YouGov / The Times Survey Results. Sample Size: 1206 Scottish Adults. Fieldwork: 25th - 29th June 2014. Total. 10/10. 8+
YouGov / The Times Survey Results Sample Size: 1206 Scottish Adults Fieldwork: 25th - 29th June 2014 Likelihood to vote
Scotland be an independent country?
Holyrood Voting intention
Holyrood Constituency Vote 2011
10/10 1002 1022 %
8+/10 1101 1118 %
Yes 419 415 %
No 648 664 %
Con 154 129 %
Lab 375 422 %
Lib Dem 56 74 %
SNP 352 346 %
Con 134 104 %
Lab 306 368 %
Lib 76 92 %
SNP 438 420 %
June 12-16
Total 1206 1206 % June 25-29
36 53 2 9
35 54 2 10
37 57 0 6
37 56 0 7
100 0 0 0
0 100 0 0
2 95 0 4
16 76 0 7
16 82 0 2
85 8 0 7
6 93 0 2
19 74 0 7
20 68 4 9
64 25 0 11
40 60
39 61
39 61
39 61
100 0
0 100
2 98
17 83
17 83
91 9
6 94
20 80
22 78
72 28
2 0 0 1 0 2 2 2 3 4 82 2
2 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 6 83 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 91 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 6 89 1
0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 2 6 88 0
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 95 0
1 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 3 5 86 0
0 0 0 2 2 4 0 2 0 12 78 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 91 0
0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 3 93 0
1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 5 89 0
5 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 1 6 83 0
0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 6 89 1
Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample
If there was a referendum tomorrow on Scotland's future and this was the question, how would you vote? Should Scotland be an independent country? Yes No Would not vote Don’t know EXCLUDING DON'T KNOW/WON'T VOTE Yes No And on a scale of 0 (certain NOT to vote) to 10 (absolutely certain to vote), how likely are you to vote in a referendum on Scottish independence? 0 – Certain NOT to vote 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 – Absolutely certain to vote Don’t know
1
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YouGov / The Times Survey Results Sample Size: 1206 Scottish Adults Fieldwork: 25th - 29th June 2014 Gender
Social Grade
Age
Male 574 655 %
Female 632 551 %
18-24 142 93 %
25-39 292 273 %
40-59 431 429 %
60+ 341 411 %
ABC1 567 698 %
C2DE 639 508 %
June 12-16
Total 1206 1206 % June 25-29
36 53 2 9
35 54 2 10
37 53 2 7
33 54 2 11
35 48 4 13
40 46 4 10
32 57 1 10
33 58 1 8
31 59 2 9
38 49 2 10
40 60
39 61
41 59
38 62
42 58
47 53
36 64
36 64
35 65
43 57
2 0 0 1 0 2 2 2 3 4 82 2
2 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 6 83 1
3 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 7 84 1
2 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 3 5 82 1
7 1 0 0 1 1 3 3 2 12 65 4
4 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 7 79 2
1 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 3 4 87 1
1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 2 5 89 0
2 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 5 85 1
3 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 7 82 1
Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample
If there was a referendum tomorrow on Scotland's future and this was the question, how would you vote? Should Scotland be an independent country? Yes No Would not vote Don’t know EXCLUDING DON'T KNOW/WON'T VOTE Yes No And on a scale of 0 (certain NOT to vote) to 10 (absolutely certain to vote), how likely are you to vote in a referendum on Scottish independence? 0 – Certain NOT to vote 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 – Absolutely certain to vote Don’t know
2
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Sample Size: 1206 Scottish Adults Fieldwork: 25th - 29th June 2014 Likelihood to vote
Scotland be an independent country?
Holyrood Voting intention
Holyrood Constituency Vote 2011
10/10 1002 1022 %
8+/10 1101 1118 %
Yes 419 415 %
No 648 664 %
Con 154 129 %
Lab 375 422 %
Lib Dem 56 74 %
SNP 352 346 %
Con 134 104 %
Lab 306 368 %
Lib 76 92 %
SNP 438 420 %
27 49 11 13
30 51 10 9
29 50 11 10
75 4 17 5
1 86 6 7
0 91 3 6
11 66 12 11
9 69 14 7
70 7 15 7
4 88 1 8
14 63 11 11
11 59 20 10
52 24 14 11
17 43 23 17
18 45 23 13
18 44 24 14
46 4 38 11
1 73 14 11
0 82 11 7
8 58 19 15
2 56 30 12
44 9 34 13
4 84 4 8
8 57 21 14
5 51 32 12
33 21 30 16
76
84
81
83
76
84
82
83
88
83
90
91
93
15
10
12
12
15
9
11
12
7
9
4
2
3
10
5
7
5
9
7
7
6
4
9
6
6
3
Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample
Total 1206 1206 %
March 20-24
June 25-29
Better off Worse off No difference Don't know
30 45 10 16
Do you think you personally would be financially better or worse off if Scotland became an independent country, or would it make no difference? Better off Worse off No difference Don't know
19 39 23 19
Do you think Scotland would be economically better or worse off if it became an independent country, or would it make no difference?
In the May 2011 election for the Scottish parliament, half of Scottish people voted and the other half did not vote. Can you remember whether you voted in that particular election? Yes, I voted in the 2011 Scottish parliament election No, I did not vote in the 2011 Scottish parliament election Can't remember
3
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Sample Size: 1206 Scottish Adults Fieldwork: 25th - 29th June 2014 Gender
Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample
Total 1206 1206 %
March 20-24
June 25-29
Better off Worse off No difference Don't know
30 45 10 16
Do you think you personally would be financially better or worse off if Scotland became an independent country, or would it make no difference? Better off Worse off No difference Don't know
19 39 23 19
Social Grade
Age
Male 574 655 %
Female 632 551 %
18-24 142 93 %
25-39 292 273 %
40-59 431 429 %
60+ 341 411 %
ABC1 567 698 %
C2DE 639 508 %
27 49 11 13
29 49 14 8
26 49 9 17
26 46 13 15
30 43 13 14
25 52 10 13
28 51 10 11
24 53 11 13
30 46 11 13
17 43 23 17
21 44 24 11
14 42 23 21
24 34 24 19
19 37 27 18
16 49 19 16
14 44 26 16
15 45 24 16
19 41 23 17
76
78
74
52
69
79
87
76
75
15
15
15
26
21
11
9
15
15
10
7
12
22
10
10
3
9
10
Do you think Scotland would be economically better or worse off if it became an independent country, or would it make no difference?
In the May 2011 election for the Scottish parliament, half of Scottish people voted and the other half did not vote. Can you remember whether you voted in that particular election? Yes, I voted in the 2011 Scottish parliament election No, I did not vote in the 2011 Scottish parliament election Can't remember
4
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Sample Size: 1206 Scottish Adults Fieldwork: 25th - 29th June 2014 Likelihood to vote
Scotland be an independent country?
Holyrood Voting intention
Holyrood Constituency Vote 2011
Total 1206 1206 %
10/10 1002 1022 %
8+/10 1101 1118 %
Yes 419 415 %
No 648 664 %
Con 154 129 %
Lab 375 422 %
Lib Dem 56 74 %
SNP 352 346 %
Con 134 104 %
Lab 306 368 %
Lib 76 92 %
SNP 438 420 %
[Asked to those who said, yes voted in 2011 Scottish parliament election; n=965] Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat Scottish National party (SNP) Another Party Don't remember
12 34 8 40 3 4
13 34 7 39 3 4
12 34 7 40 3 4
0 17 3 75 2 1
21 45 11 16 3 4
73 4 2 15 0 6
2 86 4 8 0 1
0 7 81 7 2 4
1 5 1 91 1 1
83 5 1 3 3 4
0 89 3 4 2 2
5 4 73 7 1 10
2 10 1 82 2 3
In the last Westminster Election, 64% of Scots voted, while 36% did not vote. Thinking back to the Westminster Election in May 2010, can you remember whether or not you voted in that specific election? I did not vote in the 2010 Westminster Election I voted in the 2010 Westminster election Don't remember
15 74 11
10 82 7
12 80 8
13 80 7
14 77 9
9 85 6
12 81 7
18 78 5
10 84 6
8 83 9
7 85 8
11 80 8
7 85 8
Thinking back to the Westminster Election in May 2010, can you recall which party you voted for in that election? [Asked to respondents who said they voted in the 2010 Westminster election; n=940] Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat Scottish National Party Another party Can't remember
16 40 14 24 3 4
17 40 13 25 2 3
16 40 13 24 2 4
1 31 11 52 4 2
27 45 16 6 1 4
77 4 8 7 0 3
3 84 9 1 0 1
1 8 87 4 0 0
3 21 7 66 1 2
85 3 7 1 1 4
2 90 4 0 1 2
5 7 83 1 3 1
7 25 8 56 1 4
Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample
In the May 2011 Scottish parliament election you had two votes. Your first vote was for a single person to represent your constituency in the Scottish Parliament. Which party did you vote for with that constituency vote?
5
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Sample Size: 1206 Scottish Adults Fieldwork: 25th - 29th June 2014 Gender
Social Grade
Age
Total 1206 1206 %
Male 574 655 %
Female 632 551 %
18-24 142 93 %
25-39 292 273 %
40-59 431 429 %
60+ 341 411 %
ABC1 567 698 %
C2DE 639 508 %
[Asked to those who said, yes voted in 2011 Scottish parliament election; n=965] Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat Scottish National party (SNP) Another Party Don't remember
12 34 8 40 3 4
11 33 7 44 2 3
13 35 9 36 3 5
19 18 4 50 5 5
5 36 8 42 3 6
12 36 8 38 3 3
15 34 8 38 2 3
13 34 10 36 1 5
11 34 6 43 4 3
In the last Westminster Election, 64% of Scots voted, while 36% did not vote. Thinking back to the Westminster Election in May 2010, can you remember whether or not you voted in that specific election? I did not vote in the 2010 Westminster Election I voted in the 2010 Westminster election Don't remember
15 74 11
14 79 7
15 71 14
25 57 18
21 68 11
13 76 12
8 85 7
15 76 9
14 73 13
Thinking back to the Westminster Election in May 2010, can you recall which party you voted for in that election? [Asked to respondents who said they voted in the 2010 Westminster election; n=940] Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat Scottish National Party Another party Can't remember
16 40 14 24 3 4
18 39 12 27 2 2
15 41 15 22 3 5
13 22 30 17 10 8
16 37 13 26 2 6
15 45 13 23 2 3
18 41 10 27 2 2
18 39 15 21 2 4
14 40 12 27 3 3
Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample
In the May 2011 Scottish parliament election you had two votes. Your first vote was for a single person to represent your constituency in the Scottish Parliament. Which party did you vote for with that constituency vote?
6
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Sample Size: 1206 Scottish Adults Fieldwork: 25th - 29th June 2014 Likelihood to vote
Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample
Thinking back to the European parliament elections last month, May 2014, can you remember whether or not you voted in that specific election? Yes, I voted in the 2014 European Parliament election No, I did not vote in the 2014 European Parliament election Can't remember Thinking back to the European parliament elections last month, can you recall which party you voted for in that election? [Asked to respondents who said they voted in the 2014 EU elections; n=858 Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat Scottish National Party (SNP) UK Independence Party (UKIP) Scottish Greens Another Party Can't remember
7
Scotland be an independent country?
Holyrood Voting intention
Holyrood Constituency Vote 2011
Total 1206 1206 %
10/10 1002 1022 %
8+/10 1101 1118 %
Yes 419 415 %
No 648 664 %
Con 154 129 %
Lab 375 422 %
Lib Dem 56 74 %
SNP 352 346 %
Con 134 104 %
Lab 306 368 %
Lib 76 92 %
SNP 438 420 %
67
75
72
72
68
65
73
75
75
62
77
79
78
28
23
25
25
29
32
25
20
23
35
20
16
19
5
2
3
2
3
3
2
5
2
3
3
5
3
9 29 6 29 15 9 1 1
9 30 6 30 14 9 1 1
9 29 6 29 15 9 1 1
1 11 3 67 6 12 1 0
15 43 8 3 20 7 2 2
63 4 1 2 26 0 2 3
2 78 3 3 8 6 0 0
1 4 73 3 2 6 0 12
1 2 1 81 7 7 1 0
65 4 1 0 27 1 1 1
1 73 3 6 11 6 0 0
4 18 42 7 8 17 0 4
3 9 3 60 14 9 1 1
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Sample Size: 1206 Scottish Adults Fieldwork: 25th - 29th June 2014 Gender
Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample
Thinking back to the European parliament elections last month, May 2014, can you remember whether or not you voted in that specific election? Yes, I voted in the 2014 European Parliament election No, I did not vote in the 2014 European Parliament election Can't remember Thinking back to the European parliament elections last month, can you recall which party you voted for in that election? [Asked to respondents who said they voted in the 2014 EU elections; n=858 Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat Scottish National Party (SNP) UK Independence Party (UKIP) Scottish Greens Another Party Can't remember
8
Social Grade
Age
Total 1206 1206 %
Male 574 655 %
Female 632 551 %
18-24 142 93 %
25-39 292 273 %
40-59 431 429 %
60+ 341 411 %
ABC1 567 698 %
C2DE 639 508 %
67
67
67
50
62
68
77
69
65
28
29
28
37
31
29
21
27
29
5
4
6
12
7
3
2
4
6
9 29 6 29 15 9 1 1
10 28 6 28 16 9 2 1
8 30 7 29 14 10 1 2
6 15 6 22 20 25 3 4
7 29 6 34 8 11 3 2
7 32 4 28 18 9 1 0
13 29 9 28 15 4 0 1
12 31 8 26 10 10 2 1
6 27 5 31 20 9 1 1
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YouGov Weighting Data In addition to weighting by age, gender and social class (weighted and unweighted figures shown in the tables), YouGov also weighted its raw data by newspaper readership and recalled vote from the 2011 Holyrood election:
Unweighted no. Weighted no. Age and Gender Male 18 to 24
47
72
Male 25 to 39
134
144
Male 40 to 59
247
209
Male 60 +
227
150
Female 18 to 24
46
70
Female 25 to 39
139
148
Female 40 to 59
182
222
Female 60 +
184
192
AB
335
235
C1
363
332
Social Grade
C2
213
241
DE
295
398
Express / Mail
128
145
Sun / Star
187
193
Mirror / Record
227
241
Guardian / Independent/ Herald
124
72
FT / Times / Telegraph/ Scotsman
109
72
Other Paper
165
241
No Paper
266
241
Conservative
104
134
Labour
368
306
Liberal Democrat
92
76
SNP
328
316
SNP (but Labour in 2010)
92
122
Newspaper Type
Recalled 2011 Constituency Vote
Others
27
11
None/ DK
195
241
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