Walker Leads Tightly Clustered GOP Field, Clinton Up Big Nationally

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

May 13, 2015

INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL [email protected], OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESS RELEASE

Walker Leads Tightly Clustered GOP Field, Clinton Up Big Nationally Raleigh, N.C. – PPP's national Republican poll for May continues to find Scott Walker leading the field, but it's tightly clustered and his support has actually dropped two consecutive surveys now. Walker's at 18% to 13% for Marco Rubio, 12% each for Ben Carson and Mike Huckabee, 11% for Jeb Bush, 10% for Ted Cruz, 9% for Rand Paul, 5% for Chris Christie, and 2% for Rick Perry. Two candidates have the clear momentum in the six weeks since we did our last national Republican poll: Marco Rubio and Mike Huckabee. In addition to being second place overall, Rubio is the most frequently named second choice of GOP voters at 15%. The 28% of Republicans who name him as either their first or second choice matches Walker for the top of the heap. His 13% represents a 7 point gain from his 6% standing in late March. Huckabee's gained 6 points from the last national poll we did. His 58% favorability rating is the highest of the GOP field and his net +34 rating at 58/24 is tied with Rubio's at 56/22 to make him the most popular candidate. Two other candidates clearly have their support headed in the wrong direction: Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz. Bush had been in 2nd at 17% and has now dropped to 5th at 11%. He continues to really struggle with voters identifying themselves as 'very conservative.' Just 5% support him for the nomination and his favorability with them is under water at 35/44. On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton leads with 63% to 13% for Bernie Sanders, 6% for Jim Webb, 5% for Lincoln Chafee, and 2% for Martin O'Malley. Clinton's over 60% with liberals, moderates, women, whites, African Americans, and seniors and is at least over 50% with men, Hispanics, and young voters. “Republicans are bouncing up and down much as they did in 2012,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Meanwhile Hillary Clinton maintains her dominant hold on the Democratic lead.” Public Policy Polling® interviewed 685 Republican primary voters and 600 Democratic primary voters nationally from May 7th to 10th. The margins of error for the surveys are +/-3.7% and +/4.0% respectively. 80% of interviews for the poll were conducted over the phone with 20% interviewed over the internet to reach respondents who don’t have landline telephones. Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: [email protected]

National Survey Results Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeb Bush?

Q7

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Perry?

Favorable........................................................ 40%

Favorable........................................................ 42%

Unfavorable .................................................... 36%

Unfavorable .................................................... 26%

Not sure .......................................................... 24%

Not sure .......................................................... 32%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ben Carson?

Q8

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Marco Rubio?

Favorable........................................................ 54%

Favorable........................................................ 56%

Unfavorable .................................................... 18%

Unfavorable .................................................... 22%

Not sure .......................................................... 28%

Not sure .......................................................... 22%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Chris Christie?

Q9

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Walker?

Favorable........................................................ 31%

Favorable........................................................ 50%

Unfavorable .................................................... 52%

Unfavorable .................................................... 16%

Not sure .......................................................... 17%

Not sure .......................................................... 34%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ted Cruz? Favorable........................................................ 51% Unfavorable .................................................... 25% Not sure .......................................................... 24%

Q5

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike Huckabee? Favorable........................................................ 58% Unfavorable .................................................... 24% Not sure .......................................................... 18%

Q6

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rand Paul? Favorable........................................................ 48% Unfavorable .................................................... 29% Not sure .......................................................... 24%

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Survey of 685 Republican primary voters [email protected] / 888 621-6988

May 7-10, 2015

Q10 (Republicans) Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016? Jeb Bush......................................................... 11% Ben Carson..................................................... 12% Chris Christie .................................................. 5% Ted Cruz ......................................................... 10% Mike Huckabee ............................................... 12%

Q12 When it comes to the Republican nominee for President are you more concerned with having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues, or the one who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election? More concerned with having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues.... 38% More concerned with having the candidate who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election .................... 53% Not sure .......................................................... 10%

Q13 (Republicans) Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

Rand Paul ....................................................... 9%

Yes.................................................................. 24%

Rick Perry ....................................................... 2%

No ................................................................... 61%

Marco Rubio ................................................... 13%

Not sure .......................................................... 16%

Scott Walker ................................................... 18% Someone else / Not sure ................................ 7%

Q11 (Republicans) Given the same list of choices, who would be your second choice for the GOP candidate for President in 2016? Jeb Bush......................................................... 8%

Q14 (Republicans) Are you an Evangelical Christian or not? Yes.................................................................. 51% No ................................................................... 49%

Q15 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Lindsey Graham?

Ben Carson..................................................... 11%

Favorable........................................................ 19%

Chris Christie .................................................. 6%

Unfavorable .................................................... 31%

Ted Cruz ......................................................... 6%

Not sure .......................................................... 49%

Mike Huckabee ............................................... 10% Rand Paul ....................................................... 8% Rick Perry ....................................................... 5% Marco Rubio ................................................... 15% Scott Walker ................................................... 10% Someone else / Not sure ................................ 20%

Q16 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of George Pataki? Favorable........................................................ 13% Unfavorable .................................................... 24% Not sure .......................................................... 64%

Q17 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump? Favorable........................................................ 37% Unfavorable .................................................... 43% Not sure .......................................................... 20%


May 7-10, 2015

Q18 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Carly Fiorina? Favorable........................................................ 28% Unfavorable .................................................... 21% Not sure .......................................................... 51%

Q19 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bobby Jindal? Favorable........................................................ 44%

q23 Do you think that the Government is trying to take over Texas or not? The Government is trying to take over Texas.. 32% The Government is not trying to take over Texas .............................................................. 40% Not sure .......................................................... 28%

q24 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?

Unfavorable .................................................... 18%

Very liberal ...................................................... 1%

Not sure .......................................................... 39%

Somewhat liberal ............................................ 6%

Q20 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Kasich? Favorable........................................................ 22% Unfavorable .................................................... 17% Not sure .......................................................... 61%

Q21 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Santorum? Favorable........................................................ 45% Unfavorable .................................................... 22% Not sure .......................................................... 33%

Q22 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Emily Farris? Favorable........................................................ 3% Unfavorable .................................................... 20%

Moderate......................................................... 21% Somewhat conservative.................................. 34% Very conservative ........................................... 37%

q25 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Woman ........................................................... 49% Man................................................................. 51%

Q26 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4. 18 to 29........................................................... 13% 30 to 45........................................................... 19% 46 to 65........................................................... 41% Older than 65 .................................................. 28%

Not sure .......................................................... 77%


May 7-10, 2015

Republican Primary Base

Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie

Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure

Bush Favorability Favorable 40%

81%

41%

37%

18%

43%

25%

51%

46%

33%

25%

Unfavorable 36%

2%

42%

31%

61%

30%

45%

46%

26%

54%

19%

Not sure 24%

17%

17%

33%

21%

27%

30%

3%

28%

13%

56%




Carson Favorability Favorable 54%

21%

88%

24%

60%

36%

46%

59%

65%

72%

27%

Unfavorable 18%

30%

5%

47%

17%

21%

17%

27%

11%

16%

20%

Not sure 28%

49%

7%

30%

23%

42%

37%

15%

24%

12%

53%




Christie Favorability Favorable 31%

36%

23%

97%

15%

36%

30%

25%

28%

21%

34%

Unfavorable 52%

50%

60%

1%

66%

34%

54%

65%

56%

68%

33%

Not sure 17%

14%

17%

1%

19%

30%

16%

10%

16%

11%

33%




Cruz Favorability Favorable 51%

15%

56%

21%

88%

45%

33%

63%

53%

76%

29%

Unfavorable 25%

39%

20%

43%

10%

28%

38%

24%

28%

13%

29%

Not sure 24%

46%

24%

36%

3%

27%

29%

14%

19%

11%

42%

May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988




Huckabee Favorability Favorable 58%

43%

69%

48%

42%

93%

34%

50%

60%

64%

54%

Unfavorable 24%

32%

20%

43%

26%

5%

47%

27%

24%

22%

11%

Not sure 18%

26%

11%

9%

33%

2%

18%

23%

17%

15%

35%




Paul Favorability Favorable 48%

34%

39%

33%

63%

40%

86%

49%

54%

46%

31%

Unfavorable 29%

37%

31%

48%

20%

29%

7%

27%

34%

32%

19%

Not sure 24%

29%

29%

19%

17%

31%

7%

24%

12%

22%

49%




Perry Favorability Favorable 42%

35%

44%

18%

63%

37%

30%

61%

44%

49%

30%

Unfavorable 26%

44%

20%

44%

15%

21%

26%

29%

28%

25%

21%

Not sure 32%

21%

36%

38%

22%

41%

44%

10%

29%

26%

49%




Rubio Favorability Favorable 56%

36%

62%

41%

61%

41%

23%

52%

87%

77%

35%

Unfavorable 22%

26%

16%

23%

21%

31%

44%

37%

7%

15%

20%

Not sure 22%

37%

21%

36%

17%

28%

33%

10%

6%

8%

45%






Walker Favorability Favorable 50%

24%

48%

40%

52%

36%

19%

33%

56%

98%

39%

Unfavorable 16%

29%

15%

8%

10%

19%

32%

27%

16%

0%

17%

Not sure 34%

48%

36%

52%

38%

45%

50%

40%

28%

1%

44%



Ted Mike Cruz Huckabee

Rand Paul

Rick Marco Scott Someone else Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure

Republican Primary Jeb Bush 11% Ben Carson 12%

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

5%

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Ted Cruz 10%

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

Mike Huckabee 12%

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

Rand Paul

9%

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

Rick Perry

2%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

Marco Rubio 13%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

Scott Walker 18%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

Chris Christie

Someone else / Not sure

7%






Republican Primary Second Choice Jeb Bush

8%

Ben Carson 11% Chris Christie

6%

Ted Cruz

6%

-

7%

5%

-

21%

1%

6%

3%

10%

15%

24%

17%

4%

8%

10%

13%

12%

16%

-

14%

17%

5%

-

1%

12%

13%

3%

2%

5%

-

-

12%

6%

-

6%

4%

3%

11%

10%

Mike Huckabee 10%

18%

26%

9%

10%

-

9%

3%

9%

5%

8%

Rand Paul

8%

3%

4%

18%

16%

11%

15%

9%

9%

3%

Rick Perry

5%

5%

3%

1%

8%

5%

8%

-

4%

8%

1%

Marco Rubio 15%

14%

19%

8%

22%

12%

7%

17%

-

-

33%

Scott Walker 10%

9%

9%

19%

17%

8%

5%

29%

20%

-

Someone else / Not 20% sure

24%

18%

23%

11%

23%

22%

6%

14%

8%

-

5% 70%




Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with 38% having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues

22%

43%

25%

63%

47%

41%

57%

21%

36%

38%

More concerned with 53% having the candidate who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election

62%

49%

57%

33%

43%

44%

41%

75%

59%

42%

Not sure 10%

16%

8%

18%

5%

10%

15%

3%

3%

6%

21%






Tea Party Yes/No Yes 24%

4%

26%

19%

60%

27%

24%

43%

14%

27%

5%

No 61%

80%

63%

71%

27%

62%

52%

44%

72%

54%

76%

Not sure 16%

17%

11%

10%

14%

12%

25%

13%

14%

20%

18%




Evangelical Yes/No Yes 51%

41%

63%

30%

65%

60%

40%

68%

51%

43%

56%

No 49%

59%

37%

70%

35%

40%

60%

32%

49%

57%

44%




Graham Favorability Favorable 19%

27%

17%

17%

10%

21%

3%

3%

34%

24%

11%

Unfavorable 31%

25%

32%

50%

59%

24%

18%

22%

25%

38%

16%

Not sure 49%

49%

50%

33%

31%

55%

79%

75%

41%

38%

73%

Republican Primary Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie


Favorable 13%

12%

7%

24%

4%

9%

Unfavorable 24%

29%

22%

3%

36%

Not sure 64%

59%

71%

73%

60%

Base Pataki Favorability


8%

23%

13%

22%

9%

25%

9%

21%

26%

32%

11%

66%

82%

55%

61%

47%

81%





Trump Favorability Favorable 37%

24%

31%

48%

33%

34%

29%

57%

49%

47%

22%

Unfavorable 43%

58%

40%

39%

40%

45%

46%

43%

42%

36%

49%

Not sure 20%

18%

29%

13%

27%

20%

25%

-

9%

17%

29%




Fiorina Favorability Favorable 28%

16%

26%

31%

34%

14%

14%

15%

33%

54%

12%

Unfavorable 21%

32%

31%

22%

14%

21%

10%

23%

16%

19%

22%

Not sure 51%

53%

43%

47%

51%

66%

77%

62%

51%

27%

65%




Jindal Favorability Favorable 44%

16%

47%

15%

70%

31%

25%

28%

Unfavorable 18%

32%

19%

16%

10%

21%

26%

31%

Not sure 39%

51%

33%

69%

20%

48%

49%

42%

59%

72%

13%

8%

6%

28%

33%

22%

59%




Kasich Favorability Favorable 22%

11%

30%

18%

19%

14%

10%

30%

28%

39%

9%

Unfavorable 17%

20%

17%

7%

20%

26%

10%

40%

11%

19%

11%

Not sure 61%

70%

53%

75%

61%

60%

80%

30%

61%

42%

81%






Santorum Favorability Favorable 45%

34%

55%

33%

66%

42%

27%

58%

52%

44%

39%

Unfavorable 22%

32%

18%

19%

11%

16%

29%

17%

22%

26%

17%

Not sure 33%

34%

26%

48%

23%

42%

44%

25%

26%

29%

44%




Farris Favorability 3%

4%

1%

-

-

1%

5%

-

12%

2%

-

Unfavorable 20%

24%

26%

20%

17%

22%

11%

55%

10%

22%

13%

Not sure 77%

73%

74%

80%

83%

77%

84%

45%

78%

76%

87%

Favorable




Govt Texas Takeover Yes/No The Government is 32% trying to take over Texas

18%

25%

15%

56%

35%

29%

76%

32%

38%

12%

The Government is 40% not trying to take over Texas

59%

42%

50%

21%

35%

50%

17%

35%

36%

44%

Not sure 28%

23%

33%

34%

22%

30%

22%

7%

33%

27%

44%



Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election

Not sure


31%

52%

14%

Unfavorable 36%

43%

29%

52%

Not sure 24%

27%

19%

34%


Not sure


56%

56%

32%

Unfavorable 18%

15%

19%

32%

Not sure 28%

30%

26%

35%


Not sure


28%

34%

21%

Unfavorable 52%

51%

53%

52%

Not sure 17%

20%

13%

26%


Not sure


61%

49%

23%

Unfavorable 25%

16%

29%

40%

Not sure 24%

23%

22%

36%




Not sure


62%

63%

23%

Unfavorable 24%

18%

23%

54%

Not sure 18%

20%

15%

23%


Not sure


54%

47%

27%

Unfavorable 29%

20%

33%

39%

Not sure 24%

26%

20%

34%


Not sure


49%

41%

16%

Unfavorable 26%

15%

29%

52%

Not sure 32%

36%

29%

31%


Not sure


52%

65%

24%

Unfavorable 22%

23%

16%

44%

Not sure 22%

25%

19%

32%




Not sure


53%

55%

19%

Unfavorable 16%

8%

17%

40%

Not sure 34%

40%

28%

41%


Not sure

Republican Primary Jeb Bush 11%

7%

13%

19%

Ben Carson 12%

14%

11%

11%

5%

3%

5%

9%

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz 10%

16%

6%

5%

Mike Huckabee 12%

15%

10%

13%

Rand Paul

9%

10%

7%

14%

Rick Perry

2%

4%

2%

1%

Marco Rubio 13%

7%

19%

4%

Scott Walker 18%

17%

20%

10%

7%

5%

15%


7%




Not sure

Republican Primary Second Choice 8%

7%

10%

4%

Ben Carson 11%

13%

9%

10%

6%

7%

9%

Jeb Bush

Chris Christie

6%

Ted Cruz

6%

9%

4%

5%

Mike Huckabee 10%

14%

9%

2%

Rand Paul

8%

8%

8%

4%

Rick Perry

5%

5%

6%

1%

Marco Rubio 15%

11%

19%

9%

Scott Walker 10%

11%

10%

3%


17%

17%

53%


Not sure


100%

-

-


-

100%

-

Not sure 10%

-

-

100%




Not sure


38%

17%

8%

No 61%

47%

68%

76%

Not sure 16%

16%

16%

16%


Not sure


63%

44%

41%

No 49%

37%

56%

59%


Not sure


12%

27%

7%

Unfavorable 31%

30%

31%

37%

Not sure 49%

58%

41%

56%


Not sure

Pataki Favorability Favorable 13%

11%

15%

7%

Unfavorable 24%

21%

28%

14%

Not sure 64%

68%

58%

79%




Not sure


41%

38%

12%

Unfavorable 43%

37%

45%

61%

Not sure 20%

22%

17%

27%


Not sure


25%

33%

14%

Unfavorable 21%

13%

24%

34%

Not sure 51%

63%

42%

52%


Not sure


45%

48%

17%

Unfavorable 18%

11%

17%

45%

Not sure 39%

44%

35%

38%


Not sure


20%

27%

9%

Unfavorable 17%

17%

16%

22%

Not sure 61%

63%

57%

69%




Not sure


57%

43%

15%

Unfavorable 22%

9%

27%

39%

Not sure 33%

34%

30%

46%


Not sure


3%

4%

-

Unfavorable 20%

18%

21%

17%

Not sure 77%

79%

75%

83%

Favorable


Not sure


39%

29%

23%


28%

44%

57%

Not sure 28%

33%

27%

20%



Tea Party Yes/No Base

Yes

No

Not sure


25%

47%

35%

Unfavorable 36%

57%

28%

37%

Not sure 24%

18%

25%

28%


Yes

No

Not sure


74%

45%

55%

Unfavorable 18%

9%

23%

14%

Not sure 28%

16%

32%

31%


Yes

No

Not sure


30%

33%

24%

Unfavorable 52%

52%

51%

54%

Not sure 17%

17%

16%

22%


Yes

No

Not sure


79%

38%

59%

Unfavorable 25%

13%

34%

10%

Not sure 24%

8%

28%

31%




Yes

No

Not sure


61%

57%

60%

Unfavorable 24%

19%

27%

21%

Not sure 18%

20%

16%

19%


Yes

No

Not sure


58%

42%

55%

Unfavorable 29%

25%

33%

18%

Not sure 24%

17%

25%

26%


Yes

No

Not sure


60%

35%

42%

Unfavorable 26%

14%

34%

14%

Not sure 32%

25%

31%

44%


Yes

No

Not sure


61%

55%

54%

Unfavorable 22%

23%

22%

16%

Not sure 22%

16%

23%

30%




Yes

No

Not sure


65%

43%

58%

Unfavorable 16%

10%

20%

7%

Not sure 34%

24%

37%

35%


Yes

No

Not sure


2%

15%

12%

Ben Carson 12%

13%

13%

9%

5%

4%

6%

3%

Ted Cruz 10%

25%

4%

9%

Mike Huckabee 12%

14%

12%

9%

Rand Paul

9%

9%

8%

14%

Rick Perry

2%

4%

2%

2%

Marco Rubio 13%

8%

16%

11%

Scott Walker 18%

20%

16%

23%

2%

9%

8%

Chris Christie


7%




Yes

No

Not sure


4%

11%

4%

Ben Carson 11%

15%

10%

7%

6%

8%

Jeb Bush

Chris Christie

6%

6%

Ted Cruz

6%

10%

4%

11%

Mike Huckabee 10%

10%

12%

4%

Rand Paul

8%

10%

7%

9%

Rick Perry

5%

8%

4%

6%

Marco Rubio 15%

13%

15%

18%

Scott Walker 10%

11%

8%

13%


14%

23%

21%


Yes

No

Not sure


59%

29%

38%


37%

59%

52%

Not sure 10%

3%

12%

10%




Yes

Not sure

No


100%

-

-

No 61%

-

100%

-

Not sure 16%

-

-

100%


Yes

No

Not sure


68%

42%

58%

No 49%

32%

58%

42%


Yes

No

Not sure


19%

21%

13%

Unfavorable 31%

43%

27%

31%

Not sure 49%

38%

52%

56%


Yes

No

Not sure


9%

15%

7%

Unfavorable 24%

33%

21%

23%

Not sure 64%

58%

64%

70%




Yes

No

Not sure


50%

31%

40%

Unfavorable 43%

29%

52%

34%

Not sure 20%

21%

18%

27%


Yes

No

Not sure


34%

25%

32%

Unfavorable 21%

15%

26%

11%

Not sure 51%

51%

50%

57%


Yes

No

Not sure


61%

36%

48%

Unfavorable 18%

10%

21%

14%

Not sure 39%

29%

43%

37%


Yes

No

Not sure


29%

20%

22%

Unfavorable 17%

18%

17%

16%

Not sure 61%

53%

63%

62%




Yes

No

Not sure


64%

38%

46%

Unfavorable 22%

14%

27%

11%

Not sure 33%

22%

35%

43%


Yes

No

Not sure


4%

2%

6%

Unfavorable 20%

23%

21%

11%

Not sure 77%

73%

77%

83%

Favorable


Yes

No

Not sure


50%

22%

40%


24%

49%

27%

Not sure 28%

25%

29%

33%



Evangelical Yes/No Base

Yes

No


37%

43%

Unfavorable 37%

37%

36%

Not sure 23%

25%

21%


Yes

No


60%

47%

Unfavorable 18%

13%

23%

Not sure 28%

27%

29%


Yes

No


26%

36%

Unfavorable 52%

54%

50%

Not sure 17%

20%

14%


Yes

No


60%

43%

Unfavorable 25%

18%

33%

Not sure 24%

22%

25%




Yes

No


67%

49%

Unfavorable 24%

15%

34%

Not sure 17%

18%

17%


Yes

No


51%

45%

Unfavorable 29%

25%

33%

Not sure 23%

24%

22%


Yes

No


51%

33%

Unfavorable 26%

15%

37%

Not sure 32%

33%

30%


Yes

No


57%

56%

Unfavorable 21%

19%

24%

Not sure 22%

24%

20%




Yes

No


55%

46%

Unfavorable 15%

11%

20%

Not sure 34%

33%

34%


Yes

No


9%

14%

Ben Carson 12%

15%

9%

5%

3%

7%

Ted Cruz 10%

13%

7%

Mike Huckabee 12%

14%

10%

Rand Paul

9%

7%

11%

Rick Perry

2%

3%

2%

Marco Rubio 13%

13%

13%

Scott Walker 18%

16%

21%

8%

6%

Chris Christie


7%




Yes

No


6%

10%

Ben Carson 11%

12%

9%

5%

8%

Jeb Bush

Chris Christie

7%

Ted Cruz

6%

8%

5%

Mike Huckabee

9%

12%

7%

Rand Paul

8%

7%

9%

Rick Perry

5%

7%

4%

Marco Rubio 15%

12%

18%

Scott Walker 10%

11%

8%


20%

21%


Yes

No


47%

28%


45%

60%

Not sure 10%

8%

12%




Yes

No


32%

16%

No 60%

50%

71%

Not sure 16%

18%

13%


Yes

No


100%

-

No 49%

-

100%


Yes

No


20%

19%

Unfavorable 32%

30%

33%

Not sure 49%

50%

48%


Yes

No


6%

20%

Unfavorable 24%

25%

23%

Not sure 63%

69%

57%




Yes

No


40%

33%

Unfavorable 43%

36%

51%

Not sure 20%

24%

16%


Yes

No


22%

35%

Unfavorable 21%

19%

23%

Not sure 51%

59%

42%


Yes

No


48%

41%

Unfavorable 18%

13%

22%

Not sure 38%

39%

37%


Yes

No


19%

25%

Unfavorable 17%

17%

17%

Not sure 61%

64%

58%




Yes

No


54%

36%

Unfavorable 22%

12%

32%

Not sure 33%

34%

32%


Yes

No


3%

3%

Unfavorable 20%

20%

19%

Not sure 77%

77%

77%

Favorable


Yes

No


41%

23%


28%

52%

Not sure 28%

31%

25%



Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bush Favorability Favorable 40%

49%

35%

46%

42%

35%

Unfavorable 36%

15%

29%

28%

36%

44%

Not sure 24%

36%

37%

26%

22%

21%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Carson Favorability Favorable 54%

36%

34%

35%

58%

64%

Unfavorable 18%

22%

38%

32%

12%

13%

Not sure 28%

42%

28%

33%

30%

23%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Christie Favorability -

33%

37%

33%

25%

Unfavorable 52%

94%

54%

45%

50%

56%

Not sure 17%

6%

14%

17%

17%

18%

Favorable 31%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Cruz Favorability Favorable 51%

36%

29%

22%

51%

72%

Unfavorable 25%

22%

48%

43%

23%

13%

Not sure 24%

42%

23%

34%

26%

15%



Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Huckabee Favorability -

37%

46%

61%

68%

Unfavorable 24%

22%

48%

34%

21%

17%

Not sure 18%

78%

15%

19%

19%

14%

Favorable 58%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Paul Favorability Favorable 48%

49%

30%

31%

47%

61%

Unfavorable 29%

15%

51%

38%

31%

18%

Not sure 24%

36%

19%

31%

22%

21%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Perry Favorability Favorable 42%

72%

21%

23%

45%

52%

Unfavorable 26%

22%

45%

48%

24%

14%

Not sure 32%

6%

33%

29%

32%

34%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Rubio Favorability -

23%

31%

71%

63%

Unfavorable 22%

58%

49%

35%

14%

16%

Not sure 22%

42%

28%

35%

15%

20%

Favorable 56%



Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Walker Favorability -

14%

27%

65%

58%

Unfavorable 16%

22%

53%

31%

5%

10%

Not sure 34%

78%

33%

42%

30%

32%

Favorable 50%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Republican Primary Jeb Bush 11% Ben Carson 12% Chris Christie

5%

Ted Cruz 10% Mike Huckabee 12%

43%

21%

24%

7%

5%

-

21%

10%

10%

15%

6%

3%

10%

6%

2%

-

5%

1%

7%

19%

7%

11%

18%

11%

10%

Rand Paul

9%

7%

14%

12%

8%

7%

Rick Perry

2%

36%

3%

3%

2%

2%

Marco Rubio 13%

-

9%

10%

15%

14%

Scott Walker 18%

-

-

6%

28%

20%

-

14%

8%

7%

5%


7%



Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Republican Primary Second Choice Jeb Bush

8%

Ben Carson 11%

42%

12%

9%

9%

6%

-

6%

7%

13%

11%

6%

12%

6%

4%

Chris Christie

6%

-

Ted Cruz

6%

-

1%

7%

4%

9%

Mike Huckabee 10%

-

12%

10%

6%

14%

4%

8%

6%

11%

Rand Paul

8%

7%

Rick Perry

5%

36%

-

2%

6%

6%

-

10%

7%

22%

14%

Marco Rubio 15% Scott Walker 10% Someone else / Not 20% sure

-

4%

6%

13%

11%

15%

45%

32%

16%

14%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with 38% having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues

79%

17%

23%

28%

57%


15%

60%

54%

67%

39%

Not sure 10%

6%

23%

23%

6%

4%



Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Tea Party Yes/No Yes 24%

36%

17%

6%

17%

41%

No 61%

28%

71%

83%

66%

42%

Not sure 16%

36%

13%

11%

17%

17%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Evangelical Yes/No Yes 51%

79%

51%

30%

42%

71%

No 49%

21%

49%

70%

58%

29%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Graham Favorability Favorable 19%

7%

10%

14%

27%

18%

Unfavorable 31%

7%

55%

30%

23%

36%

Not sure 49%

85%

35%

56%

49%

46%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Pataki Favorability Favorable 13%

36%

4%

12%

18%

9%

Unfavorable 24%

15%

50%

22%

20%

24%

Not sure 64%

49%

46%

66%

62%

67%



Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Trump Favorability Favorable 37%

42%

22%

25%

37%

45%

Unfavorable 43%

22%

55%

62%

45%

30%

Not sure 20%

36%

23%

13%

18%

25%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Fiorina Favorability -

10%

21%

36%

29%

Unfavorable 21%

15%

50%

32%

14%

17%

Not sure 51%

85%

39%

47%

50%

55%

Favorable 28%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Jindal Favorability -

13%

28%

46%

Unfavorable 18%

22%

48%

35%

11%

9%

Not sure 39%

78%

40%

38%

43%

34%

Favorable 44%

57%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Kasich Favorability Favorable 22%

36%

26%

15%

24%

24%

Unfavorable 17%

51%

30%

24%

12%

14%

Not sure 61%

13%

45%

60%

64%

61%



Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Santorum Favorability Favorable 45%

72%

11%

28%

45%

60%

Unfavorable 22%

15%

53%

37%

23%

7%

Not sure 33%

13%

36%

35%

32%

33%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Farris Favorability -

9%

7%

2%

1%

Unfavorable 20%

87%

41%

25%

15%

15%

Not sure 77%

13%

50%

68%

83%

84%

Favorable

3%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Govt Texas Takeover Yes/No The Government is 32% trying to take over Texas

43%

36%

17%

25%

46%


15%

59%

64%

37%

25%

Not sure 28%

42%

5%

18%

38%

29%



Gender Base Woman

Man


39%

41%

Unfavorable 36%

32%

40%

Not sure 24%

28%

19%

Gender Base Woman

Man


51%

56%

Unfavorable 18%

16%

21%

Not sure 28%

33%

23%

Gender Base Woman

Man


32%

30%

Unfavorable 52%

45%

59%

Not sure 17%

23%

12%

Gender Base Woman

Man


48%

54%

Unfavorable 25%

20%

30%

Not sure 24%

32%

16%



Gender Base Woman

Man


58%

59%

Unfavorable 24%

21%

27%

Not sure 18%

21%

14%

Gender Base Woman

Man


41%

54%

Unfavorable 29%

29%

29%

Not sure 24%

30%

18%

Gender Base Woman

Man


39%

44%

Unfavorable 26%

22%

31%

Not sure 32%

39%

25%

Gender Base Woman

Man


54%

58%

Unfavorable 22%

21%

23%

Not sure 22%

25%

19%



Gender Base Woman

Man


44%

56%

Unfavorable 16%

13%

18%

Not sure 34%

43%

25%

Gender Base Woman

Man


12%

11%

Ben Carson 12%

13%

11%

5%

6%

4%

Chris Christie

Ted Cruz 10%

10%

9%

Mike Huckabee 12%

13%

11%

Rand Paul

9%

7%

10%

Rick Perry

2%

3%

2%

Marco Rubio 13%

13%

14%

Scott Walker 18%

12%

25%

11%

3%


7%



Gender Base Woman

Man


8%

9%

Ben Carson 11%

11%

11%

Jeb Bush

Chris Christie

6%

5%

8%

Ted Cruz

6%

6%

7%

Mike Huckabee 10%

8%

12%

Rand Paul

8%

6%

10%

Rick Perry

5%

5%

6%

Marco Rubio 15%

17%

13%

Scott Walker 10%

10%

10%


26%

15%

Gender Base Woman

Man


38%

37%


48%

57%

Not sure 10%

13%

6%



Gender Base Woman

Man


19%

28%

No 61%

63%

58%

Not sure 16%

18%

14%

Gender Base Woman

Man


54%

48%

No 49%

46%

52%

Gender Base Woman

Man


18%

21%

Unfavorable 31%

30%

32%

Not sure 49%

52%

47%

Gender Base Woman

Man


12%

13%

Unfavorable 24%

19%

28%

Not sure 64%

69%

59%



Gender Base Woman

Man


35%

38%

Unfavorable 43%

38%

48%

Not sure 20%

26%

14%

Gender Base Woman

Man


27%

29%

Unfavorable 21%

18%

24%

Not sure 51%

55%

47%

Gender Base Woman

Man


38%

49%

Unfavorable 18%

16%

19%

Not sure 39%

46%

32%

Gender Base Woman

Man


17%

28%

Unfavorable 17%

15%

19%

Not sure 61%

68%

53%



Gender Base Woman

Man


42%

48%

Unfavorable 22%

17%

26%

Not sure 33%

41%

25%

Gender Base Woman

Man


2%

4%

Unfavorable 20%

18%

21%

Not sure 77%

80%

75%

Favorable

Gender Base Woman

Man


34%

29%


34%

45%

Not sure 28%

31%

26%



Age Base

18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65


38%

30%

42%

45%

Unfavorable 36%

41%

31%

39%

33%

Not sure 24%

21%

39%

19%

22%

Age Base



56%

43%

56%

56%

Unfavorable 18%

24%

25%

14%

18%

Not sure 28%

20%

31%

30%

26%

Age Base



28%

34%

32%

28%

Unfavorable 52%

48%

57%

51%

52%

Not sure 17%

23%

9%

17%

20%

Age Base



42%

40%

56%

54%

Unfavorable 25%

35%

29%

23%

22%

Not sure 24%

24%

31%

21%

23%



Age Base



45%

57%

58%

65%

Unfavorable 24%

31%

23%

26%

19%

Not sure 18%

24%

20%

16%

16%

Age Base



46%

46%

52%

43%

Unfavorable 29%

27%

30%

29%

28%

Not sure 24%

27%

24%

19%

29%

Age Base



36%

40%

43%

44%

Unfavorable 26%

32%

26%

28%

22%

Not sure 32%

31%

34%

29%

34%

Age Base



37%

45%

61%

65%

Unfavorable 22%

38%

28%

17%

17%

Not sure 22%

25%

27%

22%

19%



Age Base



45%

33%

52%

62%

Unfavorable 16%

25%

19%

16%

9%

Not sure 34%

30%

48%

32%

29%

Age Base



7%

8%

13%

13%

Ben Carson 12%

21%

5%

14%

10%

5%

7%

11%

3%

4%

Ted Cruz 10%

3%

9%

13%

9%

Mike Huckabee 12%

9%

10%

12%

14%

Rand Paul

9%

11%

19%

7%

4%

Rick Perry

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

Marco Rubio 13%

17%

14%

13%

11%

Scott Walker 18%

18%

12%

17%

25%

3%

8%

7%

7%

Chris Christie


7%



Age Base



3%

10%

9%

9%

Ben Carson 11%

25%

4%

9%

11%

7%

7%

4%

Jeb Bush

Chris Christie

6%

8%

Ted Cruz

6%

10%

-

9%

4%

Mike Huckabee 10%

11%

16%

9%

8%

Rand Paul

8%

-

13%

10%

5%

Rick Perry

5%

4%

4%

5%

6%

Marco Rubio 15%

9%

12%

16%

18%

Scott Walker 10%

9%

5%

10%

13%


21%

29%

16%

20%

Age Base



42%

48%

37%

30%


55%

43%

51%

60%

Not sure 10%

3%

9%

12%

10%



Age Base



29%

26%

22%

22%

No 61%

61%

55%

61%

64%

Not sure 16%

10%

19%

17%

13%

Age Base



60%

45%

48%

55%

No 49%

40%

55%

52%

45%

Age Base



14%

9%

20%

28%

Unfavorable 31%

42%

28%

35%

23%

Not sure 49%

45%

63%

45%

49%

Age Base



7%

13%

12%

16%

Unfavorable 24%

28%

16%

27%

22%

Not sure 64%

65%

71%

61%

62%



Age Base



39%

45%

34%

34%

Unfavorable 43%

44%

31%

48%

45%

Not sure 20%

17%

25%

18%

21%

Age Base



21%

14%

36%

30%

Unfavorable 21%

21%

19%

22%

21%

Not sure 51%

58%

68%

43%

48%

Age Base



36%

35%

48%

47%

Unfavorable 18%

13%

19%

19%

16%

Not sure 39%

51%

46%

33%

37%

Age Base



19%

21%

19%

30%

Unfavorable 17%

26%

14%

18%

14%

Not sure 61%

55%

65%

63%

56%



Age Base



35%

49%

47%

44%

Unfavorable 22%

31%

14%

24%

19%

Not sure 33%

33%

37%

29%

37%

Age Base



11%

3%

3%

1%

Unfavorable 20%

31%

16%

17%

21%

Not sure 77%

58%

82%

81%

78%

Favorable

Age Base



34%

28%

29%

38%


41%

45%

42%

32%

Not sure 28%

25%

27%

29%

31%



National Survey Results Q1

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Lincoln Chafee?

Q6

Favorable........................................................ 15% Unfavorable .................................................... 32%

Lincoln Chafee................................................ 5%

Not sure .......................................................... 54%

Q2

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton?

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 63% Martin O'Malley ............................................... 2%

Favorable........................................................ 74%

Bernie Sanders ............................................... 13%

Unfavorable .................................................... 21%

Jim Webb........................................................ 6%

Not sure .......................................................... 5%

Q3

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Martin O'Malley?

Not sure .......................................................... 11%

Q7

Favorable........................................................ 15%

Q4

(Democrats) Given the same list of choices, who would be your second choice for the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

Unfavorable .................................................... 29%

Lincoln Chafee................................................ 6%

Not sure .......................................................... 56%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 11%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bernie Sanders?

Martin O'Malley ............................................... 8% Bernie Sanders ............................................... 15%

Favorable........................................................ 38%

Jim Webb........................................................ 4%

Unfavorable .................................................... 26% Not sure .......................................................... 36%

Q5

(Democrats) Given the choices of Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O’Malley, Bernie Sanders, and Jim Webb who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jim Webb?

Not sure .......................................................... 56%

Q8

Favorable........................................................ 66%

Favorable........................................................ 16%

Unfavorable .................................................... 22%

Unfavorable .................................................... 31% Not sure .......................................................... 53%

(Democrats) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?

Not sure .......................................................... 12%

Q9

(Democrats) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Elizabeth Warren? Favorable........................................................ 53% Unfavorable .................................................... 17% Not sure .......................................................... 30%

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Survey of 600 Democratic primary voters [email protected] / 888 621-6988

May 7-10, 2015

q10 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative? Very liberal ...................................................... 25% Somewhat liberal ............................................ 30% Moderate......................................................... 32% Somewhat conservative.................................. 9% Very conservative ........................................... 3% q11 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Woman ........................................................... 58% Man................................................................. 42%

Q12 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. African American, press 3. If other, press 4. Hispanic .......................................................... 13% White .............................................................. 62% African American............................................. 20% Other............................................................... 6%

Q13 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4. 18 to 29........................................................... 15% 30 to 45........................................................... 22% 46 to 65........................................................... 36% Older than 65 .................................................. 26%

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Survey of 600 Democratic primary voters [email protected] / 888 621-6988

May 7-10, 2015

Democratic Primary Base

Lincoln Hillary Martin Bernie Jim Chafee Clinton O'Malley Sanders Webb

Not sure

Chafee Favorability Favorable 15%

40%

14%

7%

22%

3%

8%

Unfavorable 32%

8%

33%

32%

32%

40%

27%

Not sure 54%

51%

53%

61%

45%

57%

66%



Not sure

Clinton Favorability Favorable 74%

59%

93%

27%

47%

35%

33%

Unfavorable 21%

20%

6%

73%

39%

65%

54%

21%

1%

-

14%

-

13%

Not sure

5%



Not sure

O'Malley Favorability 21%

16%

Unfavorable 29%

7%

Not sure 56%

72%

Favorable 15%

42%

16%

8%

4%

27%

9%

43%

45%

28%

57%

50%

41%

47%

69%



Not sure

Sanders Favorability Favorable 38%

50%

34%

15%

85%

15%

16%

Unfavorable 26%

11%

28%

28%

12%

45%

31%

Not sure 36%

39%

38%

57%

3%

40%

53%

May 7-10, 2015 survey of 600 Democratic primary voters




Not sure

Webb Favorability Favorable 16%

21%

14%

11%

31%

24%

8%

Unfavorable 31%

32%

32%

16%

33%

26%

26%

Not sure 53%

46%

54%

73%

36%

50%

66%


Lincoln Hillary Martin Bernie Chafee Clinton O'Malley Sanders

Jim Webb

Not sure

Democratic Primary Lincoln Chafee

5%

Hillary Clinton 63%

100%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100%

-

-

-

-

2%

-

-

100%

-

-

-

Bernie Sanders 13%

-

-

-

100%

-

-

Jim Webb

6%

-

-

-

-

100%

-

Not sure 11%

-

-

-

-

-

100%

Martin O'Malley



Not sure

Democratic Primary Second Choice Lincoln Chafee

6%

-

12%

1%

34%

-

-

30%

48%

25%

6%

8%

2%

9%

-

10%

9%

3%

Bernie Sanders 15%

28%

19%

11%

-

15%

5%

-

4%

24%

4%

-

6%

28%

62%

24%

37%

17%

80%

Hillary Clinton 11% Martin O'Malley

Jim Webb

4%

Not sure 56%


42%

6%




Not sure

Biden Favorability Favorable 66%

55%

72%

42%

79%

48%

37%

Unfavorable 22%

39%

16%

51%

13%

31%

46%

Not sure 12%

6%

12%

7%

8%

21%

16%



Not sure

Warren Favorability Favorable 53%

36%

55%

27%

83%

30%

28%

Unfavorable 17%

43%

10%

46%

15%

49%

28%

Not sure 30%

21%

34%

27%

2%

21%

44%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Chafee Favorability Favorable 15%

19%

11%

18%

9%

-

Unfavorable 32%

39%

28%

24%

49%

31%

Not sure 54%

43%

61%

58%

42%

69%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Clinton Favorability Favorable 74%

86%

83%

71%

42%

20%

Unfavorable 21%

9%

14%

21%

58%

75%

5%

3%

8%

-

5%

Not sure

5%



Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative O'Malley Favorability Favorable 15%

21%

16%

12%

13%

-

Unfavorable 29%

26%

30%

27%

39%

25%

Not sure 56%

53%

54%

61%

48%

75%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Sanders Favorability Favorable 38%

56%

34%

38%

9%

13%

Unfavorable 26%

19%

30%

20%

55%

33%

Not sure 36%

25%

36%

42%

35%

54%

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Webb Favorability Favorable 16%

26%

16%

14%

6%

-

Unfavorable 31%

32%

28%

29%

45%

25%

Not sure 53%

42%

56%

57%

48%

75%



Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Democratic Primary 5%

5%

2%

7%

-

15%

Hillary Clinton 63%

65%

73%

63%

42%

25%

2%

1%

1%

1%

10%

-

Bernie Sanders 13%

24%

11%

9%

9%

-

Jim Webb

6%

2%

5%

8%

11%

13%

Not sure 11%

3%

9%

12%

27%

47%

Lincoln Chafee

Martin O'Malley

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Democratic Primary Second Choice 6%

6%

3%

9%

13%

-

Hillary Clinton 11%

21%

8%

10%

2%

-

Lincoln Chafee

8%

8%

12%

5%

3%

5%

Bernie Sanders 15%

16%

16%

15%

7%

21%

Jim Webb

4%

4%

5%

4%

5%

-

Not sure 56%

45%

57%

58%

71%

75%

Martin O'Malley

Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Biden Favorability Favorable 66%

81%

75%

62%

32%

16%

Unfavorable 22%

9%

18%

20%

51%

75%

Not sure 12%

9%

7%

18%

17%

9%



Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Warren Favorability Favorable 53%

71%

62%

42%

29%

9%

Unfavorable 17%

9%

10%

21%

40%

50%

Not sure 30%

19%

28%

38%

31%

41%

Gender Base Woman

Man


12%

18%

Unfavorable 32%

29%

35%

Not sure 54%

59%

47%

Gender Base Woman

Man


75%

73%

Unfavorable 21%

21%

21%

4%

6%

Not sure

5%

Gender Base Woman

Man

O'Malley Favorability Favorable 15%

13%

18%

Unfavorable 29%

24%

35%

Not sure 56%

63%

47%



Gender Base Woman

Man


35%

42%

Unfavorable 26%

22%

33%

Not sure 36%

43%

26%

Gender Base Woman

Man


12%

22%

Unfavorable 31%

26%

38%

Not sure 53%

62%

40%

Gender Base Woman

Man

Democratic Primary 5%

3%

7%

Hillary Clinton 63%

Lincoln Chafee

69%

55%

2%

3%

1%

Bernie Sanders 13%

9%

18%

Martin O'Malley

6%

5%

7%

Not sure 11%

11%

12%

Jim Webb



Gender Base Woman

Man

Democratic Primary Second Choice 6%

6%

7%

Hillary Clinton 11%

9%

14%

Lincoln Chafee

8%

6%

10%

Bernie Sanders 15%

13%

18%

Jim Webb

4%

5%

3%

Not sure 56%

62%

48%

Martin O'Malley

Gender Base Woman

Man


64%

69%

Unfavorable 22%

22%

21%

Not sure 12%

14%

10%

Gender Base Woman

Man


51%

55%

Unfavorable 17%

14%

22%

Not sure 30%

35%

23%



Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Chafee Favorability Favorable 15%

22%

11%

21%

9%

Unfavorable 32%

39%

28%

32%

47%

Not sure 54%

39%

60%

47%

44%

Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Clinton Favorability Favorable 74%

73%

74%

80%

60%

Unfavorable 21%

27%

21%

14%

35%

-

6%

6%

5%

Not sure

5%

Race African Base Hispanic White American Other O'Malley Favorability Favorable 15%

35%

14%

7%

11%

Unfavorable 29%

27%

26%

30%

52%

Not sure 56%

37%

60%

63%

38%

Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Sanders Favorability Favorable 38%

35%

39%

35%

39%

Unfavorable 26%

45%

23%

23%

39%

Not sure 36%

20%

38%

42%

22%



Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Webb Favorability Favorable 16%

31%

16%

9%

9%

Unfavorable 31%

33%

24%

45%

54%

Not sure 53%

36%

60%

46%

37%

Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Democratic Primary 5%

7%

4%

6%

4%

Hillary Clinton 63%

58%

61%

75%

57%

Lincoln Chafee

2%

2%

3%

Bernie Sanders 13%

18%

15%

4%

14%

Jim Webb

6%

12%

4%

8%

11%

Not sure 11%

3%

14%

7%

14%

Martin O'Malley

-

-

Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Democratic Primary Second Choice 6%

13%

5%

6%

2%

Hillary Clinton 11%

Lincoln Chafee

14%

12%

4%

12%

8%

8%

8%

6%

11%

Bernie Sanders 15%

14%

17%

9%

11%

Martin O'Malley

Jim Webb

4%

Not sure 56%


-

6%

2%

2%

50%

51%

73%

62%


Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Biden Favorability Favorable 66%

71%

66%

67%

57%

Unfavorable 22%

19%

22%

22%

26%

Not sure 12%

11%

12%

12%

17%

Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Warren Favorability Favorable 53%

49%

59%

35%

56%

Unfavorable 17%

31%

15%

14%

27%

Not sure 30%

20%

26%

51%

16%

Age Base



22%

21%

10%

12%

Unfavorable 32%

27%

17%

42%

32%

Not sure 54%

51%

62%

48%

57%

Age Base



59%

74%

74%

82%

Unfavorable 21%

41%

18%

21%

13%

-

8%

5%

5%

Not sure

5%



Age Base


O'Malley Favorability Favorable 15%

18%

22%

10%

14%

Unfavorable 29%

36%

15%

34%

29%

Not sure 56%

46%

63%

56%

58%

Age Base



30%

33%

41%

43%

Unfavorable 26%

36%

30%

26%

18%

Not sure 36%

34%

37%

33%

39%

Age Base



16%

12%

18%

17%

Unfavorable 31%

33%

29%

32%

29%

Not sure 53%

50%

59%

50%

54%



Age Base


Democratic Primary 5%

6%

9%

1%

5%

Hillary Clinton 63%

50%

69%

62%

68%

2%

2%

-

3%

2%

Bernie Sanders 13%

22%

3%

16%

12%

Jim Webb

6%

17%

3%

5%

3%

Not sure 11%

2%

15%

14%

10%

Lincoln Chafee

Martin O'Malley

Age Base


Democratic Primary Second Choice 6%

22%

2%

6%

2%

Hillary Clinton 11%

11%

9%

12%

12%

Lincoln Chafee

Martin O'Malley

8%

Bernie Sanders 15%

6% -

5%

9%

9%

22%

13%

21%

4%

5%

2%

5%

5%

Not sure 56%

57%

61%

56%

51%

Jim Webb

Age Base



58%

60%

69%

72%

Unfavorable 22%

21%

31%

20%

16%

Not sure 12%

21%

9%

11%

12%



Age Base



38%

47%

58%

60%

Unfavorable 17%

35%

20%

16%

8%

Not sure 30%

27%

33%

27%

32%

