(machinery, ship systems, payload systems,..) Predictive maintenance. Remote expert support. Automatic mooring. Automati
Towards Unmanned Ships
Oskar Levander, VP Innovation, Rolls-Royce Marine Ship Efficiency the Event 2015 London, 8.9.2015 © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc The information in this document is the property of Rolls-Royce plc and may not be copied or communicated to a third party, or used for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied without the express written consent of Rolls-Royce plc. This information is given in good faith based upon the latest information available to Rolls-Royce plc, no warranty or representation is given concerning such information, which must not be taken as establishing any contractual or other commitment binding upon Rolls-Royce plc or any of its subsidiary or associated companies.
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Marine Trends
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Information Technology
The dawn of the Ship Intelligence era © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Ship Intelligence
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Intelligent ship today
Fleet monitoring Decision support Weather routing
Onboard optimization (energy, power management, etc.)
Common controls
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Condition based maintenance
E-Navigation
EHM on main components
AIS
Ship sensors
ECDIS
Intelligent ship tomorrow
Fleet optimization for best profit Total fleet routing (revenue (cargo), weather, current, ship performance, bunker prices, maintenance schedules)
Decision support
Remote control
(collision avoidance, risk mitigation, emergency reaction)
Autonomous operation
Common automation standard and user interface E-Navigation AIS ECDIS
Fully sensored (ship awareness), feedback to operator EHM on all ship systems (machinery, ship systems, payload systems,..) Predictive maintenance Remote expert support
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Automatic mooring Automatic cargo handling and optimization
Unmanned Remote Controlled Ships
Making ship transport more efficient and safe! © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Remote Controlled Ships • Reduced crew costs
• Access to competent crew • Better working conditions
• Improved ship efficiency • Improved safety
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Unmanned Trend in Society
It is not IF, but WHEN... Marine is only following todays trend! © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Crew Trends Crew size for ocean going ships
Number of crew
300 250 200 150
100 50
?
0 1850
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1900
Oskar Levander
1950
2000
2050
Remote Controlled Ships - Features No deck house
More cargo
New possibilities • New layouts • Rethinking the ship design
Lower costs No hotel systems • Water production • Water heating • AC • Sewage treatment • Etc…
New level of Automation Communications
Lower power demand Redundant machinery
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
• Lower resistance from reduced LWT • Lower hotel load • Etc…
Remote Control or Autonomous? Remote control • Port operations • Navigation in congested areas • Advanced manoeuvring situations • ...
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Autonomous operation • Navigation at open sea • Total ship traffic overview • Route and speed optimisation • ...
Safety As safe or safer than a conventional ships! • New technology to aid the navigation of ships • Avoid human errors • Redundant machinery with predictive maintenance • Automatic safe mode if loss of control occurs Unmanned operation is not suited for all types of ships – we will still have seafarers at sea in the future
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Cyber Security
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Oskar Levander
Key Development Areas Communications Operation optimization
Remote control center
Remote controlled systems
Situational awareness systems Health & safety management
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
International Regulatory Obstacles 2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Examples of conflicts with present international rules and regulations
REISSUE
2024?
o
o
o
o
Remote machinery control
Remote machinery monitoring
Oskar Levander
o o o
Remote watch-keeping
Automated ship-shore administration
Remote machinery diagnostics
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
o o
Remote deep sea navigation
Machine collision avoidance
o
Fleet monitoring & control Autonomous deep sea navigation
Shore-side Bridge Proxy
Timeline 2015
2020
Reduced crew with remote support and operation of certain functions
Remotely operated local vessel
2025
2030
Remote controlled unmanned coastal vessel
2035
Autonomous unmanned ocean going ship
Remote controlled unmanned ocean going ship
Unmanned ships will most likely start with local applications!
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Early Opportunities with Remote Operations Remote support and operations will enable lean ships with reduced crew
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
LEAN RoRo
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Market: • RoRo cargo: 1500 lanemeters, double stack containers on cassettes and trailers • Short routes in Northern Europe • Existing fleet is old and in need of replacement • Small ship will enable traffic from ports with limited cargo volumes • Operators are today forced to focus on larger ships and to concentrate operation on fewer but larger ports • Very low cost needed to make small ship feasible
Design Philosophy - LEAN Low operating costs • Minimum crew - 1 person on bridge at all times - 3 person rotating shifts - 1 multi purpose deck hand • Remote machinery support - Expert support from shore centre • Automatic mooring • No ”hotel” crew onboard - Pre fabricated food prepared ashore - Washing and cleaning done in port
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Low fuel cost • High efficiency • Low lightweight • LNG • Modest operating speed
Design Philosophy - LEAN Low building cost • Lean design • Number of systems minimised • No steam system • No diesel system • No water production – bunker water in port • No sewage – return sewage to port • HVAC in deckhouse with direct electricity (no steam or cold water circuit) • Small deck house • One cargo deck, no internal roro ramps • No enclosed cargo deck – lower steel weight
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
LEAN RoRo Machinery
Hotel load 400 kW PTI: 1 000 kW PTO: 1 000 kW
3277 kW
130rpm
3 500 kW PTI: 1 000 kW PTO: 1 000 kW
895 kW
3277 kW
1 x 1000 kW 130rpm
Installed power: 7.0 MW Service speed: 17 kts (15% SM at 83% MCR) Max speed: 18 kts (15% SM at 94% MCR) © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
3 500 kW
2 x 8L Bergen B35:40
1 x 8V4000 M24S
Main Characteristics
Second hand ref. vessel
Conventional new build
Lean RoRo
LPP [m]
128
128
150
Breadth [m]
22.7
22.7
29
Draught [m]
6.7
6.7
5
Lane meters
1500 (only partial double stack)
1500 (only partial double stack)
1500 (double stack)
Displacement [ton]
12 200
12 200
10 280
Service speed [kts]
20
17
17
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Operating and Investment Costs OPEX
7M
CAPEX
30 M
Fuel
Ship Systems
6M
25 M
Maintenance 5M
Second hand cost
Machinery
20 M
Crew
Accommodation
4M
Ship Outfitting
15 M 3M
Superstructure 50% value of new build
10 M
2M
5M
1M
Hull Structures RoRo Equipment Tests and Trials
0M
0M Lean RoRo Assumptions: MGO $ 600 /ton LNG $ 11 /mmBTU = $ 511/ton © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Conventional newbuild RoRo
Second hand RoRo
EURO/USD 1.19 Oskar Levander
FOR GUIDANCE ONLY
Lean RoRo
Conventional Second hand new build RoRo RoRo
Design
Annual costs [M€]
Total Annual Costs 10 M 9M 8M 7M 6M 5M 4M 3M 2M 1M 0M
OPEX CAPEX
Second hand value assuemd to be 50% of new build
Lean RoRo
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Conventional newbuild RoRo
Second hand RoRo
FOR GUIDANCE ONLY
Timeline 2015
2020
Reduced crew with remote support and operation of certain functions
Remotely operated local vessel
2025
2030
Remote controlled unmanned coastal vessel
2035
Autonomous unmanned ocean going ship
Remote controlled unmanned ocean going ship
Unmanned ships will most likely start with local applications!
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Timeline
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Unmanned Battery Ferry Concept
© 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
Conclusions We are at the dawn of of the Ship Intelligence era
Unmanned ships will be the most fundamental change in shipping that we will experience © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander
The best way to predict the future is to create the future © 2015 Rolls-Royce plc
Oskar Levander