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THE ASIAN AMERICAN VOTE - California A Report on the Multilingual Exit Poll from the 2016 Presidential Election
A Special Presentation of The Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund
AALDEF
Mission & Program
IS A NATIONAL ORGANIZATION
Educational Equity
THAT PROTECTS
& Youth Rights
& PROMOTES
THE CIVIL RIGHTS OF ASIAN AMERICANS THROUGH LITIGATION, LEGAL ADVOCACY, AND COMMUNITY EDUCATION.
Language Rights (hospitals, courts)
Voting Rights Immigrants’ Rights
Human Trafficking
Housing
Workers’ Rights (sweatshops, restaurants, construction, Katrina)
New Jersey Legal Project
Asian American Election Protection
124 partners
1. POLL MONITORING • Voting Rights Act & Help America Vote Act • 2016: Attorneys covered 44 poll sites in 6 cities/ neighborhoods in 3 states (NY, NJ, MA)
2. MULTILINGUAL EXIT POLL • 2016: 13,846 Asian American voters in 14 states and DC • • • • • • •
2014: 4,102 voters in 11 states and DC 2012: 9,096 voters in 14 states and DC 2010: 3,721 voters in 5 states 2008: 16,665 voters in 11 states and DC 2006: 4,726 voters in 9 states and DC 2004: 10,789 voters in 8 states 2002: 3,500 voters in 4 states
POST-
ELECTION voter interviews & complaint letters
Profile of
2016 Asian
American
Exit Poll
CA: 242
Total Surveyed San Diego: San Diego - 92 Santa Clara: San Jose - 150
ETHNICITY - CA
Respondents 53%
24%
12% 11%
NATIVITY - CA 9 4 11
47
71% Foreign-born, naturalized citizen
29%
Vietnamese Filipino Other Chinese 0-2 yrs 3-5 yrs 6-10 yrs 10+ yrs US-born
FIRST-TIME VOTERS National
California
27%
30%
70%
73%
LIMITED ENGLISH PROFICIENCY BY ETHNICITY - CA Very well
Moderate
Filipino
Not at all
98%
CA
2
71%
NATIONAL
69%
Chinese
69%
Vietnamese
Not well
56%
21
20
6 1
9
2
31
33
10 2
PARTY ENROLLMENT National
California
3%
2% 24%
27%
52% 59% 12%
22%
2012: 34% of CA residents voted for Romney, 62% for Obama
VOTE FOR PRESIDENT BY STATE Trump DC 5% MI 9% PA 12% MA 13% NJ 14% VA 17% NY 17% NATIONAL 18% FL 21% CA 21% GA 26% MD 27% NV 29% TX 37% NM 36% LA 50%
Clinton
Other Candidate
93% 89% 87% 84% 83% 81% 81% 79% 78% 75% 71% 70% 69% 59% 57% 46%
3 2 1 3 3 1 2 2 1 4 3 3 2 4 7 5
VOTE FOR PRESIDENT BY ETHNICITY - CA Donald Trump
Filipino
Hillary Clinton
26%
Other Candidate
70%
4
Vietnamese
22%
75%
4
CA
21%
75%
4
NATIONAL
Chinese
18%
79%
91%
2
9
CROSSOVER VOTING - CA Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton
Democrat 4%
Republican
Not enrolled
93%
69%
Other party
Other Candidate
3
27%
4
100%
13%
78%
10
VOTE FOR PRESIDENT BY FIRST-TIME VOTER - CA Donald Trump
CA
NATIONAL
8%
17%
Hillary Clinton
Other Candidate
89%
81%
3
3
VOTE FOR PRESIDENT BY GENDER - CA Donald Trump
Male
Female
23%
19%
Hillary Clinton
Other Candidate
71%
78%
6
3
VOTE FOR PRESIDENT BY AGE - CA Donald Trump 18-29
30-39
40-49
50-59
60-69
70+
8%
Hillary Clinton
Other Candidate
86%
17%
6%
78%
21%
6%
74%
30% 36% 25%
5%
65% 64% 75%
5%
VOTE FOR PRESIDENT BY EDUCATION - CA Donald Trump No formal education in the U.S.
Hillary Clinton
18%
73%
40%
Some High School/Trade School
High School
Other Candidate
24%
9
47%
7
76%
College/University
19%
77%
4
Graduate School
19%
77%
3
VOTE FOR PRESIDENT BY RELIGION - CA Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton
38%
Other
46%
33%
Catholic
No affiliation
6%
Buddhist
5%
Other Candidate
64%
83%
95%
15%
3%
11%
IMPORTANT FACTORS INFLUENCING THE VOTE FOR PRESIDENT National total mentions, n = 27,889 CA total mentions, n = 492 NATIONAL 25% 20%
22% 23 16
16
15% 10% 5% 0%
CA
15 15
11
16
10
11
10 9
7
6 7
7
VOTE FOR U.S. HOUSE State Congressional District CA
Democratic Candidate
Asian American Asian American Vote Republican Candidate Vote
52
Scott Peters*
65%
Denise Gitsham
24%
19
Zoe Lofgren*
72%
G. Burt Lancaster
17%
Asian American Exit Poll Issue Questions • Do you support stricter gun control laws? • Do you think that police departments treat racial and ethnic groups equally?
• Do you support laws to protect gay and transgender people from discrimination in employment, housing, and public accommodations? • Do you support comprehensive immigration reform, including a path to citizenship for undocumented people?
Do you support stricter gun control laws? Yes
CA
NATIONAL
No
80%
78%
Don't Know
13%
13%
7%
10%
Gun Control by Ethnicity - CA Yes Chinese
No
Don't Know
84%
12% 4%
CA
80%
13%
7%
Vietnamese
80%
13%
7%
NATIONAL
78%
Filipino
77%
13%
16%
10%
7%
Gun Control by Vote for President - CA Yes
Don't Know
72%
Donald Trump
21%
87%
Hillary Clinton
Other Candidate
No
56%
7%
7% 6%
33%
11%
Do you think that police departments treat racial and ethnic groups equally? Yes
CA
NATIONAL
19%
26%
No
Don't Know
49%
32%
50%
24%
Police Accountability by Ethnicity - CA Yes NATIONAL
Vietnamese
No
Don't Know
26%
23%
Chinese
20%
CA
19%
Filipino
19%
50%
42%
24%
35%
72%
49%
46%
8%
32%
35%
Police Accountability by Vote for President - CA Yes
Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton
Other Candidate
No
Don't Know
26%
17%
22%
51%
48%
23%
34%
56%
22%
Do you support laws to protect gay and transgender people from discrimination in employment, housing, and public accommodations? Strongly Support
CA
NATIONAL
Support
Oppose
41%
31%
Strongly Oppose
35
34
Don't Know
6 4
10
5
14
20
LGBTQ Protection by Ethnicity - CA Strongly Support
Support
Oppose
Strongly Oppose
52%
Chinese
CA
41%
Filipino
41%
Vietnamese
38%
NATIONAL
36%
Don't Know
36
12
35
6 4
43
11
31
29
15
7
9
5
20
6
20
24
LGBTQ Protection by Vote for President - CA Strongly Support
Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton
Other Candidate
Support
10%
Oppose
Strongly Oppose
40
14
50%
44%
7
34
11
22
Don't Know
29
4 1 10
22
Do you support comprehensive immigration reform, including a path to citizenship for undocumented people? Strongly Support
CA
NATIONAL
29%
36%
Support
Oppose
Strongly Oppose
32
11
29
9
Don't Know
5
7
22
20
Comprehensive Immigration Reform by Ethnicity - CA Strongly Support NATIONAL
31%
Vietnamese
30%
CA
29%
Filipino
Chinese
27%
24%
Support
Oppose
Strongly Oppose
34
30
32
41
40
10
9
Don't Know 5
20
4
11
28
5
11
24
23
9
13
12
Comprehensive Immigration Reform by Vote for President - CA Strongly Support
Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton
Other Candidate
Support
26%
Oppose
23
12
32%
22%
Strongly Oppose
12
34
11
22
Don't Know
28
11
22
3
20
22
VOTING PROBLEMS - CA
2
required to prove
U.S. citizenship
1 missing or had errors
complained that their names were
in the list of voters at poll sites
14 voted by provisional
ballot
2 complained that poll workers did not
know what to do
NEXT STEPS •
Enforcement of Language Assistance Provisions (Section 203/208) of Voting Rights Act for: • Lowell, MA – Cambodian • Malden, MA – Chinese • Middlesex, NJ – Asian Indian • Fairfax, VA – Vietnamese • Terrant, TX – Vietnamese
•
United States Court of Appeals Fifth Circuit – OCA Greater Houston v. Texas • Protect LEP voters’ ability to choose interpreter of their choice (Section 208 of VRA)
•
Enforcement of State Election Law and Voting Rights Act for: • Pennsylvania regarding language access (Boat People S.O.S. v. City of Philadelphia) • Washington, D.C. regarding Chinese and Vietnamese language assistance (D.C. Language Access Act)
•
Poll Monitoring and Exit Poll for 2017 Elections in: • New York City (Mayoral, City Council, and other citywide elections) • New Jersey (Gubernatorial) • Virginia (Gubernatorial) • Boston (Mayoral)
Thank you to our co-sponsors! Firms Ballard Spahr LLP Debevoise & Plimpton LLP Finnegan, Henderson, Farabow, Garrett & Dunner LLP Fish & Richardson PC Hogan Lovells Hunton & Williams LLP Kilpatrick Townsend & Stockton LLP McCarter & English LLP Milbank, Tweed, Hadley & McCloy LLP Ropes & Gray LLP Shearman & Sterling LLP Weil, Gotshal & Manges LLP
Charles B. Wang Community Health Center (CBWCHC) Chhaya CDC Chinese Progressive Association (CPA Boston) Coalition of Asian Pacific Americans of Virginia (CAPAVA) Council of Asian Pacific Americans (CAPA) Dallas Asian American Bar Association (DAABA) Dallas/Fort Worth Asian-American Citizens Council (DFW AACC) Filipino American Human Services, Inc. (FAHSI) Filipino American Lawyers Association of NY (FALA NY) Filipino American Legal Defense & Education Fund (FALDEF) Filipino Bar Association of Northern California (FBANC) Gay Asian Pacific Islander Men of New York (GAPIMNY) Georgia Asian Pacific American Bar Association (GAPABA) Greater Boston Legal Services Local Organizations Indo-Caribbean Alliance Asian Law Alliance JCI Philippine-New York (Jaycees) Adhikaar KhushDC American Citizens for Justice / Asian American Center for Justice Korean American Bar Association of New Jersey (KABA-NJ) (ACJ) Korean American Civic Empowerment (KACE) Apex for Youth Korean American Lawyers Association of Greater New York APIAVote-Michigan (APIAVote-MI) (KALAGNY) APIs CAN! Louisiana Asian Pacific American Bar Association (LAPABA) Asian American Bar Association of New York (AABANY) Michigan Asian Pacific American Bar Association (MAPABA) Asian American Federation of Florida (AAFF) MinKwon Center for Community Action Asian American Lawyers Association of Massachusetts (AALAM) Muslim Bar Association of New York (MuBANY) Asian American Resource Workshop (AARW) NANAY Asian American Society of Central Virginia (AASoCV) National Asian Pacific American Women's Forum DC Chapter Asian Americans United (AAU) (NAPAWF DC) Asian Bar Association of Las Vegas (ABALV) National Asian Pacific American Women's Forum NYC Chapter Asian Community Development Corporation (ACDC) (NAPAWF*NYC) Asian Community Development Council (ACDC) New Mexico Asian Family Center (NMAFC) Asian Employee Network at American Express (ANA – New York) OCA Greater Houston Chapter Asian Pacific American Bar Association of Pennsylvania (APABA- Pennsylvania Immigration and Citizenship Coalition (PICC) PA) Pilipino American Unity for Progress NY (UniPro NY) Asian Pacific American Bar Association of the Greater South Asian Bar Association of New Jersey (SABA-NJ) Washington, D.C. Area (APABA-DC) South Asian Bar Association of New York (SABANY) Asian Pacific American Bar Association of Virginia, Inc. (APABA- South Asian Bar Association of San Diego (SABA-SD) VA) South Asian Bar Association of Washington DC (SABA-DC) Asian Pacific American Labor Alliance (APALA) - Nevada South Asian Community Care Organization (SACO) Asian Pacific American Lawyers Association of NJ (APALA-NJ) Southeast Asian Coalition of Massachusetts Asian Pacific American Legal Resource Center (APALRC) Southeast Asian Mutual Assistance Associations Coalition, Inc. Asian Pacific Islander American Public Affairs Association (SEAMAAC) (APAPA Austin) Strong Families NM, of Forward Together Austin Asian American Bar Association (AAABA) United Chinese Association of Brooklyn (UCA) Boat People SOS Delaware Valley VietLead Boston Chinatown Neighborhood Center Vietnamese American Young Leaders Association of New Center for Pan Asian Community Services (CPACS) Orleans (VAYLA) Voice of Vietnamese Americans (VVA)
National Organizations Alliance of South Asian American Labor (ASAAL) APIAVote Asian Pacific American Labor Alliance (APALA) East Coast Asian American Student Union (ECAASU) Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights Under Law (LCCRUL) National Asian Pacific American Bar Association (NAPABA) National Asian Pacific American Law Student Association (NAPALSA) National Asian Pacific American Women's Forum (NAPAWF) National Council of Asian Pacific Americans (NCAPA) National Federation of Filipino American Associations (NaFFAA) National Filipino American Lawyers Association (NFALA) National Queer Asian Pacific Islander Alliance (NQAPIA) OCA – Asian Pacific American Advocates South Asian Americans Leading Together (SAALT) South Asian Fund for Education Scholarship Training (SAFEST) The Sikh Coalition School Organizations Brooklyn Law APALSA Cardozo APALSA Columbia APALSA Columbia School of Social Work Asian Pacific Islander Student Caucus (CSSW API Caucus) CUNY School of Law, APALSA Drexel APALSA Emory Asian Student Organization (ASO) Georgetown APALSA Harvard APALSA Harvard Students Asian Pacific Coalition (HSAPC) Hunter Asian American Studies Program Loyola University New Orleans College of Law, APALSA Michigan Law APALSA NYU APALSA Princeton Asian American Students Association (AASA) Santa Clara APALSA St. John's APALSA Temple APALSA Tufts Asian Student Coalition (TASC) UMass Boston Asian American Studies UMD College Park Asian American Studies Program University of Miami School of Law APALSA University of Nevada Las Vegas, William S. Boyd School of Law APALSA UPenn APALSA UPenn Asian Pacific Student Coalition (APSC) UT Austin Center for Asian American Studies
THE ASIAN AMERICAN VOTE A Special Presentation of the Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund A Report on the Multilingual Exit Poll from the 2016 Presidential Election
Contact Us:
Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund 99 Hudson Street, 12th floor New York, NY 10013 Phone: 212.966.5932 Fax: 212.966.4303
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