
Smart meter
Server
UPS
PV inverter
PLC
・FRD: Fast Recovery Diode © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Solutions for Automotive Markets Focus on automotive, fully utilizing Toshiba’s unique technologies Safety・・・video and image
Driving
Application ADAS, Driver’s info, etc. Product Imaging IC, Comms IC, Power, Small signal
Motor Control
Information・・・storage
Application Inverter, Pump, etc. Product Analog IC, MCU, Coupler, Power, Small Signal
Engine Control Unit
Application GPS, HUD, etc. Product eMMCTM, SD card, HDD, Power, Small signal
Application Engine, EPS, etc. Product Analog IC, MCU, Power, Small Signal
© 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Image Recognition LSI for Automotive Example of a front camera (video)
Oct’15
Denso Corp. deployed our image recognition LSI in its front-camerabased active safety system
May’16
Recognized by The Institute of Image Info. and Television Engineers in Japan (subject: Co-occurrence Histograms of Oriented Gradients)
Example of recognition at night
© 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Solutions for Industrial Markets A range of unique products for various industrial applications Wireless
FA and Robotics
ASIC/FFSA: Custom LSI to offer highly efficient production system ApP LiteTM/MCU: Products suitable for industrial IoT and motor control
BLE Smart Mesh: Low power consumption wireless communications connected to Mesh network for mail security system, FA, building energy management system
MOSFET: Broad lineup with many voltage specifications, used in various applications (especially power supply)
Transportation /Power Systems
Smart Grid
MCU+Analog IC: ASSP/solution tailored for smart meter (electric power meter, etc.), micro inverter (photovoltaic)
Power Supply
IGBT: Available for trains, construction machinery, power converters, industrial inverters and specialized power supply
• ASIC : Application Specific IC • FFSATM : Fit Fast Structured Array • ApP LiteTM : Application Processor Lite • ASSP : Application Specific Standard Product • BLE : Bluetooth® Low Energy • IGBT : Insulated Gate Bipolar Transistor
© 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Strengths in Discrete Power Device Better ON Resistance performance in low voltage MOSFET
120
High performance MOSFET (low ON resistance and low switching loss) enables efficiency of power supply IGBT and SiC for railways and industrial ━ Benchmark (competitor) ━ Toshiba (new (9th) gen)
ON Resistance (mΩ・nC)
Broad product offering
80 Better performance
40 0 0.1
Voltage (V)10
100
RF Switch
Photo Coupler
Original process realized the industry’s
Major player in the market (24% share/15) Focus on high performance IC couplers for industrial and automotive markets World’s smallest MOSFET coupler for tester application (for surface mounting at high density)
best reduction in insertion loss
Aiming to expand share in the smart phone market where the number of
switches is rapidly increasing CY15 3.1 switches/phone CY18: 7.0 switches/phone
Source: Toshiba © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Strengths in System LSI Focus on advanced technology to boost IoT Cutting-edge wireless LSI Bluetooth ®, BLE, WLAN, etc. Recognized by the New Technology Development Foundation in Japan (subject: high-speed and safe wireless technology)
Chip set for Google Ara modular system Design capability to materialize its concept as real chips incorporating advanced technology
Focus on steadily growing industrial & automotive markets Image recognition LSI
Power supply and motor control LSI FFSATM: Enter the market with products with FPGA’s and ASIC’s advantages TAT from specification determination to mass production (40 nm’s case) ASIC
12 months
FFSATM
8months
→ New ASIC methodology reduces customers’ development steps © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Japan Semiconductor Oita Operations and Iwate Toshiba Electronics: Merged in Japan Semiconductor on April 1
Company name
Japan Semiconductor Corp.
Business facilities
HQ/Iwate Operations, Oita Operations, Kawasaki Branch Office (Foundry Business Dept) Taiwan and US offices (planning)
Date of Establishment
April 1, 2016
Capital
15 billion yen
Representative
Kazuya Mori, President & CEO
Employee
2,030
Strengths
Products
HQ and Iwate Operations
Oita Operations
Automotive-grade quality based on IDM’s experience Cost-competitiveness and short development turn around time World leading analog technology (unlike digital, tuning is critical in analog) Mixed Signal IC, MCU, ASIC, Linear sensor and Discrete
Aiming to win foundry business equal to 30% of production in FY18 © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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目次
Ⅰ.Introduction Ⅱ.SDS Company Overview Ⅲ.Memory and Storage
Ⅳ.Discrete and System LSI Ⅴ.Closing
© 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Closing FY16 FY17 onwards
Return to the black in operating profit and cash flow in all businesses Early launch of BiCS FLASHTM Return to profitable growth businesses
Energy
Automotive
Transportation Power Generation
Discrete
Power Devices
Social Infrastructure
Sensing
System LSI
Industrial
Image Recognition World No. 2 in NAND share
Data Center
Mobile
SSD
NAND
Use advanced manufacturing technology to bring cutting-edge products to innovative markets
Contribute to creating the infrastructure of the Information (Big data) Society and Eco-Friendly Society © 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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Forward-looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning future plans, strategies and performance of Toshiba Group. These forward-looking statements are not historical facts, rather they are based on management’s assumptions and beliefs in light of the economic, financial and other data currently available. Since Toshiba Group promotes business in various market environments in many countries and regions, its activities are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that, without limitation, relate to economic conditions, worldwide mega-competition in the electronics business, customer demand, foreign currency exchange rates, tax rules, regulations and other factors. Toshiba there wishes to caution readers that actual results might differ materially from our expectations. Toshiba’s fiscal year (FY) runs from April 1 to March 31. All figures are consolidated totals for the 12 months, unless otherwise indicated.
© 2016 Toshiba Corporation
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