Trout Unlimited Pebble Mine Poll

Trout Unlimited Pebble Mine Poll August 22-24, 2015 600 Likely 2016 Voters in Alaska

Screeners Q1. Are you 18 years of age or older and registered to vote in the state of Alaska? n=600

Yes

100%

No

.

Don't know

.

Q2. I know it's a long way off, but in November of 2016, there will be an election in Alaska for President, Senate, Congress, and other offices. How likely are you to vote in that election? Are you...? n=600

Absolutely certain

73%

Very likely

20%

Possibly will vote

7%

Not likely

.

Absolutely will not vote

.

Don't know

.

© Benenson Strategy Group, All Rights Reserved -- 1

Q3. Regardless of how you are registered, do you consider yourself a...? n=600

Strong Democrat

14%

Weak Democrat

5%

Weak Republican

3%

Strong Republican

23%

Independent

45%

Other

5%

Don't know

5%

DEMOCRAT

19%

REPUBLICAN

26%

INDEPENDENT

55%


Issues First I am going to read you a list of groups. After I read each one, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of it.

Q4. The mining industry. Do you have a very favorable view of it, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable view of it? n=600

Very favorable

25%

Somewhat favorable

35%

Somewhat unfavorable

16%

Very unfavorable

15%

No opinion

7%

Don't know

2%

FAVORABLE

60%

UNFAVORABLE

32%

Q5. Salmon-based fishing industries such as commercial or recreational fishing. Do you have a very favorable view of them, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable view of them? n=600

Very favorable

64%

Somewhat favorable

25%

Somewhat unfavorable

4%

Very unfavorable

2%

No opinion

4%

Don't know

1%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE


88% 6%

Very Imp

Smwt Imp

Not Very Imp

Not At All Imp

Don’t Know

TOTAL IMP

TOTAL NOT IMP

87%

12%

1%

0%

1%

98%

1%

87%

11%

1%

0%

1%

98%

1%

85%

13%

2%

0%

1%

98%

2%

42%

40%

9%

5%

3%

83%

14%

n=600

Q8. Do you think salmon is a very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not at all important source of food for many Alaskans? n=600

Q6. Do you think fishing is very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not at all important to Alaska's economy? n=600

Q9. Do you think salmon is very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not at all important to the way of life of many Alaskans? n=600

Q7. Do you think mining is very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not at all important to Alaska's economy?

Q10. Do you...drilling in ANWR, the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge? n=600

Strongly support

40%

Somewhat support

23%

Somewhat oppose

9%

Strongly oppose

21%

Don't know

7%

SUPPORT

63%

OPPOSE

30%


Q11. Do you...drilling in the Arctic Ocean? n=600

Strongly support

33%

Somewhat support

30%

Somewhat oppose

11%

Strongly oppose

19%

Don't know

7%

SUPPORT

63%

OPPOSE

30%

Now let's talk about Pebble Mine, a proposed copper and gold mine at the headwaters of Bristol Bay in southwest Alaska.

Q12. Do you...Pebble Mine being built? n=600

Strongly support

16%

Somewhat support

17%

Somewhat oppose

14%

Strongly oppose

43%

Don't know

9%

SUPPORT

34%

OPPOSE

57%

Q13. How much risk, if any, do you think there would be to Alaska's fishing industry if Pebble Mine were built? n=600

A great deal

47%

Some

25%

Not very much

15%

None at all

7%

Don't know

6%


Q14. How much risk, if any, do you think there would be to Alaska's economy if Pebble Mine were NOT built? n=600

A great deal

14%

Some

32%

Not very much

28%

None at all

21%

Don't know

6%


Demographics Thank you for your time so far. I have just a few more questions for statistical purposes only. Q15. May I ask how old you are? n=600

18 to 24 years

6%

25 to 29 years

5%

30 to 34 years

6%

35 to 39 years

6%

40 to 44 years

7%

45 to 49 years

11%

50 to 54 years

9%

55 to 59 years

11%

60 to 64 years

13%

65 to 69 years

8%

70 to 74 years

5%

75 to 79 years

4%

80 or older

6%

Don't know/refused

3%

Q16. What is the last grade or level of school you have completed? n=600

Less than high school degree

3%

High school graduate

20%

Some college – but less than two years of college

15%

Some college – two years or more/A.A. degree

17%

Technical or trade school College graduate/bachelor's degree/B.A/.B.S. Postgraduate courses Master's degree

3% 22% 4% 10%

M.B.A. or law degree

1%

Ph.D. or M.D.

3%

Don't know/none specified

1%


Q17. Are you currently...? n=600

Employed full time

49%

Employed part time

9%

Not employed but looking for work

2%

Not employed and not looking for work

2%

Student

3%

Homemaker

4%

Retired

26%

Other

4%

Don't know/refused

1%

Q18. Do you – or does anyone in your household – work in any of the following industries? n=600

Oil

9%

Commercial fishing

7%

Sport fishing

5%

Mining

3%

None of the above

80%

Q19. Do you generally consider yourself liberal, moderate, or conservative? Please use a five point scale where 1 means you consider yourself a strong conservative and 5 means you consider yourself a strong liberal. n=600

1 – Strong conservative

30%

2

10%

3 – Moderate

31%

4 5 – Strong liberal Don't know


8% 13% 8%

Q20. Do you have children age 18 or under living with you at home? [Part-time children included as yes.] n=600

Yes

29%

No

68%

Don't know/none specified

2%

Q21. We're interested in hearing opinions from all kinds of people. So to make sure we have a representative mix, please tell me which of the following categories best represents your total household income for 2014. n=600

Less than $15,000

5%

$15,000 to less than $30,000

8%

$30,000 to less than $40,000

6%

$40,000 to less than $50,000

6%

$50,000 to less than $60,000

8%

$60,000 to less than $75,000

11%

$75,000 to less than $100,000

16%

$100,000 to less than $150,000

14%

$150,000 or more

11%

Don't know/refused

15%

Q22. Which of the following ethnic groups best describes you? You can stop me when I've read your group. n=600

White or Caucasian

75%

Alaska Native or part-Alaska Native

11%

Black or African American

2%

Latino, Hispanic, or Mexican

2%

Asian or Pacific Islander

3%

Other

4%

Don't know/refused

3%


Q23. What borough do you live in? n=600

Anchorage Municipality

37%

Matanuska-Susitna Borough OR Mat-Su

12%

Fairbanks North Star Borough

11%

Kenai Peninsula Borough

8%

Juneau City and Borough

4%

Ketchikan Gateway Borough

3%

Kodiak Island Borough

2%

Nome

2%

Aleutians East Borough

1%

Denali Borough

1%

Haines Borough

1%

North Slope Borough

1%

Northwest Arctic Borough

1%

Petersburg Borough

1%

Sitka City and Borough

1%

Skagway Municipality

1%

Dillingham

1%

Valdez-Cordova

1%

Wade Hampton

1%

Yukon-Koyukuk

1%

Lake and Peninsula Borough

0%

Wrangell City and Borough

0%

Yakutat City and Borough

0%

Bethel

0%

Hoonah-Angoon

0%

Prince of Wales-Hyder

0%

Southeast Fairbanks

0%

Bristol Bay Borough

0%

Aleutians West

0%

Unorganized Borough/do not live in a borough

0%

Other

5%

Don't know/refused

7%


Q24. Which of the following best describes the telecommunications in your household? n=600

Cell phone-only household with no landline

13%

Landline but all or most calls are made by cell phone

41%

Cell phone and landline but all, almost all or some calls are made on the landline

33%

Landline only – no cell phones at all

9%

Don't know/refused

4%

C1. Gender: n=600

Male

50%

Female

50%
