Dec 17, 2015 - April 6 - 7. 40. 38. 5. 16. 2. March 29-April 4. 39. 38. 5. 18. 1. March 2 - 3. 40. 37. 5. 18. 3. March 1
EU Referendum Trackers Voting Intention Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union? Remain
Leave
Wouldn't vote
Don't know
Remain Lead
%
%
%
%
April 12 - 14 April 11 - 12 April 6 - 7 March 29-April 4 March 2 - 3 March 1 - 2 Febuary 29 - March 1 Febuary 24 - 25 Febuary 23 - 24 February 21 - 23 February 3 - 4 January 27 - 28
40 39 40 39 40 40 39 41 37 37 36 38
39 39 38 38 37 35 37 38 38 38 45 42
5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 5 2 2
16 17 16 18 18 19 19 16 20 20 17 18
% 1 0 2 1 3 5 2 3 -1 -1 -9 -4
December 17 - 18 November 20 - 24 October 28-29 October 22-23 October 19-20 September 10-17
41 41 39 42 42 38
42 41 41 39 40 40
2 3 4 3 3 6
15 15 15 16 14 16
-1 0 -2 3 2 -2
Don't know % 16 18 19
Remain Lead % 7 10 7
If there was a referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union, how would you vote? Remain Leave Wouldn't vote Don't know % % % % 2015 May 8-9 45 36 3 16 May 3-4 45 33 3 18 April 19-20 45 35 4 16 March 22-23 46 36 3 15 February 22-23 45 35 3 17 January 25-26 43 37 5 15
Remain Lead % 9 12 10 10 10 6
2016
2015
Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union? 2015 August 18 - 19 June 1-2 May 27 - June 2
2014 December 14-15 November 30-December 1 November 19-21 November 16-17 November 2-3 October 30-31 October 27-28 October 23-24 October 19-20 September 21-22 August 25-26 August 10-11 July 17-18 July 13-14 June 29-30 June 26-27 June 19-20 June 15-16 May 29-30 May 20-21 May 18-19 April 24-25 April 21-22 April 3-4 March 27-28 March 23-24 March 9-10 February 9-10 January 12-13
2013 December 1-9 November 10-11 October 13-14 September 15-16 August 18-19 August 4-5 July 22-23 July 7-8 June 23-24 June 9-10 May 28-29 May 12-13 May 9-10 May 7 April 21-22 April 7-8 March 25-26 February 17-18 January 24-25 January 23-24 January 20-21 January 17-18 January 10-11 January 2-3
November 27-28 October 22-23 September 25-26 August 28-29 July 23-24 July 5-6 June 26-27 May 17-18 April 16-17 March 25-26 February 13-14 January 24-26
30 28 33 32 30 31 33 28 32 34 30 34
51 49 47 47 49 48 47 51 48 44 48 44
5 5 7 7 7 4 6 6 6 5 6 5
14 17 14 15 14 17 14 15 13 18 17 18
-21 -21 -14 -15 -19 -17 -14 -23 -16 -10 -18 -10
December 15-16 December 11-12 December 8-9 October 23-24 August 7-8
Risk How safe or risky do you think it would be for Britain to leave the European Union? 2016 April 11 - 12 February 21 - 23 February 3-4 January 27 - 28
TOTAL RISKY % 48 46 48 47
TOTAL SAFE % 35 34 40 40
Don't Know % 18 20 13 13
Net Risky % 13 12 8 7
45
39
15
6
2015 November 20 - 24
How safe or risky do you think it would be for Britain to remain part of the European Union? 2016 April 11 - 12 February 21 - 23 February 3-4 January 27 - 28
Effects of Leaving Do you think Britain would be better or worse off economically if we left the European Union, or would it make no difference? Better off Worse off No difference Don't know % % % % 2016 April 11 - 12 24 31 21 24 February 21 - 23 23 31 22 24 February 3-4 27 29 24 19 January 27 - 28 27 32 24 17 2015 November 20 - 24 27 33 22 18 October 19-20 30 38 15 16 April 6-7 25 43 16 16 March 8-9 29 38 15 18 February 8-9 27 39 16 18 January 11-12 30 37 14 19 2014 October 5-6 30 37 16 17 September 7-8 31 37 15 17 July 27-28 29 37 16 18 June 29-30 27 37 18 18 June 1-2 29 38 16 16 May 5-6 28 35 18 20 April 6-7 29 37 18 16 February 23-24 30 37 16 18 January 26-27 32 38 12 18 2013 December 15-16 33 34 15 18 November 24-25 33 34 16 18 October 27-28 34 34 16 17 September 29-30 32 32 18 18 September 1-2 34 33 15 18 July 21-22 32 34 17 17 June 23-24 34 33 17 17 May 19-20 34 31 15 19 April 21-22 34 30 17 18 March 17-18 35 34 16 16 March 3-4 33 35 16 16 February 3-4 30 36 15 18 January 10-11 29 34 19 18
Do you think Britain would have more or less influence in the world if we left the European Union, or would it make no difference? 2016 April 11 - 12 February 21 - 23 February 3-4 January 27 - 28
More influence Less influence % % 14 31 12 33 12 34 12 36
No difference % 35 36 42 40
Don't know % 19 19 12 13
2015 November 20 - 24 October 19-20 April 6-7 March 8-9 February 8-9 January 11-12
13 12 12 12 10 12
34 42 44 42 43 41
29 34 32 32 33 34
14 13 13 13 14 13
October 5-6 September 7-8 July 27-28 June 29-30 June 1-2 May 5-6 April 6-7 February 23-24 January 26-27
13 13 14 12 14 11 14 13 11
41 39 38 38 40 37 39 40 38
35 35 32 35 34 38 35 34 33
12 14 15 15 12 14 13 13 17
December 15-16 November 24-25 October 27-28 September 29-30 September 1-2 July 21-22 June 23-24 May 19-20 April 21-22 March 17-18 March 3-4 February 3-4 January 10-11
Do you think it would be good or bad for jobs and employment if Britain left the European Union, or would it make no difference? Good for jobs Bad for Jobs No difference Don't know % % % % 2016 April 11 - 12 20 31 25 23 February 21 - 23 18 29 28 25 February 3-4 20 29 34 18 January 27 - 28 21 30 31 17 2015 November 20 - 24 22 31 29 18 October 19-20 25 35 22 17 April 6-7 22 39 22 17 March 8-9 26 38 18 18 February 8-9 26 37 21 16 January 11-12 24 37 21 18 2014 October 5-6 28 35 20 16 September 7-8 28 34 22 17 July 27-28 27 34 20 18 June 29-30 28 33 22 17 June 1-2 29 34 21 17 May 5-6 29 31 24 16 April 6-7 26 34 24 15 February 23-24 28 32 22 17 January 26-27 28 32 23 18 2013 December 15-16 34 30 20 16 November 24-25 33 29 20 18 October 27-28 32 31 19 18 September 29-30 34 28 21 17 September 1-2 35 30 17 18 July 21-22 29 33 20 18 June 23-24 32 30 22 16 May 19-20 32 30 21 18 April 21-22 35 27 22 17 March 17-18 33 30 21 17 March 3-4 34 28 21 16 February 3-4 32 31 22 16 January 10-11 27 30 24 19
Do you think Britain would be more or less at risk from terrorism if we left the European Union, or would it make no difference? More risk Less risk No difference % % % 2016 April 11 - 12 10 25 48 February 21 - 23 10 16 55
Don't know % 18 20
Do you think it would have a good or bad effect on the NHS if we left the European Union, or would it make no difference? 2016 April 11 - 12 February 21 - 23 February 3-4 January 27 - 28
Good for NHS % 32 30 37 35
Bad for NHS % 14 11 13 14
No difference % 33 36 34 36
Don't know % 22 24 16 15
32
13
38
17
No difference % 25 30
Don't know % 16 18
2015 November 20 - 24
Do you think there would be more or less immigration into Britain if we left the European Union, or would it make no difference? More Less % % 2016 April 11 - 12 3 55 February 21 - 23 2 50
Do you think the prices of goods and services would go up or down if Britain left the European Union, or would it make no difference? 2016 April 11 - 12
Go Up % 36
Go Down % 6
No difference % 35
Do you think it would have a good or bad effect on people’s pensions if we left the European Union, or would it make no difference? Good Bad No difference % % % 2016 April 11 - 12 8 14 43 February 21 - 23 7 12 42 February 3-4 18 14 42 January 27 - 28 18 14 42 2015 November 20 - 24 17 14 43
And do you think you personally would be better or worse off if we left the European Union, or would it make no difference? Better off % 11 10 17 16
Worse off % 19 16 26 18
No difference % 45 46 48 46
Don't know % 25 28 19 20
November 20 - 24 October 19-20 April 6-7 March 8-9 February 8-9 January 11-12
16 18 16 18 17 20
16 24 26 23 23 24
46 40 41 42 42 37
22 18 17 17 17 20
October 5-6 September 7-8 July 27-28 June 29-30 June 1-2 May 5-6 April 6-7 February 23-24 January 26-27
20 20 21 27 20 18 22 19 19
22 22 21 20 23 21 23 21 22
41 40 40 44 40 41 40 43 43
17 17 18 19 17 19 15 17 17
December 15-16 November 24-25 October 27-28 September 29-30 September 1-2 July 21-22 June 23-24 May 19-20 April 21-22 March 17-18 March 3-4 February 3-4 January 10-11
23 22 23 21 22 21 22 22 21 25 20 21 18
20 19 19 18 19 23 21 21 17 19 21 20 20
38 41 39 42 41 38 40 38 45 38 41 42 40
18 19 18 18 18 19 17 19 17 18 19 17 22
2016 April 11 - 12 February 21 - 23 February 3-4 January 27 - 28 2015
Old Questions Imagine the British government under David Cameron renegotiated our relationship with Europe and said that Britain's interests were now protected, and David Cameron recommended that Britain remain a member of the European Union on the new terms. How would you then vote in a referendum on the issue? 2015 September 10-17 May 8-9 May 3-4 April 19-20 March 22-23 February 22-23 January 25-26
2014 December 14-15 November 30 - December 1 November 16-17 November 2-3 October 19-20 September 21-22 August 25-26 August 10-11 July 13-14 June 29-30 June 15-16 May 18-19 April 24-25 April 21-22 March 23-24 March 9-10 February 9-10 January 12-13
November 10-11 October 13-14 September 15-16 August 18-19 August 4-5 July 7-8 June 9-10 May 12-13 May 9-10 April 7-8 February 17-18 January 24-25 January 23-24 January 20-21 January 17-18 January 10-11
51 52 50 48 50 48 50 45 45 46 52 50 52 53
25 28 29 31 28 31 28 33 32 31 28 25 25 26
5 4 4 5 5 4 5 3 4 6 5 5 5 5
19 16 17 16 17 17 17 19 20 17 14 20 17 17
55 50
22 25
5 5
18 20
July 5-6
42
34
5
19
2013
2012
Would you support or oppose holding a referendum on Britain's relationship with Europe within the next few years?
2014 June 29-30 May 27-28 April 24-25 2013 January 17-18 January 10-11
