Apr 10, 2018 - 14. 4. 10. 9. 7. 44. Other Parties Voting Intention. [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who
YouGov / The Times Survey Results Sample Size: 1639 GB Adults Fieldwork: 9th - 10th April 2018 Voting Intention
Vote in 2017
EU Ref 2016
Gender
Age
Social Grade
Region
Lib Rest of Midlands / Total Con Lab Con Lab Lib Dem Remain Leave Male Female 18-24 25-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE London North Scotland Dem South Wales Weighted Sample 1639 480 476 105 562 538 100 644 700 793 846 184 692 388 375 934 705 220 531 351 395 143 Unweighted Sample 1639 497 488 108 575 525 109 717 682 691 948 148 686 415 390 995 644 147 575 367 395 155 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 4-5 Apr
9-10 Apr
42 41 7 10
40 40 9 11
4 4 2 0 0 1
4 4 2 0 0 1
HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION: Headline Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote or don't know] Con Lab Lib Dem Other
100 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 100 0 0 0
90 2 2 6
2 87 6 4
6 14 72 9
25 54 11 9
59 23 4 14
39 39 9 13
42 41 8 9
15 69 8 7
30 50 10 10
37 37 10 16
68 17 6 10
43 38 9 10
36 42 8 14
33 52 11 4
50 29 11 10
41 42 7 9
35 52 5 7
24 25 7 44
0 4 1 0 0 0
0 2 1 0 0 0
0 0 4 4 1 0
5 0 3 0 0 0
3 8 2 1 0 1
4 5 3 1 0 1
4 2 2 0 1 0
2 3 2 0 0 1
4 2 3 1 0 0
5 7 3 0 1 1
3 4 1 0 1 0
3 3 3 0 0 1
5 6 2 0 1 0
0 3 0 0 1 0
0 5 4 0 1 1
2 3 2 0 0 2
0 4 3 0 0 0
37 2 2 3 0 0
Other Parties Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote or don't know] SNP/ PCY UKIP Green BNP Women's Equality Party Other
Lib Rest of Midlands / Total Con Lab Con Lab Lib Dem Remain Leave Male Female 18-24 25-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE London North Scotland Dem South Wales Weighted Sample 1639 480 476 105 562 538 100 644 700 793 846 184 692 388 375 934 705 220 531 351 395 143 Unweighted Sample 1639 497 488 108 575 525 109 717 682 691 948 148 686 415 390 995 644 147 575 367 395 155 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 9-10 4-5 Apr Apr If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat Scottish National Party (SNP)/ Plaid Cymru Some other party Would not vote Don’t know
29 29 5 3 5 10 18
29 29 6 3 6 9 17
100 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
21 59 6 4 9 2
32 47 5 6 10 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
7 2 1 2 1 6 2 5 7 10 57
8 1 1 1 2 6 3 4 5 10 58
0 1 0 0 1 3 4 4 5 13 68
0 0 0 1 1 3 3 4 4 11 73
76 2 2 0 5 2 13
2 74 5 0 3 1 15
6 10 55 1 6 1 21
21 44 9 4 4 3 14
45 17 3 2 9 5 19
31 30 8 3 8 8 13
28 28 5 3 4 10 22
11 47 7 1 5 10 19
21 35 7 3 5 12 17
28 26 7 4 8 7 21
55 13 5 2 6 5 14
33 29 7 3 6 7 16
25 29 5 3 7 12 20
26 40 9 0 3 4 18
37 21 9 0 7 9 17
29 30 6 2 6 11 17
26 36 3 0 6 10 18
17 20 5 28 6 9 16
0 0 0 0 0 0
14 72 4 4 7 0
36 52 0 12 0 0
43 0 43 14 0 0
78 6 0 8 8 0
15 69 7 3 6 0
23 56 7 0 14 0
48 32 0 18 2 0
19 42 0 18 22 0
49 34 10 0 8 0
25 58 0 8 9 0
22 58 5 8 8 0
39 36 5 5 16 0
26 60 4 7 3 0
0 65 0 35 0 0
38 49 3 5 5 0
23 48 0 8 21 0
38 47 0 2 13 0
33 24 43 0 0 0
3 0 0 1 3 5 1 1 8 14 65
1 0 0 1 1 4 2 5 5 13 68
0 0 0 0 1 4 1 3 6 12 72
2 1 0 1 1 5 0 1 9 7 74
2 0 1 0 2 5 2 3 4 11 70
4 0 1 1 1 5 2 5 7 11 62
8 1 1 0 2 4 3 4 5 11 61
8 1 2 2 2 7 2 5 6 10 56
9 3 1 2 5 12 2 7 3 10 46
11 1 2 1 2 6 4 5 6 10 52
7 0 1 1 1 4 2 4 6 9 65
5 0 1 1 1 4 1 2 4 13 68
6 1 1 1 2 5 3 5 6 10 62
12 1 2 2 2 7 2 4 5 11 54
5 0 1 1 1 6 5 2 7 13 59
8 1 1 1 1 5 2 4 5 10 61
10 1 1 1 2 6 2 4 4 10 58
10 1 1 1 2 6 3 6 5 10 55
6 2 2 1 2 7 1 4 5 11 59
And which of these parties would you vote for? [Asked only to respondents who said 'Some other party'; n=95] Green UK Independence Party (UKIP) British National Party (BNP) Women's Equality Party Some other party Don't know On a scale of 0 (certain NOT to vote) to 10 (absolutely certain to vote), how likely would you be to vote in a general election tomorrow? 0 - Certain NOT to vote 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 - Absolutely certain to vote
Lib Rest of Midlands / Total Con Lab Con Lab Lib Dem Remain Leave Male Female 18-24 25-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE London North Scotland Dem South Wales Weighted Sample 1639 480 476 105 562 538 100 644 700 793 846 184 692 388 375 934 705 220 531 351 395 143 Unweighted Sample 1639 497 488 108 575 525 109 717 682 691 948 148 686 415 390 995 644 147 575 367 395 155 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 4-5 Apr
9-10 Apr
Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister? Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn Not sure
39 26 35
37 26 37
90 0 10
2 70 27
16 31 53
82 2 16
5 58 37
19 23 58
23 40 36
55 15 30
39 27 34
35 25 40
19 35 47
26 34 40
39 24 37
62 11 27
40 27 33
32 25 43
31 35 33
44 19 36
35 25 39
34 30 35
25 29 46
Which of the following do you think are the most important issues facing the country at this time? Please tick up to three. Britain leaving the EU Health Immigration & Asylum Crime The economy Defence and security Housing Education The environment Welfare benefits Family life & childcare Pensions Tax Transport None of these Don’t know
60 44 32 19 27 19 21 12 11 12 4 8 5 1 1 4
56 44 28 27 25 22 19 14 10 10 6 6 4 2 1 3
64 40 41 30 34 34 10 9 5 7 4 5 3 1 0 0
53 54 11 24 22 16 29 21 12 13 8 5 4 3 0 3
67 54 10 24 37 6 14 19 24 5 8 3 2 1 1 0
65 37 41 31 29 33 11 10 5 7 5 6 3 2 1 1
56 53 14 25 25 17 27 19 13 10 6 5 4 2 0 3
62 63 14 23 33 9 16 18 17 7 6 12 5 2 0 0
63 48 10 22 32 18 21 20 15 9 5 5 4 3 1 3
59 41 46 34 22 28 14 7 5 10 5 8 3 1 0 1
60 39 29 24 30 23 17 12 10 7 5 6 5 4 1 3
53 48 27 29 21 21 21 16 10 12 7 7 3 1 0 3
48 43 14 21 18 14 25 23 12 6 12 3 5 5 2 9
54 41 22 26 27 17 22 16 12 12 7 5 5 3 1 4
62 43 35 26 27 23 13 12 9 11 4 9 2 1 1 3
61 49 39 32 24 32 16 9 6 7 3 7 2 2 0 0
59 44 26 25 28 20 17 16 12 7 6 6 3 3 1 3
53 43 31 29 22 24 22 11 7 13 5 7 5 2 0 4
55 38 17 32 19 16 34 15 9 8 5 3 2 3 0 7
58 44 32 27 27 22 15 15 12 9 5 6 5 1 0 2
57 43 30 28 26 26 17 12 10 9 8 6 3 0 1 3
54 47 28 25 25 22 17 15 7 11 7 7 5 5 1 2
57 45 25 20 26 18 20 16 12 16 4 10 3 4 1 3
21 35 4 2 2 10 25
21 36 5 2 2 9 25
63 8 3 2 0 9 15
1 86 1 0 0 2 10
7 39 38 1 0 3 13
53 10 3 3 0 11 20
2 74 4 1 0 4 15
3 35 27 0 3 4 27
16 50 7 0 2 5 20
31 25 3 4 2 13 23
22 37 6 3 2 9 21
19 36 4 1 1 9 30
8 47 6 3 0 2 34
13 42 6 2 2 9 27
20 35 6 2 3 11 24
41 23 2 2 1 12 20
23 38 6 1 2 9 22
18 34 3 4 2 10 30
19 48 5 2 0 4 22
26 28 7 2 1 9 27
20 36 3 2 1 10 29
18 42 4 3 1 10 23
12 34 5 0 12 13 23
Here is a list of problems facing the country. Could you say for each of them which political party you think would handle the problem best? National Health Service Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat UKIP Other None Don’t know
Lib Rest of Midlands / Total Con Lab Con Lab Lib Dem Remain Leave Male Female 18-24 25-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE London North Scotland Dem South Wales Weighted Sample 1639 480 476 105 562 538 100 644 700 793 846 184 692 388 375 934 705 220 531 351 395 143 Unweighted Sample 1639 497 488 108 575 525 109 717 682 691 948 148 686 415 390 995 644 147 575 367 395 155 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 4-5 Apr
9-10 Apr
Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat UKIP Other None Don’t know
33 19 5 2 1 9 31
32 22 4 2 2 8 30
84 0 1 1 0 4 10
5 65 2 0 0 5 23
16 13 44 2 0 7 19
73 1 1 2 1 6 17
8 52 4 0 0 7 28
14 18 24 0 1 9 34
22 35 7 0 3 7 26
48 12 1 3 2 9 25
36 23 5 3 2 8 24
28 21 3 1 2 8 36
15 32 3 3 1 2 44
24 28 4 1 2 8 32
31 21 5 2 4 11 27
57 9 2 1 1 7 22
36 23 5 0 2 8 26
27 21 3 3 3 8 35
31 32 4 1 0 5 27
40 13 6 2 1 7 31
31 20 4 1 1 8 35
27 31 2 2 1 10 26
19 23 3 0 14 9 31
Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat UKIP Other None Don’t know
17 30 6 2 2 11 31
19 32 6 2 2 9 30
58 9 5 0 0 9 19
0 79 2 0 1 2 15
2 20 47 0 2 10 19
48 11 5 2 0 9 25
2 67 5 1 0 5 20
2 24 31 0 2 7 34
14 46 9 0 3 5 24
27 24 4 4 2 11 28
19 35 7 3 2 10 24
19 30 6 1 2 8 35
8 37 5 1 2 6 40
12 38 7 2 3 8 32
19 30 9 3 3 10 26
36 23 3 1 1 10 25
20 34 8 1 2 9 27
17 31 4 3 3 8 34
16 42 9 1 0 4 28
23 26 8 2 1 9 31
18 31 4 2 2 9 35
18 38 5 2 1 11 25
11 31 5 0 13 9 30
Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat UKIP Other None Don’t know
27 13 7 9 2 12 30
27 16 7 8 2 11 28
74 0 1 10 0 4 10
4 50 8 1 1 12 23
7 3 54 4 0 14 18
63 1 2 13 0 5 15
7 39 11 3 1 13 26
10 6 33 1 2 14 35
19 24 14 1 2 13 26
42 9 1 16 2 8 22
26 15 10 11 2 12 23
28 17 5 5 2 10 33
9 27 5 6 0 11 41
17 21 9 8 2 11 32
32 12 8 7 3 13 25
50 6 4 11 1 9 19
30 16 9 5 2 11 25
23 16 5 11 2 10 33
26 24 10 7 0 7 27
33 10 9 10 1 10 27
29 15 4 6 1 12 33
22 21 7 10 1 13 26
18 15 8 5 10 13 30
Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat UKIP Other None Don’t know
32 17 3 4 2 10 33
33 18 4 3 2 8 33
79 1 1 3 0 4 12
9 55 2 1 0 4 28
19 6 36 3 3 7 26
69 1 1 4 1 6 19
12 44 4 1 1 6 32
24 8 20 0 1 9 38
26 28 6 1 2 7 31
48 9 1 5 1 9 26
35 19 4 4 2 8 26
30 17 3 2 2 7 39
13 27 4 6 2 2 46
24 22 4 3 2 8 38
36 16 4 3 3 10 29
56 8 3 3 1 8 21
36 19 4 2 2 8 30
29 17 3 5 2 8 37
36 23 4 2 0 5 31
40 13 5 3 2 6 32
29 17 3 3 2 9 38
28 24 3 4 1 9 31
21 16 4 3 8 11 36
How well or badly do you think the government are doing at negotiating Britain's exit from the European Union? Very well Fairly well TOTAL WELL Fairly badly Very badly TOTAL BADLY Don't know
Lib Rest of Midlands / Total Con Lab Con Lab Lib Dem Remain Leave Male Female 18-24 25-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE London North Scotland Dem South Wales Weighted Sample 1639 480 476 105 562 538 100 644 700 793 846 184 692 388 375 934 705 220 531 351 395 143 Unweighted Sample 1639 497 488 108 575 525 109 717 682 691 948 148 686 415 390 995 644 147 575 367 395 155 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 26-27 9-10 Mar Apr In hindsight, do you think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the European Union? Right to leave Wrong to leave Don't know
Once the Brexit negotiations are complete and the terms of Britain's exit from the EU have been agreed, do you think there should or should not be a referendum to accept or reject them? Should Should not Don't know
YouGov Weighting Data YouGov weights GB political surveys by (1) age interlocked with gender and education, (2) political attention (3) social grade (4) 2017 recalled vote interlocked with region and (5) EU referendum recalled vote. Weighting targets are YouGov estimates, data sources used in the calculation of targets are cited below. General election voting intention figures are additionally weighted by likelihood to vote. The poll was carried out online.
Unweighted no. Weighted no.
Target %
Age by Gender by Education (Labour Force Survey and ONS Mid Year Estimates) Men Over 65
172
170
9.4%
Men 50-64 High education
48
49
3%
Men 50-64 Mid education
82
77
5%
Men 50-64 Low education
68
64
4.1%
Men 25-49 High education
105
126
7.4%
Men 25-49 Mid education
113
125
7.9%
Men 25-49 Low education
63
90
5.8%
Men Under 25 High education
12
15
1.0%
Men Under 25 Mid & Low education
28
77
4.8%
Women Over 65
218
205
11.6%
Women 50-64 High education
49
46
2.8%
Women 50-64 Mid education
93
87
5.6%
Women 50-64 Low education
75
66
4.2%
Women 25-49 High education
153
138
8.0%
Women 25-49 Mid education
156
133
8.4%
Women 25-49 Low education
96
80
5.2%
Women Under 25 High education
24
18
1.1%
Women Under 25 Mid & Low education
84
74
4.7%
Political Attention (British Election Study face to face element) Low (0,1,2)
YouGov Weighting Data YouGov weights GB political surveys by (1) age interlocked with gender and education, (2) political attention (3) social grade (4) 2017 recalled vote interlocked with region and (5) EU referendum recalled vote. Weighting targets are YouGov estimates, data sources used in the calculation of targets are cited below. General election voting intention figures are additionally weighted by likelihood to vote. The poll was carried out online.
Unweighted no. Weighted no.
Target %
Region by 2017 Vote (Election Result and ONS Population estimates) South Con
240
231
14.1%
South Lab
145
129
7.9%
South LD
54
48
2.9%
South UKIP
9
8
0.5%
South Oth
17
15
0.9%
South DNV
110
100
6.1%
London Con
46
59
3.6%
London Lab
52
97
5.9%
London LD
14
15
0.9%
London Oth
6
7
0.4%
London DNV
29
43
2.6%
Midlands Con
114
105
6.4%
Midlands Lab
97
89
5.4%
Midlands LD
10
10
0.6%
Midlands Oth
11
8
0.5%
Midlands DNV
49
59
3.6%
North Con
120
115
7.0%
North Lab
165
162
9.9%
North LD
17
16
1.0%
North UKIP
10
8
0.5%
North Oth
8
7
0.4%
North DNV
75
87
5.3%
Scotland Con
32
31
1.9%
Scotland Lab
31
30
1.8%
Scotland LD
10
8
0.5%
Scotland SNP
48
41
2.5%
Scotland Oth & DNV
34
33
2.0%
Wales Con
23
21
1.3%
Wales Lab
35
31
1.9%
Wales LD
4
3
0.2%
Wales PC
8
7
0.4%
Wales Oth & DNV
16
18
1.1%
YouGov is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. For more information on the methodology, please go to yougov.co.uk/publicopinion/methodology
