The World Dairy Situation - Program on Dairy Markets and Policy

May 1, 2014 - 14 Lala. MX na na. 6,0. 15 Mengniu. CN. 4,5. 5,8. 5,7. -. 1%. 16 DMK. DE. 5,3. 6,4. 5,7. -. 11%. 17 Sodiaal. FR. 5,3. 6,1. 5,6. -. 9%. 18 Bongrain.
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Annual  Na(onal  Workshop  for  Dairy  Economists  and  Policy  Analysts  

Session IV: Status and Opportunities for Dairy Sectors Around the World

The World Dairy Situation Véronique Pilet, CNIEL, France Milwaukee, May 1, 2014

World dairy production (all categories included)

Geographic breakdown of world milk production in 2013 (millions of tonnes) Europe 215 27% EU-27 156 Russia 31 Ukraine 12 Belarus 6

N. America 100 13% United States 92 Canada 9

Asia 303 39%

Central America 17 2%

Africa 46 6%

Mexico 11

Sudan 8 Egypt 6 Kenya 4

S. America 70 9% Brazil 35 Argentina 11 Colombia 6

India 141 China 48 Pakistan 39 Turkey 18

World total: 782 million tonnes

FAO Food Outlook November 2013, IDF, DCANZ for NZ

Oceania 29 4% New Zealand 20 Australia 9

Regional dynamics Evolu(on  of  dairy  produc(on  (all  categories  included)  2008  to  2013  

Europe + 0 Mt North & Central America + 7 Mt

Asia + 55 Mt

Africa + 10 Mt South America + 13 Mt Oceania + 4 Mt

World total: + 89 million tonnes CNIEL / IDF, FAO Food Outlook

Mt: million tonnes

Recent production trends by the major suppliers in 2013 Recent production tendencies among major suppliers of the world market

United States Production 12 months 2013: + 0.7% 3 months 2014: +1.0%

EU - 27 Deliveries 12 months 2013: + 1.1% 2 months 2014: +4.7%

Australia Argentina Deliveries 12 months 2013: -5.7% 3 months 2014: +1.0%

Production 12 months 2013: -4.7% 2 months 2014: +2.5%

New Zealand Deliveries 12 months 2013: -1.5% 2 months 2014: +9.3%

CNIEL / USDA, Dairy Australia, EU Commission, CLAL, ZMB

World Dairy Leaders Ranking based on 2012 turnover (USD) Country

2010

2011

2012

FR CH NZ FR NL US US DK JP JP CA CN DE MX CN DE FR FR US IE US CA US FR NO

12,5 19,6 11,9 12,9 11,9 9,8 12,1 8,7 7,0 6,8 5,8 4,4 na na 4,5 5,3 5,3 4,7 3,5 3,4 7,0 3,2 na 3,2 3,1

17,5 18,6 15,3 15,6 13,4 13,0 13,1 10,3 7,4 7,4 6,8 5,8 na na 5,8 6,4 6,1 5,5 4,3 4,4 7,7 3,7 na 3,5 3,5

20,2 19,8 15,8 15,0 13,2 12,1 11,5 10,9 7,5 7,2 7,2 6,7 6,0 6,0 5,7 5,7 5,6 5,2 4,2 3,9 3,8 3,7 3,5 3,4 3,4

1 Lactalis 2 Nestlé 3 Fonterra 4 Danone 5 FrieslandCampina 6 DFA 7 Dean Foods 8 Arla Foods 9 Meiji Dairies 10 Morinaga Milk Industry 11 Saputo 12 Yili 13 Müller 14 Lala 15 Mengniu 16 DMK 17 Sodiaal 18 Bongrain 19 Land O'Lakes 20 Glanbia 21 Kraft Foods 22 Agropur 23 Schreiber 24 Bel 25 Tine

Annual growth '11-12

+ + + + + + +

15% 7% 4% 4% 1% 7% 12% 6% 1% 3% 4% 15%

-

1% 11% 9% 5% 4% 12% 50% 1%

-

5 3% 2%

Geographical variations of dairy product consumption Apparent dairy product consumption levels in 2013

Canada 243

Russia 243

EU 286

USA 275

Iran 107

Algeria 147

Mexico 116

Sudan 229

Brazil 178

World average: 109 kg/capita CNIEL / IDF, FAO Food Outlook, PRB

(kg per capita)

China 41

Japan 70

India 109 Philippines 12

Indonesia 13 Australia 309

Argentina 232

Less than 50 kg

100 to 200 kg

50 to 100 kg

More than 200 kg

Dairy consumption: fast growing regions

IDF, FAO Food Outlook

World Trade

IDF, FAO Food Outlook

Demand is sustained on main markets Recent import tendencies on substantial markets Russia

United States

Imports* 12 months 2013 Butter : +20% Cheese : +3%

Imports 12 months 2013 Cheese : -4% Caseins : -4%
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