world wide early warning system with - staff.math.su.se

#ZombieATTACK - world wide early warning system with

Michael Höhle m_hoehle

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CDC Campaign

Source: CDC Zombie Novella (click picture or see end for detailed source)

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Personal Survival

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Outbreaks “Every undead outbreak, regardless of its class, has a beginning. Now that the enemy has been defined, the next step is early warning.” The Zombie Survival Guide, p.25

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EARLY WARNING?

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SYNDROMIC SURVEILLANCE Google Trends for ‘how to kill zombies’

Start of the series ‘The walking dead’

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MONITORING TWITTER • •

twitter REST API + rtweet R pkg 

search_tweets(“#zombieattack”, n = 15000, type="recent",   token = twitter_token, geocode=geocode)

surveillance R pkg linelist2sts

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surveillance R pkg earsC

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surveillance R pkg earsC

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TESTING THE SYSTEM

Scientific evaluation as social experiment

(*)

(*) Note: The conducted experiment was performed without ethics approval.

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RESULTS FOR #ZOMBIEATTACK

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YIKES?

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ZOMBIE SURVIVAL THAT WORKS! install.packages(“surveillance”)

http://staff.math.su.se/hoehle/blog/2016/09/25/sootb.html

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ZOMBIE FREE VERSION Monitoring Count Time Series in R: Aberration Detection in Public Health Surveillance (2016), Salmon M, Schumacher D, Höhle M, Journal of Statistical Software, 70(10). don’t read it!

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SOURCES & REFERENCES (not shown as part of the talk) slide 1: All slide titles are written in the free ‘Exquisite corpse’ font by Sinster Fonts. The creeping hands is by keriann3 available from https://openclipart.org.

slide 2: The picture is p.1 of the graphic novel, "Preparedness 101: Zombie Pandemic” by the CDC campaign. slide 3: Zombie Survival guide cover picture from Wikipedia (follow the link by clicking on the picture). slide 5: The zombie head is done by quadrochave available at https://openclipart.org. slide 6: Click the links to get to the paper, the google trend or information about the series. slide 10: Illustration by johnny_automatic available from https://openclipart.org. slide 16: Warning sign is done by Steren available from https://openclipart.org. slide 18: Various tweets and Instagram photos under unknown license (screenshots, taken without consent by the copyright owner). Click on the pictures to get the link to the original source.

slide 19: This is the Preparedness 101 - Zombie Posters by the CDC campaign. The R logo is taken from http://www.rproject.org/. The ‘monitoring’ clipart is by GDJ and the working nerd is by valessiobrito both available from https:// openclipart.org.

Note: R-markdown backend of the supporting blog entry is available from GitHub.