Aug 24, 2015 - Less than high school degree. 3% ... Technical or trade school. 3% ... please tell me which of the follow
Trout Unlimited Pebble Mine Poll August 22-24, 2015 600 Likely 2016 Voters in Alaska
Screeners Q1. Are you 18 years of age or older and registered to vote in the state of Alaska? n=600
Yes
100%
No
.
Don't know
.
Q2. I know it's a long way off, but in November of 2016, there will be an election in Alaska for President, Senate, Congress, and other offices. How likely are you to vote in that election? Are you...? n=600
Absolutely certain
73%
Very likely
20%
Possibly will vote
7%
Not likely
.
Absolutely will not vote
.
Don't know
.
© Benenson Strategy Group, All Rights Reserved -- 1
Q3. Regardless of how you are registered, do you consider yourself a...? n=600
Strong Democrat
14%
Weak Democrat
5%
Weak Republican
3%
Strong Republican
23%
Independent
45%
Other
5%
Don't know
5%
DEMOCRAT
19%
REPUBLICAN
26%
INDEPENDENT
55%
© Benenson Strategy Group, All Rights Reserved -- 2
Issues First I am going to read you a list of groups. After I read each one, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of it.
Q4. The mining industry. Do you have a very favorable view of it, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable view of it? n=600
Very favorable
25%
Somewhat favorable
35%
Somewhat unfavorable
16%
Very unfavorable
15%
No opinion
7%
Don't know
2%
FAVORABLE
60%
UNFAVORABLE
32%
Q5. Salmon-based fishing industries such as commercial or recreational fishing. Do you have a very favorable view of them, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable view of them? n=600
Very favorable
64%
Somewhat favorable
25%
Somewhat unfavorable
4%
Very unfavorable
2%
No opinion
4%
Don't know
1%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE
© Benenson Strategy Group, All Rights Reserved -- 3
88% 6%
Very Imp
Smwt Imp
Not Very Imp
Not At All Imp
Don’t Know
TOTAL IMP
TOTAL NOT IMP
87%
12%
1%
0%
1%
98%
1%
87%
11%
1%
0%
1%
98%
1%
85%
13%
2%
0%
1%
98%
2%
42%
40%
9%
5%
3%
83%
14%
n=600
Q8. Do you think salmon is a very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not at all important source of food for many Alaskans? n=600
Q6. Do you think fishing is very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not at all important to Alaska's economy? n=600
Q9. Do you think salmon is very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not at all important to the way of life of many Alaskans? n=600
Q7. Do you think mining is very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not at all important to Alaska's economy?
Q10. Do you...drilling in ANWR, the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge? n=600
Strongly support
40%
Somewhat support
23%
Somewhat oppose
9%
Strongly oppose
21%
Don't know
7%
SUPPORT
63%
OPPOSE
30%
© Benenson Strategy Group, All Rights Reserved -- 4
Q11. Do you...drilling in the Arctic Ocean? n=600
Strongly support
33%
Somewhat support
30%
Somewhat oppose
11%
Strongly oppose
19%
Don't know
7%
SUPPORT
63%
OPPOSE
30%
Now let's talk about Pebble Mine, a proposed copper and gold mine at the headwaters of Bristol Bay in southwest Alaska.
Q12. Do you...Pebble Mine being built? n=600
Strongly support
16%
Somewhat support
17%
Somewhat oppose
14%
Strongly oppose
43%
Don't know
9%
SUPPORT
34%
OPPOSE
57%
Q13. How much risk, if any, do you think there would be to Alaska's fishing industry if Pebble Mine were built? n=600
A great deal
47%
Some
25%
Not very much
15%
None at all
7%
Don't know
6%
© Benenson Strategy Group, All Rights Reserved -- 5
Q14. How much risk, if any, do you think there would be to Alaska's economy if Pebble Mine were NOT built? n=600
A great deal
14%
Some
32%
Not very much
28%
None at all
21%
Don't know
6%
© Benenson Strategy Group, All Rights Reserved -- 6
Demographics Thank you for your time so far. I have just a few more questions for statistical purposes only. Q15. May I ask how old you are? n=600
18 to 24 years
6%
25 to 29 years
5%
30 to 34 years
6%
35 to 39 years
6%
40 to 44 years
7%
45 to 49 years
11%
50 to 54 years
9%
55 to 59 years
11%
60 to 64 years
13%
65 to 69 years
8%
70 to 74 years
5%
75 to 79 years
4%
80 or older
6%
Don't know/refused
3%
Q16. What is the last grade or level of school you have completed? n=600
Less than high school degree
3%
High school graduate
20%
Some college – but less than two years of college
15%
Some college – two years or more/A.A. degree
17%
Technical or trade school College graduate/bachelor's degree/B.A/.B.S. Postgraduate courses Master's degree
3% 22% 4% 10%
M.B.A. or law degree
1%
Ph.D. or M.D.
3%
Don't know/none specified
1%
© Benenson Strategy Group, All Rights Reserved -- 7
Q17. Are you currently...? n=600
Employed full time
49%
Employed part time
9%
Not employed but looking for work
2%
Not employed and not looking for work
2%
Student
3%
Homemaker
4%
Retired
26%
Other
4%
Don't know/refused
1%
Q18. Do you – or does anyone in your household – work in any of the following industries? n=600
Oil
9%
Commercial fishing
7%
Sport fishing
5%
Mining
3%
None of the above
80%
Q19. Do you generally consider yourself liberal, moderate, or conservative? Please use a five point scale where 1 means you consider yourself a strong conservative and 5 means you consider yourself a strong liberal. n=600
1 – Strong conservative
30%
2
10%
3 – Moderate
31%
4 5 – Strong liberal Don't know
© Benenson Strategy Group, All Rights Reserved -- 8
8% 13% 8%
Q20. Do you have children age 18 or under living with you at home? [Part-time children included as yes.] n=600
Yes
29%
No
68%
Don't know/none specified
2%
Q21. We're interested in hearing opinions from all kinds of people. So to make sure we have a representative mix, please tell me which of the following categories best represents your total household income for 2014. n=600
Less than $15,000
5%
$15,000 to less than $30,000
8%
$30,000 to less than $40,000
6%
$40,000 to less than $50,000
6%
$50,000 to less than $60,000
8%
$60,000 to less than $75,000
11%
$75,000 to less than $100,000
16%
$100,000 to less than $150,000
14%
$150,000 or more
11%
Don't know/refused
15%
Q22. Which of the following ethnic groups best describes you? You can stop me when I've read your group. n=600
White or Caucasian
75%
Alaska Native or part-Alaska Native
11%
Black or African American
2%
Latino, Hispanic, or Mexican
2%
Asian or Pacific Islander
3%
Other
4%
Don't know/refused
3%
© Benenson Strategy Group, All Rights Reserved -- 9
Q23. What borough do you live in? n=600
Anchorage Municipality
37%
Matanuska-Susitna Borough OR Mat-Su
12%
Fairbanks North Star Borough
11%
Kenai Peninsula Borough
8%
Juneau City and Borough
4%
Ketchikan Gateway Borough
3%
Kodiak Island Borough
2%
Nome
2%
Aleutians East Borough
1%
Denali Borough
1%
Haines Borough
1%
North Slope Borough
1%
Northwest Arctic Borough
1%
Petersburg Borough
1%
Sitka City and Borough
1%
Skagway Municipality
1%
Dillingham
1%
Valdez-Cordova
1%
Wade Hampton
1%
Yukon-Koyukuk
1%
Lake and Peninsula Borough
0%
Wrangell City and Borough
0%
Yakutat City and Borough
0%
Bethel
0%
Hoonah-Angoon
0%
Prince of Wales-Hyder
0%
Southeast Fairbanks
0%
Bristol Bay Borough
0%
Aleutians West
0%
Unorganized Borough/do not live in a borough
0%
Other
5%
Don't know/refused
7%
© Benenson Strategy Group, All Rights Reserved -- 10
Q24. Which of the following best describes the telecommunications in your household? n=600
Cell phone-only household with no landline
13%
Landline but all or most calls are made by cell phone
41%
Cell phone and landline but all, almost all or some calls are made on the landline
33%
Landline only – no cell phones at all
9%
Don't know/refused
4%
C1. Gender: n=600
Male
50%
Female
50%
© Benenson Strategy Group, All Rights Reserved -- 11