Dec 31, 2016 - CellNetix, Theraclone. Symetra Center. 777 108th Ave NE. Bellevue, WA. 5/6/16. 450,359. 1986 / 2015. $185
JJLL (NYSE: JLL) is a leading professional services firm that specializes in real estate and investment management. A Fortune 500 company, JLL helps real estate owners, occupiers and investors achieve their business ambitions. In 2016, JLL had revenue of $6.8 billion and fee revenue of $5.8 billion and, on behalf of clients, managed 4.4 billion square feet, or 409 million square meters, and completed sales acquisitions and finance transactions of approximately $136 billion. At year-end 2016, JLL had nearly 300 corporate offices, operations in over 80 countries and a global workforce of more than 77,000. As of December 31, 2016, LaSalle Investment Management has $60.1 billion of real estate under asset management. JLL is the brand name, and a registered trademark, of Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated. For further information, visit www.jll.com. JLL.com
Dear Valued Clients and Friends, As we reflect on 2016 we are pleased to have experienced another strong year across the Pacific Northwest. With the sustained strength of the economy we saw many commercial developer’s dreams and plans spring to life. As we witnessed the long anticipated pipeline of new projects begin to break ground we also watched those that were already underway climb further and further into the sky. Over the year, demand continued to outpace supply on the industrial front and we welcomed many new retailers into our storefronts and suburban malls. Housing demand has hit an all-time high, as we expect to deliver more than 10,000 new apartment units in 2017. Although our skylines have changed over the last year, our market fundamentals have not. New development, population growth, quality of life, a highly educated workforce, demand, absorption, pre-leasing activity and rising rents are all testaments to the overall attractiveness of the Pacific Northwest region from an investment standpoint. We were fortunate to complete several successful acquisitions in the past year and add several key members to our team, helping to further strengthen our position as a market leader in Seattle, Bellevue and Portland. In addition, we expanded our local Investor Services Platform with the addition of a highly regarded finance team. The launch of our new brand, Achieve Ambitions, was another evolutionary step for us and we are enjoying the very positive feedback we are receiving from across the globe. As we share our views of 2016 and turn the corner into 2017 please join us as we celebrate our 14th Annual State of the Market Event. We are honored to welcome so many familiar faces and look forward to forging strong relationships with those of you who may be joining us for the first time this year. Thank you for your continued partnerships and we look forward to a dynamic and prosperous 2017.
- Your JLL Pacific Northwest Investment Team
CAPITAL MARKETS TEAM
JLL Capital Markets team Seattle
Multifamily
Stuart Williams
David Young
Managing Director +1 206 971 7008
[email protected]
Managing Director +1 206 607 1719
[email protected]
Lori Hill
Corey Marx
Managing Director +1 206 971 7006
[email protected]
Managing Director +1 206 607 1726
[email protected]
Dawn Brandenburg
Matt Kemper
Vice President +1 206 607 1785
[email protected]
Vice President +1 206 607 1752
[email protected]
Mark Thygesen
Don Flanigan
Retail Associate +1 206 607 1737
[email protected]
Vice President +1 206 607 971 7020
[email protected]
Bellevue Ann Chamberlin Managing Director +1 425 974 4022
[email protected]
Portland
PNW Finance
Northern California Finance
Buzz Ellis
Ray Allen
John Manning
Managing Director +1 503 972 8091
[email protected]
Managing Director +1 206 607 1788
[email protected]
Managing Director +1 415 395 4953
[email protected]
Paige Morgan
Seth Heikkila
Alex Witt
Executive Vice President +1 503 972 8098
[email protected]
Senior Vice President +1 206 607 1732
[email protected]
Executive Vice President +1 415 395 4976
[email protected]
Adam Taylor
Zach Goodwin
Associate +1 503 972 8607
[email protected]
Senior Associate +1 206 607 1791
[email protected]
Drew Heitstuman Associate +1 206 971 7021
[email protected]
SEATTLE WAS RANKED THE TOP MARKET IN TERMS OF LOCAL INVESTOR DEMAND AND THE SECOND BEST MARKET FOR INVESTMENT POTENTIAL”
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
7
JLL Capital Markets group
Leverage the expertise of a global leader Devised from comprehensive research, pervasive market knowledge, ethical practice and superior professionalism, the JLL Capital Markets team is focused on the unique requirements of our investor clients. Our in-depth local market and global investor knowledge delivers best-in-class solutions for clients—whether a sale, financing, repositioning, advisory or recapitalization execution. With a diverse, unified platform of shared expertise through a single point-of-entry, we help you achieve your priority capital objectives: Investment Sales
Benefit from sales advisory services grounded in solid market analysis, sophisticated portfolio structuring support, complex valuation, thorough underwriting capabilities, reliable investor intelligence and practical marketing expertise. Real Estate Investment Banking
Gain direct, strategic access to global money centers and real estate investment banking professionals who manage debt and equity financing across all asset types and scenarios. Finance
Access an unmatched combination of expertise in finance, lease accounting, tax and transaction structuring with global access to capital that helps real estate occupiers and net lease investors make the best financial decisions to optimize transaction economics and maximize asset value. Special Asset Services
Obtain transaction execution, valuation and advisory services for non-performing and sub-performing real estate assets concerning financial institutions and special servicers.
8
JLL Finance group
Navigate capital solutions As a trusted business advisor, our Finance team helps you navigate the capital markets to obtain the best capital solutions for your particular requirements. With billions of dollars in debt and equity transaction experience and deep insights into capital flows and trends around the world, we are well-qualified to advise on creative structures and innovative solutions. Clients seeking direct access to global capital also benefit from our on-the-ground access and contacts in every money center around the world. We provide access to the lowest cost of capital on the best terms via a competitive auction process and creative structuring. Through our broad array of relationships and a proprietary database that contains hundreds of lending and equity sources—both domestic and foreign— we provide a link between our clients and opportunity, finding appropriate, prequalified groups of capital providers and investors and creating a competitive market to get the best possible pricing and deal structure. Because we don’t align with any specific capital source, we deliver objective advice and focus exclusively on your needs. Your project receives senior-level attention—the top leaders of our group are always involved on a day-today basis. Our Finance professionals devise capitalization strategies and manage debt and equity placements across all asset types. •• Acquisition and permanent financing •• Bridge and mezzanine financing •• Construction financing •• Multifamily lending platform that includes Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and HUD/GNMA •• Performing note sales •• Recapitalization strategies •• Asset advisory
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
9
SEATTLE
Seattle
Office Industrial Retail Multifamily
2016 Seattle office sales ($10M+) overview
Sales volume declines slightly in 2016, but market record for pricing is eclipsed once again More than $4.3 billion in office sales closed in 2016, nearly matching 2015’s total and far exceeding the 10-year historical average. In total, the market saw 55 transactions over $10 million, which makes 2016 the most active year for office investment sales since 2007. A new market record for pricing was achieved in the fourth quarter, when KOMO Plaza was purchased by GI Partners for $276.0 million, or $940 per square foot. This is a 72.5 percent price increase from when Hines purchased the building for $160 million just five years ago. Prior to 2016, the region had not seen an office building trade above $800 per square foot. Urban Union, a 12-story Trophy tower that delivered in Q3, went under contract in Q4 for $268.9 million, or $924 per square foot. The largest transaction of the year occurred in Q2, when GLL and Vestas Investment Management acquired Safeco Plaza for $387.0 million, or $488 per square foot. The 50-story Seattle CBD building, which was recently renovated and 68 percent occupied by the eponymous insurance company at the time of sale, previously traded for $163.5 million in mid-2005, so the current sale represents an increase in value of more than 136 percent. Overall, the most active submarkets for sales in 2016 were Lake Union, Seattle CBD and Bellevue CBD, with total volumes of $1.3 billion, $873.8 million and $595.0 million, respectively. Global interest in Seattle real estate has perhaps never been stronger. Seattle surpassed San Francisco and Washington D.C. in this year’s AFIRE Foreign Investment Survey. It is now the fourth most favored U.S. market amoung foreign commercial real estate
investors. 2016 saw three out of the five largest office transactions – Safeco Plaza, West 8th and Amazon Phase VIII – include foreign buyers. German company Deutsche Asset Management purchased West 8th for $370.0 million, or $716 per square foot. Mirae Asset Global Investments, a South Korean-based group, along with Metzler, acquired Amazon Phase VIII for $246.8 million, or $777 per square foot. According to ULI and PwC’s Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2017 report, Seattle was ranked the top market in terms of local investor demand and the second best market for investment potential. The fourth quarter was by far the most active quarter in 2016, with more than $1.7 billion in office assets trading, comprising 39.8 percent of the total sales volume. This was partially due to the largest local portfolio sale of the year. Blackstone acquired the Laguna Office Complex, Daytona Office Campus and the 5th & Bell Buildings for $300.0 million. The properties within that portfolio, along with Civica Office Commons and KOMO Plaza, traded for $766.0 million, positioning Hines as the most active seller in 2016. Though the total volume didn’t quite reach 2015’s total of $4.5 billion, the average price per square foot was up 18.7 percent yearover-year, and 48.5 percent greater than the 10-year average. Market conditions will continue to favor landlords in 2017, as they remain in position to hold properties and collect steadily increasing rents or capitalize on pricing that has hit an all-time high in the market.
2016 THE MOST ACTIVE YEAR FOR OFFICE INVESTMENT SALES SINCE 2007
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
15
Seattle office leasing
New inventory is disappearing quickly, as flight to quality trend intensifies among tech tenants Ten office buildings were delivered in the Seattle-Bellevue region in 2016, adding 2.3 million square feet of Class A inventory to the market. 97.8 percent of the space was leased at the time of completion. 5.9 million square feet of product is currently under construction, with 4.6 million square feet scheduled to deliver in 2017, 51.2 percent of which has been accounted for. This would make 2017 the most active year for deliveries since 2000. According to Rider Levett
THE TECH INDUSTRY ACCOUNTED FOR MORE THAN 60 PERCENT OF ALL OFFICE LEASING IN THE YEAR Bucknall’s North American Crane Index, Seattle’s skyline leads the nation for most construction cranes in the central business district. Nearly 50 percent of all cranes currently in use in North America are in Seattle, Chicago and Toronto. Average asking rents for new construction space in Puget Sound are being marketed at $48.40 per square foot, representing a 17.1 percent premium over existing Class A space. Six of the 10 largest leases signed in 2016 involved new construction buildings, all of which were executed by tech tenants, including Google at Lakefront Blocks, Facebook at Arbor Blocks and Valve at 400 Lincoln Square. The 10 largest leases signed were all executed by tech tenants. All told, the tech industry accounted for more than 60 percent of all office leasing in the year. For the last five years, the sector has been responsible for approximately 45 percent of leasing annually. Office space can be a key differentiator for companies competing fiercely for local talent, and tech tenants are willing to pay the premium for new, creative space. Average asking rates in the market increased 2.7 percent year-over-year to $34.90 per square foot, full service. While this is slightly above the national average, it is less than half the average cost of space being marketed in San Francisco. Class A asking rents stand at $41.33, a 6.0 percent increase year-over-year. At 5.3 percentage points below the national average, Seattle-Bellevue is the fourth
16
tightest market in the country, with a single-digit vacancy rate of 9.2 percent. Only Nashville, Salt Lake City and San Francisco currently have lower vacancy percentages. For the fourth consecutive year the market experienced more than 2.0 million square feet of positive net absorption, as nearly 2.5 million square feet of space was taken down in 2016. This impressive run should continue in 2017, as tenants take occupancy in several impending Class A deliveries. While the majority of recent leasing activity has taken place in the Lake Union and Seattle CBD submarkets, Pioneer Square/Waterfront and Bellevue CBD are also experiencing a lot of attention. Weyerhaeuser, an agricultural manufacturer that is the seventh-largest company in the state by revenue, relocated its headquarters to an 180,000 square foot build-to-suit development in Pioneer Square, becoming a new anchor tenant in the neighborhood. 450 Alaskan and Hawk Tower are other significant projects in the submarket set to deliver in the next 12-18 months, with 59.8 percent of their combined space preleased. The Bellevue CBD is gaining two Trophy towers; Centre 425 was completed in the fourth quarter of 2016 and is fully leased by a single-user tech tenant, and 400 Lincoln Square is 71.7 percent leased and expected to deliver in early 2017. The flight to quality trend in the market has intensified and buildings are expected to continue delivering with limited available space. Tech employment in the region has grown by 77.7 percent since 2001, the fourth highest growth rate in the country. Bloomberg’s 2016 U.S. Innovation Index ranked Washington as having the third most innovative economy for the second consecutive year, behind only Massachusetts and California. This was largely due to the state’s placement as number one in STEM concentration and number two in total science and engineering degree holders. Seattle-Bellevue, offering the second highest concentration of highly-educated millennials in the country and a relatively low cost of living, was also named a top-five city for business and careers. According to American City Business Journals, Seattle-Bellevue will become the 14th largest metro area by 2040 due to a population increase of 38 percent. Seattle remains one of the most desirable markets for millennials to live, and will continue to be a place that tech companies establish and expand their presence.
Seattle office sales & statistics
Office market statistics Submarket
Size (RSF)
Vacancy
Avg. Rental Rate
Net Absorption RSF
Downtown Seattle
51,796,834
7.6%
$38.01
1,858,364
Eastside
26,452,255
9.2%
$38.07
600,900
Northend
7,634,787
10.7%
$28.70
198,124
Southend
8,645,775
16.9%
$25.69
-181,328
2016 Total Market
94,529,651
9.2%
$34.90
2,476,060
2015 Total Market
91,830,292
10.2%
$33.98
2,461,440
Sales matrix (over $10 million) 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Number of Sales
119
19
6
15
25
38
39
40
48
54
Price/SF Highest
$531
$425
$397
$548
$557
$642
$745
$755
$792
$940
CAP Rate Average
5.2%
6.2%
9.5%
7.2%
6.8%
5.5%
6.1%
6.2%
6.0%
6.2%
Sales Volume
$9.6B
$0.4B
$0.4B
$1.2B
$1.7B
$4.9B
$2.8B
$1.8B
$4.5B
$4.4B
Office market statistics include Class A and B office buildings over 30,000 sf, excluding owner-occupied, medical, and government-owned buildings.
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
17
Seattle office sales ($10M+) Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
Safeco Plaza
7/14/16
793,679
$387,000,000
5.10%
1001 4th Ave Seattle, WA
West 8th
$488 1969 / 2014-2015 2/24/16
2001 8th Ave Seattle, WA KOMO Plaza
12/20/16
7/8/16
325 9th Ave N Seattle, WA Amazon Phase VII
11/17/16
6/29/16
901 5th Ave Seattle, WA One Twelfth @ Twelfth
12/13/16
1100-1120 112th Ave NE Bellevue, WA
Civica Office Commons 205-225 108th Ave NE Bellevue, WA
18
•
98% leased at time of sale
•
68% occupied by Safeco
•
98% leased at time of sale
•
62% occupied by Amazon
•
90% leased at time of sale
•
100% leased to Amazon for 16 years
•
100% leased to Amazon for 16 years
Schnitzer West / Investcorp
•
90% leased at time of sale
Deutsche Asset Management
•
Major tenants: Cray, Milliman, PitchBook
Gemini Rosemont
•
98% leased at time of sale
Principal
•
Three property portfolio sale
•
Properties were previously acquired for $136.4M in July 2004
AEW / Unico
•
97% leased at time of sale
Hines
•
Two building portfolio sale
•
Previously acquired for $205.1M in February 2015
CalPERS / CommonWealth Partners
516,985
$370,000,000
2009
$716
4.20%
Deutsche Asset Management
293,727
$276,000,000
2000
$940
317,804
$246,800,000
2015
$777
5.50%
GI Partners Hines
4.35%
Metzler / Mirae Asset Global Investments Vulcan
400 9th Ave N Seattle, WA 901 Fifth
GLL Real Estate Partners / Vestas Investment Management
Comments
AEW
100-140 4th Ave N Seattle, WA Amazon Phase VIII
Buyer Seller
11/14/16
317,189
$244,000,000
2015
$769
540,589
$223,300,000
1973 / 20142015
$413
480,389
$217,000,000
2001
$452
305,835
$193,000,000
2001
$631
4.60%
Tristar Capital / RFR Realty Vulcan
4.92%
5.90%
6.20%
Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
1st Hill Medical Pavilion
1/14/16
227,628
$192,341,000
5.28%
1976 / 2015
$845
1124 Columbia St Seattle, WA
Symetra Center
5/6/16
777 108th Ave NE Bellevue, WA Hill7
10/7/16
3/31/16
2/10/16
223 Yale Ave N Seattle, WA WestPark 8620-8672 154th Ave NE Redmond, WA
$411
6.60%
Heitman / NexCore Group
•
Medical office building
Trammell Crow / Washington Capital Management
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Major tenants: Swedish Health Services, CellNetix, Theraclone
Sterling Realty Organization
•
89% leased at time of sale
285,680
$179,822,000
2015
$629
4.50%
•
80% leased at time of sale
•
Major tenants: Redfin, HBO
•
Complex includes a 222-room Hilton Garden Inn, which was not included in this transaction
M-M Properties
•
98% leased at time of sale
Beacon Capital Partners
•
Three building portfolio sale
MetLife
•
85% leased at time of sale
KBS Realty Advisors
•
82% leased at time of sale
Bentall Kennedy
•
21 property portfolio sale includes office, industrial and flex product
Hudson Pacific Properties / CPPIB Touchstone / Principal
3120-3180 139th Ave SE Bellevue, WA Alley 24
$185,000,000
Comments
Walton Street Capital
1099 Stewart St Seattle, WA
Sunset North
450,359 1986 / 2015
Buyer Seller
5/10/16
464,062
$155,193,000
1999-2000
$334
215,402
$129,400,000
2006
$601
778,472
$128,000,000
1975-1992
$164
6.60%
5.00%
Vulcan 6.10%
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
19
Seattle office sales ($10M+) Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
11/11/16
465,000
$109,991,000
1998
$527
Cap Rate
Buyer Seller
Comments
Portfolio Sale Laguna Office Complex 15011 NE 36th St Redmond, WA
Daytona Office Campus
11/11/16
14850 NE 31st Cir Redmond, WA
5th & Bell Building
11/11/16
2301 5th Ave Seattle, WA
110 Atrium
11/16/16
110 110th Ave NE Bellevue, WA Lincoln Executive Center
15325-15395 SE 30th Pl Bellevue, WA
20
$94,000,000
2002
$444
197,136
$92,959,000
2002
$472
243,381
$81,500,000
981
$335
6.30%
•
100% leased at time of sale
Hines
•
Property includes 6 buildings
•
Part of a 20-property portfolio sale including Daytona Office Campus in Redmond and 5th & Bell Building in Seattle
•
Major tenants: Microsoft, Honeywell
Blackstone
•
100% leased at time of sale
Hines
•
Property includes 3 buildings
•
Part of a 20-property portfolio sale including Laguna Office Complex in Redmond and 5th & Bell Building in Seattle
•
Major tenant: Microsoft
Blackstone
•
100% leased at time of sale
HInes
•
Part of a 20-property portfolio sale including Daytona Office Campus and Laguna Office Complex in Redmond
•
Major tenant: Amazon
•
87% leased at time of sale
•
97% leased at time of sale
•
Five building portfolio sale
Kennedy Wilson
•
Four building portfolio sale
Beacon Capital Partners
•
92% leased at time of sale - Building 1 was 95% leased - Building 2 was 100% leased - Building 3 was 94% leased - Building 4 was 86% leased
Lionstone Investments / Talon Walton Street Capital
10/6/16
3245-3380 146th Pl SE, 14432 SE Eastgate Way Bellevue, WA Eastgate Office Park
251,000
Blackstone
292,150
$80,500,000
1984-1986
$276
7.60%
Urban Renaissance Group / Miller Global Properties Beacon Capital Partners
4/13/16
295,413
$74,725,000
1985
$253
6.90%
Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
Time Square
12/14/16
324,287
$54,500,000
9.60%
1984-1986 / 2004
$168
198,508
$42,050,000
1985
$216
500-800 SW 39th St Renton, WA Alderwood Business Center
12/31/16
3400-3500 188th St SW Lynnwood, WA 101 Elliott Building
2/10/16
3/31/16
11011 Meridian Ave N Seattle, WA Redmond Woods
6/21/16
5000-5020 148th Ave NE Redmond, WA The Offices at Riverpark
3/16/16
15809 Bear Creek Pky NE Redmond, WA Bay Vista Office Tower
7/21/16
2801-2815 2nd Ave Seattle, WA George F. Russell Jr. Hall
18300 Redmond Way Redmond, WA
•
95% leased at time of sale
•
Five building portfolio sale
•
91% leased at time of sale
•
Two property portfolio sale
•
93% leased at time of sale
•
Medical office building
Hayman Properties
•
100% leased at time of sale
Clarion Partners
•
Three building portfolio sale
Colony Realty Partners
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
91% leased at time of sale
Meriwether Partners
•
100% leased at time of sale
Unico
•
Property consists of 44,000 sf of office space, street-level retail and two floors of apartment units
Ascentis Real Estate Partners
•
92% leased at time of sale
•
34% occupied by Pushpay
•
Previously acquired for $15.9M in June 2012
LBA Realty 7.93%
Alaska Electrical Pension Fund
101,738
$40,400,000
1986 / 2008
$397
69,700
$38,300,000
2006
$550
145,221
$36,985,000
1982
$255
106,281
$36,900,000
2008
$347
119,701
$33,645,000
1982
$281
5.50%
Credit Suisse SteelWave
5.50%
Healthcare Realty Trust First Western Development
7.30%
7.80%
JMA Ventures 5.00%
Madison Marquette / Saradar Carlyle Group
9/29/16
1414 NE 42nd St Seattle, WA Redmond Technology Center
Greenbridge Investment Partners
Comments
Embarcadero Capital Partners
101 Elliott Ave W Seattle, WA Meridian Medical Center
Buyer Seller
5/24/16
62,500
$30,685,000
2009
$491
100,978
$30,250,000
2008
$300
6.00%
6.51%
Menlo Equities
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
21
Seattle office sales ($10M+) Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
1411 Fourth
4/21/16
123,430
$29,725,000
4.50%
1929 / 2008
$241
89,850
$29,075,000
1985
$324
218,585
$26,500,000
1984
$121
1411 4th Ave Seattle, WA One Newport
1/22/16
3605 132nd Ave SE Bellevue, WA Creeksides at Centerpoint
1/13/16
20415-20435 72nd Ave S Kent, WA Quadrant Willows - Building C and E
3/3/16
1121-11241 Willows Rd NE Redmond, WA Broadacres Building
10/14/16
1601-1611 2nd Ave Seattle, WA Taylor Edwards Building
10/19/16
1518 1st Ave S Seattle, WA Springbrook Business Park
12/16/16
7611 -7825 S 180th St Kent, WA Weyerhaeuser Campus
2/9/16
33663 Weyerhaeuser Way S Federal Way, WA
Riverview Plaza 16000-16040 Christensen Rd Tukwila, WA
22
9/16/16
130,961
$25,650,000
1998-2000 / 2007
$197
123,108
$25,400,000
1907
$206
69,248
$25,000,000
1918 / 1998
$361
185,022
$23,500,000
1982-1985
$127
343,535
$22,762,000
1971
$66
171,260
$22,150,000
1981
$129
Buyer Seller Onni Group
Comments
•
87% leased at time of sale
AAA Washington
•
100% leased at time of sale
Ivanhoe Cambridge
•
Owner-user purchase
Menashe Properties
•
90% leased at time of sale
Unico
•
Three building portfolio sale
Equus Capital Partners
•
Two building portfolio sale
SteelWave
•
Building C was 76% leased at time of sale
•
Building E was 88% leased at time of sale
•
69% leased at time of sale
WSA Properties
•
100% leased at time of sale
Henbart
•
Sale included a vacant lot
Stockbridge
•
93% leased at time of sale
Metzler
•
Four building portfolio sale
Industrial Realty Group
•
Part of portfolio sale (Office + R&D Building)
Weyerhaeuser Company
•
IRG plans to redevelop and lease or sell parts of the property for office or industrial use
Talon
•
94% leased at time of sale
Broadreach Capital Partners
•
Three building portfolio sale
Mack Real Estate Group N/A
7.00%
7.25%
3.50%
LBA Realty Principal
N/A
6.39%
N/A
8.86%
Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
Valley Medical Center
4/29/16
46,600
$21,600,000
5.90%
1983
$464
202,544
$21,100,000
1987
$104
3915 Talbot Rd S Renton, WA Sammamish Park Place Building A & B
5/2/16
N/A
22011 SE 51st St Issaquah, WA Delta Dental Building
11/16/16
9706 4th Ave NE Seattle, WA Watermark Tower
9/16/16
7/21/16
7/8/16
1813 Westlake Ave N Seattle, WA Gateway Two
1/11/16
5/18/16
550 4th Ave S Seattle, WA Delphi Building 3633 136th Pl SE Bellevue, WA
Healthcare Realty Trust
•
Medical office building
Valley Medical Center
•
100% leased at time of sale
Onward Investors
•
Two building portfolio sale
Midland RE Services / PNC Bank
•
Both buildings were 0% leased at time of sale
•
REO sale
•
97% occupied with Delta Dental vacating its space in mid-2017
•
Included a 6-story garage with 308 stalls
Martin Smith
•
96% leased at time of sale
Razore Enterprise
•
Sale included the commercial portion only (7 stories), the condominiums (15 stories) were not part of the offering
Nicola Crosby
•
100% leased at time of sale
Cypress Wealth Advisors
•
University of Washington occupies approximately 2/3 of the building
CBRE Global Investors (Allstate)
•
100% leased to Tribune Broadcasting Company
•
50% leased at time of sale
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
100% leased at time of sale
Salal Credit Union Washington Dental Service
71,150
$20,250,000
1983
$295
72,000
$19,900,000
1981 / 1995
$276
65,222
$19,500,000
1952
$299
7.15%
7.00%
6.30%
Tribune Media Company
915 118th Ave SE Bellevue, WA 1550 Building
5.80%
Comments
$225
1107 NE 45th St Seattle, WA Q-13 Building
$20,275,000
1987 / 2002
1109 1st Ave Seattle, WA University District Building
87,552
Buyer Seller
7/15/16
68,776
$18,280,000
1988
$266
51,550
$18,000,000
1974 / 2005
$349
69,980
$17,400,000
1981
$249
4.60%
Swift Real Estate Partners Walton Street Capital
6.35%
Spire General Partner US Bruce Raskin
7.28%
Swift Real Estate Partners Sun Life Assurance Company
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
23
Seattle office sales ($10M+) Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
Quadrant I-5 Corporate Park - Building A
6/30/16
74,974
$14,200,000
7.50%
1998
$253
62,677
$13,411,000
1980
$214
82,537
$12,800,000
1990
$155
35,200
$12,600,000
1999
$358
37,480
$12,089,000
2014
$323
24,497
$10,800,000
1991
$441
64,382
$10,700,000
1989-2001
$166
19,283
$10,400,000
1989
$539
66,376
$10,250,000
1983
$154
728 134th St SW Everett, WA 10700 Building (Bellevue Community College)
9/15/16
N/A
Buyer Seller
Comments
Shelby Company
•
89% leased at time of sale
Washington Capital Management
•
Off-market transaction
Robert Rothe
•
38% leased at time of sale
•
95% leased at time of sale
•
100% leased at time of sale
Ling Long / Chris Wang
•
Medical office building
Donovan Brothers Commercial Construction
•
95% leased at time of sale
Aegis Living
•
100% leased at time of sale
Macadam Forbes
•
1031 exchange
Matthew Eldridge
•
90% leased at time of sale
Michael Kinney
•
100% leased at time of sale
Puget Sound Center for Veterinary Medicine
•
Seller was the anchor tenant and a 14-year sale leaseback was completed
Onward Investors
•
0% leased at time of sale
AAA Washington
•
1031 exchange
Walton Street Capital
10700 Northup Way Bellevue, WA Fairway Center
6/16/16
14220 Interurban Ave S Tukwila, WA 15 Lake Bellevue
3/29/16
15 Lake Bellevue Dr Bellevue, WA Franciscan Medical Pavilion
5/12/16
7.00%
Schuster Group 6.40%
6/22/16
415 118th Ave SE Bellevue, WA Puyallup Executive Park
3/9/16
929-1011 E Main Ave Puyallup, WA Seattle Veterinary Specialists
3/4/16
5.88%
5.80%
6.75%
Steven Brown 6.33%
11814 115th Ave NE Kirkland, WA Koll Bellefield 1745 114th Ave SE Bellevue, WA
24
6/24/16
Costacos Family LP Taylor Development
205 10th St SE Auburn, WA David Evans & Associates
Shelby Company
N/A
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
25
Seattle
Office Industrial Retail Multifamily
Seattle industrial sales ($10M+) overview
Sales volume increases, surpassing $1.2 billion in 2016 Industrial market fundamentals continue to adapt to rapidly improving economic conditions throughout the region. Reduced vacancy rates combined with high job and population growth are contributing to the current market situation, where developers are initiating projects at record levels. The Ports of Seattle and Tacoma have remained strong economic drivers, strengthening imports and exports in the region and helping to drive the local industrial market primarily in the Aerospace, Food/Beverage and Logistics industries. The Puget Sound area continues to be one of the top markets in the nation and industrial properties are attracting investors as well as retailers, e-commerce and food and beverage companies seeking to expand their real estate footprint. There continues to be a lack of available inventory and limited new product to satiate the demand in the market. A flurry of industrial sales closed in 2016 as institutional investors took notice of the region’s strengthening market fundamentals. 33 transactions over $10 million closed during the year, totaling nearly 9.0 million square feet and $1.2 billion, representing a 9.0 percent increase in volume compared to 2015. More than half of the transactions were portfolio sales of more than two properties, with cap rates ranging from 4.0 percent to 7.0 percent, and nearly 80 percent of the deals occurred in the Southend. Furthermore, average pricing on a per-square-foot basis increased 30 percent year-over-year to $144, and cap rates declined 20 basis points to an average of 5.5 percent. The cap rate compression in the market has been significant, as it’s currently 370 basis points below the high of 9.2 percent in 2009. There were three deals that exceeded $100 million in 2016. Two of which occurred in the fourth quarter. Prologis purchased Unified Grocers Site in Seattle from Sabey Corporation.
The eight property portfolio totaling 1.0 million square feet, traded for $136.0 million, or $133 per square foot. Clarion Partners purchased Cornerstone’s portfolio of approximately 980,000 square feet in Tukwila and Kent for $143 per square foot at an incredibly low 3.8 percent cap rate. Several other buyers including KBS Realty Advisors, LBA Realty, BKM Capital Partners, and Industrial Property Trust participated in transactions in the market that led to solid investment activity in 2016. Though quality product is becoming increasingly limited, transaction volume and activity in the SeattleBellevue region continues to be strong. Puget Sound remained a top-10 market nationally for institutional grade investments, according to PWC and ULI’s recently released Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2017 report. In the West Coast, Seattle was ranked second in terms of investment prospects for the industrial sector, behind only Portland. Institutional investors have clearly taken notice of the strong market fundamentals over the last three years and have been aggressive in acquiring both existing product, typically through unsolicited offers, as well as land in order to develop new product in the near-mid-term. Given strong demand from users along diminishing available space and increasing rental rates, some owners are looking at taking advantage of current market conditions and are evaluating selling their property at relatively high prices. With the local economy continuing to strengthen, the outlook for the Puget Sound industrial market is positive. Moving into 2017, we expect the industrial market to continue to perform well, both in terms of demand from tenants and interest from institutional investors.
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
29
Seattle industrial leasing
Year-end activity signaling continued growth in 2017 2016 marked another strong year for leasing activity in the Puget Sound industrial market. Vacancy in the region dropped 90 basis points year-over-year to its current rate of 2.7 percent, down 550 basis points since 2010. Every cluster in the region has seen vacancy drop in the last 12 months, with rates ranging from 4.3 percent in Pierce County down to 1.5 percent in the Seattle cluster. Though 2.8 million square feet of speculative development is underway,
THE DEMAND FOR INDUSTRIAL SPACE IS SIGNIFICANTLY OUTPACING THE INCREASE IN INVENTORY and more is planned to start, the demand for industrial space is significantly outpacing the increase in inventory, with about 16.0 million square feet of active tenant requirements in the market. The growth in tenant demand and the market’s limited inventory will continue to compress vacancies and availabilities in the region. The pace of absorption and leasing activity in the Puget Sound industrial market remained strong throughout 2016. More than 6.4 million square feet of space was absorbed, the highest total since 2007, and a 3.0 percent increase over 2015. This activity was focused predominantly in the Kent Valley and Pierce County clusters, which recorded 2.4 million square feet and 2.5 million square feet of total absorption, respectively. Tenant demand, from both small and large users, has contributed to robust net absorption totals. There are currently more than 50 companies in the market seeking space options larger than 100,000 square feet and nearly 100 tenants
30
seeking less than 100,000 square feet. With limited available product and continued strong absorption each quarter, landlords are comfortable posting high asking rates, leaving tenants with limited options such as early renewals, and accepting smaller free rent and tenant improvement allowance packages. More than 4.4 million square feet of new product was added to the market in 2016. With limited supply of available quality space in the region, newly-delivered product is being leased and absorbed at a strong pace. There were a total of 26 leases signed in 2016 that exceeded 100,000 square feet. All but three of these major leases took place in the Southend, where the demand and shortage of supply is notably high. The largest transaction of 2016 was Serta Simmons’ lease of 272,834 square feet at IAC Port 167 in Puyallup/Sumner submarket. Other notable transactions include Stryder Logistics’s 249,269 square foot lease at Prologis Park Kent, Amerisource’s 229,918 square foot lease at Des Moines Creek Business Park, and Regal Logistics’ 225,972 square foot lease at LogistiCenter at 167 in Fife. Given continued demand for space, coupled with the scarcity of quality available options, it is likely that absorption will remain positive and vacancy rates remain tight in the coming quarters. Even with limited land available in the region, developers are continuing to capitalize on the Seattle market. The largest current project is Prologis’ 770,195 square foot project in the Port of Tacoma/Fife submarket. Given the escalating land prices, rising construction costs, and shortage of big-box space, the majority of developments have been projects over 100,000 square foot. Construction activity is expected to ramp up as there are additional 7 million square feet of planned and proposed projects that sit in the pipeline slated for 2017-2018.
Seattle industrial sales & statistics
Industrial market statistics
Submarket
Size (RSF)
Vacancy
Avg. Rental Rate
Net Absorption RSF
Seattle
47,085,219
1.5%
$1.06
60,327
Kent Valley
110,980,828
1.9%
$0.69
2,457,690
Pierce County
62,923,038
4.3%
$0.58
2,530,579
Eastside
32,199,277
3.6%
$1.18
782,926
Northend
28,551,474
3.1%
$0.79
575,895
2016 Total Market
281,739,836
2.7%
$0.79
6,407,417
2015 Total Market
277,314,316
3.6%
$0.71
6,209,388
Industrial market statistics include industrial and flex inventory over 10,000 sf, single-tenant, multi-tenant and owner-occupied.
Sales matrix (over $10 million) 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
14
35
19
9
11
14
20
25
24
26
33
Price/SF Highest (ind)
$140
$164
$151
$100
$115
$187
$125
$288
$198
$194
$312
CAP Rate Average
6.8%
5.9%
6.6%
9.2%
7.4%
7.2%
6.5%
6.3%
6.4%
5.7%
5.5%
Price/SF Highest (flex)
$206
$237
$199
$207
$156
$257
$180
$190
$122
$171
$229
$0.6B
$0.7B
$0.4B
$0.2B
$0.2B
$0.3B
$0.7B
$0.8B
$0.4B
$1.1B
$1.2B
Number of Sales
Sales Volume
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
31
Port of Seattle and Port of Tacoma historical total TEU’s
2016 TEU container volume
Seattle*
Tacoma*
* In 2014 Port of Seattle and Port of Tacoma began combining their statistics
4,500,000 4,000,000 3,500,000
Total TEU’s
3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0
2008
2009
2010
2012
2011
2013
2014*
2015
2016
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Seattle
1,973,504
1,704,492
1,584,596
2,153,685
2,049,733
1,885,680
1,592,753
*
*
*
Tacoma
1,924,929
1,861,358
1,545,853
1,412,869
1,443,550
1,678,778
1,863,408
*
*
*
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
3,393,522
3,529,441
3,615,752
Total TEU’s
32
2007
Seattle industrial sales ($10M+) Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
Boeing Field Site
11/30/16
1,029,011
$136,000,000
5.10%
952
$132
930,433
$132,697,000
1987-1990
$143
778,472
$128,000,000
1975-1992
$170
371,163
$78,000,000
1986
$210
547,892
$68,000,000
2015
$124
3301 S Norfolk St Seattle, WA Southcenter S Industrial Park / Green River Corporate Park
12/21/16
3.80%
Buyer Seller
Comments
Prologis
•
100% leased at time of sale
Sabey Corporation
•
Eight property portfolio sale including two office & six industrial buildings
Clarion Partners
•
100% leased at time of sale
Cornerstone Real Estate Advisers
•
11 property portfolio sale
KBS Realty Advisors
•
82% leased at time of sale
Bentall Kennedy
•
21 property portfolio sale includes Office, Industrial and Flex product
BECU
•
87% leased at time of sale
RREEF America
•
Eight property portfolio sale
LaSalle Investment Management
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Three property portfolio sale
LBA Realty
•
100% leased at time of sale
LaSalle Investment Management
•
Two property portfolio sale
Industrial Realty Group
•
Sale represents Industrial/Flex portion of two property portfolio sale
BKM Capital Partners
•
88% leased at time of sale
Global Logistic Properties
•
27 property portfolio sale
Blackstone
•
100% leased at time of sale
LBA Realty
•
Sales represent allocated sales price
•
Part of 49 property bulk sale
18201-18289 Olympic Ave S Kent, WA WestPark
5/10/16
8620-8672 154th Ave NE Redmond, WA Gateway Corporate Center
12/21/16
12671-12687 Gateway Dr Tukwila, WA Des Moines Creek Business Park Phase I
12/15/16
6.10%
4.57%
4.27%
2231 S 208th St Des Moines, WA Apollo / Titan Building
Panattoni 6/14/16
1801 132nd Ave E Sumner, WA Weyerhaeuser Campus
2/9/16
32901 32nd Ave S Federal Way, WA Tukwila Commerce Center
8/8/16
1001-1099 Industry Dr Tukwila, WA Springbrook 188 Distribution Center - Building 1 7811-7915 S 188th St Kent, WA
11/18/16
428,109
$48,050,000
2014
$112
461,673
$47,738,000
1981
$103
475,517
$45,200,000
1976
$95
365,040
$40,302,000
1965
$110
4.50%
N/A
Weyerhaeuser Company 5.70%
5.20%
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
33
Seattle industrial sales ($10M+) Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
711 E 11th St
11/30/16
60,000
$32,376,000
N/A
1983
$540
184,260
$32,200,000
2008
$175
145,069
$32,000,000
1941
$221
711 E 11th St Tacoma, WA Westview 522
4/6/16
6525 240th St SE Woodinville, WA 1900-1938 Occidental Ave S
9/21/16
1900-1938 Occidental Ave S Seattle, WA Kent Industrial Portfolio
3/30/16
18405 72nd Ave S Kent, WA Ranch Associates Buildings
8/31/16
22828 68th Ave S Kent, WA Totem Lake Commerce Center
6/23/16
266,000
$31,602,000
1975-1987
$119
250,000
$30,000,000
1968
$115
171,841
$28,012,000
1996
$163
195,800
$27,000,000
1975
$138
102,714
$26,500,000
1978
$258
6.00%
N/A
4.90%
5.00%
Buyer Seller
Comments
Industrial Property Trust
•
Industrial building was unused by seller
Interfor
•
Sale includes 10K SF of office - 0% leased at time of sale
•
Sale was based on land value
Pine Forest Properties
•
100% leased at time of sale
Onward Investors
•
Portfolio sale include 4.96 acre pad site available for future development
WSA Properties
•
100% leased at time of sale
Apollonia Kwan
•
Two property porfolio sale
•
Buyer intends to build a basketball arena
Industrial Property Trust
•
100% leased at time of sale
Prologis
•
Three building portfolio sale
Puget Sound Energy
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
100% leased at time of sale
RREEF America
•
100% leased at time of sale
Int’l Airport Centers
•
Six property portfolio sale
Bellevue School District No. 405
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Prior owner/occupant closed plant upon sale
•
Purchased for use as future elementary school
Bixby Land Company
•
100% leased at time of sale
MetLife / Panattoni
•
All cash deal
Hill Raaum Pietromonaco 5.85%
NWB Totem Lake LLC Benaroya Company
12521 128th Ln NE Kirkland, WA Sea King Industrial Park
9/22/16
9100 15th Pl S Seattle, WA Former Safeway Bakery Building
11/15/16
4.80%
N/A
2100 120th Ave NE Bellevue, WA The Steele Building 1565 Fryar Ave Sumner, WA
34
Safeway 6/30/16
206,463
$24,000,000
2015
$116
4.40%
Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
East Valley Distribution Center
9/22/16
228,300
$23,900,000
4.95%
1988
$105
185,092
$23,200,000
1985
$125
Buyer Seller
Comments
RREEF America
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Four property portfolio sale
Industrial Property Trust
•
100% leased at time of sale
Beaverbrook Enterprises
•
Three building portfolio sale
CenterPoint Properties
•
100% leased at time of sale
Shelby Company
•
Sale included acquisition of a 1.4 AC parcel on Auburn Way N for $2.5M that will be paved and fenced for additional parking for the tenant FedEx
Wakefield Properties
•
100% leased at time of sale
Deutsche Asset Management
•
Five building portfolio sale
BKM Capital Partners
•
83% occupied at time of sale
ScanlanKemperBard Companies
•
10 property portfolio sale
Blackstone
•
100% leased at time of sale
LBA Realty
•
Sales represents allocated sale price
•
Part of 102 property bulk sale
Int’l Airport Centers
20401-20421 84th Ave S Kent, WA Springbrook Business Park
12/16/16
7611-7691 S 180th St Kent, WA Opus Park 167
Stockbridge Capital Group Metzler
4/15/16
1604 15th St SW Auburn, WA Emerald Corporate Park Building E
6.88%
2/19/16
170,815
$22,000,000
2003-2005
$129
152,155
$21,900,000
2000
$144
126,545
$20,400,000
1985
$161
171,723
$19,800,000
1972
$115
217,700
$17,981,000
2008
$83
5.80%
7.00%
3700-3702 C St NE Auburn, WA Redmond Heights Tech Center
5/26/16
6.70%
4603-14833 NE 87th St Redmond, WA Andover Executive Park
10/25/16
698-722 Industry Dr Tukwila, WA Everett Commerce Center
11/18/16
6617 Associates Blvd Everett, WA Quadrant Parkside Office Park
11/18/16
77,629
$17,800,000
1988-1989
$229
6.40%
10.00%
8.25%
18939 120th Ave NE Bothell, WA Span Alaska Transporation 3815 W Valley Hwy N Auburn, WA
3/21/16
51,250
$16,000,000
2007
$312
5.75%
Hill Family III LLC
•
94% leased at time of sale
Embarcadero Capital Partners
•
Three property portfolio sale
•
Buyer simultaneously sold a fourth building in the complex to a church
Realterm Global
•
100% leased at time of sale
Span-Alaska Transportation
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
35
Seattle industrial sales ($10M+) Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
Riverfront Business Park
2/12/16
137,916
$15,450,000
7.30%
1990
$94
16110-16140 Woodinville Redmond Rd NE Woodinville, WA Kirkland 118
3/10/16
10/7/16
11323 30th Ave W Everett, WA Kent 212 Building
10/19/16
21235-21255 76th Ave S Kent, WA Red Dot Building
5/27/16
745 Andover Park E Tukwila, WA Sumner West
10/18/16
2719 W Valley Hwy E Sumner, WA Kirkland Business Center
5/23/16
11803 NE 116th St Kirkland, WA Owl Transfer Building
6/14/16
3623 6th Ave S Seattle, WA Tri-Land Industrial Park Dania Building 1251 Andover Park W Tukwila, WA
36
Harsch Investment Properties
Comments
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Four property portfolio sale
Par 5 Park 118 LLC
•
100% leased at time of sale
Expert Drywall
•
Two building portfolio sale
Vaupell Industrial Plastics
•
85% leased at time of sale
Puget Sound Properties
•
Owner/user sale
Bule Origins
•
100% leased at time of sale
John & Cynthia Baumann
•
Owner/user sale; buyer to occupy
•
Buyer intends to occupy the building
•
100% leased at time of sale
John Larsen
•
0% leased at time of sale
Columbia Pacific
•
Owner/user sale; buyer to occupy
Razone Enterprise
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
99% leased at time of sale
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Owner/user sale; buyer was the tenant
Western America Equities
11730 118th Ave NE Kirkland, WA Airport Business Center
Buyer Seller
2/26/16
77,072
$13,916,000
1998
$181
150,046
$12,550,000
1986
$84
126,656
$12,412,000
1974
$98
113,980
$12,300,000
1974
$108
117,870
$12,120,000
2016
$103
109,180
$11,150,000
1962
$102
73,335
$10,600,000
1961
$145
100,036
$10,000,000
1977
$100
6.05%
6.70%
N/A
5.20%
LBA Realty Red Dot Corporation
N/A
6.00%
TA Realty 5.36%
John & Diane Ching American Life
N/A
Interline International / Scandinavian Design Tri-Land Corporation
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
37
Seattle
Office Industrial Retail Multifamily
2016 Seattle retail sales ($10M+) overview
Sales volume continues to decline, but a new record for pricing is achieved 2016 was another highly active year for retail investment sales throughout the Seattle region with 22 transactions over $10 million. Much like 2015, the flurry of activity didn’t translate to higher sales volume, with only $548.9 million in assets trading hands, a drop of 15.0 percent year-over-year and the lowest level since 2011. Investors are transferring their focus to periphery markets, as approximately 75 percent of all transactions and 64 percent of total sales volume for 2016 came from outside of the Seattle-Bellevue core. We are starting to see the focus shift from the core to lower cost, longterm investments in secondary and tertiary markets. Tacoma was a particularly active segment of the market, with three of the 10 largest transactions of the year and total sales volume of $97.5 million, second only to Seattle. Tacoma also lays claim to the largest transaction of the year south of Seattle, with the purchase of the Tacoma South Shopping Center by Retail Properties of America from Sterling Realty. The 230,657 square foot neighborhood center is anchored by Bass Pro Shop and LA Fitness and was 97 percent leased at the time of the $39.4 million sale.
The largest transaction of the year occurred in the first quarter, when Vulcan Real Estate sold 2200 Westlake to Weingarten Realty Investors for $66.2 million, or $897 per square foot. The 100 percent leased, Whole Foods-anchored retail portion of 2201 Westlake in Seattle traded at a cap rate of 5.8 percent, the second lowest of the year. Seattle also saw a new market record for pricing occur when the Liberty Building, home to Hard Rock Café, sold for $1,297 per square foot. With the highest average price per square foot of $833, and the highest volume of any submarket at $131.6 million, Seattle is still the most desirable location for investment throughout the Puget Sound region. Seattle was ranked as the 3rd most desirable market in the U.S. for investment in the retail sector, up 17 spots from last year, according to PWV and ULI’s Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2017 report. 43 percent of respondents to the Emerging Trends in Real Estate survey placed a “buy” rating on retail property in Seattle. Look for further exploration of peripheral markets in 2017 as a variety of traditional anchor tenants are closing stores in shopping centers throughout the region.
SEATTLE WAS RANKED AS THE 3RD MOST DESIRABLE MARKET IN THE U.S. FOR INVESTMENT IN THE RETAIL SECTOR
40
Seattle retail leasing Market tightens further, putting landlords in the driver’s seat 2016 was a banner year for the Puget Sound retail market. Vacancy continued its rapid decline, ending the year at 3.6 percent, a drop of 50 basis points year-over-year and the lowest level in more than a decade. Subsequently, rental rates continued on the upward trajectory, finishing at $18.80 per square foot, an increase of 7.0 percent year-over-year and the highest rate since 2008. As the
RENTAL RATES CONTINUED ON THE UPWARD TRAJECTORY market tightens even further and population density continues to increase, we have seen a number of national retailers moving to the market, including la Marzocco, Whole Foods 365, New Seasons, Filson, and Warby Parker. Net absorption for all submarkets – Downtown Seattle, Eastside, Northend, Southend, and Tacoma – was overwhelming positive, with 1.1 million square feet of space taken down in the year. The Downtown Seattle submarket remained the tightest, as vacancy dropped 50 basis points to 1.7 percent. Rental rates increased 8.1 percent year-over-year to an average of $26.93. Tacoma posted another impressive year, accounting for 62 percent of total market absorption, with rental rates increasing to a respectable $15.98, and vacancy down a staggering 36 percent to 4.7 percent overall. Development activity was minimal in 2016, with just 391,629 square feet of inventory added to the market. 588,018 square feet of space remains under construction heading into 2017. As in 2015, technology advancement was emphasized across the retail spectrum in 2016. With delivery concepts continuing to expand their offerings in Seattle, traditional brick and mortar retailers are
using a number of approaches to drive traffic or take advantage of the emerging delivery market. Amazon Prime Now made a big splash in the Seattle market last year with guaranteed 2-hour delivery on select items sold directly from Amazon. A number of local grocers, including Uwajimaya and PCC Natural Markets, have tapped into the established delivery network this year to offer their in-store offerings in 2 hours or less. Orders are filled by personal shoppers and delivered using the existing Prime Now delivery network. Fresh off of their Amazon Books store opening in 2015, Amazon expanded their brick and mortar offerings to include Amazon Go in South Lake Union. The store incorporates a number of sensors, so unlike traditional retailers, no check stands are present and customers simply grab food from the shelves and walk out. While many traditional grocers and restaurants become congested at checkout during the lunch and after work rush, Amazon Go stores identify your Amazon account information upon entry and track each item you grab from the shelf so your account can be charged when you leave. With the tourism sector expanding in Seattle, SeaTac International Airport announced a plan for expansion to accommodate the growing number of domestic and international visitors. The $636 million renovation will transform the existing retail and dining hub into a more modern facility that will include eight new gates, improved Wi-Fi connectivity, and 46,000 square feet of retail and dining options; more than double the existing retail space. The project aims to improve the overall traveling experience, enhance the quality of retail offerings, and fix a number of operational inefficiencies. The project is expected to break ground in early 2017, with a targeted completion sometime in 2021.
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
41
Seattle retail sales & statistics
Retail market statistics
Submarket
Size (RSF)
Avg. Rental Rate (NNN)
Vacancy
Net Absorption RSF
Downtown Seattle
26,365,522
1.7%
$26.93
50,889
Eastside
28,036,807
2.8%
$24.48
78,349
Northend
47,084,524
3.9%
$18.25
101,132
Southend
31,230,541
4.0%
$16.98
181,396
Tacoma
41,416,800
4.7%
$15.98
666,071
2016 Total Market
174,134,194
3.6%
$18.80
1,077,837
2015 Total Market
173,174,496
4.1%
$17.56
1,445,654
Sales matrix (over $10 million) 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Number of Sales
28
19
4
8
7
15
16
18
22
27
22
Price/SF Highest
$518
$467
$380
$404
$305
$387
$512
$509
$849
$701
$1,297
CAP Rate Average
6.4%
5.9%
7.2%
8.8%
N/A
7.0%
6.4%
6.4%
6.0%
6.3%
6.4%
Sales Volume
$0.5B
$0.4B
$0.1B
$0.1B
$0.1B
$0.4B
$0.9B
$1.1B
$0.8B
$0.6B
$0.5B
42
Seattle retail sales ($10M+) Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
2200 Westlake - Whole Foods Market
2/29/16
73,800
$66,210,000
5.76%
2006
$897
2200-2210 Westlake Ave Seattle, WA Bellevue Plaza
5/3/16
5/11/16
18420-18600 33rd Ave W Lynnwood, WA Tacoma South Shopping Center
5/5/16
60,844
$45,350,000
1962
$745
178,734
$40,747,000
1980 / 2003
$228
230,657
$39,400,000
1984-2015
$171
N/A
5.95%
6.80%
7601-7941 S Hosmer St Tacoma, WA Klahanie Shopping Center
Comments
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Retail portion of 2201 Westlake
•
412 parking stalls included in the sale
Vulcan
•
75% leased at time of sale
UDR
•
Planned redevelopment
Merlone Geier Partners
•
98% leased at time of sale
Barclay’s Realty
•
Major tenants: Rite Aid, Big 5 Sporting Goods, Ross, HomeGoods, Buffalo Wild Wings
Retail Properties of America
•
97% leased at time of sale
•
Major tenants: Bass Pro Shop, LA Fitness
Regency Centers
•
93% leased at time of sale
Gerrity Group
•
The shopping center’s anchor, QFC, was not part of the sale
•
Previously acquired for $22.0M in November 2011
ROIC
•
99% leased at time of sale
Urban Renaissance Group
•
Major tenants: Bartell Drugs, Red Apple Market, Ace Hardware
Vestar Development
•
91% leased at time of sale
InvenTrust Properties
•
Major tenants: Fred Meyer, Rite Aid, and FedEx Office
Vulcan
•
83% leased at time of sale
Weingarten Realty
•
Partial redevelopment project that could have approximately 570 apartments, with construction starting in mid-to-late-2017
Sterling Realty 7/15/16
4506-4598 Klahanie Dr SE Issaquah, WA
Bridle Trails Shopping Center
Weingarten Realty Investors / Bouwinvest Vulcan
117-144 106th Ave NE Bellevue, WA Alderwood Plaza
Buyer Seller
10/17/16
66,895
$35,988,000
1998 / 2000
$538
106,000
$32,800,000
1981
$309
128,264
$31,400,000
1978-2000
$245
96,660
$30,900,000
1997
$320
5.18%
4.50%
6501-6625 132nd Ave NE Kirkland, WA James Center
1/13/16
6901 S 19th St Tacoma, WA Promenade 23 2301 S Jackson St Seattle, WA
2/17/16
6.00%
N/A
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
43
Seattle retail sales ($10M+) Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
Lincoln Plaza Shopping Center
4/29/16
80,922
$26,718,000
6.90%
1988 / 2007
$330
70,575
$21,000,000
2001
$298
16,000
$20,750,000
1924 / 2009
$1,297
Buyer Seller
Comments
MK Property Services
•
95% leased at time of sale
PASSCO Companies
•
Major tenants: Big 5 Sporting Goods, Mens Wearhouse, Summit Salon Academy
Intracorp Real Estate
•
Vacant at time of sale
Merlone Geier Partners
•
Mixed-use redevelopment project
KLM Equities
•
100% leased to Hard Rock Café through early-2029
•
Previously acquired for $3.3M in September 2006
Da Li Properties
•
99% leased at time of sale
Tourmaline Capital
•
Major tenants: Market at Plaza, Goodwill, and Sprint
Gerrity Group
•
98% leased at time of sale
Cimco Enterprises
•
Major tenants: Ace Hardware, Rite Aid, Dollar Tree
Raskin Family
•
86% leased at time of sale
Prium Companies
•
Planned redevelopment
2501-2505 S 38th St Tacoma, WA Top Foods Grocery Store
1/15/16
15751 NE 15th St Bellevue, WA The Liberty Building (Hard Rock Café)
5/17/16
N/A
4.80%
Urban Visions
114 Pike St Seattle, WA La Plaza Midway
5/10/16
23201-23325 Pacific Hwy S Kent, WA Lake Stevens Marketplace
6/16/16
303 91st Ave NE Lake Stevens, WA Meeker Square
6/27/16
1301-1313 W Meeker St Kent, WA Renton Highlands Safeway Plaza
4/14/16
75,830
$19,200,000
1993
$253
96,341
$17,500,000
1993
$182
137,138
$17,000,000
1966 / 2004
$124
54,264
$16,900,000
1985-1998
$311
135,041
$14,116,000
2006
$105
7.00%
7.15%
7.30%
6.30%
•
Transaction resolved a troubled situation
Washington Investment
•
100% leased at time of sale
Henry Buys / Bart Kooyman
•
Major tenants: Safeway, 24Hour Fitness, Petco
Guardian Capital Management
•
100% leased at time of sale to Lowe’s Home Improvement
Fana Northlake LLC
•
100% leased at time of sale
Ivar’s
•
20-year single tenant net leased to Ivar’s
4110-4260 NE 4th St Renton, WA Midway Lowe’s
11/8/16
Shopping Center 24050 Pacific Hwy S Kent, WA Ivar’s 401 NE Northlake Way Seattle, WA
44
5.00%
Robertson Properties Group 12/15/16
16,767
$13,725,000
1970
$819
4.90%
Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
901 Building
4/28/16
21,968
$13,400,000
N/A
1946 / 1999
$610
34,672
$13,000,000
1965
$375
59,850
$11,970,000
2003
$200
52,573
$10,600,000
1993-1995
$202
33,496
$10,200,000
1986 / 2007
$305
905 Bellevue Way NE Bellevue, WA Brien Motors
12/6/16
5200 Evergreen Way Everett, WA Woodinville Athletic Center
2/12/16
N/A
7.37%
Buyer Seller
Comments
Lakha Investments
•
100% leased at time of sale
Greenbaum Family
•
Mixed-use property that includes approximately 12,000 sf of office space
•
1031 exchange
Swickard Corp.
•
100% leased at time of sale
P & S Properties
•
Buyer intends to occupy the building
Maverick Investments
•
100% leased at time of sale
Goodman Real Estate
•
Major tenants: Gold’s Gym, Home Court
Da Li Development
•
89% leased at time of sale
Hung Nguyen
•
Major tenants: Albertsons, Bartell Drugs
Frank Au
•
88% leased at time of sale
Gold Investment
•
1031 exchange
18512-18600 Woodinville Snohomish Rd NE Woodinville, WA White River Junction Center
1/14/16
7.71%
3734-4018 A St SE Auburn, WA Twin Lakes Shopping Center
6/30/16
7.40%
2120-2324 SW 336th St Federal Way, WA
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
45
Seattle
Office Industrial Retail Multifamily
2016 Seattle multifamily sales ($10M+) overview
More than $5 billion in sales closed in 2016, setting a new market record Seattle’s strength as a multifamily market derives from unprecedented job growth, overwhelming in-migration and consistent demand in spite of record high supply. In 2016, the Seattle metro area set a new peak for sales volume, with $5.1 billion in transactions closing, significantly more than the average of $3.5 billion between 2012 and 2016, and $1.2 billion between 2007 and 2011. Investors continue to capitalize on the robust Seattle market because of its proven longevity and remarkable growth opportunities. Seattle is home to many Fortune 500 companies that have a long term commitment to Puget Sound. For this reason, it continues to lead the country in year-over-year job growth with 3.8 percent, compared to the national average of 2.1 percent. For the past seven years, an average of 61,000 jobs have been added to the Seattle market annually. In addition to the large companies that call Seattle home, like Amazon, Microsoft and Boeing, many Bay Area tech giants have grown substantially in the area, such as Facebook, Google, and Salesforce.
RENT GROWTH IN 2016 OUTPACED THE NATIONAL AVERAGE AT 7.5 PERCENT YEAR-OVER-YEAR Rent growth in 2016 outpaced the national average at 7.5 percent year-over-year. The Northend saw an increase of 9.3 percent, and the Southend was even more impressive, at 10.7 percent. In 2016, Seattle was the only city ranked in the top ten for both rent growth and rental price. While rents have grown rapidly in each of the last five years, the Seattle area is still a significant discount to San Francisco. Only the San Francisco Bay Area has a tighter housing market than Seattle. It is more costly than ever to own a home in Seattle,
as prices have climbed 60 percent in the last five years. In 2016, a record-low number of homes went on the market, with only 1,600 homes for sale in King County compared to 7,400 homes at the same period in 2015. Supply is dwindling at a time when demand has never been higher. Seattle’s inventory dropped 13.4 percent last year, which is the third largest decrease among the top 20 markets. Washington saw substantial net migration in 2016, as 87,100 people moved to the state, representing 71 percent of the total population growth. This is the third consecutive year that net migration exceeded 45,000, which is the average for the previous decade. In 2017, there will be significant multifamily unit deliveries, with 13,496 currently under construction. In 2016, a remarkable 10,387 units were delivered. This is a large increase in supply when compared to an average of 8,308 units delivered per year between 2012 and 2016, and an average of 3,436 units delivered per year between 2007 and 2011. This considerable supply is accompanied by substantial demand, as 11,639 units were absorbed in the last 12 months. The LIV Bel-Red apartments on the Eastside achieved the largest sales price of 2016, selling for $172.0 million. The largest suburban trade was Bridges at Northcreek in Bothell, which sold for $145.0 million. Tivalli was the largest new construction suburban sale, trading for $94.3 million. Cap rates remained relatively flat throughout the year, averaging 4.4 percent for new construction core assets. The overall Puget Sound average for sales larger than $10 million was approximately 5.0 percent. With underlying fundamentals remaining strong, the outlook for 2017 and beyond remains optimistic. As home to many noteworthy companies’ headquarters and satellite locations, Seattle’s economic drivers continue to fuel a healthy market, with robust employment growth, exponential population gain, and limited supply.
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
49
Seattle multifamily sales & statistics
Sales matrix ($10M+)
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
121
93
57
15
36
45
17
49
84
91
108
$285,965
$407,083
$417,391
$211,957
$321,078
$350,000
$509,800
$690,583
$606,383
$636,192
$554,745
CAP Rate Average
5.4%
5.1%
5.8%
6.4%
6.4%
5.8%
5.5%
5.1%
5.2%
4.9%
5.0%
Sales Volume
$2.0B
$2.9B
$1.6B
$0.4B
$0.9B
$1.5B
$2.7B
$2.0B
$2.8B
$3.9B
$5.1B
Number of Sales
Highest Price/Unit
INVESTORS CONTINUE TO CAPITALIZE ON THE ROBUST SEATTLE MARKET BECAUSE OF ITS PROVEN LONGEVITY AND REMARKABLE GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES.
50
Seattle multifamily sales ($10M+) Property
LIV Bel-Red
Closing Date
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Units Year Built
Cap Rate
9/13/16
$172,000,000
451
4.40%
$381,375
2015
2170 Bel-Red Rd Bellevue, WA Juxt
10/18/16
12/16/16
15631 Ash Way Lynnwood, WA
Holland Partner Group
$145,000,000
524
$276,718
1999
4.90%
Griffis Residential Grosvenor
$132,000,000
506
$260,870
2001
4.80%
Greystar AvalonBay Communities
$122,000,000
400
$305,000
1992
4.50%
Security Properties Heitman
$98,000,000
360
$272,222
1989
4.40%
Acacia Capital Grosvenor
$98,000,000
400
$245,000
1988
5.20%
Sequoia Equities TruAmerica Multifamily
$224 4/22/16
2630 77th Ave SE Mercer Island, WA Tivalli
2016
Blackstone
$331
15030 SE 179th St Renton, WA 77 Central
$415,175
4.60%
$312 9/30/16
13305 NE 171st St Woodinville, WA Carriages at Fairwood Downs
361
$241 5/26/16
5305 Lakemont Blvd SE Bellevue, WA Campbell Run
$151,400,000
$331
3333 164th St SW Lynnwood, WA Overlook at Lakemont
Goodman Real Estate
$604 10/12/16
20225 Bothell Everett Hwy Bothell, WA Avalon Brandemoor
Kennedy Wilson
$477 9/30/16
810 Dexter Ave N Seattle, WA Bridges at Northcreek
Buyer Seller
$96,831,000
171
$519,936
2010
4.10%
TIAA Seco Development
$542 3/9/16
$94,250,000
383
$246,084
2014
4.95%
Kennedy Wilson Goodman Real Estate
$283
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
51
Seattle multifamily sales ($10M+) Property
Berkshires on Elliott
Closing Date
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Units Year Built
Cap Rate
1/20/16
$90,750,000
233
4.00%
$386,516
1990
2400 Elliott Ave Seattle, WA Equinox
10/13/16
7/12/16
8/8/16
2/22/16
11400 NE 132nd St Kirkland, WA
52
JP Morgan Chase
$85,000,000
464
$183,190
1990
5.70%
Prime Group Fairfield Residential
$80,500,000
430
$187,209
2007
5.10%
Kennedy Wilson ColRich
$78,750,000
227
$346,916
1994
4.10%
Security Properties OHSTRS
$76,000,000
137
$554,745
2015
4.00%
Clarion Partners The Schuster Group
$75,000,000
380
$197,368
1991
4.60%
Starwood Capital Group Equity Residential
$242 6/22/16
1401 Merrill Creek Pkwy Everett, WA Woodlake
2009
Kennedy Wilson / LeFrak
$766
9009 W Mall Dr Everett, WA Millington at Merrill Creek
$433,946
4.70%
$306
75 Vine St Seattle, WA Huntington Park
204
$196 12/8/16
17771 NE 90th St Redmond, WA Walton Lofts
$90,250,000
$167
6170 Terrace View Ln Auburn, WA The Heights at Bear Creek
Berkshire Property Advisors
$536
952 SW Campus Dr Federal Way, WA Belara at Lakeland
Griffis Residential
$509 10/11/16
1520 Eastlake Ave E Seattle, WA Glen Park
Buyer Seller
$74,500,000
344
$216,570
2006
5.00%
Prime Residential Security Properties
$221 1/26/16
$74,211,000
288
$257,675
1984
$318
4.60%
Starwood Capital Group Equity Residential
Property
The Lodge at Peasley Canyon
Closing Date
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Units Year Built
Cap Rate
9/21/16
$70,172,000
339
5.00%
$206,997
2004
32200 Military Rd S Federal Way, WA Bella Terra
11/9/16
11/18/16
12/19/16
11/1/16
9501 59th Ave SW Lakewood, WA
Equity Residential
$69,300,000
177
$385,806
2016
4.40%
UDR Legacy Partners
$68,500,000
309
$221,683
1990
4.95%
Priderock Capital Partners TruAmerica Multifamily
$65,250,000
294
$221,939
1990
5.40%
Intercontinental Real Estate Security Properties
$65,200,000
238
$267,347
2002
4.70%
Sares Regis Group Simpson Housing
$64,700,000
352
$183,807
1989
5.80%
Standard Property Lowe Enterprises
$191 9/27/16
125 SW Campus Dr Federal Way, WA Village at Seeley Lake
2002
Starwood Capital Group
$354
10115 Holly Dr Everett, WA The Reserve
$297,872
5.00%
$239
12716 Lake City Way NE Seattle, WA Olin Fields
235
$181 6/9/16
12303 Harbour Pointe Blvd Mukilteo, WA Solara
$70,000,000
$469
1300 SW Campus Drive Federal Way, WA On the Green at Harbour Pointe
UBS Realty Advisors
$283
8300 160th Ave NE Redmond, WA Arcadia Townhomes
Avanath Affordable Housing
$212 2/22/16
12101 Greenhaven Mukilteo, WA MileHouse
Buyer Seller
$63,800,000
401
$159,102
1989
5.30%
ConAm Kennedy Wilson
$179 10/5/16
$62,600,000
522
$119,923
1989
5.80%
Blackstone Bridge Investment Group Partners
$134
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
53
Seattle multifamily sales ($10M+) Property
Grammercy
Closing Date
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Units Year Built
Cap Rate
6/30/16
$61,250,000
382
5.00%
$160,340
1985
17425 120th Ln SE Renton, WA Reunion at Redmond Ridge
11/30/16
10/5/16
1/26/16
10/5/16
13608 12th Ave SW Burien, WA
54
Equity Residential
$56,600,000
304
$186,184
1987
5.00%
Jackson Square Properties Security Properties
$55,300,000
338
$163,609
1986
5.70%
Blackstone Bridge Investment Group Partners
$55,000,000
131
$419,847
2014
4.20%
Capital Valley Holland Partner Group
$53,182,000
202
$263,277
1990
5.00%
Starwood Capital Group Equity Residential
$52,550,000
293
$179,352
1989
5.50%
Blackstone Bridge Investment Group Partners
$187 8/9/16
10811 SE 239th St Kent, WA Alturas @ Burien
2008
Starwood Capital Group
$280
1020 Central Ave N Kent, WA Mosaic Hills
$188,460
5.10%
$640
11105 NE 123rd Ln Kirkland, WA Chandler’s Bay
321
$177 7/27/16
1201 Mercer St Seattle, WA Heronfield Apartments
$60,496,000
$212
2800 Queens Way Milton, WA Rivet
Fowler Property Acquisitions
$195
6305 S 238th Pl Kent, WA Surprise Lake Village
Fairfield Residential
$185 1/26/16
11315 Trilogy Pkwy NE Redmond, WA Waters Edge
Buyer Seller
$51,575,000
366
$140,915
1980
5.60%
MG Properties PASSCO Real Estate
$169 1/29/16
$51,450,000
543
$94,751
1948
$131
7.50%
Fowler Property Acquisitions Laramar Group
Property
Ballard Public Lofts
Closing Date
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Units Year Built
Cap Rate
12/21/16
$47,500,000
99
4.80%
$445,773
2015
6450 24th Ave NW Seattle, WA East Howe Steps
10/19/16
2/29/16
8/1/16
10/12/16
1901 SW 320th St Federal Way, WA
Daly Partners
$47,200,000
402
$117,413
1985
6.50%
Goodman Real Estate Hamilton Zanze
$46,500,000
230
$202,174
1998
5.10%
Kennedy Wilson American Realty Advisors
$46,000,000
388
$118,557
1976
5.60%
Fowler Property Acquisitions Bridge Investment Group Partners
$45,553,000
111
$385,630
2015
4.40%
PrivatePortfolio Group Pryde Johnson
$43,200,000
200
$216,000
1989
4.90%
Investment Property Group Carmel Partners
$247 7/21/16
11401 3rd Ave SE Everett, WA Retreat at Maple Hill
2016
Bender Development
$564
2020 Lake Heights Dr Everett, WA North Creek
$476,455
3.30%
$153
5711 24th Ave NW Seattle, WA Waterford
96
$271 1/27/16
31004 19th Pl SW Federal Way, WA Soren
$47,500,000
$159
4500 Harbour Pointe Blvd Mukilteo, WA Landing at Dash Point
William Parks
$793
5601 N 37th St Tacoma, WA Alara at Harbour Pointe
TA Associates
$519 11/21/16
1923 Eastlake Ave E Seattle, WA Northpoint at Creekside
Buyer Seller
$42,000,000
264
$159,091
1986
5.30%
Priderock Capital Partners Lowe Enterprises
$185 10/26/16
$42,000,000
300
$140,000
1981
5.10%
Fairfield Residential Hamilton Zanze
$160
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
55
Seattle multifamily sales ($10M+) Property
Venue
Closing Date
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Units Year Built
Cap Rate
6/7/16
$41,500,000
284
5.75%
$146,127
1973
4455 NE 12th St Renton, WA Artesia by the Lake
8/3/16
8/12/16
11/17/16
9/8/16
2101 SW Sunset Blvd Renton, WA
56
Fairfield Residential
$40,200,000
73
$497,863
2016
4.20%
Calfox Real Estate Investment Continental Properties
$39,633,000
90
$394,513
2015
4.25%
TIAA Denny Onslow
$36,250,000
177
$204,802
2013
5.50%
Green Leaf Partners Rush Companies
$36,100,000
180
$200,556
1995
4.90%
Investment Property Group Ray & Deanna Dally
$35,300,000
200
$176,500
2003
5.25%
Actus Capital Partners AllianceBernstein
$166 9/6/16
103 12th Ave Seattle, WA Sunset View
1990
Rise Properties
$202
13507 E 99th Ave Puyallup, WA Anthem on 12th
$210,938
4.70%
$231
13118 Meridian Ave E Puyallup, WA Alderra
192
$654 1/29/16
4275 S Pine St Tacoma, WA Canterbury
$40,500,000
$59
1525 Harvard Ave Seattle, WA Pacifica
Fowler Property Acquisitions
$230
324 Central Way Kirkland, WA Cue
New Standard Equities
$205 12/15/16
11225 19th Ave SE Everett, WA Capri
Buyer Seller
$34,700,000
120
$274,740
2015
5.00%
CWS Capital Partners Spectrum Development Solution
$439 11/30/16
$33,600,000
240
$140,000
1970
$128
6.20%
Legacy Group Captial Investors Management Group
Property
Hamptons
Closing Date
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Units Year Built
Cap Rate
10/5/16
$33,300,000
230
5.60%
$144,783
1990
2541 Meridian St Puyallup, WA Clock Tower Village
2/10/16
8/5/16
10/5/16
12/6/16
2368 Yakima Ave Tacoma, WA
Carino and Associates
$33,000,000
160
$206,250
2013
5.20%
Daryl Connell Walt Miles & Eric Cederstrand
$33,000,000
146
$226,027
1967
4.90%
Wallace Properties MG Properties Group
$32,950,000
231
$142,641
1990
5.30%
Green Leaf Partners Thayer Manca
$31,000,000
155
$200,000
2000
5.60%
Blackstone Bridge Investment Group Partners
$30,300,000
116
$261,207
2015
4.90%
FSC Realty Christopher Koruga
$278 3/16/16
306 Blanchard St Seattle, WA Vue 25
2001
Security Properties
$176
1620 Benson Rd S Renton, WA Cornelius
$175,532
5.40%
$157
2323 7th St SE Puyallup, WA Altitude
188
$271 8/31/16
5406 82nd SW Tacoma, WA Bradley Park
$33,000,000
$204
10735 Roosevelt Way NE Seattle, WA Green Leaf at Lakewood
Bridge Investment Group Partners
$168
1600 Sequalitchew Dr Dupont, WA The Park at Northgate
Blackstone
$168 2/19/16
1584 McNeil St DuPont, WA Creekside Village
Buyer Seller
$29,650,000
137
$216,423
1926
5.00%
Pillar Communities MG Properties Group
$476 2/5/16
$28,650,000
163
$175,767
2012
4.90%
ColRich CenterSquare Investment Management
$248
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
57
Seattle multifamily sales ($10M+) Property
Cambridge
Closing Date
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Units Year Built
Cap Rate
1/22/16
$27,000,000
168
5.00%
$160,714
1969
4727 200th St SW Lynnwood, WA The Q
2/29/16
6/6/16
10/5/16
8/1/16
1140 18th Ave Seattle, WA
58
Acacia Capital
$25,866,000
61
$321,344
2010
5.00%
Equity Residential Ederer Investment Company
$24,050,000
49
$340,197
2000
5.00%
Triad Investments Co Inc. Lani, Robert and Michael Cochran
$22,000,000
123
$178,862
2002
5.00%
Starwood Capital Group Equity Residential
$21,800,000
157
$138,854
1991
5.60%
Blackstone Bridge Investment Group Partners
$21,800,000
90
$242,222
2015
4.80%
Pacific Development Partners Goodman Real Estate
$296 1/26/16
13850 NE 8th St Bellevue, WA Union 18
1950
Acme Realty
$153
4902 148th St SW Edmonds, WA Martine
$305,172
5.10%
$211
209 21st Ave SW Puyallup, WA Trillium
87
$278 2/22/16
1730 112th St SW Everett, WA Chesnut Hills
$26,550,000
$365
2108 N Pacific St Seattle, WA Sage
PASSCO Real Estate
$433
1520 12th Ave Seattle, WA Pacific Pointe
Grosvenor
$172 12/30/16
1321 Queen Anne Ave N Seattle, WA Packard Building
Buyer Seller
$21,247,000
67
$317,126
1984
4.70%
Starwood Capital Group Equity Residential
$342 9/14/16
$20,800,000
57
$364,912
1969
$454
5.30%
Pacific Development Partners Goodman Real Estate
Property
Gilman Terrace
Closing Date
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Units Year Built
Cap Rate
5/31/16
$20,155,000
65
5.00%
$280,609
1989
2572 Gilman Dr W Seattle, WA 80 Main
7/29/16
2/22/16
11/7/16
7/22/16
733 Summit Ave E Seattle, WA
Goodman Real Estate
$20,000,000
128
$156,250
2007
5.80%
The University of Washington Lorig Associates
$20,000,000
104
$192,308
1989
4.90%
Starwood Capital Group Equity Residential
$19,400,000
76
$255,263
1975
3.90%
King County Housing Authority Intracorp
$18,800,000
136
$138,235
1989
5.40%
FSC Realty Daniel Lim
$18,230,000
54
$337,593
1927
4.20%
Peter Goldman Cadence Capital LLC
$452 7/21/16
14014 Admiralty Way Lynnwood, WA The Summit
2016
Borracchini Family
$142
1619 E John St Seattle, WA Serene Village
$446,667
4.10%
$257
31224 20th Ave S Federal Way, WA Whitworth
45
$232 8/31/16
14510 NE 7th St Bellevue, WA Brightwater
$20,100,000
$223
3805 164th St SW Lynnwood, WA Highland Village
Gilman Terrace Holdings LLC
$696
1717 Market St Tacoma, WA Orchard Ridge
Tim McHugh
$324 11/22/16
80 S Main St Seattle, WA Court 17
Buyer Seller
$17,925,000
121
$148,140
1987
5.50%
Pacific Coast Capital Partners / Fowler Property Acquisitions
$185 12/30/16
$17,000,000
52
$326,923
194
Williams Investments
4.60%
Acme Realty Acacia Capital
$538
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
59
Seattle multifamily sales ($10M+) Property
Rainier Meadows
Closing Date
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Units Year Built
Cap Rate
4/20/16
$16,921,000
134
5.70%
$126,276
1988
29225 Military Rd S Federal Way, WA Crystal Pointe
12/20/16
9/7/16
6/30/16
2/9/16
1406 E Republican St Seattle, WA
60
Pacific Coast Capital Partners
$15,400,000
119
$129,412
1968
7.00%
Williams Investments Tae-Kae Kai
$15,350,000
107
$143,458
1969
6.60%
Hsiao Lin & Yu Lo Sun Apex Properties Group
$14,475,000
40
$361,875
1990
4.60%
Ron Danz / Morris Groberman / Andrew Person Munehiro Tanaka
$14,450,000
75
$192,667
2015
4.75%
Eric Anderson Triad Development
$14,300,000
118
$121,186
1968
5.60%
DH&G Williams Investments
$138 12/5/16
12115 Meridian Ave S Everett, WA Yardhouse
1991
CIM Group
$636
19800 50th Ave W Lynnwood, WA Meridian Glen
$151,429
5.20%
$434
4029 7th Ave NE Seattle, WA Wilshire Cove
105
$170 11/30/16
2501 E Madison St Seattle, WA Studio 7
$15,900,000
$164
20407 68th Ave W Lynnwood, WA Madison Gate
Residential Investco
$153
701 75th St SE Everett, WA Heather Ridge
Thayer Manca
$159 10/6/16
35434 25th Ave SW Federal Way, WA Shoreside Village
Buyer Seller
$14,100,000
86
$163,953
1990
4.90%
Priderock Capital Partners Randolph Street Realty Capital
$192 2/1/16
$13,897,500
35
$397,071
2014
$762
4.00%
Jerry Costacos Revolve Development
Property
Crystal Bay
Closing Date
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Units Year Built
Cap Rate
1/29/16
$13,730,000
112
5.70%
$122,589
1976
1605 S 235th Pl Des Moines, WA Arterra
1/13/16
1/29/16
4/29/16
4/29/16
4828 123rd St Sw Lakewood, WA
Holland Partners
$13,350,000
98
$136,224
1980
5.60%
Weidner Investment Services RedHill Realty Investments
$12,975,000
38
$341,447
1977
4.50%
Suhrco Residential Properties Coast Equity Partner
$12,450,000
32
$355,889
2009
4.00%
Peter Goldman Gerry Pigotti
$11,592,000
126
$92,000
1986
6.25%
Goodman Real Estate Pacific Living Properties
$11,312,000
64
$176,750
1986
4.80%
Armand Tiberio Thomas Propst
$209 7/26/16
3031 NE 137th St Seattle, WA Clover Lake Park
1981
Jackson Square Properties
$120
18414 108th Ave SE Renton, WA Chameleon
$111,250
5.50%
$507
9210 S Hosmer St Tacoma, WA Springfield
120
$416 4/15/16
3815 Woodland Park Ave N Seattle, WA Springhaven Village
$13,350,000
$180
2251 NW 59th St Seattle, WA Portofino
Pacific Living Properties
$143
9612 SE 252nd St Kent, WA Aros & Voss
Auctus Capital Partner
$176 1/11/16
711 W Casino Rd Everett, WA Parkside Village
Buyer Seller
$11,250,000
68
$165,441
1965
5.30%
Bob Cryan SR Investment Group
$213 11/10/16
$11,000,000
144
$76,389
1975
5.80%
Fowler Property Acquisitions Charles Diesing
$104
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
61
Seattle multifamily sales ($10M+) Property
Emerald Park
Closing Date
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Units Year Built
Cap Rate
11/10/16
$11,000,000
125
5.30%
$88,000
1981
5700 23rd St E Fife, WA The Park
4/29/16
12/15/16
7/22/16
10/27/16
25124 97th Pl S Kent, WA
62
Acacia Capital
$10,672,000
116
$92,000
1982
5.90%
Goodman Real Estate Pacific Living Properties
$10,500,000
61
$172,131
1968
5.10%
Madison Residential Williams Investments
$10,500,000
56
$187,500
1978
4.80%
Paul & Krista Lin Jennifer Murphy
$10,500,000
33
$318,182
2015
3.80%
Ken Williams Isola Homes
$10,350,000
107
$96,729
1949
5.30%
Meter at 4632 Fowler LLC Johnson Investment Company (Receiver)
$117 4/8/16
15530 Bothell Way NE Seattle, WA Stonecreek
1948
Colin Hagstrom / Curran Hagstrom / Giovanni Napoli / Ryan Dinius
$589
4632 Fowler Ct Everett, WA Sheridan Beach Terrace
$314,706
4.50%
$298
521 2nd Ave W Seattle, WA Forest Park Estates
34
$217 9/29/16
818 NE 106th St Seattle, WA Queen Anne Flats
$10,700,000
$124
5825 200th St SW Lynnwood, WA Northgate Manor
Charles Diesing
$449
9314 S Ash St Tacoma, WA Lynnview
Fowler Property Acquisitions
$121 12/30/16
1205 Queen Anne Ave N Seattle, WA Waverly Farms
Buyer Seller
$10,270,000
51
$201,373
1965
5.40%
Dr. Anastasia Deliganis
$211 1/12/16
$10,000,000
70
$142,857
1988
$168
Steven Lazoff / Jeremy Gustavel / Kurt Fisher
5.60%
RedHill Realty Investment Weidner Investment Services
PORTLAND
Portland
Office Industrial Retail Multifamily
Title right
66
2016 Portland office sales ($10M+) overview
Strong sales volume in the CBD pushes total to new cycle high The number of sales in the metro climbed to 27 transactions above $10 million in 2016, totaling over $1.15 billion with an average price per square foot of $255, a 6.8 percent increase over the $1.1 billion recorded in 2015. Of the $1.15 billion, $822 million or 71 percent were assets located in the CBD (Institutional ownership has increased over 50 percent since 2005, with many investors viewing Portland as the leading transitional market that bridges the gap between traditional primary markets and secondary markets.)
Much of the new ownership has pledged significant investment in renovations and upgrades in an effort to modernize their newly acquired assets and fetch higher rents. Buildings such as KOIN Tower and Sixth at Yamhill underwent significant renovations in 2016 and recent acquisitions such as Pacwest, CDK Plaza, Power & Light Building and Macy’s will all be undergoing significant renovations to their lobbies and common areas in an effort to attract creative tenants.
The end of year sale of Pacwest center from GEPT/Ashforth to LPC Realty Advisors for $170 million was the largest sale of the year and traded at a price per square foot of $312. The 29-year-old building was only 76 percent leased at the time of sale and new owners have pledged significant investment to upgrade the building’s lobby and common areas. The sale marks one of two Portland trophy assets that traded hands in 2016, the other being the sale of Pioneer Tower from General Growth Properties to LaSalle for $121.75 million. Pioneer Tower set the year’s highwater mark at $411 per square foot and registered the lowest ever cap rate for a core CBD Class A building at 4.8 percent, signaling that investors are placing more value on Portland’s core assets and expecting more rent growth. The nod to Portland as a credible alternative to primary markets has been characterized by sharply declining cap rates in recent years, with 2016 reaching a new low; averaging 5.2 percent for core assets in the CBD.
The sale of the Evergreen Corporate Center was the most significant suburban sale of the year, trading for $45.5 million in the second quarter. The sale consisted of four buildings totaling 266,000 square feet. Following closely was the sale of South Center and the Tanasbourne Commerce Center for $44.25 million and $31.1 million respectively. These high profile suburban trades show that suburban assets are proving attractive to large institutional investors. Office sales should remain brisk through 2017, with a number of high profile properties on the market spilling over from 2016 and institutional owners continuing to look for value and quality in less volatile markets such as Portland. Buildings set to undergo renovations in the market are evaluating their options. These investments will continue to drive rent growth in the CBD.
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP HAS INCREASED...WITH MANY INVESTORS VIEWING PORTLAND AS THE LEADING TRANSITIONAL MARKET...
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
67
Portland office leasing
Record development pushes market vacancy and rents up Demand for office space remains strong, with 634,140 square feet being absorbed in 2016. Class A absorption in the CBD experienced its best yearly performance since 2000, with 321,062 square feet absorbed in 2016. A large part of the positive absorption was due to leases commencing in newly delivered buildings, indicating that tenants are increasingly taking advantage of all the quality space being brought to the market. The rest of the close-in urban submarkets also experienced strong absorption in 2016, with the Lloyd District and Close-In Eastside Class A buildings experiencing 172,652 square feet of positive absorption between the two submarkets. For the first time in six years, supply has outpaced demand; with 1,176,643 square feet delivered in 2016 and a further 1,434,651 square feet currently under construction. After a five year construction hiatus due to the 2008 recession, the eventual delivery of Park Avenue West was the largest addition to Portland’s skyline in six years at 220,889 square feet. Together with Pearl West and 1320 Broadway, the three largest speculative developments above 100,000 square feet all delivered around 90 percent leased. Other notable deliveries included the new headquarters of Banfield Pet Hospital in Vancouver, Ankrom Moison in Block 8L and Simple in Clay Creative, which added 206,000, 91,000 and 72,000 square feet respectively. The trend of the urban core spreading out of the CBD accelerated in 2016 with new projects such as Field Office, Leland James Center and other mid-sized developments on the East Side breaking ground. Of the 1.4 million square feet currently under construction, 98.8 percent are located within the urban core. Massive developments such as Zidell Yards and further expansion into the North Waterfront and Slabtown micromarkets are also planned in the near future and will further contribute to the densification of close-in urban submarkets.
68
Portland has had a sub 10 percent office vacancy for the past three years, and continues to be one of the top five tightest markets in the nation, evidenced by over 85.9 percent of new deliveries in 2016 being leased at delivery. New construction rates are shattering previous records, with rents routinely being quoted above $40.00 per square foot and some as high as $46.00. This newer, higher quality product is pushing rents up significantly in the metro area, which are up 13.0 percent year-on-year, to $27.56 full service, predominantly led by CBD Class A buildings, now averaging $33.48. While the information and technology sector continues to be the largest group of tenants looking for space in the metro area, the dominance in leasing activity is waning and being replaced by more traditional tenants looking for space in creative buildings. Demand for creative space is increasing among these non-creative companies, producing an environment where Class B and C office rents are escalating rapidly. A landscape has been formed where creative Class B office space, in specific buildings, can bring in higher rents than traditional office space in Class A buildings. Driven by the high price of new construction, expect rental rates to continue their ascent as properties deliver to the market. Vacancy will likely bump up slightly when deliveries hit the market, but is not expected to rise beyond 10 percent for the metro area, with the CBD likely seeing vacancy modestly higher. Institutional investment in the market will continue to drive the trend of re-positioning buildings; particularly for Class A buildings with vacant space, as new owners try to capture creative demand. This will further push rental rate growth in the market.
Portland office sales & statistics
Office market statistics
Submarket
Size (RSF)
Vacancy
Avg. Rental Rate
Net Absorption RSF
Central City
26,050,183
8.6%
$31.23
250,951
Eastside
6,495,729
9.8%
$24.79
31,929
Westside
20,741,646
10.6%
$26.29
26,284
Vancouver Suburbs
6,537,183
8.3%
$20.85
324,976
2016 Total Market
59,824,741
9.4%
$27.56
634,140
2015 Total Market
58,699,534
8.9%
$24.59
783,626
Sales matrix (over $10 million) 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Number of Sales
28
9
5
5
5
9
14
18
21
27
Price/SF Highest
$442
$271
$159
$197
$356
$443
$399
$460
$496
$497
CAP Rate Average
6.7%
7.1%
7.6%
8.4%
7.4%
8.3%
7.3%
7.2%
5.6%
5.8%
Sales Volume
$1.8B
$518M
$180M
$200M
$282M
$247M
$437M
$638M
$1.1B
$1.15B
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
69
Portland office sales ($10M+) Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
Pacwest Center
12/21/16
545,000
$170,000,000
N/A
1988
$312
1211 SW 5th Ave Portland, OR
Pioneer Tower
6/30/16
Portland, OR 888 SW 5th Ave
Park Square Campus
11/8/16
100 SW Market St Portland, OR
Public Service Building
9/15/16
920 SW 6th Ave Portland, OR
USPS 715 NW Hoyt Street Portland, OR
70
8/2/16
296,239
$121,750,000
1990
$411
295,767
$94,350,000
1969 / 2014
$319
233,607
Master Lease
1927 / 1999
N/A
402,936
$88,000,000
1962
$218
4.80%
5.30%
N/A
N/A
Buyer Seller
Comments
LPC Realty Advisors
•
76% leased at time of sale
GEPT/Ashforth Company
•
413 parking stalls
•
Bought for repositioning. Lobby and common areas to be renovated
•
Major tenants: Schwabe, Williamson & Wyatt, Merrill Lynch and Key Bank
LaSalle
•
95% leased at time of sale
GGP
•
188 Parking stalls
•
Major tenants: Tonkin Torp, Geffen Mesher, Bullivant Houser Bailey
CBRE Global Investors
•
2 property portfolio
CalSTRS
•
97% leased at time of sale
•
212 parking stalls
•
Major tenants: Regence, Oregon DoJ, Ecova
Beacon Capital Partners
•
Off market transaction
Downtown Development Group
•
Beacon took ownership of master lease
•
95% leased at time of sale
•
Parking ratio: 2/1,000
•
Major tenant vacating in 2017
Portland Development Commission
•
Site will be redeveloped as part of Broadway Corridor Master Plan
USPS
•
Purchased for land value
•
USPS (single tenant – will relocate to new development in NE Columbia Corridor)
Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
Commonwealth Building
6/16/16
218,499
$69,000,000
5.50%
1948 / 2015
$316
195,470
$54,150,000
1908
$277
266,000
$45,500,000
1997
$171
421 SW 6th Ave Portland, OR Macy’s Building
11/22/16
621 SW 5th Ave Portland, OR Evergreen Corporate Center
6/16/16
4/14/16
7565-7995 SW Mohawk St Portland, OR RiverEast Center
3/16/16
1515 SE Water Ave Portland, OR
CDK Plaza
1750 NW Naito Pkwy Portland, OR
$44,250,000
1991
$129
99,860
$33,500,000
1952/2006
$335
•
94% leased at time of sale
N/A
KBS Realty Advisors
•
Redevelopment from retail to creative office
Macy’s Department Stores
•
Macy’s will exit the building in Q1 2017
6.20%
Griffin Capital
•
100% leased at time of sale
Washington Real Estate Holdings
•
Rent will increase dramatically in 1.5 years
•
Major tenants: Nike
7.20%
Westport Capital
•
83% leased at time of sale
UBS Realty Investors
•
10 buildings
•
Proforma cap rate: 7.7%
4.50%
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
In place rents estimated 50% below market
•
176 parking stalls
•
Major tenants: Mackenzie, Viewpoint Construction Software
Bixby Land Co.
•
2 building campus and plaza
KBS REIT
•
99% leased at time of sale
•
Major lobby and plaza renovations to take place totaling $7.5m
•
Major tenant: CDK Global (will vacate 20,000 SF in Q1 2017)
Lincoln
•
88% leased at time of sale
TA Realty
•
385 parking stalls
•
Major tenants: Harris Group, Legacy Health
ASB Real Estate Investments RiversEast LLC
12/8/16
2525 SW 1st Ave Portland, OR
Fremont Place I & II
342,316
KBS Realty Advisors
7/29/16
185,729
$33,400,000
1981 / 1991
$180
121,506
$31,500,000
1987
$259
Comments
Unico Properties
20500-20540 NW Evergreen Pky Portland, OR South Center I-IV
Buyer Seller
N/A
5.70%
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
71
Portland office sales ($10M+) Property
Tanasbourne Commerce Center
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
3/1/16
183,907
$31,100,000
7.10%
1986 / 2001
$169
3188 NW Aloclek Hillsboro, OR
Hanna Andersson Building
3/16/16
2/25/16
4145 SW Watson Beaverton, OR
Rock Creek Corporate Center
Westport Capital Partners
1/15/16
119,948
$31,000,000
1930 / 2015
$259
146,028
$29,325,000
2003
$201
142,661
$23,000,000
1999
$161
6.10%
7.30%
N/A
4 buildings
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
804 parking stalls
•
Major tenants: Nike, Kaiser Permanente, Norm Thompson, Grass Valley
Mapleton Investments
•
92% leased at time of sale
ScanlanKemperBard
•
195 parking stalls
•
Renovated in 2015
•
Major tenant: Hanna Andersson
SKB/Independencia
•
2 buildings and parking garage
SKB
•
99% leased at time of sale
•
Parking stalls: 665 stalls
•
Major tenants: 24 Hour Fitness, Exterro
•
Part of 17 building portfolio sale – price is allocation
•
84% leased at time of sale
•
4/1000 Parking
•
Major tenants: Fiserv, GE Healthcare
•
Part of 17 building portfolio sale – price is allocation
•
79% leased at time of sale
•
160 parking stalls (4/1000 Parking)
•
Major tenant: Volkswagen
Kensington Management
•
65% leased at time of sale
New Urban Properties
•
No parking
•
WALT less than 1 year, most tenants on month-to-month
Lone Star Funds Blackstone
3400 NW John Olsen Pl Hillsboro, OR
Sunset Corporate Park
1/15/16
22867 NW Bennett St Hillsboro, OR
Board of Trade 306-310 SW 4th Ave Portland, OR
72
9/30/16
133,221
$22,000,000
1998
$165
88,797
$18,000,000
1908
$203
Comments
•
Meriwether Partners
541 NE 20th Ave Portland, OR
The Round
Buyer Seller
N/A
Lone Star Funds Blackstone
N/A
72
Property
NW Center For Orthopedics & Rehabilitation
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
8/5/16
33,290
$16,530,573
6.10%
2005
$497
1515 NW 18th Ave Portland, OR
ODS Plaza
5/16/16
10505 SE 17th Ave Milwaukie, OR
1500 Plaza
12/2/16
1500 NE Irving St Portland, OR Ballou & Wright Building
1/8/16
1010 NW Flanders St Portland, OR 811 @ Waterfront
5750 NW Pacific Rim Camas, WA
$15,231,835
2001
$300
72,572
$14,575,000
1964 / 2013
$201
55,500
$14,000,000
1992 / 1997
$252
7.30%
7.30%
N/A
Comments
Olympus Ventures
•
100% leased at time of sale
Acorn NW Real Estate Fund
•
Office/medical use building
•
Major tenants: Pettygrove Physical Therapy & Sports Rehabilitation, Northwest ASC, The Orthopedic and Sports Medicine Center of Oregon
Columbia Investments
•
100% leased at time of sale
Oregon Dental Service
•
Possible lease-back
•
150 Parking stalls
•
Major tenant: ODS
Second City
•
95% leased at time of sale
Swift
•
158 stalls (2.3/1,000)
ASB Real Estate Investments/Specht
•
8% leased at time of sale
•
Will be redeveloped into creative office
Roscoe Nelson
•
Off market transaction
Swift Realty Partners
•
91% leased at time of sale
•
45 parking stalls
•
Major tenants: Ensequence, Marquam Group, CompanionLink Software
Camas School District
•
0% leased at time of sale
Sharp Electronics Corp
•
Owner-user purchase
•
Includes 30 acres of land for future development
Evan Denhart 2/4/16
811 SW Naito Pkwy Portland, OR
Sharp Electronic Building
50,800
Buyer Seller
6/29/16
49,222
$12,600,000
1982
$256
55,000
$12,500,000
1990
$227
5.00%
N/A
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
73
Portland office sales ($10M+) Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
Swift Portfolio
12/29/15
90,810
$12,188,000
5.30%
1875 / 1994
$134.21
Merchant Hotel Building Captain Couch’s Square Norton House Bldg
$6,110,267
Portland, OR
Buyer Seller Swift Real Estate Partners
Comments
•
3 historic buildings
•
95% leased at time of sale
Fountain Village Development Co
•
Will be redeveloped to creative
•
Renovated in 1990, 1998, 1998
Onder Development
•
3 building sale consisting of office and retail buildings
•
Property will be redeveloped into Hotel tower and office building - land value
Killian Pacific
•
83% leased at time of sale
Ifits Equity
•
Office/medical use building
•
1031 exchange
•
Major tenant: Retina Northwest
$3,290,448 $2,787,284
Onder Portfolio
3/10/16
915 SW 2nd Ave Portland, OR
Lovejoy Medical Building 2525 NW Lovejoy St Portland, OR
74
6/30/16
56,815
$12,125,000
1892
$213
40,000
$10,000,000
1965
$250
N/A
House Of Gold
3.00%
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
75
Portland
Office Industrial Retail Multifamily
2016 Portland industrial sales ($10M+) overview
Sales velocity accelerates as institutional investors take advantage of strong tenant demand The absence of large multimarket portfolio sales that included multiple Portland properties left 2016 industrial sales down 24 percent from 2015’s alltime high of $615 million, to $467 million. However, this is the second highest total on record and interest in Portland assets remains high with the number of deals above $10 million increasing to 16, double 2015’s velocity. Sales continue to be focused in the NE Columbia Corridor with 40 percent of sales concentrated in that submarket. Deliveries of new product remain strong and delivered 83 percent leased in 2016, 20 percent higher than 2015 and higher than any year on record.
2016 WAS ANOTHER RECORD YEAR FOR INDUSTRIAL SALES IN PORTLAND Increased demand and competition for Portland industrial assets continues to compress cap rates with the average cap rate dropping from 2015 to 6.1 percent. With record low vacancy and surging rents, investors who own quality assets are reluctant to sell and the lack of Class A sales was noticeable, with only four Class A buildings sold in 2016 at an average cap rate of 5.3 percent. One of those sales was Rivergate Logistics Center from Principal Real Estate Investors to Dermody Properties at a cap rate of 4.7 percent, the lowest in 2016. The building was also the largest individual building sold at 527,934 square feet. Developers are also taking advantage of Portland’s hot industrial market. The newly built PDX Logistics Center, Buildings 1, 2 and 3, sold to Clarion Partners for a total of $82.8 million or $98 per square foot, with a cap rate of 5.7 percent for Buildings 1 and 2 and 5.4 percent for Building 3. The project was fully leased before delivery and had weighted average lease terms of 8.9 and 6.4 years respectively.
78
The crowding out of local investors and owner/users by institutional investors continued in 2016 with only one transaction above $10 million going to an owner/user and just two transactions by regional investors. By far the largest sale of the year occurred late in fourth quarter when the Commerce Parks Portfolio sold to Lincoln Property Company for $112.3 million at a cap rate of 6.0 percent. The portfolio consisted of five commerce parks totaling 1.4 million square feet and almost 70 acres of land. Flex sales activity in 2016 was subdued at $124 million and was largely dominated by sales of Nike-occupied buildings. Of the six flex transactions in 2016, three of them were Nike-occupied totaling 522,680 square feet. The largest sale of the year was the nine property portfolio of Beaverton Creek Business Park that sold to Artemis/Cruzan for $41.55 million at a cap rate of 4.8 percent. In addition to the nine properties that Specht sold to Artemis/ Cruzan, two other buildings in the business park were sold by Specht to KM Paige Associates in a separate transaction for $9.5 million, bringing the total sales price of the Beaverton Creek Business Park to $51.05 million Taking both industrial and flex sales into account, total sales for 2016 amounted to over $591 million. The number of sales above $10 million was the most ever seen and if multimarket portfolio sales are excluded, 2016 was another record year for industrial sales in Portland. A burgeoning population and economy are the catalysts for this growth and the metro is attracting larger and higher profile tenants that are snapping up any and all larger developments in the metro. As these users continue to move to Portland, sustained pressure on vacancy rates and increasing rents will continue and attract further interest from institutional investment.
Portland industrial leasing
E-commerce propels strong 2016 and is expected to continue through 2017 As Portland’s population continues to balloon, large e-commerce and distribution companies have expanded into new locations to service their growing customer base. 2016 saw 19 leases above 100,000 square feet, among the most notable were Amazon and DB Schenker signing 303,360 and 137,920-square-foot leases in the Sunset Corridor’s latest development, the Majestic Brookwood Business Park, indicating that the population in Portland’s western suburbs has reached a critical mass as companies move to service their customers in the traditionally underserved west. On the Eastside, UPS and Cummins both signed and moved into 234,960 and 119,993 square feet respectively at PDX Logistic Center’s Building 3, with UPS signing for another 60,000 square feet at Rivergate Logistics Center as 2016 drew to a close. The delivery of Subaru’s new 600,000-square-foot distribution center and Amazon’s 303,360-square-foot sortation center took the absorption total to 2,971,267 square feet for 2016. While absorption is down 31.5 percent from 2015, large expansions in the fourth quarter by Bunzl, USA Warehousing and Logistics and Aosom meant Portland saw a third year in a row where absorption was above the 10-year average of 2.2 million square feet. This sustained demand in the market drove vacancy down 40 basis points year-over-year to a record low of 3.4 percent and Portland experienced its largest 12-month rent increase on record during 2016, growing 18 percent to $0.59 per square foot. Asking rents for new construction are now firmly being quoted at $0.55 with office surcharges quoted up to $0.90 per square foot, on a triple-net basis.
Deliveries in 2016 were sizeable, with over 2.4 million square feet added to the Portland metro. While completed construction was down 520,000 square feet year-over-year, industrial development remains elevated with 2.5 million square feet under construction, of which 70 percent is speculative, a sign that developers remain bullish on Portland’s industrial future. Leasing at delivery for 2016 was 83 percent, over 20 percent higher than 2015. The metro’s largest developments such as PDX Logistics Center, Vista Logistics Park – Subaru Distribution Center, Majestic Brookwood Business Park and Clackamas Distribution Center were all 100 percent leased before they were completed. In addition to larger developments, Portland is experiencing a boom in small to medium size developments of infill sites closer to the urban core. These developments are targeted as regional distribution centers with high volumes, and these buildings are pushing rents up faster than any other period in Portland’s history. Vacancy remains at a 25-year low, fueled by strong population and job growth in the metro area. Demand has exceeded supply for the last six years, further strengthening Portland’s industrial market fundamentals. Less desirable product on the market is benefitting from the new construction, pushing rents to new highs. While there is a decent amount of new supply expected to deliver in 2017, demand remains high and vacancy is expected to remain at record lows with rents continuing to push upwards.
PORTLAND IS EXPERIENCING A BOOM IN SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZE DEVELOPMENTS OF INFILL SITES CLOSER TO THE URBAN CORE
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
79
Portland industrial sales & statistics
Industrial market statistics
Submarket
Size (RSF)
Vacancy
Avg. Rental Rate
Net Absorption (RSF)
Eastside
92,306,001
2.9%
$0.65
2,117,090
Westside
62,545,056
4.0%
$0.55
674,832
Clark County
16,385,710
3.4%
$0.48
179,345
2016 Total Market
171,236,767
3.4%
$0.59
2,971,267
2015 Total Market
167,491,279
3.8%
$0.50
4,339,260
Sales matrix (over $10 million) 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Number of Sales
17
5
1
1
2
5
5
15
11
22
Price/SF Highest
$156
$112
$52
$59
$44
$63
$95
$133
$153
$231
CAP Rate Average
6.9%
7.0%
9.5%
9.2%
N/A
7.4%
7.4%
7.1%
6.2%
6.1%
$377M
$84M
$40M
$28M
$32M
$173M
$103M
$320M
$732M
$591M
Sales Volume
80
Portland industrial sales ($10M+) Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
Commerce Park & Park I-84 Portfolio
12/9/16
1,392,407
$112,315,000
6.00%
1959-1993
$81
530,068
$51,400,000
1988-1992
$97
Buyer Seller
Comments
Lincoln Property Group
•
Five property portfolio
Washington Real Estate Holdings
•
69.7 Acres
LBA Realty
•
Nine building portfolio
BIT/PNC
•
90% leased at time of sale
•
21% office
•
Major tenants: Owens & Minor, Laminations
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Major Tenant: KeHE
Lexington Realty Trust
•
100% leased at time of sale
CBRE Global Investors
•
Major tenant: Pacific Foods (single user)
Artemis / Cruzan
•
Nine property portfolio
Specht/ASB
•
100% leased at time of sale
2901-3203 SW 153rd Ter 3005 SW 154th Ter
•
Major tenant: Nike
15345-15385 SW Beaverton Creek Ct
•
Flex property
•
Under market rents
KM Paige Associates
•
Two property portfolio
Specht/ASB
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Major tenant: Nike
•
Flex property
•
Under-market rents
12475 SE Johnson Rd Portland, OR Wilsonville Business Center
7/1/16
5.80%
27350-27695 SW 95th Ave 9025 SW Hillman Ct 9720-9750 SW Hillman Ct Wilsonville, OR PDX Logistics Center (2 buildings)
3/18/16
491,200
$46,600,000
2014
$95
5.70%
9255-9555 NE Alderwood Rd Portland, OR Wilsonville Logistics Center
Clarion Partners and LIT-Acquisitions Capstone Partners/PCCP
10/4/16
508,277
$43,100,000
1986 / 1989
$85
311,000
$41,550,000
1989-1997
$133
5.90%
27255 SW 95th Ave Wilsonville, OR Beaverton Creek Business Park
9/15/16
4.80%
15450 SW Milikan Way Beaverton, OR Beaverton Creek Business Park 15550-15560 SW Millikan Way Beaverton, OR
8/29/16
68,713
$9,500,000
1997
$138
4.80%
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
81
Portland industrial sales ($10M+) Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
PDX Logistics Center - Phase II – Bldg 3
10/31/16
355,200
$36,200,000
5.40%
2016
$102
527,934
$36,000,000
1999
$68
Buyer Seller
Comments
Clarion Partners
•
100% leased
Capstone Partners/PCCP
•
Major tenants: UPS, Cummins
Dermody Properties
•
82% leased at time of sale
Principal Real Estate Investors
•
Property has significant lease roll in near term
•
Major tenants: Ford, Terminal Transfer, Aaron Rents
Winkler
•
Two property portfolio
LBA Realty
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Year 1 cap rate: 7.45%
•
Major tenant: Nike
9601 NE Alderwood Rd Portland, OR Rivergate Logistics Center
5/4/16
8929 N Ramsey Blvd Portland, OR SunTech Corporate Park & Tanasbourne Corporate Park I
10/7/16
142,967
$23,275,000
2001
$163
4.70%
7.50%
3445 NW 211th Ter 20010 NW Tanasbourne Dr Hillsboro, OR Halsey Business Center
3/17/16
18285-18557 NE Halsey St Portland, OR Crosswhite Industrial Park
9/30/16
6461 SE Crosswhite Way Portland, OR
Ronler Corporate Center
5/4/16
23235-23255 NW Evergreen Pky Portland, OR Navistar Building 22638 NE Townsend Way Fairview, OR
82
9/22/16
423,300
$22,300,000
1960 / 1983
$53
267,000
$20,000,000
1980
$75
159,701
$17,325,000
2000-2001
$108
210,000
$17,200,000
2007
$82
7.10%
7.50%
N/A
N/A
•
Flex property
DRA Advisors
•
100% leased at time of sale
STAG Industrial
•
Major Tenant: Unisource Worldwide
Watumull Properties
•
Off-market transaction
Crosswhite Enterprises
•
17 property portfolio
•
1031 exchange for buyer
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Major Tenant: Precision Castparts
SWIFT
•
33% leased at time of sale
Broadreach Capital Partners
•
Pro-forma Cap Rate listed at 8.5% (after stabilization)
•
Flex property
•
Part of 19 property/35 building multimarket portfolio
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Major tenant: CTDI (single user)
RREEF Management International Airport Centers
Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
Twin Oaks Business Park
9/29/16
162,543
$17,150,000
7.00%
1984-1988
$103
1800-1815 NW 169th Pl Beaverton, OR Dawson Creek Corporate Park
9/23/16
126,180
$15,350,000
1996
$122
6.90%
Buyer Seller PNW Properties
•
10 Property portfolio
Graham Salisbury
•
Approximately 92% leased at time of sale
•
Bought for renovation
Thomas Garnier
•
2 Property portfolio
Leavitt / Wolff Co.
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Major tenants: Radisys Corp, Genentech
Lincoln Property Co.
•
100% leased at time of sale
Trammell Crow
•
Major Tenant: Wineshipping.com
DW Fritz
•
Owner-user
Killian Pacific
•
100% leased at time of sale
BLT Enterprises & Majestic Asset Management
•
25% mezzanine office build out
•
1031 Exchange
•
Development piece in site
•
Major tenants: Labrix, Cornell Pump Company
Prologis
•
100% leased at time of sale
Allegro Corporation
•
Off market transaction
•
1031 Exchange
•
Sale-Leaseback
Sixteen Segment
•
4 property portfolio
BKM Capital Partners
•
100% leased at time of sale
5435-5445 NE Dawson Creek Dr Hillsboro, OR Southwest Industrial Park Bldg D – Lot 4
1/31/16
145,136
$14,520,000
2015
$100
157,038
$12,000,000
978/1989
$76
160,707
$11,660,000
1981
$73
5.90%
Comments
12085 SW Myslony St Tualatin, OR IMP Building
9/28/16
9600 SW Boeckman Rd Wilsonville, OR Sunrise Business Center
6/9/16
16277 SE 130th Ave Clackamas, OR
Rockwood Corporate Center
2/12/16
131,037
$11,250,000
2008
$86
N/A
Inland Pacific Properties 7.70%
N/A
19786 NE San Rafael St Portland, OR Hayden Island Business Park
10/31/16
98,860
$11,125,000
1981
$113
6.40%
2400-2723 N Hayden Island Dr Portland, OR
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
83
Portland industrial sales ($10M+) Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
Cummins NW Building
6/30/16
47,883
$11,067,000
5.90%
1985
$231
4711 N Basin Ave Portland, OR E.J. Bartells Building 18977-19039 NE Portal Way Portland, OR
84
7/28/16
110,000
$10,473,909
1999
$95
5.50%
Buyer Seller
Comments
Alta Home Properties
•
100% leased at time of sale
Swan Island Capital
•
Possible 1031
•
Major tenant: Cummins NW
Industrial Property Trust
•
Two Property multimarket portfolio
Billings Development
•
Portfolio cap rate 5.5%
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Major tenantt: EJ Bartels (single user)
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
85
Portland
Office Industrial Retail Multifamily Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
87
2016 Portland retail sales ($10M+) overview
Investment sales decline as super-mall sales dry up After 2015’s stellar retail sales performance, the lack of super regional mall sales weighed down sales in 2016, which fell 58 percent to $438 million. Investors are still finding value in small neighborhood centers as cap rates compressed further in 2016, averaging 5.8 percent. The largest deal of 2016 was the sale of Progress Ridge Town Square by Gramor Development to Donahue Schriber for $95.2 million at a price per square foot of $445. Gramor is focusing its efforts on their Vancouver waterfront development. The new development, which broke ground in 2016 on its first phase, reconnects 35 acres along the Columbia River to the city’s historic core and will include up to 3,300 housing units, 10 park acres, 1.25 million square feet of office space and 250,000 square feet of retail and hospitality space. While Progress Ridge Town Square’s sale was the largest of the year, the most notable sale came from Macy’s 68 store closures. Macy’s owned the first 5 floors of the old Meier & Frank Building which total 195,470 square feet, the other 9 floors are occupied by The Nines Hotel owned by Pebblebrook Hotel Trust. Macy’s sold their portion of the building to KBS Realty Advisors for $54.15 million at $277 per square foot, and KBS plans to redevelop the building into creative office once Macy’s vacates in the spring of 2017. This shift in retail footprints is a national trend, not specific to Portland. Traditional department stores, midprice specialty and apparel retailers are undergoing a radical shift in consumer demand. Shoppers are either flocking to discount department stores like Target and Walmart or luxury retailers. This is been especially hard on traditional department stores, which are also perceived as old-fashioned by millennial and generation Z shoppers. Some will be redeveloped with new tenants focused on experiences, like food and entertainment. Others will be redeveloped with more of a focus on discount shopping, attracting retailers that might have traditionally been in a Power Center, like discount department stores and grocers.
INVESTORS ARE STILL FINDING VALUE IN SMALL NEIGHBORHOOD CENTERS AS CAP RATES COMPRESSED FURTHER IN 2016, AVERAGING 5.8 PERCENT. 88
Portland retail leasing
Portland retail fundamentals are strong Portland’s economy remains a top performer nationally, spurring confidence in the metro’s retail sector. The metro maintains solid economic drivers; above-average population growth, job gains and household formation. These factors have resulted in strong demand and thus declining vacancy, but rent growth is still average. Moderate net operating income growth should not support outsized returns but Portland’s strong demographics make it one of the better opportunities in the region, and retail cap rates are the highest among the West Coast metros. However, the hardships afflicting large national department chains have not evaded Portland. Macy’s announced that it will close its downtown location in spring 2017 as part of a nationwide 68-store closure following a slowdown in sales. In 2015, Nordstrom vacated both its Lloyd Center and Vancouver Mall locations. Management attributed underperforming sales to the Lloyd Center’s lack of appeal to the typical Nordstrom shopper. Demand in 2016 was strong with 773,961 square feet being absorbed, pushing Portland’s retail vacancy down to 3.9 percent, 40 basis points lower than in 2015 and significantly below the national average. 2017 won’t provide much relief, with just 431,573 square feet of retail space currently under construction and already 82.9 percent preleased. Over half of the current construction is general freestanding retail buildings with an average building size of 23,946
square feet, meaning minimal new options for larger stores. The largest project currently under construction is the 129,000 square foot expansion of Cedar Hills Crossing II in Beaverton. The addition is expected to deliver in the fourth quarter of 2017 with the bowling alley, Sunset Lanes, already signing a 44,446 square foot lease. Other large leases in the metro area include supermarket chain Fred Meyer moving into 143,000 square feet as the anchor tenant in the newly opened Happy Valley Crossroads shopping center in Clackamas/ Milwaukie. Walmart also signed 48,000 square feet at Sequoia Village in the Sunset Corridor. Big spending from a growing population contributes to strong demand. Population, employment growth and home price appreciation are well above the national average, meaning more residents with stable paychecks are purchasing goods and services in the metro area. Portland offers robust job prospects, and its reputation for high-quality yet relatively affordable living appeals to young families ready to settle down. Retail sales have been strong, but online sales could hurt demand for brick-and-mortar locations, especially in a metro that is increasingly tech-centric.
PORTLAND’S RETAIL VACANCY IS DOWN TO 3.9 PERCENT, 40 BASIS POINTS LOWER THAN IN 2015 AND SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW THE NATIONAL AVERAGE
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
89
Portland retail sales & statistics Retail market statistics
Submarket
Size (RSF)
Vacancy
Avg. Rental Rate
Net Absorption RSF
CBD
4,820,506
4.0%
$19.14
26,404
Clark County
18,766,299
4.8%
$18.42
306,058
I-5 Corridor
10,935,736
5.3%
$21.50
(47,628)
Lloyd District
5,564,753
4.3%
$21.92
11,903
Northeast
20,401,706
3.3%
$17.12
126,192
Northwest
1,826,150
3.2%
$22.40
(2,736)
Southeast
22,822,822
3.4%
$16.76
263,300
Southwest
13,701,921
3.7%
$18.60
(4,687)
Westside
9,637,155
3.2%
$18.37
95,155
2016 Total Market
108,477,048
3.9%
$18.23
773,961
2015 Total Market
107,318,284
4.60%
$17.42
705,712
Sales matrix (over $10 million) 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Number of Sales
14
6
4
9
4
5
9
13
20
14
Price/SF Highest
$633
$636
$173
$328
$209
$533
$405
$564
$643
$1,180
CAP Rate Average
6.5%
6.6%
8.5%
7.9%
9.7%
6.4%
7.4%
7.3%
6.6%
5.1%
$383M
$93M
$89M
$311M
$70M
$151M
$677M
$668M
$1.0B
$437M
Total sales volume ($ in millions)
90
Portland retail sales ($10M+) Property
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
Multi-Property Sale
8/19/16
213,849
$95,197,000
5.20%
2011
$445
Progress Ridge TownSquare
Donahue Schriber Commercial Real Estate
9/27/16
341,186
$86,300,000
2000
$253
184,610
$43,000,000
1998-2000
$233
N/A
Comments
•
10 property portfolio
•
98% leased at time of sale
•
Major tenants: New Seasons, Ace Hardware, Cinetopia, Umpqua
DDR
•
90% leased at time of sale
Westlake Realty Group
•
Major tenants: Bed Bath & Beyond, Best Buy, Old Navy
Giustina Resources
•
Eight property portfolio
Killian Pacific
•
90% leased at time of sale
•
Cap rate for Andresen Marketplace was 5.6%
•
Major tenants: Safeway, Rite-Aid
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
WALT: 14.1 years
•
Major tenants: Market of Choice, H&R Block, Pharmaca
Nhi-reit of Oregon LLC
•
100% leased at time of sale
Peg LLC
•
Single tenant: Toyota
Time Equities
•
90% leased at time of sale
Simon Property Group
•
Major tenants: Gap, Adidas, Bass, Carters, Guess
Killian Pacific
•
93% leased at time of sale
Metro Holdings North
•
1031 Exchange
•
Major tenants: Office Max, Harley Davidson Outlet, On Deck Sports Bar
Gramor Development
12345 SW Horizon Blvd Beaverton, OR Gresham Station Shopping Center
Buyer Seller
1135 NW Civic Dr Gresham, OR Evergreen & Andresen Marketplace Portfolio
4/22/16
6.70%
6711-6715 NE 63rd St 3307 NE 32nd St 3307 Evergreen Way Vancouver & Washougal, WA Multi-Property Sale
10/4/16
Timberland Shopping Center
91,660
$42,600,000
2015
$465
5.20%
LaSalle Investment Management Gramor Development
12043 NW Barnes Rd Portland, OR Toyota
8/22/16
30,924
3142 NE Doran Dr McMinnville, OR Columbia Gorge Premium Outlets
$36,500,000
N/A
$1,180 1/7/16
164,235
$28,425,000
1991/1998
$173
46,412
$19,750,000
1978
$426
N/A
450 NW 257th Way Troutdale, OR Lovejoy Square Portfolio 930 NW 14th Ave 1325 NW Kearney St Portland, OR
7/8/16
5.10%
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
91
Portland retail sales ($10M+) Property
Kitchen Kaboodle
Closing Date
Total SF Year Built
Sale Price $ Per SF
Cap Rate
2/2/16
30,567
$13,000,000
5.00%
1987
$425
404 NW 23rd St Portland, OR Arney Retail Center
3/1/16
9/14/16
6901 NE Sandy Blvd 7037 NE Sandy Blvd Portland, OR Town & Country Chrysler/ Mitsubishi
Urban Development Partners
Comments
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Major tenant: Kitchen Kaboodle
•
Major tenants: TJ Maxx, Panera, Red Robin
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Major tenants: Safeway, Raymond James Financial Services, Starbucks
Bett Investments
•
100% leased at time of sale
Moorenouri li
•
Major tenants: Dodge, Hyundai, Chrysler, Jeep
Heslin Holdings
•
Former Alerbertson’s
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Single tenant: Sears
•
100% leased at time of sale
•
Single tenant: New Seasons
Alta Home Properties, LLC
3000-3060 Sprague Ln Woodburn, OR Rose City Center
Buyer Seller
38,390
$12,870,979
2015
$331
59,685
$12,750,000
1993
$214
5.90%
Giustina Resources Deacon Development Group
N/A
Retail Opportunity Investments, Corp. Estate of Earl M. Chiles
4/12/16
38,039
$12,650,000
1986
$332
48,330
$11,775,000
2000
$244
111,645
$11,500,000
1959
$103
M/A
16800 SE Mcloughlin Blvd Milwaukie, OR Tigard Towne Square
4/1/16
16200 SW Pacific Hwy Portland, OR Sears
8/17/16
1260 Lloyd Ctr Portland, OR New Seasons Market 6300 N Lombard St Portland, OR
92
N/A
Spirit Realty Capital N/A
Capref Lloyd Center East LLC Sears Roebuck & Co
3/1/16
25,050
$10,620,000
2016
$424
5.10%
Ram Property Development Deacon Development Group
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
93
Title right
94
Portland
Office Industrial Retail Multifamily
2016 Portland multifamily sales ($10M+) overview
Portland’s robust multifamily demand is driven by the recent influx of millennials and new employers Portland’s multifamily strength stems from the continual increase in population and the notably high levels of employment. Portland currently has an inventory of 173,735 units, with an overall 2016 vacancy rate hovering around 4.9 percent. The average Portland rent sits at $1,297, which is a 10.2 percent rent increase from last year. Oregon is one of the top moving destinations according to migration studies. The average income in Portland is $81,160 and the total population is 2,372,802. The Portland City Council predicts that around 260,000 more people will be living in Portland by 2035. An impressive 40.9 percent of the total population earns over $75,000. Currently, unemployment levels in Portland are 5.0 percent and the city ranks ninth in the nation for total employment increase at 5.0 percent in the last 12 months. According to apartment search website, Abodo, Portland was voted as the fourtht most desirable city for millennials. Portland is on the cutting edge of the evolution of the local food and drink scene, which includes 895 local food trucks and 69 craft breweries. Portland has the highest concentration of athletic and outdoor companies in the nation. Millennial growth in Portland is anticipated to be 5.2 percent over the next five years, predominately in the downtown area. Investors continue to capitalize on the robust demand in the Portland market. 2016 multifamily sales dwarfed all previous years with 66 deals exceeding $10 million, totaling 13,757 units for $2.8 billion, $1.0 billion more than last year. The largest sale of the year occurred in the fourth quarter when Invesco Real Estate and Holland Partner Group purchased the 566-unit LaSalle
Apartments in Beaverton for $140 million. By far the most headlinegrabbing transaction was the new high-water mark for Portland’s eastside, which was set by the sale of The Yard to a Bangkok-based investment firm Land and Houses Public Company Limited of Thailand. The 284-unit apartment building sold at just over 50 percent occupied for $446,126 per unit and $551 per square foot, totaling just under $127.0 million. The average cap rate in 2016 was 5.1 percent for all transactions over $10 million, and 4.7 percent for new construction. The market wide range for multifamily cap rates was between 3.8 and 6.1 percent. The City of Portland recently passed new inclusionary zoning which calls for developments with 20 or more units to set aside 20 percent of those units for households making less than 80 percent of the median household income. In response to this new zoning, the city saw a surge in permit applications at the end of 2016 Looking into 2017, economic indicators point toward continued strength within the Portland metro area. The high levels of renting demand are largely due to the substantial job and population growth. Developers are anticipating a strong increase in demand for rental units as the millennial population grows. In 2016, 5,353 units delivered with 3,584 units absorbed. 5,506 units are scheduled to deliver in 2017. Portland is one of the most affordable West Coast cities that is able to draw international employee talent. In 2017, the Portland multifamily market will remain strong and experience moderate growth in rents. The supporting demographics will keep demand high and provide plenty of opportunity for development.
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Portland multifamily sales & statistics
Sales matrix ($10M+)
Total # of Sales
Highest Price Per Unit
Cap Rate Average Total Sales Volume ($ in millions)
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
25
27
21
8
16
21
20
20
37
49
67
$146,610
$294,077
$455,340
$184,659
$285,149
$395,000
$267,241
$343,017
$456,710
425,000
$466,126
6.1%
5.2%
5.4%
7.2%
5.9%
5.7%
5.7%
5.6%
5.6%
5.3%
5.1%
$458M
$1.1B
$688M
$266M
$485M
$690M
$660M
$702M
$1.2B
$1.7B
$2.8B
2016 MULTIFAMILY SALES DWARFED ALL PREVIOUS YEARS WITH 66 DEALS EXCEEDING $10 MILLION, TOTALING 13,757 UNITS FOR $2.8 BILLION, $1.0 BILLION MORE THAN LAST YEAR.
98
Portland multifamily sales ($10M+) Property
LaSalle
Closing Date
11/14/16
15021 SW Millikan Way
12/14/16
11/18/16
$126,600,000
284
11/30/16
Land & Houses Guardian Real Estate Services
$118,100,000
367
4.60%
Sequoia Equities Mill Creek Residential Trust
$96,000,000
423
4.40%
$226,950 1985
Beaverton, OR
LaSalle Investment Management Holland Partners
$288 3/31/16
$94,000,000
243
2080 NW Front Avenue
$385,117 2015
Portland, OR
$484 12/1/16
8900 SW Sweek Drive
$93,000,000
408
4.20%
Greystar The Carlyle Group
4.50%
$227,941 1998
Tualatin, OR
Kennedy Wilson American Realty Advisors
$274 5/20/16
8150 SW Barnes Road
$81,500,000
357
4.50%
$228,291 1985
Portland, OR The Terraces
3.80%
$349
14790 SW Scholls Ferry Road
Breckenridge
Holland Partners Waterton Residential
$303,534 2015
Tigard, OR
Alara Hedges Creek
Buyer
Seller
$600
18049 SW Lower Boones Ferry Road
Waterline
4.00%
$409,536 2016
Portland, OR
Seven West at the Trails
554
Cap Rate
$239
22 NE 2nd Avenue
Eddyline Bridgeport
$141,750,000
Units Year Built
$255,866 1997
Beaverton, OR Yard
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Resource Real Estate Holland Partners
$299 12/2/16
$78,340,000
373
19000 NW Evergreen Pkwy
$210,027 1986
Hillsboro, OR
$215
4.70%
Blackstone Alecta Real Estate Investment
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
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Portland multifamily sales ($10M+) Property
One Jefferson Parkway
Closing Date
10/14/16
$78,000,000
Units Year Built
347
1 Jefferson Pkwy
$224,784 1986
Lake Oswego, OR
$211
Riverwalk at Happy Valley
9/29/16
$76,000,000
390
8640 SE Causey Avenue
$194,872 1989
Happy Valley, OR
$217
The Club
12/2/16
$72,980,000
352
2323 NW 188th Avenue
$207,330 1991
Hillsboro, OR
$244
Cook Street
5/17/16
$69,000,000
206
107 North Cook Street
$304,284 2016
Portland, OR
$453
Vue
7/12/16
1717 SW Park Avenue
Russellville Commons
$63,950,000
307
3/1/16
$57,850,000
283
$204,417 1999
Portland, OR
$233 10/11/16
$55,000,000
238
11785 NW Timberview Lane
$231,092 2009
Portland, OR
$240
Evergreen Park
4.90%
Buyer
Seller
Security Properties Friedkin Realty Group
5.00%
MG Properties Group Green Leaf Partners
4.40%
Blackstone Alecta Real Estate Investment
4.50%
Berkshire Property Advisors Lake Union Partners
5.40%
JRK Property Holdings ColRich Group
$278
10320 SE Pine Street
Sofi at Cedar Mill
Cap Rate
$200,163 1951
Portland, OR
100
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
9/29/16
$54,200,000
369
4619 NE 112th Avenue
$146,883 1989
Vancouver, WA
$177
5.20%
MG Properties Group The Reliant Group
4.80%
Pacific Urban Residential Security Properties
5.60%
Abacus Capital Group Lone Star Funds
Property
Rowlock
Closing Date
10/4/16
6380 NE Cherry Dr
10/4/16
10/5/16
$62,000,000
228
12/9/16
$53,300,000
278
10/5/16
LivCor Bridge Investment Group Partners
$49,500,000
296
5.60%
Jackson Square Properties Security Properties
$46,350,000
336
5.70%
$137,946 1999
Vancouver, WA
LivCor Bridge Investment Group Partners
$165 2/10/16
$45,000,000
177
1030 NE Orenco Station Pkwy
$226,285 2012
Hillsboro, OR
$287 10/31/16
16100 SW Century Drive
$43,100,000
200
5.00%
Investco Real Estate Holland Partners
5.50%
$215,500 1998
Sherwood, OR
Portland, OR
5.50%
$165
12901 NE 28th Street
522 NW 19th Ave
Blackstone Holland Partners
$167,230 1988
Vancouver, WA
Park 19
4.70%
$188
4701 NE 72nd Avenue
Sunfield Lakes
Blackstone Holland Partners
$191,727 1990
Gresham, OR
Platform 14
Buyer
Seller
$365
3181 NE 23rd Road
Madison Park
4.70%
$260,175 2016
Hillsboro, OR
Camden Place
255
Cap Rate
$347
967 NE Orenco Station Pkwy
Vista at 23
$70,000,000
Units Year Built
$256,551 2015
Hillsboro, OR Vector
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Brookline Investment Group Berkshire Property Advisors
$206 3/18/16
$42,500,000
101
$410,891 2009
4.00%
Greystar TIAA
$514
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Portland multifamily sales ($10M+) Property
Powell Valley Farms
Closing Date
10/28/16
$39,500,000
Units Year Built
228
1500 SW Pleasant View Drive
$173,246 2003
Gresham, OR
$202
The Linden
12/8/16
1250 E Burnside St
Sofi at Forest Heights
12/15/16
8/23/16
9/29/16
5.10%
Pacific Urban Residential Security Properties
$37,250,000
225
5.20%
Sage Apartment Communities Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Company
$37,000,000
240
5.40%
Hamilton Zanze & Company Timberland Framing
$167 1/29/16
13314 SE 19th Street
$35,250,000
198
5.50%
$178,030 1989
Vancouver, WA
Jackson Square Properties Belkorp Holdings
$177 10/4/16
980 NE Orenco Station Loop
$33,500,000
124
4.80%
$236,942 2015
Hillsboro, OR
Gresham, OR
160
$154,167 2014
Vancouver, WA
1167 NW Wallula Avenue
$37,500,000
$184
11800 NE 124th Avenue
Townfair
Grand Peaks Properties The Foursquare Church
$165,556 1999
Gresham, OR
Hub 9
4.70%
$241
2831 SE Palmquist Road
The Meadows at Cascade Park
Gelt Jackson Square Properties
$234,375 2004
Portland, OR
Rock Creek Commons
132
5.20%
Buyer
Seller
$428
1940 NW Miller Road
Parkside
$39,000,000
Cap Rate
$272,860 2014
Portland, OR
102
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Blackstone Holland Partners
$327 5/9/16
$31,000,000
265
$116,981 1990 $137
5.90%
Sage Apartment Communities Tokola Properties
Property
The Gables at Mountain Park
Closing Date
12/22/16
2 Jefferson Pkwy
8/30/16
12/9/16
10/1/16
5/24/16
Sage Apartment Communities Tokola Properties
$26,500,000
160
5.60%
Jackson Square Properties Security Properties
$24,900,000
75
4.70%
Robert Johnson LT Anctil Enterprises LLC
$24,660,000
118
4.70%
$184,266 2015
Portland, OR
Front Avenue Corporation ZRZ Realty Co
$343 12/15/16
7700 NE 72nd Avenue
$24,250,000
141
5.50%
$171,986 1990
Vancouver, WA
Aukum Management Belkorp Holdings
$175 10/6/16
1500 SW 12th Avenue
$23,450,000
83
4.70%
$282,530 2016
Portland, OR
Beaverton, OR
5.50%
$438
3155 SW Moody Ave
14305 SW Sexton Mountain Drive
164
$296,022 2015
Portland, OR
Terra at Murray Hill
$29,000,000
$163
4357 N Williams Ave
The Cameron
LaSalle Investment Management Sares-Regis Group
$165,625 1997
Vancouver, WA
Golfside Village
Buyer
Seller
$212
4714 NE 72nd Avenue
The Emery
5.00%
$176,829 1991
Portland, OR
The Wilmore
129
Cap Rate
$233
15800 NW West Union Road
Carriage House
$29,080,000
Units Year Built
$225,426 1991
Lake Oswego, OR Oak Hill
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Grand Peaks Properties Summit Real Estate
$439 3/11/16
$23,350,000
138
$169,203 1975
5.20%
Pacific Urban Residential Hamilton Zanze & Company
$197
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
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Portland multifamily sales ($10M+) Property
Village at Van Mall
Closing Date
12/9/16
5000 NE 72nd Avenue
6/13/16
8/24/16
4/1/16
2/1/16
$19,900,000
124
5.70%
Piedmont Properties Group PTLA
$18,530,000
120
5.30%
Waldman Management Group Hamilton Zanze & Company
$18,500,000
62
4.30%
Berkshire Property Advisors Urban Asset Advisors
$506 9/1/16
29250 SW Parkway Court
$18,500,000
111
5.50%
$166,667 1990
Wilsonville, OR
Curtis Capital Group Summit Real Estate
$175 5/12/16
16751 SE 82nd Drive
$18,000,000
155
6.00%
$116,129 1972
Clackamas, OR
104
Priderock Capital Partners OpenPath Investments
$284,637 2015
Portland, OR
Vancouver, WA
5.60%
$179
60 SE 10th Avenue
3009 NE 57th Avenue
135
$154,417 1998
Portland, OR
The Park at Fox Pointe
$21,500,000
$166
13830 SW Chinn Ln
Boulder Gardens
Jackson Square Properties Security Properties
$160,484 2000
Fairview, OR
Town Center Park
Buyer
Seller
$182
21933 NE Chinook Way
Lower Burnside Lofts
5.50%
$159,259 1994
Oregon City, OR
Maybeck at The Bend
128
Cap Rate
$173
19839 Hwy 213
Chinook Way
$22,000,000
Units Year Built
$171,875 1995
Vancouver, WA The Preserve
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Kleinbub, Fredrick & Angelina Schaaf, Steven Ron
$170 1/11/16
$16,250,000
200
$81,250 1975 $110
7.00%
NFN Investments Diesing, Charles F.
Property
Waverly Gardens
Closing Date
1/15/16
20121 SE Stark Street
4/13/16
10/31/16
2/24/16
6/7/16
Landbank Investments, LLC Winkler Development Corporation
$13,875,000
104
5.80%
Transpacific Investments Foam Street Investments
$13,600,000
120
6.40%
Realvest Dernbach, Dave
$13,450,000
96
5.70%
$140,104 1997
Clackamas, OR
Gallegly, John R. Sunnyside Construction & Development
$153 1/8/16
3050 SW 10th Avenue
$13,250,000
87
5.20%
$152,299 1977
Portland, OR
Kleinbub, Fredrick & Angelina Matteson Companies
$310 3/14/16
18380 NW Heritage Pkwy
$13,100,000
93
5.90%
$140,860 1981
Beaverton, OR
Portland, OR
4.70%
$145
16500 SE 82nd Drive
16804 SE Powell Blvd
32
$113,333 1982
Vancouver, WA
Sterling Park
$14,048,550
$160
10117 NE 9th Avenue
Village 185
Sage Apartment Communities Gallegly, John R.
$133,413 1966
Vancouver, WA
City View
Buyer
Seller
$331
7806 NE 12th St
The Crossings
6.40%
$439,017 2008
Portland, OR
Crown Plaza
147
Cap Rate
$130
4216 N Mississippi Ave
Parkview
$16,230,000
Units Year Built
$110,408 1982
Portland, OR Mississippi Avenue Lofts
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Aukum Management Kurilo, Paul
$163 12/7/16
$10,950,000
73
$150,000 1991
5.70%
Michael Kilroy Gordon Irvine
$139
Seattle & Portland 2016 Investment Overview
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Portland multifamily sales ($10M+) Property
Hogan Woods
Closing Date
5/2/16
1645 NE 20th Street
2000 NE 19th Street Gresham, OR
106
$10,820,000
Units Year Built
100
Cap Rate
6.30%
$108,200 1998
Gresham, OR Royal Greens
Sale Price $ Per Unit $ Per SF
Buyer
Seller
Sage Apartment Communities McNutt, Robert
$149 5/31/16
$10,500,000
90
$116,667 1970 $121
6.50%
Waldman Management Group Guardian Real Estate Services
601 Union Street, Suite 2800, Seattle, WA 98101
tel +1 206 607 1700
fax +1 206 607 1701
225 108th Avenue NE, Suite 550, Bellevue, WA 98004
tel +1 425 974 4000
fax+1 425 974 4020
1120 NW Couch Street, Suite 500, Portland, OR 97209
tel +1 503 972 8000
fax +1 503 972 8001
JLL.com